Eye on CFB Roundtable: Picking the 2013 over/under win totals
Win totals for 2013 are available at offshore sportsbook 5Dimes for the entirety of FBS. Which ones might make enticing picks?
It's time for another Eye on CFB roundtable, in which our crew assembles Voltron-style to address a pressing question or topic surrounding college football.
Today's question: Offshore sportsbook 5Dimes has released win totals for every team in the FBS. Speaking strictly for entertainment purposes, what overs or unders strike you as a worthwhile pick?
Tom Fornelli: They always say handsomest first, so I'll start. When it comes to stuff like this, I don't look for the most logical choice as much as I do the best value. (Of course, I'm not actually betting on any of this, so I suppose I could look at it any damn way I please.)
Even with a season-opening victory against the Bulldogs, I think Oklahoma State will pick up at least two losses in conference play. Baylor and TCU are improved, and road trips to Iowa State and Texas Tech can be scary for title favorites -- I guarantee the nightmares of 2011 are still fresh for the Cowboys.
I've already mentioned that I think Boise State's road slate is just too rough to expect another 11-win season, but maybe my favorite bet on the board is Temple under 4.5 wins. It's another juiced bet at -170, but the Owls already had one of the more toothless offenses in the FBS and now must undergo a scheme change with a likely quarterback starter -- junior Connor Reilly -- who has never attempted a college pass. The Owls should take care of business at home against Fordham and Army and could come back from Idaho with a win, but from there they'd need two more wins against the improving likes of Houston, UConn, SMU and Memphis -- the last two on the road. I have a hard time seeing that happening.
One for the road, since picking all these juiced lines feels too easy. UMass over 1.5 wins at +155. The Minutemen join Idaho as one of only two teams with a total that low, but they should be much better than their one-win campaign a year ago after a season of adjustment and some solid MAC recruiting classes. (Tailback Lorenzo Woodley, for instance, could have gone to multiple BCS schools). If they hold serve at home against FCS Maine, they'll need just one MAC win to go over. After managing that much last year and with home games vs. Akron and Miami (Ohio) on tap, they can probably manage it again.
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