Each week during the NFL season, Senior Fantasy Writer Dave Richard
will provide his thoughts in real time on the NFL action. So if you're
such a maniacal Fantasy player that you want instant analysis, this is
what you'll want to read every Sunday.
Let's go to the tape: Two 'great' ones
Updated: Nov/29/2006 03:38 PM
This week, we're going to take a look at a couple of players who did
well (and not so well) in Week 12 and see why they did what they did.
Is Shaun Alexander back to form?
Fantasy owners who took Alexander with a first-round pick can rest easy:
Your stud runner is back.
Alexander rushed 40 times for 201 yards in the snow against the Packers,
and he looked every bit of his MVP-caliber self. Alexander had excellent
burst in open space, solid field vision and could especially cut with
his feet. That tells me that his foot is truly healed, and the team
waiting as long as it did to let him heal was worth it.
However, not all the news is peachy. Of the 40 carries he had, 16 went
for less than three yards (three for negative yardage). That's one-third
of his reps. Surprising, but not totally a downer as you can't expect
him to rumble for big yardage with every touch.
But in case that got you down, there's this: Alexander had five carries
for 10-plus yardage, including a 21-yard gainer and 31 yards on
back-to-back totes late in the third quarter.
Alexander should be considered a No. 1 Fantasy RB for the rest of the
season.
Is Vince Young that good?
If you're an annual die-hard Fantasy Football owner, I want you to
remember what you're about to read.
Based on what I saw of Young in college, plus what he did against the
Giants, I would venture that he's going to be a really, really solid
Fantasy quarterback, and he'll be there sooner than later.
For the first three quarters against the Giants, Young's playing time
was limited as the Titans had a pair of fumbles including one charged to
Young on a handoff that the running back bobbled. Tennessee also ran the
ball a lot in the first half, taking away Young's chances to throw.
On a late first-half drive, Young and the Titans drove to within a few
yards of the goal line but didn't score. The Giants played a zone
defense against Young, protecting against him running with the ball
while covering the receivers in open space (they put eight men back in
zone vs. four receivers). Still, Young nearly scored on a bootleg play.
In the second half, Young showed off some smarts when he tossed a shovel
pass to his running back on one of the numerous plays where his
offensive line broke down. After that play, he was 11-of-15 passing for
119 yards.
Young's leadership and running ability came to light in the fourth
quarter, but his passing took a small step back. On their late drive to
tie the game, Young misfired on three straight passes, which led to the
fourth-and-10 play where Giants DE Mathias Kiwanuka "chest bumped" Young
instead of sacking him, giving him the chance to run outside, burst past
FS Will Demps, and get the game-saving first down. You most likely saw
this play on TV 100 times. Young's ability to run will make him very
difficult to gameplan for, much like Michael Vick (when he's got
receivers with hands).
Of course, Young connected with Brandon Jones (who I also think is a
good player) on a perfect pass in the end zone to tie the game. One
turnover later, Young put his team in position to win it and upset the
Giants.
Naturally, because he's a running quarterback, there are constant
comparisons of Young to Vick. But the fact is that in addition to being
an intelligent runner, Young has a very good arm. Maybe not the best arm
in the NFL, but one that can get the ball into close quarters and also
get deep. His release is very smooth, and his accuracy, at least against
the Giants, was nearly flawless.
Young also has this coolness in the pocket; the Titans may have one of
the five worst offensive lines in the NFL, but whether the pass rush is
on or not, Young doesn't get shaky. He does bounce a little bit when
he's looking for a receiver, but that's not a major deal.
Let's do some Fantasy math. If Young throws for 125 yards and rushes for
50 yards, that's the Fantasy equivalent of a quarterback who doesn't run
throwing for 250 yards (assuming we're playing in a standard scoring
system). At this point, those numbers are very reasonable for Young to
attain.
But once this guy gets a solid offensive line and some reliable
receivers on his team, those kinds of numbers are going to be bad
for him. Young is missing proper pocket protection and receivers that
can play at a high level on a regular basis (Bobby Wade, for example,
doesn't cut it). When he gets those pieces in place around him, he's
going to produce ridiculous Fantasy numbers and win some people league
championships. So those comparisons to Vick are way off -- Vince Young
will not be akin to Michael Vick.
He's going to be a lot better.
Week 12 Fantasy Blogzilla
Updated: Nov/26/2006 07:30 PM
7:25 p.m.: I'm calling it a night after an exasperating weekend
of football (with two games to go ...).
I defy anyone to figure out the NFC, where every team except Dallas and
New Orleans took a step back this weekend (though Seattle and Philly
have yet to play). The Bears fought tough against New England, but came
up short in a game that had nine giveaways (nine!). The Giants
completely choked at Tennessee, as did Carolina at Washington. I can see
the Bears losing, but not the Giants or Panthers. The 49ers were the
up-and-coming team and they blew a win late to St. Louis (who's back in
the hunt).
If the season ended now, here's how the NFC playoffs look (I think ...):
1. Chicago
2. New Orleans
3. Seattle
4. Dallas
5. Carolina
6. N.Y. Giants
7:22 p.m.: Just watch the Giants gift-wrap a win to the Titans,
thanks to a ghost sack by Mathias Kiwanuka that allowed Vince Young to
not go down and run for a crucial fourth down, then an interception by
Pacman Jones from the arm of Eli Manning, and a game-winning field goal
by Rob Bironas. I can't figure out the Titans for the life of me other
than NFL teams continue to underestimate them.
6:01 p.m.: The Patriots have done a nice job picking apart the
Bears, mostly riding the back of Laurence Maroney. The Bears have used
Bernard Berrian quite a bit as well, but a couple of turnovers have
taken away scoring opportunities. New England remains the best scheming
team in the league (and the one you'd least like to play).
Brandon Jacobs sure is getting a lot of touches in the Giants' game at
Tennessee ... might it be because Tiki Barber ran his mouth a little too
much this week? Regardless, the Giants are up large on the bumbling
Titans.
4:06 p.m.: Sean Taylor picked off Jake Delhomme on a completely
ridiculous pass by Delhomme, putting a wet blanket on the Panthers' hype
and playoff hopes. I'm pretty stunned at how poorly Delhomme played this
week, and for the most part, this season.
4:05 p.m.: Two shutouts pitched today by the Ravens and Bengals
... I'd insist on using the Ravens defense but not the Bengals, but it
is nice to see them playing to the expectations put on them at the
beginning of the season. They're a playoff team, fellas.
4:03 p.m.: Another 300-yard game for Drew Brees ... his fifth
straight.
O.J. Atogwe had the easiest interception of his life to preserve the
Rams' last-second win over the 49ers, keeping their playoff hopes alive.
Regardless, the Niners are one team that will play hard down the stretch
whether they rebound next week or not.
3:57 p.m.: Jeremy Shockey was hurt in pregame warmups and may not
play at Tennessee today! If you own him, you should consider benching
him. We'll know more on this later.
Meanwhile, in St. Louis, WR Kevin Curtis scored with 27 seconds to give
the Rams a 20-17 lead.
3:53 p.m.: In Buffalo, the Bills upset the Jaguars 27-24 thanks
in part to Willis McGahee and Roscoe Parrish, who totaled three
touchdowns. Jacksonville's loss just let the Bengals (who will win) back
into the playoff hunt.
And in two other games, the Rams and Panthers are trying to come from
behind and beat the Niners and Redskins, respectively.
3:50 p.m.: My UNOFFICIAL, off-the-top-of-my-head first-round mock
draft for 2007: 1. LaDainian Tomlinson, 2. Larry Johnson, 3. Steven
Jackson, 4. Peyton Manning, 5. Willie Parker, 6. Frank Gore, 7. Rudi
Johnson, 8. Shaun Alexander, 9. Kevin Jones, 10. Chester Taylor.
3:48 p.m.: Steven Jackson is leading the Rams in rushing and
receiving with 176 total yards. Torry Holt? Three catches for 27 yards.
The Rams are down by four with 2:30 to play.
3:45 p.m.: Matt Jones won a jump-ball over Terrence McGee to pull
the Jaguars into a tie with the Bills.
3:44 p.m.: The Bengals' backups are in with a 30-0 lead over the
Browns.
Jacksonville is pushing hard to tie the game in Buffalo with a minute
left to play ... David Garrard rushed for a crucial third down.
3:42 p.m.: Interesting play in Minnesota ... Chester Taylor
plunged two yards for what seemed to be a touchdown, but the ball came
out and Cardinals SS Adrian Wilson returned it for a touchdown. The
referees took a look at the play and made it stand, narrowing the
Cardinals' deficit.
