Bracketology/Bowls Expert

Bracketology: Providence making a move, Baylor in trouble

More Bracketology: Bracket update | Team comparison

Providence hasn't been in the NCAA tournament since 2004, but the Friars are the big movers in today's bracket. They have won five straight, including wins over Creighton and, most recently, Xavier. Four of those five wins were at home though, including both of those. Their schedule takes a turn now, with four of the next five on the road. If they can navigate the next couple weeks with some reasonable success, the Friars might just end that drought.

Baylor is experiencing a drought too. The Bears have lost four in a row and five of six. Among those defeats are home losses to Oklahoma and Texas. The Big 12 is very strong, so there is no relief in sight. Baylor gets West Virginia at home next, but if you think that's a gimme, you should review the Mountaineers game at Oklahoma State over the weekend. If the Bears lose that one, their four game skid could hit eight pretty quickly. After West Virginia, they are play the Oklahoma schools on the road, sandwiched around a home game with Kansas.

Michigan State is still a No. 1 seed despite the loss to Michigan over the weekend. The Spartans are playing without two key starters, Branden Dawson and Adreian Payne. Despite that, the game with the Wolverines went down to the final minutes. MSU can't withstand a long slump and stay at the top, but they didn't look like a team that should drop on Saturday. Also, and this will be relevant to the committee, they are expected to be at full strength for the tournament.

The Friars would make their first NCAA tourney appearance since 2004. (USATSI)
The Friars would make their first NCAA tourney appearance since 2004. (USATSI)

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