Week 15 Fantasy Fact Sheet
With so much at stake in Week 15, every advantage you can gain when setting your lineups is key. Our Nathan Zegura breaks down the trends you need to know about.
Every week I will give you facts that you need to know about every matchup in the NFL to help you set your lineup for the highest probability of winning.
It's Final Four time, so let's get you into the 'Ship!
Bears at Browns, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
• Whether it is
, the Bears
quarterback is a good option in Week 15. It should be McCown who has at
least 348 yards passing and multiple scores in each of his last three
games (eight passing and one rushing). The Browns have allowed multiple
passing scores in eight straight games (24 points per game) and have
given up 21 total during that span.
• Matt Forte has not scored a rushing touchdown in five straight games, but does have at least 117 total yards in each of his last four games and scored as a receiver on Monday night. Last week, Shane Vereen became the first back to rush for a score against the Browns since Week 7. They are very susceptible to pass catching backs, however, as Vereen had 12 catches for 153 yards in that game. In fact, the last three true dual-threat backs to face the Browns have all topped 60 yards receiving.
• Brandon Marshall and Joe Haden will have an epic showdown this week and Haden has allowed the opposing No. 1 receiver to score in each of the last three games. Marshall has been boom or bust lately with 100 yards receiving in four of his last six games (with three touchdowns), but has just eight catches for 87 yards total in his "small" games.
• Alshon Jeffery has scored in each of his last two games (has over 300 yards receiving in them too) and now has 100 total yards or a touchdown in eight of his last nine games, including five of six with McCown at quarterback. He has at least eight targets in six straight games with 70 total in those games, six more than teammate Marshall. It is possible that Jeffery draws the Haden matchup this week. Opposing secondary receivers have killed the Browns all year and they have given up a receiver score in seven straight games, with a grand total of 11.
• If you need a flier at tight end, Martellus Bennett could be the play. The Browns have allowed eight tight end touchdowns in the last eight games and four tight end groups have produced 13-plus points in that span.
• Jason Campbell will look for revenge against his former team, but Chicago has allowed multiple touchdowns or more than 15 Fantasy points to quarterbacks in just one of the last four games. Only one quarterback has even reached 220 yards against the Bears in the last six games, however, due in large part to how bad their run defense is. Campbell is coming off of a flawless game in New England that saw him complete 29 of 44 passes for 391 yards and three scores.
• Willis McGahee had a great matchup with New England and ran 14 times for 33 yards. Still, in the deepest of leagues you have to consider him as a flex against the worst run defense the NFL has to offer. If he is unable to play due to a concussion, Chris Ogbonnaya is an even better option than McGahee. Backs have rushed for 150-plus yards in four straight games against Chicago and have four total scores in those games while averaging 26 Fantasy points per game. Backs have rushed for at least 120 yards against Chicago in eight straight games (with a 100-yard rusher in each of the last six which is an NFL record) and have scored 11 times. Backs have also produced at least 20 Fantasy points in nine of the last 10 games and have exceeded 25 points in seven of them!
• Josh Gordon will stay hot against a Chicago team that is without Charles Tillman and has given up a touchdown to the opposing No. 1 target in four of the last five games. Gordon himself has at least 125-plus yards with a touchdown in five of his last six games and over the last three games, he has 31 catches for an NFL record 649 yards and four touchdowns.
• Jordan Cameron is back! He had his best game in forever in Week 14, catching all nine of his targets for 121 yards and a touchdown. The good times could continue this week against Da Bears. Chicago gives up 69.8 yards per game to tight ends -- third most in the NFL -- and four of the last five tight end groups to face Chicago have topped 60 yards and six Fantasy points. Tight ends have scored in two of the last three and are averaging 10 Fantasy points per game over that span.
Bills at Jaguars, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
• The Jags have allowed five of the last six quarterbacks to produce
multiple touchdowns and 24-plus Fantasy points. Still, it is tough to
due to the fact that he has multiple passing touchdowns in just one game
since Week 1.
• Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller take on a resurgent Jacksonville run defense that has not allowed a back to 75 yards rushing in five straight games and only Willis McGahee , who scored in Week 13, has reached 10 Fantasy points against them in those games. Against the tough Bucs run defense, Spiller was limited to 22 yards rushing on 11 carries and Jackson had just five carries for 12 yards.
• The opposing top target has 150-plus yards in each of the last two games against the Jags, but I am not confusing Steve Johnson with Josh Gordon or Andre Johnson . Johnson has not scored or reached 70 yards in four straight games or seven of his last eight. He is a No. 3 receiver at best this week.
• Garrett Graham caught eight passes for 73 yards and a score against the Jags in Week 14, ending a three-game tight end scoring drought. For the year, the Jags are allowing 10.2 points per game -- second most to the position -- and tight ends have scored or topped 60 yards in 10 of the last 11 games ( Scott Chandler ).
• Chad Henne entered Week 13 without multiple passing touchdowns in any game this year. He enters Week 15 with two passing scores in each of his last two games, but the streak is in jeopardy on Sunday. Only two of the last nine quarterbacks to face Buffalo have produced 20-plus Fantasy points, and five have been held to 15 or fewer. The Bills have given up just five passing scores and 48 Fantasy points (9.6 per game) in their last five games combined to opposing quarterbacks.
