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PODCAST: PredictionMachine.com GM Paul Bessire on Home Field Advantage, Week 4 Picks

By Chip Patterson | College Football/Basketball Writer
According to PredictionMachine.com, Oklahoma has nearly a two-score advantage in Norman. (US Presswire)

Time to toss out the narratives and emotion, and get down to the hard numbers. Paul Bessire, General Manager of PredictionMachine.com and creator of the Predictalator, joins me to look at the impact of the first three weeks on the machine's simulations. Paul identifies the Pac-12 as the most machine-defying conference, providing the most surprises in the early season.

The Predictalator simulates every outcome of every game 50,000 times, using information based on the players they believe will be on the field. This helps the machine ignore statistics from garbage time, which is an important factor in predicting Florida State and Clemson. The simulation also takes home field advantage into consideration, and Paul reveals exactly how many points Oklahoma's advantage in Norman is worth statistically.

We also look at future props, and how the machine has adjusted since the preseason. We break down the Heisman race, and discuss the likelihood of teams being able to challenge Alabama and LSU for the top spots in the BCS standings. We also reference the PredictionMachine.com Power Rankings, which feature three SEC teams in the top three spots.

You can follow Paul and get live in-game simulation results on Twitter (@PredictMachine)

Got questions you want answered on a future podcast? Send them to podcast@cbsinteractive.com. Feedback - both love and hate - is encouraged as well.

You can listen to the podcast in the player below, or click here to use the pop-out player and keep browsing. If you want to take the CBSSports.com College Football Podcast on the go, you can click here to download the MP3 or get this and all episodes for FREE from the iTunes Store.



















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