Gary Parrish
CBSSports.com Senior Writer

Projecting the Field

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Projecting the Seeds

(Updated morning of Jan. 16, 2008)

The top four seeds at CBSSports.com haven't changed all season.

Truth be told, I'll be surprised if they ever do.

Here's the latest Projecting the Field.

Top four seeds by region

Seed South East Midwest West
1 Memphis North Carolina Kansas UCLA
2 Duke Texas AM Washington State Tennessee
3 Indiana Marquette Butler Dayton
4 Pittsburgh Ole Miss Wisconsin Michigan State

Bubble teams

Last four in: Florida, UMass, California, Illinois State
Last four out: Boston College, Syracuse, Providence, Mississippi State

Bids by conference

ACC (5)
Automatic bid: North Carolina
At-large: Duke, Clemson, Miami, Florida
Bubble: Virginia, Boston College
Comment: UNC is off to its best start since it opened with 21 straights wins in 1985-86.
 
AMERICA EAST (1)
Automatic bid: Maryland-Baltimore County
At-large: None
Bubble: None
Comment: Senior Brian Hodges is averaging 17.4 points through 17 games for UMBC.
 
ATLANTIC 10 (4)
Automatic bid: Dayton
At-large: Xavier, Rhode Island, UMass
Bubble: Saint Joseph's, Duquesne
Comment: Duquesne has no good wins or bad losses to date and with an RPI in the 40s an at-large bid is still a possibility.
 
ATLANTIC SUN (1)
Automatic bid: Belmont
At-large: None
Bubble: None
Comment: Watch out for Jacksonville in this league. The Dolphins have won their first four A-Sun contests.
 
BIG 12 (6)
Automatic bid: Kansas
At-large: Texas A&M, Texas, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Baylor
Bubble: Missouri
Comment: Nebraska's loss to Colorado is a good indication the Huskers aren't ready to make the NCAA Tournament.
 
BIG EAST (8)
Automatic bid: Marquette
At-large: Pittsburgh, Georgetown, Notre Dame, Louisville, West Virginia, Connecticut, Villanova
Bubble: Syracuse, Providence
Comment: UConn is still looking for a marquee win. But the good news for the Huskies is that there are no bad losses to damage their body of work.
 
BIG SKY (1)
Automatic bid: Northern Arizona
At-large: None
Bubble: None
Comment: Three of Northern Arizona's early losses were to Arizona, Kansas and UNLV.
 
BIG SOUTH (1)
Automatic bid: Winthrop
At-large: None
Bubble: None
Comment: Winthrop deserves the benefit of the doubt in this league, at least for now.
 
BIG TEN (4)
Automatic bid: Indiana
At-large: Michigan State, Wisconsin, Ohio State
Bubble: Purdue, Minnesota
Comment: Indiana hasn't lost since Nov. 24 and Eric Gordon has scored at least 15 points in every game in which he's played a minimum of 13 minutes.
 
BIG WEST (1)
Automatic bid: Cal State Northridge
At-large: None
Bubble: None
Comment: Balance is the key for Cal State Northridge, which has four players -- including junior Deon Tresvant -- averaging double-figures in points.
 
COLONIAL (1)
Automatic bid: Virginia Commonwealth
At-large: None
Bubble: George Mason
Comment: VCU's second-year coach Anthony Grant won 20 of his first 23 regular-season CAA games.
 
CONFERENCE USA (1)
Automatic bid: Memphis
At-large: None
Bubble: None
Comment: Unless Memphis loses in the C-USA Tournament it's difficult to imagine a scenario where C-USA isn't a one-bid league.
 
HORIZON (1)
Automatic bid: Butler
At-large: None
Bubble: None
Comment: Butler has eight Top 100 wins, including victories over Florida State and Ohio State.
 
IVY LEAGUE (1)
Automatic bid: Cornell
At-large: None
Bubble: None
Comment: Cornell closed non-league play with an 8-5 record.
 
MAAC (1)
Automatic bid: Siena
At-large: None
Bubble: None
Comment: Siena is one of three Metro Atlantic schools with Top 100 RPIs.
 
MAC (1)
Automatic bid: Kent State
At-large: None
Bubble: None
Comment: It looks like that ambitious non-league schedule might've drained Miami-Ohio, which dropped its first two MAC games.
 
MEAC (1)
Automatic bid: Hampton
At-large: None
Bubble: None
Comment: Hampton, led by senior Rashad West, is one of just four teams to beat Virginia Commonwealth this season.
 
MISSOURI VALLEY (2)
Automatic bid: Drake
At-large: Illinois State
Bubble: Creighton
Comment: Southern Illinois' streak of six consecutive NCAA Tournament appearances seems set to be snapped this season.
 
MOUNTAIN WEST (1)
Automatic bid: San Diego State
At-large: None
Bubble: UNLV, Utah, New Mexico
Comment: BYU is falling apart thanks to recent losses at Boise State, Wake Forest and UNLV.
 
NORTHEAST (1)
Automatic bid: Wagner
At-large: None
Bubble: None
Comment: Wagner won its first five league games, which included a trip to Sacred Heart.
 
OHIO VALLEY (1)
Automatic bid: Austin Peay
At-large: None
Bubble: None
Comment: The OVC ranks 30th out of 31 leagues at CollegeRPI.com.
 
PAC-10 (7)
Automatic bid: UCLA
At-large: Washington State, Arizona State, Oregon, Stanford, Arizona, California
Bubble: Southern California
Comment: UCLA looks ready to make a third straight Final Four under Ben Howland.
 
PATRIOT LEAGUE (1)
Automatic bid: Lafayette
At-large: None
Bubble: None
Comment: Lafayette opened league play with a double-digit win over Holy Cross.
 
SEC (5)
Automatic bid: Tennessee
At-large: Vanderbilt, Ole Miss, Arkansas, Florida
Bubble: Mississippi State
Comment: Mississippi State's six-game winning streak has the Bulldogs back in contention for an at-large bid.
 
SOUTHERN (1)
Automatic bid: Davidson
At-large: None
Bubble: None
Comment: Davidson's Stephen Curry is averaging 23.6 points per contest.
 
SOUTHLAND (1)
Automatic bid: Sam Houston State
At-large: None
Bubble: None
Comment: Sam Houston State dropped two of three games after starting the season with a 10-0 record.
 
SUMMIT LEAGUE (1)
Automatic bid: Oral Roberts
At-large: None
Bubble: None
Comment: ORU is the only team in this league with a Top 100 RPI.
 
SUN BELT (1)
Automatic bid: South Alabama
At-large: None
Bubble: None
Comment: Ronnie Arrow is proving to be the perfect replacement for John Pelphrey at South Alabama.
 
SWAC (1)
Automatic bid: Alabama State
At-large: None
Bubble: None
Comment: The countdown is ongoing for Grambling State to win its first game.
 
WAC (1)
Automatic bid: Utah State
At-large: None
Bubble: None
Comment: Utah State has won nine of its past 10 game since starting the season with a 3-4 record.
 
WEST COAST (2)
Automatic bid: Gonzaga
At-large: Saint Mary's
Bubble: None
Comment: We'll know a lot more about this league once Gonzaga and Saint Mary's play Feb. 4.
About Gary Parrish

author photoGary Parrish is a senior college basketball columnist for CBSSports.com and frequent contributor to the CBS Sports Network. The Mississippi native also hosts the highest-rated sports talk radio show -- The Gary Parrish Show -- in the history of Memphis. He lives in that area with his wife, son and dog.
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