BCS/playoff projections: Quiet week, but still a change

It was a relatively quiet week in college football.  There weren't any significant upsets this week, although Michigan Wolverines got a big scare from Akron Zips . Two of the three ranked teams that lost were beaten by higher-ranked teams. The other loser was Wisconsin Badgers , which lost at Arizona State in a bizarre ending that saw both the Badgers and refs screw up a chance for Wisconsin to kick a game-winning field goal.

A quiet week didn't keep me from making a change to the BCS portion of the bowl projections Notre Dame Fighting Irish 's defensive problems are bigger than I originally thought. Giving up 41 to Michigan in Ann Arbor is one thing, but giving up 24 to a Purdue Boilermakers offense that only managed to score 20 against Cincinnati Bearcats and Indiana State combined is a problem.  It's not going to be easy for the Irish to get enough wins (at least 9, maybe 10) to qualify for the BCS. So, at least for now, the Irish are out and Oregon Ducks is in.

The problem for the Ducks isn't being good enough. Clearly they are, even if they lose to Stanford Cardinal , which is the basis of this projection. The problem is that they wouldn't not be expected to travel well to Miami, which is the farthest point in the US from Eugene (and that's including Hawaii Rainbow Warriors ). Notre Dame, or possibly Oklahoma Sooners , even if lower rated, might be considered better options for the bowl because of larger fan bases and closer proximity.  Also, Notre Dame is Notre Dame.

There are no changes to this week's if-we-had-a-playoff projection:

Sugar Bowl: 1. Alabama Crimson Tide vs 4. Clemson Tigers

Rose Bowl: 2. Oregon vs 3. Ohio State Buckeyes

Cotton Bowl: Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State Cowboys

Orange Bowl: Florida State vs Michigan

Fiesta Bowl: Stanford vs LSU Tigers

Chick-Fil-A: Georgia Bulldogs vs Louisville Cardinals

CBS Sports Senior Writer

Jerry Palm started writing about sports on the Internet right after Al Gore invented it. He was the first to bring RPI out in the open and is one of the pioneers of predicting the March Madness bracket.... Full Bio

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