3:31 p.m.: Steve Smith just made the TD catch of the year.
Looking like a 6-foot-7 receiver, Smith was in single-man coverage in
the back of the end zone and he lept over Shawn Springs to score. The
play was challenged but it stood.
3:22 p.m.: We have the 4 p.m. inactives up on the site if you're
needing to know if someone in a late game is going to play.
Some random notes ...
It's amazing to believe that Chad Johnson is leading the NFL in
receiving yards after his horrific start to the season, but he's meeting
our expectations of late of being the best Fantasy WR you could ask for.
Charlie Frye's interceptions are costing the Browns in that game, by the
way.
The Redskins are playing some inspired ball defensively; Brad Hoover is
Carolina's leading receiver (23 yards) five minutes into the fourth
quarter. Jake Delhomme has missed on 11 passes and has just 92 yards
with an interception.
How about this stat line for Edgerrin James: Four carries for 15 yards
with a fumble. He also has 10 yards receiving. WHAT A BUST!
Meanwhile, Michael Vick has 159 rush yards ... and is 9-of-21 passing
for 84 yards.
3:03 p.m.: Two big plays ...
1. Chad Pennington is hurt and writhing on the ground following a hit
from rookie DE Mario Williams, who slammed Pennington down on his right
shoulder. Pennington, however, got up and pumped up the crowd as he left.
2. Adalius Thomas rumbled for a long touchdown after a Ben
Roethlisberger fumble, giving the Steelers an ever bigger deficit (24-0).
2:45 p.m.: The rout is on in Cleveland as the T.J. Houshmandzadeh
hauled in a Cris Carter-esque catch, keeping his feet in bounds, to take
a 23-0 lead. The Bengals missed the extra point. "Who'syourmomma" has
scored four TDs in his last four games against the Brownies.
2:42 p.m.: How about the 35 rush yards combined between the Jets
and Texans in the first half? Steven Jackson had more than that on his
touchdown run. At least Wali Lundy is making it count through the air
(41 receiving yards).
Anyone have any clue what's going on in Washington between the Panthers
and Redskins?! 6-3 at the half?!
2:33 p.m.: We have our first Hail Mary touchdown of the year as
Drew Brees threw a deep lob that Terrance Copper came up with. Our video
editor Aaron Weisberg said it best when he said, "Everyone on Atlanta's
fired."
2:23 p.m.: Ben Roethlisberger is back on the field for the
Steelers, but all he did was kneel on the football to end the first
half. Hopefully he'll be OK and play in the second half.
But as one QB gets back, another gets hurt as Bryant Young pummeled Marc
Bulger to the ground. Bulger walked off the field under his own power
and should be OK.
2:19 p.m.: It's going to be a game in St. Louis as Frank Gore
rumbled for a 12-yard touchdown run late in the first half to put the
Niners on the board. I think Gore is going to be a first-round pick in
2007 drafts as he's proven himself to be a versatile runner who can also
catch the ball and show off a top-end speed. Those of you who have him
in keeper leagues definitely have a winner on your hands.
2:14 p.m.: How about a welcome-to-the-NFL touchdown to rookie TE
Marcedes Lewis, who looks more like a receiver than a TE. Garrard had
the Bills bite on play-action and Lewis was open in the end zone for a
short touchdown catch. Lewis is a sleeper for 2007.
2:11 p.m.: And if Jackson's total wasn't enough, Michael Vick has
127 yards rushing in the first half, leading everybody.
2:09 p.m.: And just like that ... touchdown Steven Jackson. The
Rams may be forced to get away from their rep as a passing team. Jackson
went over 100 yards on his 36-yard TD run and could have a monster day
if the Rams defense keeps bottling up the Niners.
2:05 p.m.: And things go bad to worse for the Steelers as Ben
Roethlisberger was smashed to the ground by LB Bart Scott.
Roethlisberger laid on the ground for a minute writhing, but he did get
up and walked off the field. Charlie Batch replaced him on a 3rd-and-17
play.
In St. Louis, Steven Jackson has 15 carries already in the first half.
Coach Scott Linehan said this week they would try to run more, and on a
drive that resulted in a field goal sliced through the 49ers with the
run. Marc Bulger on the other hand has looked awful, tossing one
interception and feeling a lot of pressure from the Niners. I think the
Rams are sunk without Orlando Pace.
1:58 p.m.: Stand up and take notice: Baltimore is for real.
The Ravens just made the Steelers look like the Sisters of the Poor by
marching down their throats with mostly running plays en route to a
Jamal Lewis touchdown run. It was an eight-play drive with one receiver
(Mark Clayton) being involved. I'm not saying the Ravens' offensive line
is bad, but they're absolutely manhandling the Steelers at this point --
on both sides of the ball.
In Buffalo, Willis McGahee just scored his second TD of the game to go
with 43 rush yards. Jacksonville looks beat.
1:53 p.m.: Another touchdown for Maurice Jones-Drew, who could
give Marques Colston a run for his money for rookie of the year.
Jones-Drew is up to eight offensive touchdowns this season (six
rushing). He's also scored in three straight games. I've been using him
as a No. 3 Fantasy RB in one of my deeper leagues, and frankly he's been
better than Fred Taylor thanks to his receiving numbers.
1:46 p.m.: Great new commercial out there where Tony Dungy
"coaches" a guy through the end of a date in a car. The guy's wearing a
helmet and is hearing Dungy feeding him lines. The guy blows it ... it's
funny. Dungy's never been so entertaining.
Chris Henry just made it 14-0 on the Browns, who are wearing helmets
with a white stripe down the middle and numbers on either side. I like
'em.
So far, it's three carries for Cedric Houston and one carry each for
Kevan Barlow and Leon Washington. We've already spoken a lot this season
on the Jets' RB situation -- let's just hope it changes for 2007 since
their offensive line should be beastly for next year.
1:44 p.m.: Expect a big game from Lee Evans again today as the
Bills are attacking rookie CB Dee Webb, who is covering Evans. Why in
the world is Jacksonville putting a rookie on Evans? Rashean Mathis is
more valuable on Peerless Price?!
1:28 p.m.: I don't like the looks of Pittsburgh's defense so far
... McNair is off to a good start and the Steelers aren't doing a whole
bunch. They're even allowing right around 4.0 yards per carry at the
onset.
New Orleans is looking sharp on both sides of the ball, thanks in part
to two big plays -- a 30-yard run for Deuce McAllister that set up a
touchdown for him, and the deep ball to Henderson mentioned earlier. New
Orleans has a fast defense that's attacking at the line of scrimmage,
but Michael Vick just ran out of the pocket for a monster gain ... we
call those "Go Mike Vick!" plays.
1:06 p.m.: Bad week to sleep through the first five minutes of
the NFL action: The Cardinals ran back the opening kickoff for a
touchdown, the Saints scored on a deep touchdown to Devery Henderson and
the Browns nearly had a kickoff return for a score before a holding
penalty brought it back.
12:36 p.m.: Here are the games I am covering in Week 12:
Pittsburgh at Baltimore
New Orleans at Atlanta
Chicago at New England
10:52 a.m.: Wanted to share some thoughts on Brady Quinn, the
Notre Dame quarterback who is expected to be a top pick in the draft
next April. I saw him play again yesterday in a loss at USC, and I
thought he played pretty well in a very big game. Quinn has the
measurables you want from your quarterback, and he has nice-sized arms.
But what impressed me about him was his quickness in every facet of his
game: From the time he takes the snap to the time he throws his pass,
it's like watching in fast forward. He drops back quickly and fires off
the ball quickly. THAT will make him valuable in the NFL. Think about a
quarterback like Drew Bledsoe -- a guy who can't move and can't get rid
of the ball fast enough. How much did Bledsoe cost the Cowboys when he
played? Quinn won't have that problem no matter where he lands next
April.
Personally, I think Detroit would be a great spot for him since they
have a pretty decent O-line when it's healthy, they have a fast runner
in Kevin Jones and a playmaker in Roy Williams. Throw in Mike Martz and
his wacky offensive system, and you've got to consider Quinn a potential
stat monster ... if, of course, he gets drafted in Detroit months from
now (you can see why we don't devote a lot of time to the draft until
the draft is over.
10:31 a.m.: Good morning. Happy Week 12 -- if you're out of the
playoff race, enjoy these last two weeks of football.
Thought I'd start with an update on my Fantasy teams, so you can see
proof that even though I write and talk about football for a living, I'm
no dominant force or almighty Fantasy deity. Shoot, you might read this
and think to yourself, "Why am I trusting this fool?" (Note: Please
don't think that.)
