CBSSports.com bracketologist Jerry Palm assesses the résumés of teams that may be sweating it out until Selection Sunday. For more from Jerry Palm, check him out on Twitter: @jppalmCBS | Palm's Bracketology updates
Dayton finished strong with two wins over the top teams in the league and a home win over Richmond. After beating Fordham, the Flyers were bounced out by St. Joseph's, which beat them three times this year.
Just when it looked like Xavier might be in the clear, they lost at Seton Hall, giving the Pirates a season sweep. It was also the Musketeers third bad loss of the season. They picked up a hard fought win against Marquette in the Big East quarters, but bowed out to Creighton.
The Hawkeyes tanked the end of the season, losing six of seven, including their most recent and only bad loss to Northwestern in the opener of the Big Ten tournament. Iowa will probably get in. They have too many good wins to leave out entirely in this crowd, but they won't be getting a good seed.
The Cougars have four pretty bad losses, which is something at-large teams don't usually have. They do have wins over Texas and Stanford also, so that helps, and they played a good non-conference schedule. Kyle Collinsworth's injury will probably not be a factor in selection.
Tennessee has been trying to show it belongs by finishing the season with three blowout wins, including the finale against Missouri. The Vols took care of business against South Carolina. Now, they get their shot at the top-ranked Gators.
Providence got smoked by Creighton in Doug McDermott's senior day. The Friars really need a quality win. Unfortunately, they only way to get that is to beat Creighton in the Big East tournament final, which would eliminate any need for an at-large bid.
The Tigers have a good record, but have a lot of their losses outside the top 50 of the RPI. Tennessee made them look silly in their last game before the SEC tournament. Mizzou needed double OT to take care of TAMU, then got smoked by Florida in the SEC tournament.
The Mustangs took their third bad loss of the season to Houston in the quarterfinals of the American conference tournament. Combine that with just four top 100 RPI wins and a non-conference schedule that ranks near 300th and SMU has given the committee good reason to leave them out.
The Hogs have a sweep of Kentucky and a neutral court win over Minnesota, but they took a very ugly loss to Alabama to end the regular season. Arkansas followed that up with another ugly loss to South Carolina.
The Eagles have two bad losses and just three top 100 wins. They also won't have a win over an at-large quality team. Their best win is at North Dakota State. That's not a good recipe for an at-large bid. Southern Miss didn't look good in its semifinal loss to Louisiana Tech.
The Wolfpack picked up its best win of the year by far when they beat Syracuse. That's not really enough yet, and it may be that nothing less than winning the ACC will be, but if they beat Duke, they'll get a conversation.
Green Bay beat Virginia at home, which is one of its four top 100 wins. The others are league runner up Cleveland State twice and C-USA co-champ Tulsa. That's probably not enough to make up for three bad losses, including two at home to in-state rival UW Milwaukee.
The Bears picked up a big win over Colorado in overtime to stop the bleeding of the last couple of weeks. However, they lost to the Buffs in the conference tournament opener. That may have ended their at-large hopes.