Our friends at PredictionMachine.com have run their official simulation for the 2014 regular season. Paul Bessire's machine, which simulates every game in a season 50,000 times, has produced what they are calling the most likely results for the first college football playoff.
PredictionMachine.com's College Football Playoff
CFP Title Game: Florida State 41, Oregon 34
In the simulation, Baylor misses the playoff as a one-loss Big 12 champion and Wisconsin finishes the regular season with a high win-total but loses to Ohio State team in the Big Ten title game. Bessire has also provided the full list of conference title game results.
ACC: Florida State 42, North Carolina 17
Big Ten: Ohio State 33, Wisconsin 30
Big 12: Baylor (no championship game)
Pac-12: Oregon 45, UCLA 33
SEC: Alabama 34, South Carolina 31
CUSA: Marshall 28, UTSA 24
MAC: Toledo 27, Bowling Green 24
MW: Utah State 29, San Diego State 23
Sun Belt: Louisiana Lafayette (no championship game)
In the American, the simulation predicts a tight race for the title between Houston, UCF and Cincinnati, with ECU around one game behind the trio. As for the title games above, a tight Alabama-South Carolina game would be must-see TV and I don't think anyone would complain if Oregon and UCLA rematched their Oct. 11 meeting with a CFP bid on the line.