KEEPER LEAGUE: I'm 7-4 and playoff bound assuming I can win one
more game, though even if I lost I'd make it on tiebreakers (I think).
I'm starting Philip Rivers, Steven Jackson, Tiki Barber, Steve Smith,
Andre Johnson, Jeremy Shockey, Lawrence Tynes and the Broncos D. I'm
enjoying a 19-point lead over my brother-in-law (who beat me twice in
'05 -- my ONLY TWO LOSSES LAST YEAR YOU #$!@%@$%). I landed such a good
lineup thanks to Jackson being a keeper and dealing off a draft pick and
Eli Manning for Smith.
OFFICE LEAGUE: This is 14 teams with deep rosters and receptions
counting, and I'm bunched in with six other owners at 6-5. The good news
is that there are only two other owners who have better records than 6-5
-- parity is alive in this league! I'm down 24-0 as my opponent had
Marion Barber (ouch) and Julius Jones (yay). My lineup: Brett Favre,
Frank Gore, Chester Taylor, Wali Lundy (I sat Reggie Bush for Lundy --
so there's your proof I follow our very own rankings), Plaxico Burress,
Deion Branch, Jeremy Shockey, John Kasay and the Chargers D. Of these
players, only Taylor, Gore, Lundy and Plaxico were drafted by me back in
August, and I had to re-acquire Lundy midway through the season.
EXPERTS' IDP LEAGUE: This is a deep league that starts six
defensive players as well as a special teams unit. We have experts from
competing sites playing on this one. I currently boast a 32-0 lead on a
representative from The Talented Mr. Roto thanks in part to Zach Thomas.
The bad news is that I a 5-6 in this league and need to win out and
catch some breaks. The good news: Not one owner has a better record than
7-4. That should tell you all you need to know about experts who play
Fantasy Football. :)
EXPERTS' KEEPER LEAGUE: We got a group of experts from competing
sites to play a keeper league. Sadly, I didn't pay much attention to it
and got stuck with junky keepers. But I was cool enough to pick up Tony
Romo, who has me off to a 65-46 lead over John Hansen of FantasyGuru. My
lineup: Romo, Warrick Dunn, Ahman Green, Thomas Jones, Reche Caldwell (I
can't believe it either), Mark Clayton, Randy Moss, Randy McMichael,
Shayne Graham and the Dolphins DST. Surprisingly, I'm 6-5 in this
league, where all but ONE owner is 7-4 or worse.
SPORTSLINE EXPERTS' LEAGUE: This is a standard league made up of
CBS SportsLine football folks only. Thanks to my sleuthy starting of
Marion Barber over Ahman Green and Anthony Thomas, I am up 24-12 on
SportsLine editor/writer Brian De Los Santos, who started Julius Jones.
My lineup: Ben Roethlisberger (over Rex Grossman), Shaun Alexander,
Barber, Frank Gore, Larry Fitzgerald, Torry Holt, Eddie Kennison, Chris
Cooley, Matt Stover, Jaguars DST. Don't ask me how I am 5-6 in this
league, but like the IDP and Keeper league, no one is better than 7-4,
so I have a shot.
You might be wondering, "Why do I follow these so-called experts if
they're no better than 7-4?" Good question. Maybe instead, pick a few
that you like (i.e., me and Jamey Eisenberg), and use the analysis they
provide as food for thought instead of gospel. Before I started doing
this, that's what I did. I went on a tear over four years and won four
Fantasy championships.
Oh, and we're all not 7-4 ...
SPORTSLINE EXPERTS' AUCTION LEAGUE: You may recall this is the
league where I traded the conglomerate known as MarcFrankMauriceJoeRandy
BulgerGoreJones-DrewHornMcMichael for LaDainian Tomlinson. Well, the
deal has more than worked out for me as I haven't lost since (thanks,
Peter!). I am 8-3 with two teams at 7-4 and the rest in the rearview. A
win will clinch me my division and a first-round bye in the playoffs.
The lineup: Trent Green, Tomlinson, Larry Johnson, Jamal Lewis, Arnaz
Battle (over Derrick Mason), Mark Clayton, Randy Moss, Jerramy Stevens,
Jeff Wilkins and the Panthers D. I feel bad for poor David Gladow, who
plays me this week and is already in a 26-0 hole thanks to LJ and T.
Green.
Week 11 Fantasy Blogzilla
Updated: Nov/19/2006 08:03 PM
8:02 p.m.: Calling it a night ...
Three big themes from Week 11: Injuries galore, stats galore ... and
three very quiet shutouts. The Bears, Panthers and Patriots each posted
shutouts of teams that were eyeing a playoff run heading into the week.
All three defenses are worth noting since they all belong to teams that
should be thick in the Super Bowl mix six weeks from now. The Bears and
Patriots are obviously going to be high-ranked seeds, but the Panthers
really won big this week as they won, the Saints and Falcons both lost,
and the Eagles lost McNabb. If the season ended now, Carolina would win
the NFC South and at the very least host a playoff game.
If the Panthers can continue to slam against the run (they crushed
Steven Jackson this week), they could be a contender for the Super Bowl
despite their hideous start. They do have the talent for it, after all.
6:54 p.m.: A tale of two running backs: Frank Gore rumbled for
212 rush yards, a single-game record for the 49ers, while Shaun
Alexander had 37 yards on 17 carries and couldn't pick up a crucial
fourth down conversion late in the game.
5:58 p.m.: With 180 rush yards against Seattle early into the
second half, Frank Gore has gone over 1,000 rush yards, the second RB to
accomplish the feat in Week 11 (Larry Johnson was first). It's all good
news until you see that Gore isn't getting goal-line carries again --
Michael Robinson is in the game there for San Fran but isn't scoring.
5:28 p.m.: Nine rush yards for Shaun Alexander in the first half
at San Francisco, and with the Seahawks down 20-0, we may not see much
more of him. Alexander flashed some quickness but not in his cuts, where
he got caught up a lot by the Niners.
5:21 p.m.: LaMont Jordan has a torn MCL in his knee and is
expected to miss significant playing time, possibly the whole season.
This could end the year of one of the all-time worst first-round picks
in Fantasy history as he's been a total bum for all but one game this
year. Granted, he played behind an awful offensive line, but he was
still totally unproductive and didn't catch many passes compared to his
production in 2005.
Justin Fargas takes over; he's at best a No. 3 Fantasy RB in deep, deep
league play.
4:59 p.m.: CBS SportsLine.com has confirmed that Eagles QB
Donovan McNabb has a right torn ACL and will miss the rest of the 2006
season. If you own him, or plan on playing Fantasy Football this time
next season, remember the ACL injuries suffered in '05 by Daunte
Culpepper and Carson Palmer. McNabb's recovery will be highly publicized
and owners who play in 2007 will want to know what he does and who he
consults with about rehabbing. He could come back bigtime, or his best
days could be behind him.
4:44 p.m.: Lions RB Kevin Jones just got carted off the field in
Arizona with an ankle injury. The Lions might be precautionary here,
though we're not sure (as well they should be -- their backup runner is
Arlen Harris). Remember, it's Emergency Room Sunday!
4:14 p.m.: So let's see ... three shutouts, five major injuries,
one 500-yard rusher, two three-TD playmakers and another week of close,
hang-on-to-your-hats football.
And the Colts and Cowboys are about to kick off ... love, ya, NFL.
4:06 p.m.: Make it 510 yards for Drew Brees! Devery Henderson had
169 of the yards, while Joe Horn and Terrance Copper totaled 180 yards.
And a touchdown that will stand in the annals of Dave Richard Fantasy
Football history, Chester Taylor scored a garbage TD with 0:01 to give
him two TDs on the game, giving me a temporary lead in a league I really
need a win in.
4:02 p.m.: Ben Roethlisberger was about to be sacked with about
30 seconds left in the game when he flipped the ball to Willie Parker,
who scored a 4-yard TD to give the Steelers a short lead.
Elsewhere, Drew Brees is close to 500 passing yards. That's not a typo.
3:44 p.m.: Not to be outdone, Jamal Lewis just rumbled for his
third touchdown of the game, making his season stats look a little
better.
Drew Brees just threw a pick-six that rookie Ethan Kilmer sped to the
end zone, and now the Bengals are up 31-10 on N'awlins.
Elsewhere, the Eagles are imploding. A field goal attempt went awry for
the Iggles and the Titans are one quarter away from stealing a win. A
win where Vince Young threw for 64 yards.
3:40 p.m.: Six catches, 190 yards and three TDs for Chad Johnson
in Week 11. His stats are going to look great at the end of the season,
but they will be terribly misconstrued as he had a horrid first half to
2006.
