I had a good week, going 14-7 against the line, putting me at five over .500 against the number for the season. The good: going with Virginia Tech by three over Miami. The bad: picking Georgia Tech to rout Maryland. The ugly: picking FSU to have no trouble handling Wake Forest.
Here are this week's guesses:
Wisconsin 58, Indiana 13: The Badgers are rolling, averaging over 54 points in their past nine home games. The Hoosiers (1-5) are 109th against the run, which is a big problem against one of the most physical teams in the country. Russell Wilson, a.k.a. RussellManiaXVI, continues his run carving up the Big Ten.
Michigan 34, Michigan State 31: The Wolverines are due to finally knock off their rivals. The Spartans are the nation's No. 1 team against the run, but my hunch is that Denard Robinson and Michigan's experienced O-line will do some damage and the Wolverines receiving corps, which had such a shaky game against MSU last year, will come through.
South Carolina 21, Mississippi State 20: It has been a weird week for Steve Spurrier, and Starkville isn't an easy place to play, but the Gamecocks have more difference makers on their team and their D has been playing better. Connor Shaw won't have as easy a time as he had last week vs. Kentucky, but he still has Marcus Lattimore to lean on.
Texas A&M 38, Baylor 31: Robert Griffin III should be giddy to face the Aggies, who are dead last in pass defense, but Tim DeRuyter's bunch also is very good at getting heat on the QB (No. 1 in sacks). A&M has more than its share of firepower and the Aggies are home. Baylor has been on the road only once, and lost (K-State).
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LSU 34, Tennessee 10: Matt Simms gets quite a first starting assignment of the season. LSU is No. 8 in scoring defense and about 20 deep on D. The Tigers also have proven they don't get intimidated on the road. The young Vols O-line won't hold up for four quarters against old UT DC John Chavis' deep and talented bunch, which should be good for some defensive touchdowns. LSU vs. Tennessee Preview
Oklahoma State 31, Texas 21: Even though Mack Brown is 13-0 after the Red River Rivalry, this is the best Oklahoma State offense he has ever faced. UT is coming off a brutal outing against OU, when the Sooners D-line overwhelmed the Horns. OSU doesn't have the same type of talent up from as the Sooners do, but they should hold up well while Brandon Weeden and a terrific group of skill guys schools the young UT defense. Oklahoma State vs. Texas Preview
Georgia Tech 24, Virginia 20: Tevin Washington took a lot of shots last week and is starting to look a lot shakier as a passer. UVA is 3-2 but hasn't beaten anyone of note yet. Still, it did have two weeks to get ready for Paul Johnson's offense and should be able to keep it tight.
Illinois 20, Ohio State 13: The Zooker's offense, led by QB Nate Scheelhasse, will give the Buckeyes fits. OSU also is No. 90 in sacks allowed and the Buckeyes will be dealing with a terrific edge rush combination. DE Whitney Mercilus has more sacks than anyone in the country this season. Ohio State vs. Illinois Preview
Alabama 41, Mississippi 10: Even with an extra week to prepare for the Tide, Houston Nutt's team doesn't have the personnel on defense to handle the physical 'Bama run game and Trent Richardson. Rebels QB Randall Mackey might hit a run or two but he won't be able to do much consistently against Nick Saban's big and talented D. Alabama vs. Ole Miss Preview
Boise State 55, Colorado State 14: The Broncos blew Fresno off the field last week on the road. Kellen Moore picked apart another overmatched defense as his young crew of receivers starts to blossom. CSU, coming off a loss to San Jose State, is suspect on offense and only 91st in sacks allowed, which Boise's talented defensive front should exploit.
Virginia Tech 24, Wake Forest 14: Tech QB Logan Thomas is coming off a fantastic game where he was nearly perfect against Miami. The Demon Deacons are a more disciplined bunch than UM, but look for VT RB David Wilson to wear them down.
Clemson 27, Maryland 17: The Terps are really struggling with their identity on offense (91st in scoring) and Clemson has a few studs on the D-line to cause Gary Crowton's offense some headaches. Clemson's speedy Andre Ellington, fresh off his second 100-yard game of the season, should have a good day against the No. 72 run defense in the country. Clemson vs. Maryland Preview
Texas Tech 37, Kansas State 31: I was tempted to go with Bill Snyder's team to keep their unbeaten run going, especially with Tech losing one of its best offensive weapons, RB Eric Stephens, who is done for the season (knee injury). But my hunch is Seth Doege will light up K-State's defense as it goes back on the road. Kansas State vs. Texas Tech Preview
Auburn 21, Florida 17: The Gators are coming off a brutal double having faced 'Bama and LSU in consecutive weeks and been blown out by both. The toll that will take on UF's young QBs -- especially since this is another road game in hostile territory -- is asking a lot of Will Muschamp's team. Gus Malzahn's offense has been flat the past two weeks, but I suspect he will get things revived enough for Gene Chizik to win another tight game.
Stanford 48, Washington State 20: The closest an opponent has been to Stanford all season was the Cardinal's 26-point victory against UCLA. Andrew Luck shouldn't have much trouble picking apart the No. 75 pass efficiency D in the country.
Oklahoma 55, Kansas 10: One week after Bob Stoops' team crushed Texas, now Landry Jones and Co. go on the road to face the nation's worst D. KU is averaging over 60 points allowed during its past three games. OU could hit 40 before halftime.
Oregon 38, Arizona State 28: The Ducks have a 19-game home winning streak and it'll be tough for the Sun Devils to stay focused in such a hostile, frenetic scene. Even if Oregon doesn't have LaMichael James, the Ducks still have a lot of speed in the form of Kenjon Barner and DeAnthony Thomas, but the difference will be QB Darron Thomas, who will quiet some critics with a solid passing night against the No. 75 pass defense. Arizona State vs. Oregon Preview