• Maurice Jones-Drew has a touchdown or 100-plus total yards in six straight games and seven of his last eight. He is coming off of a season-high 103 yards rushing in Week 14, but make sure his hamstring is OK. If he were unable to go, Jordan Todman , who scored as a receiver last week, would be the lead back for the Jags. Backs have more than 110 yards rushing with a touchdown in each of the last four games (24 points per game) against the Bills.
• Cecil Shorts has a touchdown in each of his last two games and has at least 70 yards or a score in three straight. The Bills have allowed only two receiver touchdowns in their last five games, but the opposing top target -- Roddy White in Week 13 and Vincent Jackson in Week 14 -- has both produced at 13 Fantasy points.
• Marcedes Lewis has scored in each of the last two games for the Jags and the Bills have allowed tight ends to score in three straight games (averaging 10 points per game in those three). Lewis had his first 10-point game of the year in Week 14, with 42 yards and the score.
Seahawks at Giants, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
• The 49ers were the first team to hold
without multiple passing touchdowns since Week 6,
snapping six-game streak.
torched the Giants for three passing scores last week and quarterbacks
have at least 19 Fantasy points against the G-Men in three straight
games (averaging two touchdowns passing and 22 points per game).
• Marshawn Lynch has 100 yards rushing or a touchdown in four of his last five games, including 72 tough yards and a score against the 49ers. The opposing primary ball carrier has topped 100 total yards or scored in five straight against the Giants, who are giving up 22 points per game to backs over the last three weeks.
• Only Keenan Allen , who scored twice last week, has found the end zone against the Giants as a wide receiver in their last seven games. Doug Baldwin has a touchdown or 75 yards in four of his last five games.
• No tight end has reached 55 yards against the Giants since Week 6, but they have scored in two of the last three weeks. Zach Miller was the top tight end for the 'Hawks in Weeks 12 and 13, but it was Luke Willson who topped the position with 70 yards in Week 14.
• Defenses have at least 11-plus Fantasy points in 11 of 13 games against the Giants this year, so look for Seattle to bounce back this week.
• No quarterback has 20 Fantasy points against Seattle since Week 5 and they give up just 10.9 points per game to the position, fewest in the NFL. Eli Manning does not have 20-plus points in eight straight games.
• Andre Brown had his goal line touchdown robbed, but still posted 96 total yards in Week 14. He has at least 90 total yards or a touchdown in all five games this year and has 15-plus Fantasy points in three of them. No back has scored on Seattle in six straight games, but Frank Gore did run for 110 against them in Week 14.
• Victor Cruz has not scored in nine straight games and has just one double-digit point game during that run. He has been held below 70 yards in six of those nine games. Seattle has not allowed a receiver touchdown in two straight and allows only 14.7 points per game to the position, second-fewest in the NFL.
• Hakeem Nicks has not scored in 16 straight games and has been below six Fantasy points in seven of his last 10. He did have a season-best 135 yards on five catches in Week 14, however.
• Rueben Randle is on a three-game scoring drought and when you consider that he has bested just 50 yards receiving in just one of his last seven games, he becomes a touchdown-or-bust receiver.
• Brandon Myers has a touchdown in three straight games and Seattle has given up a tight end score in each of the last two games. Tight ends have eight-plus points in four of the last five against Seattle.
49ers at Buccaneers, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
was limited by
Seattle in Week 14, but was averaging two touchdowns and 21.7 points per
game in the three games prior to that start. Eight of the last nine
quarterbacks have thrown for multiple scores against the Bucs and
quarterbacks are averaging 23.4 points per game.
• Frank Gore rushed for 110 yards against Seattle last week, but it was his first game of more than 50 yards in the last four. The Bucs have allowed only two running back rushing touchdowns all year and have not allowed a 100-yard rusher in five straight or a group of backs to 100 yards in three straight. Backs are averaging only 10 points per game in the last three against Tampa.
• Anquan Boldin has a touchdown or 93-plus yards in four straight games, with three total scores during that run.
• Michael Crabtree played a full slate of snaps in Week 14 and caught four of his eight targets for 40 yards. Wide receivers have at least 25 Fantasy points in five of the last six games against the Bucs, with nine touchdowns during that span. Slot receivers have murdered the Bucs with a touchdown in five of the last six and both Crabtree and Boldin do line up in the slot.
• Vernon Davis broke the Seattle curse with a score and now has nine touchdowns in his last 10 games. Tight ends have eight-plus points in three of the last four games, averaging nine points per game.
• Mike Glennon does have multiple scores in six of his nine starts, but has not thrown more than 25 times in six straight games. No quarterback has thrown for multiple touchdowns or topped 15 Fantasy points against the 49ers in six straight games.
• Bobby Rainey bounced back with 127 yards and a touchdown on 22 carries in Week 14 against the Bills. He had 98 yards rushing on 35 carries in the two games prior. The 49ers have allowed at least 75 yards rushing to backs in six straight games with 80-plus in five of them. Backs have rushed for a touchdown in three of the last five against San Francisco as well, so he will get chances to be a good No. 2 runner.
• Vincent Jackson scored last week and has two touchdowns in his last seven games. With Glennon barely throwing the ball, he has produced 80-plus yards receiving in only one of those games as well. Only four receivers have reached 10 Fantasy points against the 49ers since Week 1.
