NCAA Tournament 2017: Computer predictions for Sweet 16 field

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For the most part, favorites did well in the first two rounds of the NCAA Tournament. But thanks to losses by No. 1 seed Villanova and No. 2 seeds Duke and Louisville, your bracket is likely busted.

Now it’s time to hit the re-set button to see which teams have the best chance to survive this weekend and head to the Final Four.

According to the SportsLine Projection Model, the tournament might not be as open as you think. SportsLine simulated the Sweet 16, Elite Eight, Final Four and title game 10,000-plus times, and No. 1 seed Gonzaga -- a team that has never even made a Final Four -- wins the title more often than all but one team. 

However, the Bulldogs aren’t a lock to make it past West Virginia in the third round. 

Another interesting result according to projections: No. 3 seed UCLA is the projected favorite to win the championship. In 68 percent of simulations, the Bruins eliminate Kentucky and win the title 17.7 percent of the time. That’s more than Gonzaga and Kansas.

With Nova and Duke bounced, the field has drastically tightened. It seems the road to the Final Four is tougher to predict than ever -- so it’s best to take the computer’s help.

See the rest of the SportsLine Projection Model’s predictions for the Sweet 16

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