|PredictionMachine.com has USC as the BCS title favorite and Matt Barkley as the Heisman frontrunner. (US Presswire)|
I was pleased to welcome Paul Bessire, general manager of PredictionMachine.com, to the podcast for the first time to take a specific numbers-heavy look at aspects of the 2012 season. Paul is the creator of the Predictalator - a machine that simulates every game 50,000 times to determine the probabilities of different outcomes. The Predictalator is the engine that drives PredictionMachine.com, and Paul is gracious enough to explain how the simulator works.
We also discuss the PredictionMachine.com's most recent BCS Title Odds and Heisman Odds, and why the "best team" in college football may not finish on top when the Predictalator runs through the simulations. Finally, Paul gives the machine's results for a few of Week 1's biggest games. You can check out his full slate of simulation results for the week Wednesday night (8 p.m. ET) on PredictionMachine.com.
In a hurry? Check the contents below for specific team topics.
1:00 - What is the Predictalator and how does it work?
3:30 - BCS Title Odds and the difference between the "Best Team" and "Most Likely to Win"
7:00 - How many real contenders for the BCS title.
9:00 - PredictionMachine.com's Heisman Odds
11:00 - The Predictalators simulation of Alabama - Michigan
14:00 - The Predictalators simulation of South Carolina - Vanderbilt
16:50 - The Predictalators simulation of Michigan State - Boise State
21:00 - Paul asks, "Will any non-BCS teams finish in the Top 25?"
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