Johnson then went to the bench to have his right shoulder looked at. The
guy is getting banged up as part of ... Emergency Room Sunday.
3:35 p.m.: Make it four weeks in a row for Drew Brees throwing
for over 300 yards. I don't know if the Saints will win or lose in Week
11 (I'll know in an hour ... ha ha), but Brees is going to start getting
some MVP consideration if he leads the Saints to a stellar record.
3:29 p.m.: Good news: Chad Johnson scored his second TD of the
game. Bad news: He hurt his right hamstring and is limping. He has a
long history of cramping; he shouldn't miss much time.
3:25 p.m.: Marc Bulger has been sacked six times and has thrown
for just 95 yards. Anyone else seeing the importance of a left tackle in
the NFL?
Bob Sanders is not playing for the Colts in Week 11 ... expect big games
for Julius Jones and Marion Barber.
In Green Bay, Brett Favre left the field again ... his game could be
over for Week 11 in an ugly game for the Pack.
3:18 p.m.: Speaking of special teams, the Browns' Josh Cribbs,
who is becoming this year's Dante Hall, returned a kick 92 yards for a
touchdown, and the Browns have the lead again over Pittsburgh.
3:14 p.m.: Shaun Alexander is active for the Seahawks, but Matt
Hasselbeck will serve as the No. 3 QB. So if you're looking to start
either or both of those guys, there's your info.
Mark Bradley hauled in a touchdown from the Bears, and they're now up
10-0.
Ravens PR B.J. Sams has had three long returns but has been caught from
behind all three times.
3:04 p.m.: Fantasy owners rejoice: Larry Johnson has gone over
1,000 rush yards this season, the first running back to do so. Tiki
Barber and LaDainian Tomlinson are expected to follow him later this
weekend/Monday night.
Fantasy owners won't be rejoicing when they read that Travis Henry just
ran 70 yards for a touchdown, the longest run of his NFL career. He has
133 rush yards and a TD against the Eagles, clearly an improbable turn
of events. And he's on the bench in HALF of CBS SportsLine's Fantasy
leagues.
2:54 p.m: We have a new injury to announce on what is becoming Emergency
Room Sunday: Steve Smith landed hard on his left shoulder and got
some medical attention. However, Smith was fortunate enough to walk off
on his own, mosey along the sideline, and then hurl chunks into a
garbage can. I am not making this up. He should be OK.
2:35 p.m.: Add another couple of injuries to the Week 11
stockpile: Brett Favre (elbow), Corey Dillon (arm) and DeShaun Foster
(arm). Aaron Rodgers took snaps for Favre at the end of the first half.
The Bears got off to a great start in the second half with an on-side
kick they recovered after the Jets tried it, leading to a field goal.
And in Tampa Bay, Jason Campbell hit Chris Cooley in the end zone for
his first NFL passing TD. T.J. Duckett did a lot of the running on their
drive.
2:09 p.m.: Oakland is making another trip into the red zone, but
they're not doing anything when they get there. Aaron Brooks may be a
laughing stock as far as NFL QBs go, but he's markedly better than
Andrew Walter, which speaks volumes about how bad the Oakland offense is.
1:59 p.m.: So to recap, Marques Colston, LaMont Jordan and
Donovan McNabb have all been carted off the field in Week 11. Someone
out there has to have all three of those guys on their Fantasy team.
Hopefully they have Lee Evans, too.
1:56 p.m.: McNabb tried to get up and couldn't, and he's getting
carted off the field. He could have a broken right leg.
Let's talk about Jeff Garcia -- he's a former Fantasy darling who is
mobile but very wily with the football. On the plus side, the Eagles
have some good receivers, so Garcia shouldn't be a total wipeout. He's
worth owning as a backup Fantasy QB at this point, though he has the
potential to be a No. 1 option come the Fantasy playoffs.
1:55 p.m.: Donovan McNabb ran against the Titans and got pushed
to the ground but went down awkwardly. The Eagles trainers are checking
out his right leg.
In the immortal words of Bob Elliott, "Jeff Garcia ... white courtesy
phone."
1:52 p.m: Brian Urlacher picked off Chad Pennington in the end
zone to give the Bears nice field position in a boring, scoreless game.
The Jets have answered the bell.
Back to Cleveland where Hines Ward couldn't hold on to the ball and
Willie McGinest recovered a fumble. It's beginning to look like one of
those mega-turnover days for the Steelers. If they lose the game, they
will be in last place in the AFC North.
1:44 p.m.: With the help of my former managing editor, Ellen
Levy, I discovered that Flipper Anderson holds the record for most
receiving yards in a game with 336. So Evans is 131 yards away with
three quarters to play.
In Cleveland, former Cincinnati Bearcat (and a guy I liked coming out of
college) Daven Holly picked off Ben Roethlisberger and scored for the
Browns. I love that Browns secondary as they scheme extremely well. Our
own Dan Dobish is at that game, and I am sure he loved every minute of
that play.
1:36 p.m.: Just got a look at Jason Campbell for a few plays. I
like his size -- he's Ben Roethlisberger-ish tall but not with his
weight. He also does the basic stuff well -- handoffs, dropbacks, etc.
His arm has been OK so far, too. Not great. He's also getting blitzed
like crazy and has avoided it for the most part (as I typed that, he got
sacked).
Another catch for Lee Evans. He's up to 205 receiving yards in the first
quarter -- that is nearly half of the receiving yards Randy Moss has on
the season, and it's got to be a record.
1:28 p.m.: Lee Evans has indeed scored his second 83-yard
touchdown of the DAY as he got ahead of CB Demarcus Faggins and caught a
deep ball, then outran the rest of the Houston defense for a TD. He has
three catches for 180 yards and two TDs. Think the Bills saw something
in the Houston secondary to exploit?
In Kansas City, Raiders RB LaMont Jordan is down with an injury. So
their running game goes from "worst" to "non-existent." Those poor
Raiders ... their run game is so bad, they look at Edgerrin James and
wish they could have him. Jordan is on the sidelines being examined by
team doctors.
1:24 p.m.: Send out the waiver wire alarms for Terrance Copper as
it looks like Marques Colston could miss some time.
And as soon as Colston hit the locker room, Brees went up top to connect
with Joe Horn on a deep ball. The final score of this game could be
100-98.
And, our own Michael Hurcomb just yelled out "Lee Evans scored another
long TD!"
1:20 p.m.: Early on, a lot of teams are exploiting as you'd
expect. The Bears are running at will against the Jets. The Dolphins
marched downfield using the no-huddle and passing like madmen. The
Bengals and Saints ... well ... they're doing what you'd expect.
Interestingly enough, when the Bears attempted their second pass, their
drive was killed as it fell incomplete, and the Dolphins turned the ball
over on a goal-line run. See what happens when you stray from a gameplan?
In New Orleans, Marques Colston got hurt when someone backed into him.
He was carted into the locker room, and he looked pretty darn depressed.
1:09 p.m.: And Week 11 is off and running ... Lee Evans and Chad
Johnson each have long touchdowns early.
12:33 p.m: Great email to share ...
Jason writes, "You get any oppotunities to kick Mellencamp in his
junk? I'm just saying those commercials are driving me friggin' nuts.
Seriously though, I'm thinkin' I need to sit Foster and ride the A-Train
against the Texans. What do you think? Thanks for the help..."
HI-larious. I like Foster a bit more than Thomas just because he's at
home and the Rams defense is exposed more and more each week.
11:38 am.: Here are the games I'll be covering in Week 11:
Chicago at New York Jets, 1 p.m.
Washington at Tampa Bay, 1 p.m.
Pittsburgh at Cleveland, 1 p.m.
Specifically, I'll be interested in seeing how Cleveland defends against
the Steelers, and how Jason Campbell does.
If you'd like to drop an email with a question for the Blogzilla, you
may do so by clicking
here and following the form on the left side of the page.
10:40 a.m.: Good morning, Week 11 Fantasy fanatics!
I have seen the future, and his name is Ted Ginn Jr. The Ohio
State wide receiver/kick returner went on the biggest stage he'll ever
play on (including the National Championship Game he'll undoubtedly play
in) and put on a show against a very difficult opponent in Michigan.
Ginn has amazine speed, great height, an incredible vertical, and of
course great hands. He's got a shot to be more than just a great NFL
rookie, but in my mind, the next Randy Moss (before he went to
Oakland and left his talent in Minnesota).
