2014 Draft Prep: Pitta will be a Top 5 tight end
Are you looking for a tight end with "breakout potential" written all over him? You need to target Dennis Pitta .
The Ravens tight end is 100 percent healthy after last season's hip injury and he's ready for a career year. There's a lot going in his favor and the prediction is he will be a top-five tight end across the board.
Pitta was headed for greatness last season after his performance in 2012 when he established himself as a reliable option for Joe Flacco . He had 61 catches for 669 yards and seven touchdowns and he was No. 7 in Fantasy points in standard leagues.
But he injured his hip in training camp in 2013 and we never got to see his career year unfold. That changes now.
New Ravens offensive coordinator Gary Kubiak relies on tight ends more than anyone else. His former team, the Texans, targeted tight ends more than any other team since 2008. That system is now in Baltimore -- and don't be afraid of veteran tight end Owen Daniels , who was with Kubiak in Houston. Daniels will work in certain packages, but he's a distant second on the depth chart.
Flacco relies on Pitta, who was second in targets for the Ravens in 2012 behind Torrey Smith (110 to 94), but his red-zone work and third-down productivity is vital. According to ESPN, the Ravens ranked 31st in red-zone scoring percentage and 20th on third-down conversion percentage with Pitta out most of last year.
But go back to 2011 and 2012 when Pitta scored a combined 10 touchdowns in the red zone. No other Baltimore player had more than seven during that span. And, in those same two seasons, Pitta had 36 third-down receptions, which tied Ray Rice for the team lead. Only three tight ends ( Jimmy Graham , Jason Witten and Tony Gonzalez ) had more third-down receptions than Pitta over that span.
Another factor to consider is the Ravens might have to throw more with Rice suspended for the first two games. Bernard Pierce could be great filling in for Rice, but keep in mind Baltimore struggled to run as a team last season. More passing would mean more production for Pitta.
We understand it's risky to consider Pitta as a top-five tight end. He's clearly behind Graham, Rob Gronkowski and Julius Thomas coming into the season. And Fantasy owners trust Vernon Davis , Jason Witten and Jordan Cameron ahead of him based on Average Draft Position in August.
But if you believe in Pitta then this only helps your cause. You can draft him later -- his ADP is No. 75 overall -- and get better results. I have him ranked ahead of Davis, Witten and Cameron at No. 4, and I plan to target Pitta in all leagues.
We'll find out if he can live up to the hype, but I'm willing to gamble on him in Round 7 in a 12-team league. I'm expecting a great season and I like him as a top-five tight end this year.