Marco Estrada finished with strong ratios last season despite a back issue which lingered throughout much of the campaign and a lack of run support. The vaunted Jays' offense provided just 3.93 runs of support over Estrada's career-high 29 starts; 58th out of all 74 qualified starters in MLB. In 2016, Estrada's average fastball (88.1 mph) dipped more than a tick from his previous season, but he still managed a strong 8.4 K/9, his best mark since 2012 with Milwaukee. His 4.20 FIP suggests Estrada may have overachieved in the ratio categories, but he has outperformed his ERA indicators in each of the past three seasons and his low BABIPs have been supported by relatively high weak contact rates. Estrada's still a heavy flyball pitcher, though, and thus home runs remain an issue, and his walk rate last year was his highest since he became a full-time starter. But the sum of the parts is enough to allow Estrada to maintain above-average fantasy appeal.
Estrada (0-1) gave up two runs on six hits and a walk while striking out nine over six innings but came away with a no-decision in Tuesday's extra-inning win over the Cardinals. It's his third straight quality start and fourth in five outings this season, but Estrada is still searching for his first win despite a strong 2.70 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 33:10 K:BB through 30 innings. He'll look for some more timely run support in his next start Sunday at home against the Rays.
Estrada allowed just three hits and two walks while striking out seven batters over six scoreless innings during Thursday's loss to Boston. He did not factor into the decision. Outside of a rough outing against Tampa Bay (five runs allowed through five innings), Estrada has limited opposing hitters and allowed just two runs through 19 frames. He's also struck out 15 batters through 13 scoreless innings in his past two starts. Still chasing his first win of the season, Estrada visits the Cardinals for his next start.
Estrada (0-1) scattered four hits and three walks across seven scoreless innings while striking out eight batters during Saturday's win over Baltimore. This was the 33-year-old righty's best start of the season and it lowered his ERA to a respectable 3.50. After flashing potential earlier in his career, Estrada has put it all together through two seasons with Toronto and emerged as a serviceable fantasy asset. He even rebounded in the punchout department with a 22.8 strikeout percentage last year. It isn't out of the question to fade Estrada against daunting opponents, but his admirable upside was on full display Saturday.
Estrada (0-1) allowed five earned runs on seven hits and two walks across five innings in Sunday's 7-2 loss to the Rays. He struck out five. Estrada cruised into the third inning, but he was done in by the long ball as Corey Dickerson and Steven Souza accounted for four runs with a pair of homers before Jesus Sucre added a solo shot in the fourth. It was a departure from his season debut when he held Baltimore to two runs through six innings, and he will look to bounce back at home against the O's on Saturday.
Estrada held the Orioles to just two runs over six innings in Monday's start, allowing five hits and two walks while striking out four. He did not factor into the decision. Estrada found a spot of trouble in the third inning, allowing two runs as four men reached base, but he got out of the frame with minimal damage done and retired the final nine batters he faced. He was also quite efficient, needing just 89 pitches to get through six and throwing 71 percent for strikes. Estrada is off to a nice start to the campaign after a solid 2016, and he'll look to keep it rolling Sunday against the Rays.
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