Not to take anything away from Troy Smith, Ohio State's QB, or Antonio
Pittman, Ohio State's RB (who will also be a fine pro), but Ginn is
the real deal. He's the reason why their offense is so potent since he
can make a big play almost at will. NFL defensive backs will have a hard
time matching up with him in 2007. Keeper leaguers -- you've been warned.
Let's go to the tape: Saints at Steelers
Updated: Nov/15/2006 10:29 AM
This week, I took a look back at the Saints-Steelers game from Week 10,
one that intrigued me greatly since both teams were full of surprises,
good and bad. New Orleans was expected to be in one of those rebuilding
years that finishes strong but starts off ugly, while Pittsburgh was to
defend its championship with a dominant squad. As you know, the opposite
of both is the reality.
What made New Orleans so good on both sides of the football? Was Reggie
Bush worth their first-round pick, and was Marques Colston the steal of
all NFL drafts? What does Colston do that makes him such a great wide
receiver? For the Steelers, why were they struggling and what could they
do to combat it? Is Ben Roethlisberger the same quarterback he's always
been? Who is the real No. 2 receiver in Pittsburgh?
When New Orleans had the ball
Two things stood out to me in the early part of this game: How
effortlessly Brees played and how impressive the Saints offensive line
was. Against a Steelers defense known for racking up sacks, New Orleans'
offensive line was a wall. Left tackle Jammal Brown has proven to be a
solid first-round pick and the kind of franchise OT that trends with
championship-caliber teams, and Jeff Faine has also rebounded from dog
days in Cleveland. They're the big reason why Brees looks so relaxed in
the pocket and can make very accurate throws.
The New Orleans offense doesn't appear to be that complicated, which
would make sense why first- and seventh-round rookies have adapted so
quickly. They do have a number of variations of their formations, but
they are mostly a one-back unit that will spread three wide receivers.
They did go five wide a few times (including on a fourth-and-1 play),
and they obviously schemed to pass more than run in this game, though
they did run a lot when they weren't inside the 5-yard line, which is
surprising considering their opponent.
Let's get to Colston. The rookie from Hofstra appears to have put on a
little bit of muscle mass since the preseason, but his key skills are
his hands, height and willingness to run over the middle. One thing
Fantasy owners don't realize is that not all wide receivers are
brave/smart enough to run all the different types of routes available to
them. I can think of one current NFL receiver who can only run two
routes with precision and another who won't go over the middle.
Moreover, it's difficult for the taller wideouts to run routes
seamlessly because of their bulk, but Colston pulls it off.
Colston lined up a lot basically in the slot, bunched up near the
offensive line, in the first half. That allowed him to draw some
favorable matchups against Pittsburgh's third and fourth cornerbacks,
and Colston's made a living off that for most of the year -- especially
earlier on when Joe Horn would draw coverage. Interestingly enough, Horn
didn't play in each of New Orleans' last two games, so I am not sure
what defenses are thinking here.
I learned early on this season that Brees really likes Colston, and he
showed it in this game, throwing at him 14 times, which is a lot! Even
more impressive, Colston caught 11 of the passes (one was wiped out by a
penalty), including a clutch fourth-down grab and a diving pluck in the
first half. If there's one knock on Colston, it's that he dropped two
passes ... rookie mistakes! Fantasy owners may also be concerned about
Colston hitting a "rookie wall" within the next month or so as he's
probably not used to playing 16 professional football games in a row.
That's probably his biggest concern.
Colston worked inside a lot, running a bunch of "in" routes for modest
gains. Where Colston equally excels is on the deep routes, where he ran
a lot of post and post-corner routes. Interestingly enough, he wasn't
double covered until the second half, and that's when the Saints went
elsewhere with their offense ...
When Colston was double covered regularly in the second half, the Saints
looked to Reggie Bush. I saw Bush have one first-half target, and seven
second-half looks from Brees (catching four). As expected, the Saints
are using Bush just as much as a receiver as a running back, though he's
catching the ball more as a safety valve for Brees or as a way to gain a
short first down on a quick toss. When Colston draws two defenders and
the other wide receiver has one, it takes one man out of the box and
makes Bush more of an option.
Bush is also valuable to the Saints as a decoy -- a guy who teams have
to account for on every play but doesn't necessarily get the ball.
That's nice for them but it stinks for Fantasy Football. I did continue
to see Bush cut in his runs better than just about everybody in the NFL,
though his field vision was hit or miss in this game. Everyone's seen
the diving touchdown he had on a 20-yard double reverse, and it was very
Bush-at-USC-esque. I expect him to keep getting between 12-to-15 touches
per week.
So when you have a strong O-line, a productive receiver in Colston, a
versatile running back in Bush and a very solid gainer like Deuce
McAllister (who we can deem healthy after playing well throughout the
season), and then add a veteran receiver like Joe Horn, you can see why
Brees is having all the success he's been having.
As far as the Steelers defense goes, they simply are tough against the
run, not so tough against the pass. In this game, they get a pass since
SS Troy Polamalu and CB Deshea Townsend were hurt, but for the most part
this season they've been beaten by the pass, and that's a trend that's
likely to continue, even against the Browns in Week 11.
When Pittsburgh had the ball
The Steelers O-line was challenged, but not beaten, by the Saints
defensive line in Week 10, and that's where you'll find the key to New
Orleans' defensive play. They have a speedy defense that works to attack
at the line of scrimmage, but their linebackers and DBs aren't the most
trusted tacklers. However, their starting defensive line is very
athletic and is definitely the backbone of that defense. In this
particular game, though, the Saints had some minor injuries befall Will
Smith and Hollis Thomas, so their line wasn't as effective as the game
progressed.
But after realizing all of this, it's no surprise that all but two of
the Saints' wins came against teams with struggling offensive lines, and
two of their three losses were against teams that boast beastly O-lines
(Baltimore, Pittsburgh). One encouraging thing I saw from the Steelers
offensive line was that they didn't get tired as the game progressed, so
they're conditioned well.
This isn't your father's Steelers offense. Running the ball on nearly
every down isn't their way anymore, and the proof of that is in the
stature and production of Willie Parker. Because he's not a big bruising
runner, the Steelers can't just pound the ball. I was surprised to see
them still run inside as much as they did with Parker. He couldn't get
motoring in the first half, but he tore up the Saints in the second half
with two very long runs -- one of which starting when he ran inside the
left side of the offensive line. For all intents and purposes, Parker is
at his best when he runs to the edge and turns up the speed. Defenses
that play in the 4-3 with slow linebackers will continue to get crushed
by Parker.
Ben Roethlisberger may be hit-or-miss when it comes to touchdowns, but
as far as commanding the Steelers, he's fine. I didn't get a good idea
of his mobility in the game, but he's got pretty good accuracy and can
throw the ball where it needs to be for his receivers to catch it. He
can be erratic but didn't show it in this game.
Roethlisberger should be good for around 250 yards a week, which is
stunning when you consider he only has one really polished receiver at
his disposal. That would be Hines Ward, who is a heck of an
everyman-type receiver who will block, run any route you want and take
off into a second gear when he gets the ball. Roethlisberger threw at
Ward seven times, and connected six times. One of those passes was an
easy shovel pass, and the incomplete pass was ahead of Ward and he
couldn't come up with it.
So who is the No. 2 receiver in Pittsburgh? Based on how often
Roethlisberger threw to him, I'd say it's Nate Washington, who is a
lean, tall target who could take a few lessons from Ward on how to catch
the ball. Washington was thrown at five times (not including a Hail Mary
attempt to end the first half), dropping two passes including a
touchdown. Washington is young and undrafted, but should develop in time
to be a receiver able to get around 700 yards in a season.
Roethlisberger likes him as a deep threat at this point.
Let's wrap up on Santonio Holmes, the Steelers first-round pick. Holmes
doesn't play on running downs and is more of a third or fourth receiver.
He was thrown at three times, catching two. His second catch was a
really impressive 46-yard catch-and-run that speaks to both Holmes'
ability and the Steelers schematic offense. Holmes caught a very short
pass wide open over the middle and was able to scoot downfield thanks to
Hines Ward clearing out the middle and blocking his defender into the
guy covering Holmes, taking them both out of the play. Holmes had
another teammate block another defender and would have scored on the
play if Saints safety Josh Bullocks didn't take him down inside the 20.
Once Holmes understands the whole Pittsburgh offense, he could play like
a No. 1 receiver. We're probably looking at 2008 as his breakout season.
This was a pretty amazing Sunday when you look at the scores. Only two
games were decided by more than seven points. And usually when there's a
competitive game, there are a lot of Fantasy stat producers.
