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2012 NBA Draft early entry analysis

by | CBSSports.com College Basketball Insider

A total of 49 underclassmen declared for the 2012 NBA Draft by the April 29 deadline. Players can pull out of the draft until 5 p.m. ET on June 18. However, under NCAA guidelines, players who had not previously declared and had not hired an agent had to make their draft intentions known by April 10 to retain their college eligibility.

U.S. underclassmen early entry list  • International

Updated May 3

Underclassmen declaring for NBA Draft
Erik AustinJackson CCFr.F6-3
I'm not going to waste anyone's time because, well, I wasted about 60 seconds trying to research Austin before giving up.
Harrison BarnesNorth CarolinaSo.F6-8215
He wasn't supposed to be in college for two years -- and there was no way he was coming back for a third. He won't be the top overall pick, as many pegged, but he'll almost certainly go in the top half of the lottery.
Will BartonMemphisSo.G6-6175
The long and lean wing had a productive sophomore season, leading the Tigers in scoring and rebounding. He has matured -- but isn't a lock first-rounder. If I were Barton, I would have come back for one more go-around and tried to get my body closer to NBA-ready.
Bradley BealFloridaFr.G6-5195
Wrestled with the decision to return to Florida, but this is a no-brainer. There's little chance the smooth and well-rounded wing gets beyond the top five -- and he could go as high as second overall.
J'Covan BrownTexasJr.G6-1197
He had a terrific season, but no one really cared because the Longhorns had so much youth around him and were off-the-radar for most of the season. Brown needed to come back and lead a group of sophomores deep into the tourney to have any shot of going in the first round. This was an ill-advised decision.
Dominic CheekVillanovaJr.G6-6185
If he's alright with playing in Europe or in the NBDL, I'm OK with it, too. Cheek never lived up to the hype coming out of high school as a highly rated player.
Jared CunninghamOregon StateJr.G6-4194
Terrific athlete who could sneak into the back end of the first round, but more likely a second-rounder. It's a risk -- and with the depth in this year's draft, one that should not have been taken.
Anthony DavisKentuckyFr.F6-10220
He'll be the first one to shake David Stern's hand on draft night. The 'Brow is coming to an NBA arena near you.
Andre DrummondConnecticutFr.C6-11275
The longer he remained in college, the more his stock would likely dip. He's so talented and a year in college was the right move for his long-term future -- even though it may have cost him a couple spots. He's still a top-half of the lottery guy due to his "upside," but he has a long way to go.
Dominique FergusonFIUSo.C6-9210
Wanted to transfer from FIU, but the school wouldn't let him -- partially due to a low GPA. Ferguson is talented, but will likely go undrafted and wind up overseas. He should have stuck it out in college and given new coach Richard Pitino a chance.
Justin HamiltonLSUJr.C7-0260
This one is baffling. Hamilton put up decent numbers (12.9 ppg, 7.2 rpg) -- but is a likely overseas kid. 
Moe HarklessSt. John'sFr.F6-8210
I'm just not a proponent of going pro when your team was a major disappointment in your one season in college. Harkless has all kinds of potential, but should have returned for another season with the Johnnies. That could have gotten him into the lottery. 
John HensonNorth CarolinaJr.F6-10200
Could he use another year to continue to work on his body and his offensive game? Sure. But with Tyler Zeller, Harrison Barnes and Kendall Marshall all gone and Henson a lock lottery pick, it was time.
John JenkinsVanderbiltJr.G6-4215
He's fairly one-dimensional, although that one dimension had him as arguably the best perimeter shooter in the nation. Jenkins is likely a second-rounder, but with Jeffery Taylor and Festus Ezeli gone, Jenkins' deficiencies would have been exposed next season. He made the right move.
Perry Jones IIIBaylorSo.F6-11235
