|Kansas State RB John Hubert should get plenty of opportunities to rack up the yards against KU's porous run defense. (AP)|
Kickoff: Saturday, Noon ET (FX)
Spread: Kansas State by 24
Watchability: K-State has outscored Kansas 118-28 the past two years. Charlie Weis has at least kept the Jayhawks from getting embarrassed weekly, unless you call blowing leads to Rice and Northern Illinois embarrassing. Let's try that again: The Jayhawks are at least improved, so maybe they can keep it close for a few quarters. This is also the first time they'll play the Wildcats as their biggest conference rival with Missouri off to the SEC.
Shining stars: Kansas: S Bradley McDougald. The one stat the Jayhawks have to be proud of is their 13 forced turnovers, which leads the Big 12. McDougald has played a part in four of those takeaways with two forced fumbles and two interceptions to go with a team-best 34 tackles and three tackles-for-a-loss. Since McDougald is KU's last line of defense, he's likely to see plenty of the Wildcats. They'd better make sure they secure the ball. Kansas State: QB Collin Klein. This is one of those games the Wildcats could either save Klein or try to give his Heisman stock a boost. He might not get huge yardage numbers if they try to protect him, but expect a lot of touchdown runs.
Who could steal the show: Kansas: WR Andrew Turzilli. KU's best offensive weapon is RB Tony Pierson, but they are likely to be playing from behind, and Weis seems to love any opportunity to show off Dayne Crist's big arm. Turzilli had the best game of his career two weeks ago at Northern Illinios -- three catches for 100 yards -- and he's by far KU's best deep threat. Kansas State: RB John Hubert. At no point this year has Bill Snyder tried to protect Hubert. The Wildcats' leading rusher has 426 yards on 66 carries. KU has the worst run defense in the Big 12, giving up 185.8 yards per game, so expect a lot of Hubert.
You going? Ranking the road trip: The game is sold out and Manhattan should be hyped to see its team for the first time since knocking off Oklahoma. Add in that K-State fans love to beat the Jayhawks, and it should be a fun day to be in Manhattan for anyone dressed in purple.
Magic number for Kansas: 48.1 percent. That's Crist's completion percentage. Unless that goes way up in this game, KU doesn't have a shot.
Magic number for K-State: 4th, as in quarter. K-State is outscoring its opponents 84-21 in the fourth quarter. KU is getting outscored 36-13 in the fourth quarter. So if KU is keeping it close for three quarters, don't be surprised to see it get ugly in the fourth.
This game comes down to: K-State not taking KU for granted. That's the scare right now for Snyder. The Wildcats have gone from overlooked to a Big 12 favorite. This will be their first opportunity to show how they're handling the hype. It may not matter against KU, but Snyder will surely be watching to see if his team stays sharp.
Prediction: Kansas State 48, Kansas 10
For more up-to-the-minute news and analysis from Big 12 bloggers C.J. Moore and Patrick Southern, follow @CBSSportsBig12 on Twitter. You can also follow C.J. (@cjmoore4) and Patrick (@patricksouthern).