This is old news to die-hard Fantasy owners, but more and more, teams
really cater their gameplans to their opponents' weaknesses. That seems
like a no-brainer, but for years you'd see teams run the same offense
regardless of who they played and would either win with it or lose with
it. Now teams will go with what works against the opponent they're
playing, then change it up for their next opponent. It makes starting
the right Fantasy lineup harder than ever to figure out.
Finally, I think we're starting to see which teams are in the playoff
hunt and which teams are going to fizzle.
The Bengals strike me as a fizzler after they lost a heartbreaker in
which they were up by three TDs early. On the other hand, San Diego will
fight hard now that they won that game, and it could be a real momentum
builder as they head into Denver for their first battle this season with
the Broncos in a game for first place in the AFC West.
Baltimore is a playoff contender; St. Louis is not. The Eagles are
contenders; the Falcons are not. This was a pivotal week in the NFL, and
teams that didn't get the win they thought they would will reel.
The only exception is New England; even though they lost back-to-back
games for the first time in forever, they're still resilient enough to
bounce back next week at Green Bay -- a tough game for them.
5:29 p.m: An amazing Week 10 gets weirder ...
The Steelers, in their home fortress, are losing to the Saints thanks to
Reggie Bush scoring on a short double reverse run which saw him dive a
la Priest Holmes into the end zone. Bush has finally scored his first TD
on offense.
It's halftime in Oakland, and the Raiders are beating the Broncos 13-7.
Tatum Bell, who was expected to dominate, has 19 rush yards on eight
carries. Jake Plummer has thrown two interceptions. The Raiders are
using running backs by committee, but they're not doing much (LaMont
Jordan has a TD). Believe it or not, Andrew Walter is carrying the
Raiders with adequate management of the offense (135 passing yards, zero
TDs).
Seneca Wallace: Two passing TDs, 136 yards. Marc Bulger: 92 yards, zero
pass TDs. That's pretty much all you need to know from the St.
Louis-Seattle game.
4:27 p.m: Philip Rivers just gave the world a glimpse of why the
Chargers kept him over Drew Brees, throwing a heady shovel pass to
Brandon Manumaleuna to give the Chargers a late eight-point lead against
the Bengals. This is the kind of game where you'd want anybody from this
game on your Fantasy team.
Palmer just went over 400 yards.
3:58 p.m: What a week it's been -- several high-scoring games,
nearly every game close, and the Colts won -- by one -- at home against
Buffalo.
3:52 p.m: And now it's four touchdowns for LaDainian Tomlinson.
The Bengals were winning 21-0, and now it's 42-38, San Diego. Holy moly.
Carson Palmer has nearly gone over 400 yards.
3:46 p.m: Don't look now, but ...
• Anthony Thomas has rushed for over 100 yards.
• Mark Clayton has his second 100-yard game of the season. Malcom Floyd
has 97 yards and a touchdown.
• Dominic Rhodes and Joseph Addai have each gone over 70 yards.
• The Jets are on the cusp of beating the Patriots in a foggy rainstorm.
Kevan Barlow has twice as many touches as Leon Washington. You can't
trust those Jets RBs.
3:42 p.m: Make it three touchdowns for LaDainian Tomlinson at
Cincinnati in what is quickly becoming the game of the day.
3:35 p.m: David Garrard has tossed four interceptions against
Houston -- I wonder if Jack Del Rio will stick by him or go back to
Byron Leftwich.
3:30 p.m: Carson Palmer and Chad Johnson came to play in Week 10.
Johnson caught a bomb from Palmer, shook off rookie CB Antonio
Cromartie, and hit the end zone on a 74-yard play. Johnson has nine
catches for 226 yards and two touchdowns. Does this make up for his
awful start? Johnson's 226 yards is a team record, and it's only the
third quarter.
In even more exciting news, the 4 p.m. inactives are up on the site.
2:51 p.m: Bad news: Donovan McNabb is 4-of-16 passing in the
first half. Good news: He's completed those four passes for 139 yards
and a touchdown. That's an average of 34.75 yards per completion. Nice.
2:48 p.m: Clinton Portis broke his hand at Philadelphia in the
first half and could miss at least a couple of weeks. Ladell Betts will
take over for Portis over the long haul, and expect T.J. Duckett to also
get some carries. Makes my trade with Darst described at the start of
the blog seem more interesting.
2:46 p.m: Halftime headlines:
• Carson Palmer and the Bengals are playing like we expected them to all
season. They've gone deep often and have bullied the Chargers in the
first half. Palmer has 282 yards and two TDs; Chad Johnson has 117 yards
and a TD.
• Without Ray Lewis, the Titans are running well against the Ravens.
More on that below, but McNair has two passing TDs in the first half.
• Miami's defense and Joey Harrington's efficient arm have paced the
Dolphins to what could be their second-straight upset. Larry Johnson has
been bottled up, and Damon Huard only completed four first-half passes.
• Three receivers already have 100-yard games: Johnson, Donald Driver
and Drew Bennett.
2:17 p.m: I can't believe Travis Henry is having a solid game vs.
the Ravens. True, Ray Lewis is out for Baltimore, but their defense
still should be serviceable. Instead, it's been abysmal. Henry, Vince
Young and TE Bo Scaife each have rushing touchdowns!
2:07 p.m: Here's a glimpse at Buffalo's gameplan for Week 10 at
Indy: J.P. Losman has attempted three passes through the first 28
minutes of the game. Anthony Thomas, meanwhile, rushed the ball 16 times
for 51 yards.
Not only was this smart since Indy's run defense is suspect, but it's
also the best way to keep Peyton Manning off the field. So even the
Bills are copying the "defense by offense" gameplan for slowing Manning
down.
1:58 p.m: Carson Palmer is unconscious, as is the Cincy offense.
Palmer has completed 10-of-11 passes and has hooked up with Chad Johnson
for a score in the game. Marvin Lewis reportedly ripped into his team
this week, and they're stepping up.
Meanwhile, in Detroit, Frank Gore is already over 100 yards rushing. The
Lions defense is sloppy.
1:38 p.m: Rudi Johnson scored on a nice 7-yard rumble against the
Chargers to extend Cincy's lead. It could be a huge game for him if the
Chargers can't get on the board.
Browns RB Reuben Droughns ran in for a score on Atlanta, set up by a
40-yard reception by Kellen Winslow. It's the first TD by the Browns in
the first quarter in 12 games and their second TD in their last nine red
zone possessions. Big props to Dan Dobish for that nugget.
1:33 p.m: Corey Dillon just had a run of over 50 yards, his first
since late December, 1998. CBS flashed that Dillon has rushed the ball
3,420 times since his last run of 50 yards or more.
New England is running wild now with Maroney as Dillon rests after that
long gain. The Jets' run defense is still a mess.
1:31 p.m: Rudi Johnson is in the ball game for Cincy.
1:29 p.m: After a nice drive ends just short of the goal line,
the Vikings' first play after the Packers field goal was a sack of Brad
Johnson where he fumbled and it was recovered easily by the Packers.
It looks like the Jets are passing even with the rain in New England.
The Chargers also took to the air early against the Bengals.
1:17 p.m: Frank Gore just made an outstanding touchdown run
against the Lions, plowing through several defenders and busting loose
61 yards for an early score.
Weather is playing a big role this week. In New England, both the Pats
and Jets have had dropped passes thanks to the rain.
With Rudi Johnson benched for the first series, fullback Jeremi Johnson
got the goal-line touchdown for Cincy.
1:05 p.m: Some trade emails from you guys ...
Nate Todd: Here's my trade deadline deal. I have a mediocre team
with Ronnie Brown and Tatum Bell as my top RB's, and Laurence Maroney as
a 3rd RB. I was feeling good about Bell up until he got injured, then I
saw my fantasy future slipping away into the dreaded RBBC. My WRs are
Donte Stallworth, Roy Williams and Joe Horn. We only start 2 WRs and 2
RBs, so I dealt Horn for Lamont Jordan. This deal leaves me thin at WR,
so I picked up Matt Jones off waivers. I figure Jordan may emerge, and
if he does he has a strong playoff schedule. The Saints schedule is not
good, and Horn can't seem to stay healthy. I just hope Stallworth is
still the WR he was in the first couple weeks of the season!
Derrell, San Francisco: Three hours prior to our Trade Deadline I
pulled the trigger on trade giving up M. Harrison and S. Alexander for
W. Dunn and D. Jackson. My other WR's are J. Walker. S. Moss, Furry and
B. Edwards. My other RB's are J. Jones, L. Washinton and Maroney. I felt
I needed help with my RB's and Dunn isn't involved with a RB question
mark. By the way the guy I made the trade with is 7th and I'm currently
in 1st.