It was a surprise he came back for his sophomore season -- and the more we saw of him, the more his stock slid. He's still an elite talent and he needed to get out of college before he fell any further.
Terrence JonesKentuckySo.F6-9245
Jones remains an enigma -- even to NBA guys. Some love him, others hate him. He played well down the stretch and will likely be taken at the same spot he would have gone a year ago -- somewhere from eight to 15 overall. There's only so much yelling one guy can take from his head coach. 
Michael Kidd-GilchristKentuckyFr.F6-7210
He had a phenomenal freshman season and helped lead Kentucky to the national title. His offensive game needs work, but he'll be a top five pick and that's reason enough to leave college. 
Doron LambKentuckySo.G6-4210
Was overshadowed by his freshmen teammates, but Lamb's stock is high enough to go -- as a likely late first-round guy. He can shoot, has good size and can play some point. This was the right move -- especially with an entirely new group coming into Lexington. 
Jeremy LambConnecticutSo.G6-5195
With UConn unlikely to be able to play in the NCAA tournament next season, it was time for Lamb to go. Even if the Huskies were eligible for the tourney, it was probably still the right time for Lamb to cash in -- since he's a near-lock for the lottery. Offensively gifted -- and his game may be better-suited to the NBA. 
Meyers LeonardIllinoisSo.C7-1245
He's a legit 7-footer with all sorts of physical tools. His coach was fired, so it made sense for Leonard to head to the NBA. He'll get taken somewhere in the top 20 because he's a talented 7-footer -- and those don't exactly grow on trees. 
Damian LillardWeber St.Jr.G6-2185
He's not the prototypical point guard, but the Weber State star can score the ball -- and this is a lackluster draft at his position. This was the right time as he is likely the first floor leader off the board and could go in the lottery.
Kendall MarshallNorth CarolinaSo.G6-4180
Had the wrist injury at the end of the season, it's a weak point guard draft and guys like Harrison Barnes, Tyler Zeller and John Henson were all leaving. It was the right time as he's a first-rounder. 
Fab MeloSyracuseSo.C7-0245
He was gone anyway, but the suspension for the NCAA tourney sealed the deal. Has made strides and is a legitimate five-man in the league. That should be enough to get him in the latter portion of the first round.
Khris MiddletonTexas A&MJr.F6-7210
This one makes no sense. Middleton was hurt most of this past season and his stock will never be lower than it is now. See you in Europe, Khris. What in the world were you thinking?
Quincy MillerBaylorFr.F6-9210
Made a mistake. Could have turned himself into a Top 10'ish guy with a good season. Never regained the athleticism he lost with a major knee injury as a high school senior -- and it will cost him by leaving Waco a year earlier than he should.
Tony MitchellAlabamaJr.F6-6220
Was booted off the Alabama team and really didn't have much of an option as his grades were questionable to transfer. Likely an overseas kid. 
Arnett MoultrieMississippi St.Jr.F/C6-11225
Starkville was a mess the second half of the season, Rick Stansbury has been replaced by Rick Ray -- and Moultrie's progress was significant since he left UTEP. Could well be a lottery pick. 
Reeves NelsonUCLAJr.F6-8235
Was booted from UCLA after numerous chances and then couldn't make it in Europe. There's no way Nelson is making it in the NBA, either. Maybe give the NBDL or the UFC a try, Reeves.
Austin RiversDukeFr.G6-4195
After just one season at Duke, the time was right. Rivers isn't getting any taller and won't improve his point guard skills at Duke, so he was as ready as he was going to be -- and is a sure-fire lottery guy. 
Peter RobersonGramblingJr.C7-0250
He is a 7-footer, but only averaged 7.4 points in the SWAC. Not going to happen.
Quincy RobertsGramblingJr.G6-5195
The former St. John's guard put up huge numbers as a junior (22.7 ppg) at Grambling State. He's been in college for four years and Grambling still doesn't have a head coach in place. Good luck, Quincy. 