• Only one tight end has topped 60 yards against the 49ers this year, but they have scored in two of the last four games. Timothy Wright has one score in his last five games after scoring in Week 14, but he has less than 25 yards receiving in four of them.
• Defenses have 10-plus points in three straight against the Bucs and are averaging 14 points per game in those games.
Eagles at Vikings, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
finally threw an
interception, but even in the craziest snow bowl of the year he managed
to get you 20 points with both a throwing and running touchdown. The
Vikings have allowed multiple touchdowns and 22-plus Fantasy points to
quarterbacks in seven straight games (26 per game). Even
threw for three touchdowns against them last week!
• LeSean McCoy had an unbelievable game in the snow with 29 carries for 217 yards and two scores against the Lions. Now, he will take on the Vikings indoors and should run wild. The Vikings have allowed 612 total yards and four scores to running backs in their last four games alone (20.5 points per game).
• The Vikings have allowed a receiver to score in 12 straight games and have given up 15 total receiver touchdowns during that span. Interestingly enough, only one of the last seven receiver scores have gone to the opposing No. 1 receiver, while six of them have gone to opposing No. 2 receivers.
• DeSean Jackson has scored in three of his last five games, but the Vikes have been tough on opposing No. 1s of late, holding Jordy Nelson , Brandon Marshall and Torrey Smith to 114 yards combined the last three weeks.
• Riley Cooper led the Eagles with 74 yards and a two-point conversion in Week 13, but he has not scored in three straight games.
• Both Baltimore tight ends scored on the Vikings in Week 14 and they have allowed 11 tight end scores this year, most in the NFL.
• Adrian Peterson suffered a foot injury and could not finish in Week 14. If he is good to go, you start him. If he is out, give Toby Gerhart a look. After all, Gerhart rushed for 89 yards and a touchdown on 15 carries against the tough Ravens run defense in relief of AP. Gerhart has produced 10-plus Fantasy points in five of his last six games with 10-plus carries.
• Philly has given up 506 yards rushing, 305 yards receiving for a total of 811 yards, four touchdowns and 99 Fantasy points to running backs the last five weeks. Detroit backup Joique Bell had 127 total yards and a touchdown against them last week in the snow bowl.
• Greg Jennings leads the team with 19 targets, 12 catches, 131 yards and a touchdown over the last two weeks.
• Cordarrelle Patterson had a career-best 141 yards receiving and a touchdown in Week 14. He has a score in each of the last two games and three of his last five. The rookie is coming on strong.
Redskins at Falcons, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
has been named the
starter and he was was 26 of 37 for 329 yards with two touchdowns and
one interception in his only NFL start, which came against the Cleveland
Browns last year. He is just 12 of 25 for 107 yards with two
interceptions in mop up duty this year against the Broncos and the
Chiefs. Every quarterback not named Matt Flynn has produced multiple
touchdowns against this defense in 2013. Four of the last five
quarterbacks to face the Falcons have produced 20-plus Fantasy points,
but amazingly no quarterback has rushed for more than 30 yards against
them all year.
• Alfred Morris has only 37 carries for 109 yards and a touchdown in his last three games combined. He has not reached 55 yards rushing in any of those games, but should turn it around against the Falcons. Atlanta has allowed 100 yards rushing and 150 total yards to running backs in six of the last seven games with 100-plus total in all seven. They have allowed a touchdown and more than 20 Fantasy points to the position in five of them. In fact, over the last seven games, the Falcons have given up 1,059 yards rushing, eight touchdowns and 231 yards receiving and two scores to backs for an average of 26 Fantasy points per game.
• Pierre Garcon , who had 12 targets in his only game with Cousins, has only one touchdown since Week 4 and has reached 70 yards in just two of his last 10 games, despite catching five passes in every game this year. In fact, Garcon has not scored or reached 70 yards in four straight games. No receiver has scored in three straight against the Falcons, and they are averaging 10 points per game during that span.
• Logan Paulsen has scored in each of the last two games with Jordan Reed out. Hopefully Reed will be back, but if he is not, Paulsen has to be considered, because he has 40-plus yards and a touchdown in each of the last two games. Over the last three weeks, tight ends have scored three times and are averaging 14.3 Fantasy points per game against the Falcons.
• Matt Ryan tossed multiple touchdowns in Week 14 and now has multiple scores in two of his last four games along with 300-plus and one score in Week 13. The 'Skins have allowed 14 passing scores, one rushing score and an average of 21.4 Fantasy points per game to quarterbacks over their last six games.
• The Redskins have allowed multiple running back scores in four of their last five games, but only Jamaal Charles has rushed for more than 80 yards against them in the last six. Steven Jackson did not score in Week 14, but he has at least 79 total yards in three straight games with three total scores.
• Roddy White led the Falcons in receiving for the second straight week in Week 14, catching eight of his 10 targets for 74 yards. He has 18 catches for 217 yards the last two weeks. The opposing No. 1 receiver has 80 yards or a score in six straight games and has three touchdowns the last three weeks against Washington.
• Harry Douglas has not scored or reached 80 yards in three straight games. For PPR leagues, he does have six or more catches in four of his last five games.
