Bracketology/Bowls Expert

Another bracket, another new No. 1

I can't seem to do a bracket anymore without having to shuffle the top line. Duke fell off Sunday after losing Saturday night at Maryland. The Blue Devils were replaced by Gonzaga.

The Zags don't get the attention they deserve because their league is dragging them down, but they are taking care of business in that league they way they should. They also have done well against better teams. Gonzaga has five top-50-RPI wins, four of which are away from home. All three of their top-25 wins were away from home.

Gonzaga will almost certainly have to win out to have a shot at a No. 1 seed in March.

A lot of people think Florida should be a No. 1 seed, but their profile just doesn't measure up yet. The Gators have just one top-25-RPI win (Marquette), although a couple others are close. Just four teams in 19 years have received one seeds with only one top-25 win. There are no more such teams left on their schedule. Only two teams have been one seeds with a record of 1-2 or worse against the top 25.

They also have only five top-50 wins, and Kentucky is one of those. It's not likely the Wildcats will be top 50 for long. Missouri is, though, and the Gators still play them at least one more time. Only seven teams have received one seeds with as few as five top-50 wins.

Florida is also something of a homecourt hero, at least by one-seed standards. The Gators have yet to beat a quality at-large team away from home. Their best such win was over Middle Tennessee State at Tampa.

So, while I won't be surprised if Florida is a No. 1 seed a month from now, the Gators still have some work to do to make that happen.

The bottom of the bracket was reshuffled as well. Cal moved in, along with Villanova after its win over UConn. Dropping out were homecourt hero Iowa State and Kentucky, which lost to Tennessee by 30 in its first game without Nerlens Noel.

And finally, it was a tough day to be a conference leader in a one-bid league. Eight of those teams lost Saturday, and for five of them, it meant no longer being the conference leader. That put five new teams into the bottom quarter of the bracket.

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