Thomas RobinsonKansasJr.F6-9235
This was as much of a no-brainer as anyone in the draft not named Anthony Davis. T-Rob is a top-five pick who lost several family members last year and needs to go to the NBA. 
Terrence RossWashingtonSo.G/F6-6190
This is a tough one. Ross is a likely mid first-rounder and had a solid season, but the Huskies were such a disappointment. It's difficult to question Ross in this case, though, as he'll get first-round money. 
Avery ScharerShoreline CC (Wash.)So.G6-2
The 6-foot-2 guard from Seattle had a terrific season for Shoreline, but who the heck is Avery Scharer?
Renardo SidneyMississippi St.Jr.F6-10285
Big Sid is so talented. It's just sad that few ever got a chance to see it. He's lazy and a product of the AAU culture -- and it was time for him to leave the college ranks after a disappointing career at Mississippi State.
Jonathon SimmonsHoustonJr.F6-6195
Averaged 14.7 points for the Cougars, but the 6-foot-6 forward -- who spent his first two years in the junior college ranks -- should have come back for his senior season.
Terrell StoglinMarylandSo.G6-1185
Was suspended from Maryland for an entire season, so he just opted to go pro. My advice would have been to transfer elsewhere, but he'll put up numbers at the next level -- either in the NBDL or overseas. 
Gerardo SueroAlbanyJr.G6-4205
The 6-foot-4 guard put up 21.6 points per game this past season for Albany, but is a good overseas kid at the end of the day.
Jared SullingerOhio StateSo.F6-9265
Could have left after his freshman season and probably gone higher, but worked on his body and also learned how to handle adversity. There's no questioning his decision after leading the Buckeyes to the Final Four. He's NBA-ready. 
Ray TaylorFAUJr.G5-6145
He's about 5-foot-6 and has seen his production decrease each season while playing for Mike Jarvis at FAU. I'm not even sure he can play overseas. I'm thinking of trying to get him on my YMCA squad.
Marquis TeagueKentuckyFr.G6-2190
Struggled out of the gates, but he started to figure it out towards the second half of the season. With the lack of quality point guards, Teague is a shoo-in to go in the first round due to his speed and potential.
Joston ThomasHawaiiJr.F6-7235
Had a solid season for the Rainbows, averaging 13.7 points and 5.3 rebounds.The 6-foot-7 forward won't be drafted.
Hollis ThompsonGeorgetownJr.F6-8212
He's long and can shoot the ball. Likely a second-rounder who probably should have come back to Georgetown and expanded his overall game. Could have worked himself into a guaranteed deal with another year. 
Richard Townsend-GantVancouver IslandJr.G6-5200
The Portland native had a solid season by all accounts, but has anyone heard of Vancouver Island University?
Dion WaitersSyracuseSo.G6-4215
One of the more undervalued players in the draft, Waiters made the right move. His stock has soared from a year ago -- and now was the time to take advantage. Could turn out being a lottery guy.
Maalik WaynsVillanovaJr.G6-2185
He's got more upside than his 'Nova teammate, Dominic Cheek, but Wayns was a disappointment on the Main Line and should have returned and won more games for Jay Wright. He's a scoring point who doesn't do much else -- which likely makes him a second-rounder. 
Royce WhiteIowa StateSo.F6-8270
He had a terrific season at Iowa State and the versatile White made the correct move leaving and taking advantage of the momentum. His game is what it is. He'll need the right coach to fully take advantage of his skills.
D'Angelo WilliamsNotre Dame de Namur (Ca.)Jr.G6-3
I wish it was the NFL running back, but instead it's some guy who averaged 4.8 points and started one game for a 11-14 team named Notre Dame de Namur.
Tony WrotenWashingtonFr.G6-5205
He's got great size for the point guard spot, but needed to stay in college for another year to mature. Wroten's numbers (16 ppg, 5 rig, 3.7 apt) didn't tell the entire story. He should have returned to U-Dub -- even though he will likely go somewhere in the latter half of the first round.


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