• Tight ends have 60 yards or a touchdown in 11 of the Redskins 13 games this year and have scored in two of the last three games. Tony Gonzalez has scored in each of his last two games and is trying to reward his patient owners.
Patriots at Dolphins, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
• In his first meeting with Miami,
threw for just 116 yards and one touchdown. Without
in the lineup, Brady was a Top 12 quarterback only
one time and had only one 20-point game in six starts.
(three scores last week) was the only
quarterback to throw for multiple scores against Miami since Week 4 and
was only the second quarterback with 20-plus Fantasy points (Cam Newton
was the other and had a rushing touchdown).
• Shane Vereen will play an even bigger role with Gronk out. In Week 14, he was targeted 17 times and caught 12 of them for 153 yards. He has a touchdown in each of the last two games as well and is a must start every single week. Vereen has 40 catches and 373 yards receiving in five games this year!
• No running back has scored on Miami in four straight games and no running back group has rushed for 100 yards in the last three (averaging just 10.7 per game in those games). Stevan Ridley and LeGarrette Blount both took eight carries in Week 14 and neither reached 45 yards rushing. The Pats have a rushing touchdown in eight straight games, but Ridley scored in only one game without Gronk this year.
• Julian Edelman has 10-plus Fantasy points in three straight games. He has at least nine targets and six catches in each of them, with three total touchdowns and two games of more than 100 yards. The 'Fins had allowed a league-low one receiver touchdown prior to Week 14, when all three receivers in Pittsburgh scored.
• Danny Amendola scored the game winner in Week 14, but was still below 40 yards receiving. Amendola has not reached 55 yards receiving in a game since Week 9 and has topped 55 yards in only two games all year.
• Ryan Tannehill is heating up! He has 25-plus points in each of his last two games and posted a season-best 29 against the Steelers in Week 14. He has at least 19 Fantasy points in four of his last five games and takes on a New England defense that just allowed 391 yards and three scores to Jason Campbell last week. Five of the last six quarterbacks to face the Pats have thrown for multiple passing touchdowns and three of the last five have 32-plus points.
• Daniel Thomas was back last week and took 16 carries for 105 yards and a touchdown against the Steelers, while Lamar Miller handled only six carries for 20 yards before leaving with a concussion. Four of the last six running back groups have produced at least 19 Fantasy points and they are averaging 22 points per game against the Pats during that span. The Dolphins are included in the 19-plus group as Thomas scored as a receiver and Miller topped 110 total yards in the first meeting back in Week 8. If Miller is unable to go, Thomas takes on some flex or No. 2 runner value.
• Brian Hartline has scored in each of the last two games and has five-plus catches in each of his last five games.
• Mike Wallace had 80-plus yards and a touchdown in two straight games before being held to 19 yards by the Steelers in Week 14. Josh Gordon just hung 150-plus and a touchdown on Aqib Talib , and four of the last five opposing No. 1 receivers to face him have produced double-digit Fantasy points.
• Charles Clay has at least six catches and 80 yards in two straight and three of his last four games. He has three total scores in those four games and has topped 90 yards receiving twice! Clay has at least seven targets in five straight games and takes on a New England team that has allowed a tight end touchdown and 11-plus Fantasy points in three of the last four games (13.5 points per game).
Texans at Colts, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
will be the starter
the rest of the way for the Texans and enters Week 15 with just two
touchdown passes in his last four games. Quarterbacks have multiple
scores in six of the last seven games against the Colts defense and are
averaging 25.3 points per game during that span. Keenum himself had
three touchdown passes and 34 Fantasy points against the Colts in Week 9.
• Ben Tate had 102 yards and three scores against the Pats in Week 13, but had a grand total of 54 yards rushing in Weeks 12 and 14 combined against the Jags. Tate had just one touchdown all year before his Week 13 outburst, but the Colts may be what the doctor ordered. Backs have at least 100 yards rushing in three straight and five of the last six. The Colts have given up a rushing touchdown, at least 96 yards rushing and 18-plus points in five straight games to running backs (22.4 per game).
• Andre Johnson has at least 120 yards receiving in each of his last two games with a grand total of 21 catches for 276 yards. He has not scored in four straight games, however, but had 229 yards and three scores against Indy in Week 9. The Colts have allowed multiple receiver scores in five of the last seven games with 11 total scores allowed during that run.
• Garrett Graham caught eight of his 13 targets for 73 yards and score against the Jags in Week 14. He is averaging over 11 targets per game the last four weeks, but keep an eye on the status of Owen Daniels , who could cut into his playing time and targets. Only one tight end has reached 55 yards against the Colts since Week 2, but they have allowed touchdowns in two of their last four games.
• Andrew Luck broke out of his slump (two touchdowns in four games) with four second-half scores against the Bengals in Week 12. He should fare better against the Texans, who have allowed multiple passing touchdowns to five of the last six quarterbacks they have faced (12 total). Luck himself had 271 yards and three scores against Houston in Week 9.
• This is a week to consider flexing Donald Brown again, because he has proven that he can take advantage of good matchups (a La the Titans). The Texans have given up at least 150 total yards with touchdown along with 21-plus points to the position (average of 24.75 per game) in each of the last four games.
