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MMA will remain a niche sport, and the niche is full

I know how much we all enjoy a healthy burst of moralizing, especially on the weekends, but let's be close to honest here. Brock Lesnar's effect on the future of MMA is exactly the same before and after his heartfelt and touching thank you to the crowd at UFC 100.

Yes, doubling up on the middle-fingered salute because he didn't win the crowd over was a bad idea -- so bad an idea that his boss, Dana White, went to the extreme course of reaming out his meal ticket after the fight.

But the kids, White's beloved target audience, are at worst indifferent to it and at best (for ticket sales, anyway) delighted by it. It's a move lifted from Stone Cold Steve Austin of WWE fame, and Austin was one of the biggest tickets in Vince McMahon-twisted history.

However you felt about the UFC before Brock Lesnar's actions is probably how you feel afterward. (Getty Images)  
However you felt about the UFC before Brock Lesnar's actions is probably how you feel afterward. (Getty Images)  
In other words, Lesnar knew what he was doing, and thought this would take the UFC over the top, as though beating the viscera out of people laying on their backs isn't over the top enough.

White, though, is playing for bigger stakes, and that includes a bigger piece of the mainstream market.

And as it turns out, they're both right, and therefore both wrong.

MMA has found its niche, and UFC 100 was the top end of that. It was as big a card as could be constructed, and White had months to make it right. By most analyses by MMA fans, he did. For those who aren't MMA fans, it doesn't matter.

And as is usually the case when a sport puts on its biggest show, the market finds its own equilibrium. This was almost certainly MMA's Wrestlemania 3, the one in Detroit that put Hulk Hogan over, and just as McMahon never could top it, this is probably the zenith of White's career arc as well.

We don't say this because we care about MMA one way or another. For us, it doesn't meet the minimal standard for fun, and we know that there will be scandals that will hit the sport in the future because that is the way of our nation -- vice and shame always follow the dollar, especially in Las Vegas -- but still we say let a thousand cauliflowers ears bloom.

But we also know there is a ceiling for every sport, and right now the only one that seems to be picking up steam in the U.S. is international pro soccer. That, of course, is because domestic pro soccer is still in the margin-of-error stage of development, and because the U.S. national team got jiggy with it in South Africa last month.

This, we'd be willing to bet, is MMA's ceiling. It is hard to imagine White topping this card for MMA-level attractiveness any time in the foreseeable future, and the business he did was quite impressive. But everyone who wanted access to UFC 100 and Lesnar 2.0 had it, so logic tells us this is a spike in interest and not a new baseline.

In other words, Lesnar offended people who probably weren't watching and aren't going to start, and those who were watching probably said, "Yeah, that was pretty stupid but I was gonna buy the T-shirt anyway."

Thus, for those who see a shocking and dismaying moment for MMA in Lesnar's stunted sense of customer relations, calm down. For those who think it will break through to a new audience, calm down too. You've got your audience, it's pretty well topped off, and Lesnar will win back any naysayers inside the tent the next time he punches someone's face in. Outside the tent, nothing will change. They were offended before, and they will stay offended.

And that should be OK with White, at least if he's any kind of realist. He should be deliriously happy with the gates, and while he can talk about this being the springboard to new heights for his endeavor, history suggests that every pastime finds its level. We're betting not even Brock Lesnar's titanium fingers can break through that wall.

Ray Ratto is a columnist for the San Francisco Chronicle.

 
 

Talk Back
Reputation:68
Level:Pro
Since:Jun 29, 2008

July 14, 2009 5:04 pm
Ratto thinks we need a guy like Lesnar in this sport to make it the biggest it can be.... Don't get me wrong, he helps.  What we need is Pride and UFC to merge so that ALL of the best MMA fighters are fighting together.  Mainly, WE NEED FEDOR IN THE UFC!  I am not blaming Fedor for being loyal to Affliction; Dana White does not deserve all the blame either.  Yes, he has been tr ...(more)
Reputation:98
Level:Superstar
Since:Aug 23, 2006

July 13, 2009 2:30 pm

So UFC 100 did huge numbers and is more successful than ever...yet, Ratto feels the need to draw analogies to Hulk Hogan and take the position that this is the peak.

