CBSSports.com bracketologist Jerry Palm assesses the résumés of teams that may be sweating it out until Selection Sunday. For more from Jerry Palm, check him out on Twitter: @jppalmCBS | Palm's Bracketology updates
Last week, I wrote that Xavier needed to win three of its last five to avoid the possibility of needing an at-large bid with 14 losses. You can get in with 14 losses, but it's a rare occurrence. The loss at St. John's gives the Johnnies a sweep of the season series. The Red Storm are the only team to beat Xavier in the last six games.
The Spartans were about to play themselves off this list, then they gagged away a game at home against Minnesota. Now they have games left at Wisconsin and Indiana, sandwiched around Purdue at home. That could be trouble.
Cincinnati won a hard-fought battle at Houston to stop a three-game losing streak. The Bearcats have five top 50 RPI wins, including a sweep of SMU, and a favorable schedule, so they should be ok, as long as they don't damage themselves any further.
LSU has a couple of good wins on the road at West Virginia and Ole Miss, but also some bad losses to Missouri, Mississippi State and Auburn. They completed the season sweep of Florida, but still have a couple tough games left.
Georgia completed the season sweep of Ole Miss on Wednesday, which is big for the Bulldogs. They have also won at Texas A&M, but they also have four bad losses and two more chances to add to that total.
The Flyers picked up their first bad loss of the season, and it's a doozy. They lost at Duquesne, which is outside the top 200. They are 5-5 vs the top 100, but their best wins are against fellow bubble teams Texas A&M and Ole Miss. They are at VCU next.
The Ducks picked up their biggest win of the season when they beat Utah at home. That was senior day, which means they finish the season on the road. They won the first, and likely easiest of those road games at Cal.
Recent wins over Louisville and North Carolina on the road have taken care of the good win component of their tournament profile. Now the Wolfpack just needs wins. They're 17-11 with at least four games left, only one of which is at home.
Purdue is an interesting case. The Boilers are tied for second in the Big Ten, but unfortunately for the Boilers, non-conference play counts too. That part of the resume includes losses to Vanderbilt, Gardner-Webb and North Florida. Those last two came at home. The last three games before the Big Ten tournament are pretty tough.
The Rams have a gaudy record, but not a lot to show for it. They did beat San Diego State at home, but lost to Boise St, Wyoming (twice) and New Mexico. They have yet to beat a top 100 opponent away from home, but that cannot happen now until the conference tournament.
Unless LSU moves up, a team the Aggies swept, they will end the regular season without a top 50 win after losing at Arkansas. They can get a bid without one as long as LSU remains a tournament team, but their chances wouldn't be good.
The Owls only have a total of nine wins against teams in the top 200 of the RPI. They're just 9-9 against that group of teams with one game left against a top 200 team. They have home wins against Kansas and Cincinnati, but they will probably need more than that.
Pitt has good wins over North Carolina and Notre Dame, but they still don't have a good record against better opposition and bad losses to Hawaii and Virginia Tech. They really need a quality win away from home, but that will have to come in the conference tournament.
The last thing the Broncos needed was another bad loss, but that's just what happened. They picked up their worst loss of the season at Fresno State. It's an uphill climb from here now, but they did bounce back and beat Nevada.
After a loss to Iowa State at home, Texas is now 1-10 against the top 50 teams in the RPI. The Longhorns don't have any other losses, but this proves pretty conclusively that this team can't compete with tournament quality opposition. Their next two games are at West Virginia, the one team they beat, and at Kansas. Ouch.
Davidson had a two-game hiccup against Saint Joesph's and St. Bonaventure that is holding them down. The Wildcats have won six straight, but none of those wins are resume builders. Their only win over a potential tournament team came at home against Dayton. That isn't enough.
The Bruins put up a good fight in Arizona, but came up short. That would have been the ultimate Pac-12 road win for a team that has not been good away from home. There are nothing but must-win home games left for UCLA now before the conference tournament.
The Cardinal completed the season sweep of Cal to put an end to a stretch where they lost four out of five. The home game against Oregon this weekend is huge. They also still have the Arizona road trip.
Illinois has now lost three in a row since the win against Michigan. The last two losses came to the Spartans at home and at Iowa. The Illini have a couple home games coming up against non-contenders that are now must-win.