• In Week 9, T.Y. Hilton had 121 yards and three touchdowns against the Texans. He has not scored since and has not reached 50 yards receiving in four straight games. Cecil Shorts is the only receiver to have scored on the Texans in the last three games. Hilton still led the Indy receivers with 45 snaps played, but he was not out there on every down.
• Da'Rick Rogers led the Colts with nine targets in Week 14 and caught six of them for 107 yards and two scores. He is a very talented rookie who was not drafted due to off-the-field concerns. He played 41 snaps (68 percent) and is someone to keep an eye on.
• Tight ends have scored in each of the last two games and four of the last five against the Texans (with 10-plus points in each game). Coby Fleener has produced 60 yards or a touchdown in five of his last seven games, including 64 yards against the Texans in the first meeting.
Jets at Panthers, Sun., 4:05 p.m. ET
• The Jets scored 37 points in Week 14, something that will not happen
again in Week 15 against the Panthers.
• In his last five games, Chris Ivory has rushed 72 times for 409 yards (82 per game) on 5.7 yards per carry with three touchdowns. That pace will be tough to maintain against the Panthers this week.
• In the last nine games, the Panthers have allowed only one rushing touchdown and only one group over 95 yards rushing. Six of the last seven running back groups to face Carolina have produced nine or fewer Fantasy points.
• Cam Newton will bounce-back against a Jets defense that has allowed multiple passing scores and 20-plus points in five of their last six games, with 14 total in that run.
• Stay away from the Panthers backs against the Jets this week, but it should be noted that the Jets have allowed 100-plus rushing yards to backs in each of the last two weeks. They had not allowed that to happen in any of their first 11 games.
• Steve Smith is still in search of his first 70-yard game, but broke his scoreless streak in Week 14 against the Panthers. The opposing No. 1 has 100-plus yards with a score in each of the last two games against the Jets.
• The Jets have given up 10 touchdowns to receivers in their last six games and every receiving corps to face them in those games has produced at least 184 yards. Receivers have at least 24 Fantasy points in four straight games (28.75 per game) so Brandon LaFell and Ted Ginn have value too. Remember that the Jets have given up 11 touchdowns to opposing No. 2 receivers, most in the NFL.
• Greg Olsen had eight catches on 12 targets, but they netted only 40 yards in Week 14. Still, he has a touchdown or 80-plus in three of his last four games and takes on a Jets defense that has allowed 70 yards or a touchdown to tight ends in 10 of the last 11 games.
Chiefs at Raiders, Sun., 4:05 p.m. ET
threw multiple scores
early against the Redskins, but didn't do much after that since it was
such a blowout. He has multiple passing scores in four straight games
and five of his last six. He is averaging 23.75 points per game over the
last four, but only two of the last eight quarterbacks to face Oakland
have thrown for multiple touchdowns. The good news is that two of the
last three quarterbacks to face Oakland have produced 23-plus points and
• The Raiders have allowed 10-plus points to the opposing primary ball carrier in 10 of the last 11 games (with a touchdown in nine of them). Backs have 316 total yards and three scores the last two weeks against them (27.5 per game). Jamaal Charles had two scores and 24 points in the first meeting and man, is he good.
• Dwayne Bowe has now scored in three of his last four games but still doesn't have a 70-yard game this year. The opposing top target has scored in three straight games against the Raiders.
• Marcel Reece stepped in for the injured Rashad Jennings and hung an impressive 123 yards and a touchdown on 19 carries on the Jets run defense. He also had two catches for 38 yards on the day for 161 total and the score. Reece had 100-plus total yards in three of his four games as the primary ball carrier for Oakland last year.
• Rashad Jennings could be back this week and produced 10-plus Fantasy points in five straight games as the team's primary back from Weeks 9-13.
• Running backs have rushed for over 100 yards and produced at least 23 Fantasy points in four of the last five games against the Chiefs while averaging 27.3 points per game (556 rush yards, 763 total yards and six touchdowns) prior to the 'Skins debacle in Week 14. Even with the Redskins game, backs are averaging 22.4 points per game against Kansas City over the last five games. Oakland backs had 113 total yards in the first meeting with the Chiefs.
• Rod Streater had his best game of the year with seven catches for 130 yards and a touchdown against the Jets. He has five-plus catches and 80-plus yards receiving in three of the four games started by Matt McGloin .
• Andre Holmes followed up his 136 yard game in Week 13 with three catches for 63 yards in Week 14. The Broncos in Week 13 were the only team to have multiple receiver scores against the Chiefs all season.
• The Chiefs D was back in a major way in Week 14, registering 30 points and two touchdowns in a trouncing of the Redskins. It was their best game since a 29-point effort against the Raiders. The Jets had 13 points on the Raiders in Week 14 and defenses have 10-plus in five of the last eight.
Saints at Rams, Sun., 4:25 p.m. ET
has been held
below 30 total yards in each of his last two games after topping 70 in
each of the previous seven games.
• Darren Sproles has more than six Fantasy points in two of his last 11 games. He has been held to four or fewer points in seven of those games.
• A back has scored against the Rams in five straight games (eight total touchdowns) and both Arizona runners scored against them last week. Runners are averaging 24 Fantasy points per game during that span and in four of those games, backs also have gotten to 125-plus total yards.
• All five of Marques Colston touchdowns have come indoors this year and the Rams have allowed a league-high 11 touchdowns to opposing No. 1 receivers.