I don't get it, did an MMA fan steal your girlfriend?...this article just comes off as sour grapes to me.  MMA is a niche just like boxing is a niche, a fairer comparison would be to boxing...not WWE. 

Reputation:98
Level:Superstar
Since:Aug 19, 2006

July 13, 2009 8:18 pm
"niche" sport?

Ok, it may be.   But it is a pretty big niche the UFC is filling...so big, that it outdraws boxing.  Yeah.  Boxing is not the undisputed king anymore in the US.  Actually IMO boxing pretty much sucks.  Watchin little mexican guys or phillipino guys with pillows on there hands land 200 punches in a fight is not really that entertaini
...(more)
Reputation:97
Level:Superstar
Since:Jul 31, 2008

July 13, 2009 12:14 pm
Coming to the conclusion that MMA has reached its pinnacle because it put together its biggest card is foolish.  The sport (with the UFC as the flagship) has grown steadily over the past several years but that growth will come to a sudden stop now?  This is a ridiculous premise.  The sport has gained popularity because it is violent, fast-paced, action packed and there is usually a ...(more)
Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Jan 28, 2008

July 13, 2009 4:15 pm

Ratto:

First of all, I am not one to attack the columnist on this site, but this is piece make some pretty wild assumptions. So needless to say i have some problems with your facts(or lack of) and more importantly your conclusions, but I want to address one of your lines in particular:

"And that should be OK with White, at least if he's any kind of re ...(more)

Reputation:96
Level:Superstar
Since:Mar 22, 2007

July 13, 2009 2:27 pm

 I love the UFC I have loved it since its early days and the Zuffa/White evolution has served it well! Brock Lesnar is an idiot. The UFC could have a mainstream (NETWORK) deal and acts like this deter this from happening.  I do not know if this statement is accurate but I truly believe that TU ...(more)

Reputation:94
Level:All-Star
Since:Jan 19, 2009

July 13, 2009 10:35 pm

A niche sport?  1M+ PPV buys per show (which is now about once a month) would indicate otherwise.  Heavy Ray, would you consider boxing a niche sport?  Because UFC is pulling more PPV than boxing (and on virtually monthly basis).

You also make a lot of general assumptions about a sport which it looks like you don't know a whole lot about - which is unfortuna
...(more)

Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Nov 4, 2007

July 13, 2009 9:17 pm
Ray Ratto is a columnist for the San Francisco Chronicle.
Nope - wrong. Ray Ratto is a gigantic butt, with legs. Look at the guy. How could we ever expect a gentleman like this to successfully blog on mixed martial arts? He's a football guy - he's one of the pollsters that make up the AP Poll in college football - which is complet
...(more)
Reputation:95
Level:Superstar
Since:Feb 14, 2007

July 13, 2009 3:25 pm
What I find annoying is the fact that Ratto uses "We" several times when he is clearly expressing his own singular personal opinions.

What's up with that, Ratto?

Do you carry a mouse around in your pocket?

Do you suffer from multiple-personality disorder?

Or are you deranged enough to think that you speak for all sports journalists and w
...(more)
Reputation:89
Level:All-Star
Since:Sep 27, 2006

July 13, 2009 5:55 pm
First off there are so many things I would like to come at you with. But to the point, I should not be supprised at what CBS is doing. They know that MMA is growing in the younger demographics. If it was a niche they wouldn't let the guys who think they know about football like Ratto and tell them to write about MMA. Just like the other day I saw Jay Glazer who works for FOX do a pre fight breakdo ...(more)
Reputation:95
Level:Superstar
Since:Jan 18, 2008

July 13, 2009 3:49 pm
but the white trash niche is pretty big
Reputation:87
Level:All-Star
Since:Oct 22, 2006

July 13, 2009 7:53 pm
Put this idiot in the soup lines!  Fidor - Lesnar would have ten times the hype and ten times the viewers as lesnar - mir.  Idiot.  Go kill yourself!

 
 
 
 
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