12:58 p.m: A busy morning is highlighted by Rudi Johnson getting
benched for disciplinary reasons. Chris Perry will start, but expect to
see Rudi by the second quarter.
11:07 a.m: Here are the games I am covering in Week 10:
49ers at Lions
Jets at Patriots
Chargers at Bengals
Saints at Steelers (really looking forward to this one)
10:41 a.m: Good morning. Welcome to double-digit weeks in the NFL
... and crunch time in Fantasy Football.
Wanted to give you some trade notes from some of my Fantasy squads ...
In my keeper league, I traded a 6th-round pick, Eli Manning (who can be
kept for an 8th-round pick next year) and Bernard Berrian (who can be
kept for a 13th-round pick next season) for Steve Smith and the Broncos
DST. The move was made to give me a push for the playoffs while the guy
I traded with has no shot at the postseason and is building for 2007.
Denver's defense is a potential keeper as a 13th-round pick).
In a private league with SportsLine employees past and present, I traded
Jason Witten and Isaac Bruce for Jeremy Shockey. I don't love this trade
other than it simplifies my lineup for the rest of the year. I had four
receivers that were all scoring like 10 points per week and needed to
consolidate. Shockey was good enough for the deal.
In the CBS SportsLine expert auction league -- the one I have LJ and LT
in -- I swapped Chris Henry and Ladell Betts to our own J. Darin Darst
for Jamal Lewis. I'm not Lewis' biggest fan, especially after dissecting
the Bengals-Ravens game last week (you can read it below), but I'll use
him as a No. 3 RB any time. Darst made the deal because he was deep at
running back and could afford to give up on Lewis in exchange for a
receiver and Clinton Portis' backup. But if you don't like the deal, feel
free to email Darsty here.
I just got done watching the Bengals-Ravens game from Week 9. Much has
been made of Cincinnati's banged-up offensive line -- were they a reason
why the Bengals lost? Is Chad Johnson still Cincinnati's No. 1 receiver?
And for the Ravens, what have they done differently to make their
offense more potent?
Cincinnati's offense
The first thing I can tell you is that the Bengals' offensive line is
fine. Seriously. Palmer was hurried quite a bit (seven times on my
count, six in the second half), but the fact remains he was only sacked
twice and hit three times. That's solid pass protection. Moreover, Rudi
Johnson averaged 4.2 yards per carry against the stingy Ravens run
defense. I counted 10 breakdowns by the Bengals O-line in the game, six
in the first half -- that includes Palmer's two sacks (one in each
half). If an offensive line can take on the Ravens and do well, they're
fine. That said, it took them a while to jell, which may explain some on
Cincinnati's mishaps in the past. I expect the offense to get better
when OT Levi Jones and C Rich Braham get healthy.
Against the Ravens it was T.J. Houshmandzadeh who garnered Palmer's
attention the most, getting thrown at nine times in the game. Normally
"Housh" is a consistent go-getter, but perhaps one problem for the
Bengals was that he caught only three passes, dropping two, having two
more tipped before he could get them and another pass not caught but
resulting in a pass interference call. Houshmandzadeh did make the most
of his catches, catching two for 26 yards and the other for 14.
Now the catch that Houshmandzadeh didn't make that got the most scrutiny
was at the end of the game when he was interfered with on a fourth-down
play. The referees did not call that one, and that's what led him to
spike his helmet and get two penalties called on him for his
unsportsmanlike conduct. If the flag is thrown, the ballgame turns out
differently. I thought it was interesting that Palmer looked for
Houshmandzadeh on that crucial play and not Chad Johnson.
Johnson was thrown at six times, catching three. Palmer was throwing
high for a lot of the game, and Johnson had to stretch out just to catch
one of the passes. Johnson had two passes thrown his way in the second
half -- how strange is that considering his rep of being their best
receiver? Fantasy owners may want to re-think that one.
As for Chris Henry, it seems like his number doesn't get called for a
deep route until late in the game. For the second week in a row, Henry
was practically invisible until Palmer hit him on a deep route that was
good for 71 yards. You would think Palmer would throw at him more, but
after he stopped short on a hail mary pass at the end of the game,
Palmer may not think so highly of his wayward receiver. I would be
interested in seeing how many looks Henry gets in a game the Bengals get
an early lead in -- I suspect he's not an option they think about unless
they are behind late.
For an offense as potent (or believed to be potent) as the Bengals,
here's the troubling stat: Their longest yard gainer until the fourth
quarter was a pass interference penalty called on Ravens safety Ed Reed
covering Chad Johnson for 34 yards, and that turned out to be their
second-longest (Henry's 71-yard haul was the biggie). Housh had the two
26-yard plays, but they did not succeed at even medium-length routes for
the most part. What role could play calling be in the Bengals' slide?
Overall, the Bengals had to settle in a little bit offensively before
they put points on the board. Once they got patient and ran the ball a
little more and ditched the no-huddle, I thought they did better.
Baltimore's offense
What stood out to me was the use of the I-formation by the Ravens
offense, something they did 38 times in the game! The I-form should be
familiar to those who have played football video games, but it's a basic
formation with a fullback and a running back behind the quarterback with
a tight end on the line. It typically dictates a running play, but of
course can be changed up to run a pass play. It's conservative, but so
long as Steve McNair is comfortable in it, it's a keeper.
The basic gist of the Ravens offense in Week 9 (and Week 8) was that
they were going to play safe, power football. It's actually very boring.
They did not throw the ball up deep, they did not pull out any trick
plays and they did not do anything to make an opponent guess. If the
Ravens were to beat the Bengals, it would have meant forcing them to
bottle up the run and halt McNair's passes.
The other key to that equation is the Ravens offensive line, which kept
McNair mostly untouched. They're a solid unit with most of them playing
together for a long time. The Bengals defensive line isn't the best in
the league, but they're well-schemed. For the Ravens O-line to play as
well as they did and give McNair lots of time to throw, they have to be
credited for Baltimore's success this year.
Jamal Lewis was not impressive in this game. He had 18 carries for less
than five yards and five of five or more yards with a long of 10 yards.
Speed is not Lewis' strength; strength is Lewis' strength. Brian
Billick knows that Lewis is a pounder and is lucky if he can break off a
run for 20 yards or more. But, Lewis can "take a licking and keep on
ticking," so the plan is to ram him early and often. His yards-per-carry
average isn't going to be pretty, but if he runs the ball 30-plus times
a game, he should put up adequate numbers for a No. 3 Fantasy RB (not
including touchdowns -- you know he'll be in at the goal line).
One to watch: Musa Smith, who didn't see much time but made the most of
it. His two long runs came very late in the first half deep in Baltimore
territory with the Bengals playing prevent defense, but he is definitely
the speedy back of the bunch in Baltimore.
With the offense going back to basics and keeping routes short, the
Ravens receiving corps should benefit, and they did against Cincinnati.
Mark Clayton was thrown at 13 times, catching eight passes. The
yardage total was modest (73 yards), but he's a quick receiver with
great hands and should be a factor so long as he's somewhat open. Of
course, he had one 17-yard catch last week (on two looks).
So if Clayton was thrown at 13 times, how many times did Derrick Mason
see the ball come his way? The answer: Four, catching two. Of course,
Mason was thrown at eight times last week, so what's the difference? It
might have been coverage-related; Mason saw a lot of Tory James while
Clayton was covered mostly by Deltha O'Neal. Clayton did have a
touchdown pass called off because he didn't have two feet in bounds in
the third quarter.
Not that you didn't already know this, but Todd Heap is a big part of
the Ravens offense. He was targeted five times, catching four passes
with three going for 15 or more yards on the same route, a post. And he
wasn't in this game, but Heap is their primary red-zone target, too. Is
any of this anything you didn't know already?
As for McNair, he's not going to deliver any 300-yard games as long as
the offensive play calling stays with what they're doing. However, he
will lead this team to a lot of wins unless a defense can break his
rhythm. What's being asked of McNair -- throw the ball short, manage the
game -- is a piece of cake for him. Through the whole game, the Ravens
were calculated with everything they did -- except once. With time
clicking down in the first half, McNair was forced to go no-huddle and
make a pass play to get the Ravens in position for a long field goal. It
was his only bad throw in the first half. A defense will have to force
the Ravens to play out of their normal playbook in order to get them to
turn the ball over and lose games. The Broncos did exactly that in their
Monday night game in Week 5.
Was this helpful to you? Was it a fun read or was it me wasting a
couple of hours of my day? Let me know by clicking
here and dropping me a line.
Week 9 Fantasy Blogzilla
Updated: Nov/05/2006 08:17 PM
8:06 p.m: Finishing up Week 9 ...