• Defenses have 11-plus points in each of the last two games against the Rams and the Saints have hit double figures (13-plus to be exact) in four of their last five games.
• Zac Stacy scored to salvage his day against the Cardinals in Week 13 and has a touchdown or 100 yards in five of his last six games. Stacy has not been below seven Fantasy points in any of those games either. A running back has 10-plus points in seven of the last 10 games against New Orleans, but all three of the exceptions have come in the last four games. Stacy will need to do it on his rushing totals too, as he has a grand total of five catches for six yards in the last three games.
• Tavon Austin has at least 50 yards rushing in two of his last three games, but does not have 40 yards receiving in any of them.
Cardinals at Titans, Sun., 4:25 p.m. ET
was limited with
his elbow injury in Week 14 and failed to throw for multiple scores for
the first time in six games (269 yards and one score). He had thrown for
300-plus yards with at least two scores in each of the three games
four touchdowns on the Titans, but they had allowed only two passing
scores since Week 4 prior to that beat down.
• Rashard Mendenhall has scored in three of his last four games and is taking on a Tennessee team that let both Denver backs into the end zone in Week 14. He has taken at least 17 carries and produced 10-plus points in each of the last two games as well.
• Andre Ellington made his return in Week 14 and picked up 63 total yards with a touchdown on 13 touches. With as bad as Tennessee is, he is a flex option this week. The Titans have given up a running back touchdown and 16-plus Fantasy points to the position in nine straight games. Backs have 20-plus points in eight of those nine games and have totaled 15 scores.
• Larry Fitzgerald has still scored in every game with seven or more targets this year and has not scored in any game with six or fewer. The good news is that the targets have picked up and he has scored in four straight games and five of his last six, with six total scores during that span. Fitz caught all 12 of his targets in Week 14 for 96 yards and the touchdown.
• Michael Floyd caught only two of five targets in Week 14 for a disappointing 26 yards. Prior to that game he had at least 99 yards receiving in three straight games (100-plus in two of them) to go with two touchdowns. He also had 100 yards or a touchdown in each of his last four full games and has 70 yards or a touchdown in six straight.
• Tennessee had not allowed a receiver touchdown since Week 2 before each of the three Denver receivers scored on them in Week 14. Fitz and Floyd have both been playing very well, so it will be tough to get away from them this week, but if I had to have one of them, it is Larry Fitzgerald .
• Ryan Fitzpatrick has been held below 20 Fantasy points in each of his last two games despite favorable matchups. This is not a good matchup, as the Cardinals have held three of the last four quarterbacks (Nick Foles is the only exception) to 15 or fewer Fantasy points. In the three non-Foles games, quarterbacks have thrown for two touchdowns with five interceptions and are averaging 10.3 points per game.
• Chris Johnson has six total touchdowns in his last six games, but shared snaps 31 to 16 with Shonn Greene . Johnson took 12 carries for 46 yards and a touchdown, while Greene took nine for 46 and two scores (including the first touchdown of the game from one-yard out). It's tough enough when you are the man, but a committee is brutal against these Cardinals.
• Only Frank Gore and Marshawn Lynch have topped 90 yards rushing against them this season and Arizona is allowing a league-low 10.8 Fantasy points per game to runners. For the year, Arizona is giving up a league-low 64.5 yards per game rushing to backs on 3.2 yards per carry, which is the second lowest.
• Justin Hunter has 100-plus yards with a touchdown in two of his last three games. Kendall Wright has six catches and 70-plus yards in four of his last five games with one touchdown during that span. The off game for both players involved less than 20 yards receiving. No receiver has scored on the Cards in four straight games (11.7 points per game).
• Delanie Walker is expected back and he has a touchdown in two of his last three games. Jared Cook was the first tight end to fail to score on the Cards in five games, but for the year, Arizona still allows the most yards (85.8), touchdowns (1.1) and Fantasy points per game (14.3) to tight ends.
• The Cards D has scored 17 or more Fantasy points in four of their last six games and has 12-plus in five of the six. Tennessee is giving up 10.5 points per game to opposing defenses the last two weeks, but only two of the last six have reached double digits against them.
Packers at Cowboys, Sun., 4:25 p.m. ET
start him. If not,
great matchup against the Cowboys, who just gave up four passing and
five total touchdowns to
Week 14. Dallas has allowed multiple quarterback touchdowns in five of
the last six games and is allowing 313 yards passing and 25 points per
game to quarterbacks, both of which are the most in the NFL.
• Eddie Lacy (ankle) or James Starks will feast on a historically bad Dallas defense this week. Roll with the starter as Dallas has given up 905 yards rushing, eight rushing touchdowns, 342 yards receiving, four receiving touchdowns (yes that's 1,247 total yards, 12 total touchdowns and a two-point conversion) and 191 Fantasy points to running backs over the last six games. No running back group has been held below 17 Fantasy points in that run and five have produced 25-plus Fantasy points.
• Jordy Nelson has not scored in any of the six games without Aaron Rodgers and has reached 70 yards in only two of them.
• James Jones has not scored a touchdown since Week 5 and has just 178 receiving yards in the last three games combined.
• Jarrett Boykin has not reached 25 yards in either of the last two games.
