The playoffs get under way this weekend, which means it's time to pick
the Super Bowl teams.
Oh, I did that back in August.
Back then, the pick was the Carolina Panthers and the Indianapolis
Colts. Oops on Carolina. But, hey, who didn't pick them to win the NFC?
So let's try it again.
In the AFC, I'm sticking with the Colts. Yes, as the third seed. This is
a role the Colts will relish, rather than being the favorite and wilting
under the pressure.
Here's how the AFC playoffs will go. The Colts will blow out the Chiefs
on Saturday and the Patriots will blow out the Jets on Sunday. That
means New England goes to San Diego to play the Chargers, where it will
upset the top seed. The Colts will then go to Baltimore and beat the
Ravens.
In the AFC Championship Game, now played in Indy, the Colts will
exorcise a lot of demons by not only beating the Patriots but by getting
to the Super Bowl.
In the NFC, I like the New Orleans Saints to make it. Initially, I
thought they were a year away. But in a weak NFC, they will find a way.
Here's how I see the NFC going. The Cowboys (vs. the Seahawks) and
Giants (vs. the Eagles) will both pull first-week upsets on the road.
That will send the Giants to Chicago to play the Bears and the Seahawks
to New Orleans to play the Saints. Both home teams will win, setting up
a title game in Chicago between the Saints and the Bears.
Despite cold conditions, Saints coach Sean Payton doesn't back away from
his aggressive approach, and his offense will find success down the
field against the Bears defense. Rex Grossman, meanwhile, will struggle
in the passing game.
So that would leave us with a Saints-Colts Super Bowl. It can't get any
better than that in my world, with the two best passing teams in the
league playing for a ring.
So who wins?
That will be a tough one to call. So let me worry about that when we get
closer to the Super Bowl.
For now, these are my playoff picks.
Anybody seen Carolina?
No love for Mangini
New England Patriots coach Bill Belichick can deny all he wants that
there is animosity from him and his coaches aimed at Jets coach Eric
Mangini. But a few weeks back in the press box at Alltel Stadium in
Jacksonville, it was quite evident.
As some of his coaches ran toward the elevator in the press box
following their victory over the Jaguars that day, which clinched the
division for New England, one of the coaches lipped a jab at Mangini,
whose team had no chance to catch the Patriots based on that victory.
"Stick that one in your ass, Mangini," the unidentified coach said.
For a coach, shortly after a big victory, to say something like that,
it's quite clear that many on the New England staff don't like Mangini.
Whether it's resentment because he left to coach in the same division --
why Belichick dislikes him -- or another reason, this is as childish as
it gets.
The guy bettered himself. Can't you all be a little happy for him?
Family, sure ... but Cowher break about money, too
Bill Cowher wants to spend more time with his family.
Maybe so, but let's not fool ourselves. His resignation was about money.
Cowher wanted a contract the would have paid him in the same ballpark as
the $8 million a year that Mike Holmgren gets from the Seahawks. The
Steelers wouldn't go past $6 million.
So he resigned.
Forget all that talk about wanting to move to North Carolina to be his
family. Some of that has credence, but so does the money factor.
So what does Cowher do? He'll probably sit out this season and next,
work in television and make a million or so a year, and then get back
into coaching when his youngest daughter heads off to college.
By then, some team will be willing to give him a $10-million-per-season
deal. There's some talk that he will wind up in Miami, but the Dolphins
would have to pay him big and also give the Steelers compensation.
The Bucs won a Super Bowl that way when the got Jon Gruden, but in the
years since, the franchise has struggled.
You can't give away premium draft picks.
So I look for Cowher to sit for a couple of years.
It's not time to write stories about his legacy because he will be back.
But if he never returned, would he be a Hall of Fame coach?
That's a good question. The answer is probably yes, considering the
success he has had in this free-agent era of the NFL.
Coaching watch
With all these jobs coming open, two former head coaches who should be
getting some consideration are Rams defensive coordinator Jim Haslett
and Dolphins offensive coordinator Mike Mularkey.
Haslett was fired in New Orleans after the 2005 season, after a season
gone horribly wrong following the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina. He
deserves another head coaching chance.
As for Mularkey, he resigned from the Bills last season and landed in
Miami. The Dolphins offense struggled some last season, but a lot of
that had to do with Nick Saban insisting Mularkey keep the same
terminology and system used by previous coordinator Scott Linehan.
That's tough to do for a coach who is used to his own system.
The Falcons might want to give Mularkey a look -- if they don't hire Ken
Whisenhunt -- because he had success handling Kordell Stewart when he
was in Pittsburgh and might be able to actually get something out of
Michael Vick in the passing game.
Two other assistants who aren't getting looks but should be are Jaguars
defensive coordinator Mike Smith and Ravens defensive coordinator Rex
Ryan. The Ravens finished as the top-ranked defense, while the Jaguars
were second, despite playing most of the season without their leading
pass rusher (Reggie Hayward) and middle linebacker (Mike Peterson).
Yet neither man is on any team's interview list. That makes no sense at
all.
For Giants fan, talk is expensive
I heard a good Reggie Bush story the other day.
It seems a few weeks back when the Saints were playing at Giants
Stadium, a Giants fan got all over Bush, calling him every name in the
book. Bush yelled back at him several times, and there seemed to be a
special look that came over his face, according to those who were there.
He then went out and lit up the Giants. After one big play, Bush went to
the sidelines, posed and glared at the fan. The fan shut up.
Point made. Don't tug on Superman's cape.