• LaDainian Tomlinson was held in check for most of the Browns-Chargers
game, but erupted late in the third quarter and finished with three
touchdowns and 192 total yards. Amazing for a guy who had 43 yards at
the end of the first half.
Interesting note: I own Tomlinson in one league and am playing against
him in another. In the league I own LT, I was down big; but in the
league I was playing LT, I was up big. Take a guess how I'm doing in
each of those leagues now.
• Javon Walker torched the Steelers, the second three-touchdown opponent
the Steelers have allowed in two weeks. Looks like they have a problem
defending the pass, just in time for the high-powered Saints to come
marching into Pittsburgh in Week 10.
4:32 p.m: Jake Plummer has hit Rod Smith and Javon Walker for
first-quarter touchdowns, equaling his touchdown total over his last
three games in less than 10 minutes of play. Wow.
4:03 p.m: Marc Bulger's team may have lost, but he's thrown for
over 300 yards for the fifth time in six games. If he was throwing more
touchdowns, he'd be the Fantasy MVP so far.
3:55 p.m: Quinn Gray is in the game for the Jaguars. Jacksonville
is winning 37-7 and there's 2:00 to play.
But in other, more serious news, the Bears' undefeated season is about
to go up in smoke by their own accord after turning the ball over SIX
times and allowing the Dolphins to score 28 points. Just an
unbelieveably good game by the Miami defense, and an awful game by the
Chicago offense.
Get the "Should I bench Rex Grossman?" emails ready.
Carson Palmer was just picked off to end the Bengals-Ravens game.
3:43 p.m: Bills WR Lee Evans had a 43-yard TD catch to put
Buffalo on top of Green Bay with less than eight minutes to play in the
fourth quarter.
3:36 p.m: In case you're reading this and you own Tatum Bell, he
is inactive for Week 9. Mike Bell will start for Denver ... not that he
has a good matchup or anything at Pittsburgh.
3:30 p.m: Chris Cooley hauled in a touchdown for Washington to
pull the Skins into a tie with the Cowboys. That's turning into a solid
game for several players on both sides.
Elsewhere, Green Bay has tied Buffalo at 10 in an ugly game.
3:00 p.m: Owners who are leaning on Travis Henry have to be
agravated at this point. When he's benched in Fantasy play, the guy runs
like a champ. When he's discovered and starting, he's a stiff.
Except this week, anybody on Tennessee is a stiff. Vince Young has three
interceptions, the latest of which was returned for a touchdown by the
Jaguars, who are rolling them 34-0 in the third quarter. Jack Del Rio,
you officially have a QB controversy on your hands.
2:54 p.m: Terrell Owens has a touchdown on a short route, and he
celebrated with a celebration "nap" in the end zone. That cost the 'Boys
15 yards on the kickoff. Owens has a TD in three of his last four and is
playing big consistently. It's time to think of him as a solid No. 1 WR
again.
2:52 p.m: Justin Gage's fumble on the Bears' first play of the
second half led to a Miami touchdown catch (Harrington to Wes Welker).
Miami is back up by 11.
2:44 p.m: The Ravens defense has been outstanding since literally
the opening gun. Take away one drive, and the Ravens have held the
Bengals to 62 yards. That is ridiculously impressive.
2:40 p.m: Why I love football: The Bills had 70 total yards in
the first half to Green Bay's nearly 200 yards, and they're winning 10-0.
2:28 p.m: I'm eatin' some crow.
As soon as I say that the Bears can't move the ball without Berrian,
Grossman hits Justin Gage on a deep route and Muhsin Muhammad on a deep
jump ball in the end zone to draw Chicago closer to Miami.
And in Tampa Bay, the Bucs have roared back thanks to two Joey Galloway
touchdowns. I can't think of a more inconsistent receiver in the NFL
this season.
2:10 p.m: Garrard indeed is making his case: The Jaguars have
scored on four of their first five possessions. Two touchdowns, two
field goals.
2:05 p.m: The Bucs have had six straight three-and-outs against
the Saints. There are a bunch of shutouts being pitched so far, and
that's one of them.
Here's what's going on with the Bears: WR Bernard Berrian left with an
injury, and it's taking away their deep threat (Grossman has tried deep
lobs to Justin Gage and Muhsin Muhammad). The Dolphins don't have to
defend so much against the deep ball, and it's impacting the Bears'
gameplan.
1:56 p.m: An interesting development in Chicago: Bears PR Devin
Hester bobbled a punt which gave Miami beautiful field position
(first-and-goal at the 6). On third down, Joey Harrington hit Marty
Booker in the back of the end zone to give Miami a 7-3 lead. I think
it's the first time this season a team has a lead on the Bears in
Chicago.
And AGAIN, before I can publish, Rex Grossman threw an interception to
Jason Taylor, who ran it back to the house. 14-3 Dolphins!
1:44 p.m: After fumbling the ball away earlier, Michael Vick
threw a textbook touchdown pass to Alge Crumpler to put the Falcons on
the board. Vick is being pressured in the pocket but still making plays.
Also, if you want to email me to complain about your Fantasy team (or
ask a question about Sunday's action), click
here. I'll try to get to some emails here in the blog.
1:34 p.m: Rashean Mathis had a solid interception of Vince Young.
Young threw a pass and it got tipped, and Mathis dove and picked it off
right before it hit the ground. He's one of, if not the, best
cornerbacks in the NFL. Five INTs on the year.
And before I can even publish this, Garrard has two TDs in the first
quarter. He's making his case to be Jacksonville's starter today.
1:31 p.m: Early rushing TDs for Kevin Jones and Larry Johnson,
both of whom have a big run in the game (LJ had a 45-yard run before the
score; Jones rushed for a 35-yard TD strike).
David Garrard hit Ernest Wilford for a score against Tennessee. Garrard
either puts up a great game or is quiet; we'll see which way he goes.
1:18 p.m: McGahee has been carted to the locker room with the
infamous towel draped over his head. Uh-oh.
1:14 p.m: Willis McGahee is down for the Bills with an apparent
knee injury. He is on the sidelines getting looked at -- we'll see how
that shakes out.
1:12 p.m: Our first score of the day is a TD plunge from Jamal
Lewis coming off a Chris Perry fumble on the opening kickoff. Our second
score of the day was by Samari Rolle, who picked off a Carson Palmer
pass and lateraled it off a couple of times before Ed Reed took it back
to the house. 14-0 Baltimore.
1:08 p.m: Here's an idea about what my morning is like around
here ...
I get in at 10 a.m. to check overnight news wires and to get last-minute
tidbits from around the league. I also set up the very blog you're
reading now. By 11, we have a full house of Fantasy writers. Around
then, I'll start preparing for a spot Jamey Eisenberg and I do on The
NFL Today on Westwood One. From there, we start calling teams for
inactive players and lineup changes, and I'll post them to the site both
on the player pages and to our inactives list (we do one each week).
I'll then get back on the radio to report any late-breaking news, then
set recorders for the week's games.
By the time I catch my breath, games are underway. Believe it or not,
this is the most relaxing time of my work week. Until 4 p.m.
11:03 a.m: My Week 9 games:
Green Bay at Buffalo Tennessee at Jacksonville
10:31 a.m: Good morning, y'all. Happy Week 9.
It's getting to be put-up-or-shut-up time in Fantasy Football. Either
you win and keep playoff hopes alive, or lose and call it a season.
So for those of you who are on the cusp of losing, I am talking to you.
Many people out there (nobody on this end, though) is 2-6, 1-7 ... or
even 0-8. Their season is done. (Cue my Jim Mora impression)
Playoffs? PLAYOFFS?! I just hope we win another game.
So what do you do with a team that has no future?
You play it out anyway.
More than once I have been in a league where an owner gets sour grapes
because he lost a few heartbreakers and entered Week 9 with a horrible
record, and just decided to drop all of his players. Nice, right?
Well, owners who do that are awful for Fantasy Football, and
frankly shouldn't be playing in any competitive activities ever. In one
league, we kicked the guy out and he was banned from ever playing again.
I have been there. Last year in the Gridiron Guru League (of all frakin'
leagues), I went 4-9 -- and I believe I started 3-0!
Know what I did? I played like I was undefeated. I hit the waiver wire,
tried to make trades, and kept a competitive team going. Why should I
lay down like a dog when I can ruin someone else's season?
To me, that's the most fun. If you can't make the playoffs, might as
well try to stop others from getting there, too.
Must be something to that ... NFL players think the exact same way. So
if it's good enough for them, it should be good enough for everyone else
in Fantasy.