• Both Alshon Jeffery and Brandon Marshall produced 10-plus against the Cowboys last week. Receivers have 200-plus yards receiving in three of the last four games against Dallas and have five total touchdowns in those games (25.75 points per game).
• Tony Romo has just one game of 20-plus points in his last four starts and it came last week, thanks to three touchdowns against the Bears. Romo is averaging just 173 yards per game over the last four, but is averaging 285.1 yards and 2.3 touchdowns per game at home. The Packers have allowed multiple passing touchdowns in each of the last two games (five total), but only one of the last four quarterbacks to face them have topped 16 Fantasy points (Matt Stafford with 25 in Week 13).
• DeMarco Murray is playing his best football of the year, with at least 12-plus Fantasy points in four straight games (16.75 points per game). Murray is averaging 96 yards rushing and 119.5 total yards with a touchdown per game in those four. Backs have at least 130 total yards in three straight, with more than 200 yards rushing and a touchdown in two of them against the Green Bay defense (28.3 points per game in those three).
• Dez Bryant has been held below 65 yards in four of his last five games and has only two touchdowns during that span.
• Jason Witten has scored in two of his last three games (three total), but has not reached 60 yards in four straight games and has been held below 40 in three of them. Tight ends have scored in two of the last three against Green Bay, but only one tight end group since Week 6 have exceeded 55 yards against them.
Bengals at Steelers, Sun., 8:30 p.m. ET
passing scores in six of his last eight games (three-plus touchdowns in
five of them), but has thrown for multiple scores in just one of his
five career starts against the Steelers. He has never produced 20
Fantasy points against the Steelers, but
did just that against them last week. Two of the last
four quarterbacks to face Pittsburgh have topped 25 Fantasy points, but
only three since Week 4 have gotten to 20.
• BenJarvus Green-Ellis has three scores in his last two games and has at least 16 carries in three straight. He had 75 yards rushing in the first meeting, but has not scored on the Steelers as a member of the Bengals.
• Giovani Bernard had 148 total yards last week and has at least 86 total yards in four of his last five games. Bernard had 65 total yards and two scores in the first meeting with the Steelers. Backs have touchdowns in just two of the last five games against Pittsburgh and only the Dolphins (125 yards rushing and a score last week) have rushed for more than 80 yards against this defense in the last five.
• A.J. Green has 100 yards or a touchdown in seven of his last eight games. He had just 41 yards in the season opener, but the opposing top target has at least 11 Fantasy points in five of the last six games (15-plus four times).
• Ben Roethlisberger has 20-plus points and multiple scores in five of his last six games, including four in a row. The Bengals secondary will be without both starting corners in this one and they just gave up four passing touchdowns in the second half of Week 14 to Andrew Luck , who had been struggling with just two touchdown passes in 18 quarters prior to that bonanza.
• Le'Veon Bell has 88 total yards or a touchdown in eight straight games and is averaging 11.3 points per game during that span. That will be tested this week, as no running back has scored against the Bengals in nine straight games and no groups have topped 15 Fantasy points against them since Week 3.
• Antonio Brown has 100 yards or a touchdown in five of his last six games, but needs to work on his tight-rope walking.
• Emmanuel Sanders has scored in each of the last three games and has at least five catches in all three games. Interestingly, Sanders has not reached 60 yards receiving in five straight.
• Jerricho Cotchery has caught a touchdown in seven of 13 games this year, tied for third most in the NFL among all receivers. He has a touchdown catch in five of the last six games with seven total during that run.
• Amazingly, none of the Steeler receivers scored in the first meeting with the Bengals, but Cincy gave up four receiver touchdowns to the Colts last week with their injury depleted secondary.
• Heath Miller has only one touchdown all year and has not scored in seven straight games. He has five-plus catches in three of the last four games and has topped 55 yards in three of them as well. Tight ends have scored in two of the last four against Cincy, but only two tight end groups have topped 50 yards against the Bengals all year.
Ravens at Lions, Mon., 8:30 p.m. ET
had his first
three-touchdown game of 2013 last week, but it was against Minnesota. It
was his first multiple score game since Week 10, but I do not think it
was a coincidence that it was also his first game with
this year. Flacco proved that he can take advantage of a
good matchup and eight of the last nine quarterbacks to face the Lions
have produced multiple scores and 20-plus Fantasy points.
• Last week, Ray Rice took advantage of a soft Minnesota run defense to rush for 67 yards, his third highest total of the 2013 season. If you throw out the blizzard bowl against LeSean McCoy and the Eagles, his opponent this week boasts the top run defense in the NFL. Prior to McCoy's historic Week 14 in the snow, the Lions had not allowed 100 total yards, a touchdown or 10 Fantasy points to tail backs in six straight games. No running back group other than the Eagles last week had averaged more than 2.5 yards per carry against Detroit since Week 7.
• Torrey Smith had a disappointing Week 14 with just 11 yards receiving, but has a touchdown in three of his last five games. He should fare better against the Lions, who allowed opposing No. 1 receiver DeSean Jackson to score even in the muck. Receivers have scored 13 times in the last seven games against the Lions and have 22-plus Fantasy points in six of those games.
• The opposing No. 2 receiver has produced 10-plus Fantasy points in eight of the last 10 games against the Lions and has nine or more in nine of the last 10 (never below seven). Marlon Brown sure looked like that guy last week when he caught seven of his 11 targets for 92 yards and a touchdown.
