Expert Picks: 2013 Non-BCS over/under win totals

By Tom Fornelli | College Football Writer

Can the Notre Dame defense lead the Irish to another 10-win season
Can the Notre Dame defense lead the Irish to another 10-win season? (USATSI)

In the past two weeks the Eye On College Football blog has given you its over/under picks on every school in a BCS conference, but today we take a look at the schools listed by 5Dimes that don't reside within a BCS conference. We'll use the totals and odds listed by 5Dimes and tell you which bet we think is the smart one to make and why. Of course, remember, this is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling is wrong!

NOTE: The over/under totals listed by 5Dimes do not include potential conference championship or bowl games. The number is for the 2013 regular season only.

Boise State, 10.5

Over (+135)/Under (-175)

Boise State won ten games in the regular season last year, so the question is whether or not the Broncos can improve in a new, tougher Mountain West Conference this season. And while I don't think Boise is going to have a down season, getting to 11 wins will not be easy. First of all, the Broncos only have nine returning starters. Five on offense, and four on defense. That includes three new starters on the offensive line and five new starters in the defensive front seven. Which makes me think Boise State could have some trouble in the season-opener on the road against Washington. Combine that tough start with road games against Fresno State, Utah State, BYU and San Diego State, and I think the Broncos will pick up a second loss somewhere along the way. VERDICT: Under

Brigham Young, 8.5

Over (+100)/Under (-140)

The Cougars finished the 2012 regular season with a 7-5 mark, and now we're left to ponder whether or not a team with only 12 returning starters can improve by two wins in 2013. The Cougars had one of the best defenses in the country last season, but that unit only brings back four starters, even if one of them is Kyle Van Noy. BYU will also have to break in a new starting quarterback this season. There are some tough games on the schedule too, as BYU will play Texas, Boise State and Georgia Tech in Provo while hitting the road to take on Virginia, Wisconsin, Notre Dame and Nevada. And the more and more I look at this schedule the more I see an 8-4 mark to finish the regular season. VERDICT: Under

Notre Dame, 9.5

Over (-105)/Under (-135)

Let's be blunt. There's no way Notre Dame is going 12-0 during the regular season this year. It's just not happening. Not with all the losses this team suffered. That's not to say Notre Dame is going to be bad, though, not with a defense that will still be one of the best in the country. The key will be how the offense overcomes the unexpected loss of Everett Golson, and how the Irish handle a schedule that includes Michigan, Oklahoma, Southern California, BYU and Stanford. It's just hard seeing this team get back to ten wins this year, and while it wouldn't totally shock me if it happened, I wouldn't bet on it. VERDICT: Under

 
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