Bracketology/BCS Expert

New bracket has only minor changes

A new bracket is up, reflecting only some minor changes from Sunday's. There were only a handful of bracket-relevant games and no significant upsets. Most of the changes are in the 4-7 seed range.

I am getting a lot of comments about Minnesota's slump not moving them down the bracket very fast. The Gophers' slump has damaged their profile some, but it's still pretty good. The committee no longer puts emphasis on how teams are playing lately, so the fact that they are slumping has no particular bearing. Teams are judged on their whole season, not just the last few games.

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The exception to that is when injuries come into play. The committee does put a little more weight on a team's performance with the roster that it's bringing into the tournament than otherwise. That doesn't impact selection though, just seeding.

I would say that if I'm in danger of over-seeding a Big Ten team, it's Ohio State. The Buckeyes' profile is sorely lacking in accomplishment. They have just four top-100 wins, three of which came at home. The fourth was a neutral-site win over Washington. Four top-100 wins is the practical minimum for selection (2003 was the last time that a team was selected with fewer). The best thing that you can say about Ohio State is that all seven of its losses have come against RPI top-30 teams.

The Buckeyes still have to travel to Indiana and can also pick up quality wins away from home in the conference tournament. But if all they are in the end is a home-court hero, they should not expect a very good seed.

 
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