• Pitta was targeted 11 times in his return to action in Week 14 and caught six of them for 48 yards and a touchdown. He is expected to play more than 39 snaps this week and would have been a Top 5 tight end on my draft board before the season had he not been hurt. The Lions have allowed just one tight end touchdown this year (none since Week 7), but two of the last four tight end groups to face them have topped 60 yards receiving.
• Prior to the blizzard last week, Matthew Stafford had 19 touchdown passes in his last seven games. He has multiple touchdowns in every game except two this year, and I expect him to get back on track in the dome. Quarterbacks have thrown for multiple scores and topped 20 Fantasy points in each of the last two against the Ravens.
• Reggie Bush has 100 total yards or a touchdown in four of his last five games and had 182 total yards with a score in his last start.
• In the two games that Reggie Bush missed, Joique Bell produced at least 127 total yards with a touchdown both times. Bell has a touchdown in four of his last six games.
• The Ravens had allowed one rushing touchdown in their first 11 games. They have allowed one in each of the last two games, along with 100-plus total yards. In fact, backs have at least 14 Fantasy points in two straight and four of the last five games (with 17-plus three times).
• The Ravens have allowed multiple receiver scores in each of the last two games, but A.J. Green is the last true No. 1 receiver to score on this defense, and that was in Week 10. Calvin Johnson has 1,017 yards and eight scores in his last seven starts alone. Megatron has 100-plus yards in seven games and has been held below 50 in four games. He has exactly one game between 50 and 100 yards all year, which was an 83-yard effort in Week 10.
• I am not giving up totally on Nate Burleson , but I understand why his two catches for 18 yards total in the last two weeks makes him tough to trust. The opposing No. 2 receiver has scored in each of the last two games against the Ravens.
Chargers at Broncos, Thu., 8:30 p.m. ET
just threw four
touchdown passes on Tennessee, two more than the Titans had allowed as a
team since Week 4. He has an NFL best 45 passing touchdowns through 13
• Knowshon Moreno has 16 touchdowns while producing 10 or more Fantasy points in 15 of his last 18 games. He had 114 total yards (10 Fantasy points) in the first meeting this year and the Chargers have given up over 100 total yards to backs in six straight and have surrendered nine scores during that span as well (21.3 points per game).
• Montee Ball followed up his career-high 117 yards rushing against the Chiefs in Week 13 with 15 carries for 77 yards and a touchdown against the Titans in a good matchup. He now has 28 carries to Moreno's 29 over the last two games and has produced 10-plus Fantasy points in three of his last four games.
• Demaryius Thomas has a touchdown or 100 yards receiving in seven straight games, including Week 10 against the Chargers when he topped the century mark and scored three times. San Diego has allowed nine scores to the opposing No. 1, third most in the NFL.
• Eric Decker had his second straight big game in Week 14, as he caught eight of his 12 targets for 117 yards and a touchdown. He has 100-plus with a score in each of the last two games and with Wes Welker likely out, look for Decker to stay hot.
• Wes Welker scored for the second time in his last seven games in Week 14, but suffered a concussion and could miss Week 15 on the short week.
• Julius Thomas has a touchdown in three straight and six of the last seven games he has played. Tight ends have scored on the Chargers in four of the last five games and are averaging 10 points.
• Philip Rivers tossed three scores against a tough Giants defense in Week 14, but was held to 218 yards with one score in the first meeting with the Broncos. I am expecting more this time around, however, as Denver enters Week 15 having allowed multiple passing scores and 25-plus Fantasy points to quarterbacks in three of the last four.
• Ryan Mathews has 10-plus Fantasy points in seven of his last nine full games and rushed a season-high 29 times for 103 yards and a touchdown against the Giants last week. He added three catches for 32 yards as well and Mathews has eight catches in his last two starts. He had 59 yards rushing and a touchdown in the first meeting with the Broncos.
• Danny Woodhead had a great game in Week 14, running seven times for 42 yards and adding four catches for 52 yards and a touchdown. He has still been held below 50 total yards in three of his last five games, but did score as a pass catcher against Denver back in Week 10.
• Denver has given up at least 100 total yards to backs in eight straight games and backs have scored in 12 of 13 games against the Broncos this year. Four of the last five running back groups to face Denver have rushed for more than 90 yards with a touchdown en route to a 20-plus point Fantasy day.
• Keenan Allen has 100-plus yards receiving or a touchdown in three straight games and six of the last nine. He is the Offensive Rookie of the Year as I see it and will try to improve upon his 41-yard effort in the first meeting with the Broncos.
• Tight ends have at least eight Fantasy points in six of the last seven games against the Broncos, including the Chargers in Week 10. Over the last seven games, tight ends are averaging 9.2 Fantasy points per game. For the year, the Broncos give up the second-most yards (73.3) and fourth-most Fantasy points per game (9.3) to tight ends. Ladarius Green had a big fat zero in Week 14 on one target, while Antonio Gates caught four of his six for 50 yards. Green had eight-plus Fantasy points in each of the three games before his disappearance in Week 14.
Thanks for reading another installment of The Fantasy Fact Sheet. Good luck in the second round of your playoffs in Week 15.
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