Week 2 Fantasy Fact Sheet
With one week of 2013 stats to dive into, our Nathan Zegura has plenty to dissect. He shares his statistical take on all of the Week 2 matchups.
Every week I will give you facts that you need to know about every matchup in the NFL to help you set your lineup for the highest probability of winning. With one week of actual 2013 data to work with, let's take a look at the matchups in Week 2. Good luck this week!
Jets at Patriots, Thu., 8:30 p.m. ET
(nine carries for
51 yards) was benched after fumbling early against the Bills in Week 1
took over as the
• The last time Ridley fumbled was Week 15 of the 2012 season. He did start the following week and ran for 84 yards on 18 carries against the Jaguars. With Vereen out for this game following surgery, Ridley will get his chance once again to be the man. He ran for 162 yards and a score against the Jets last year, so all he has to do is hold onto the ball! Leon Washington is someone to watch as a pass catching replacement for Vereen in the short term.
• Julian Edelman saw nine targets in Week 1 and caught seven of them for 79 yards and two scores. He is the other receiver alongside Kenbrell Thompkins on the outside for the Pats ( Danny Amendola in the slot) and played 84 snaps, second most on the offense. Back in 2011, Edelman averaged 8.2 yards and 1.5 Fantasy points per target when lined up on the outside, so expect this solid production to continue against a Jets pass defense that allowed 10-plus points to both outside receivers in Week 1. It should also be noted that Edelman scored in his last meeting with the Jets on a Thursday night.
• Do not give up on Kenbrell Thompkins , as the rookie led all wide receivers in the NFL with 91 snaps played in Week 1 and he tied for the Pats lead with 14 targets. Thompkins also led the NFL with three goal line targets in the season opener. When Thompkins and Tom Brady get their chemistry down, he will become a reliable option, although he has a tough matchup in Week 2.
• Amendola missed time with a groin injury and played 60 snaps, but was targeted on 14 of them. He caught 10 for 104 yards, so imagine what he can do in a full four quarters? He is likely out this week, however, which only increases the value of Edelman.
• Brady averaged 5.5 yards per attempt in Week 1, same as Brandon Weeden . Twenty quarterbacks had 20-plus Fantasy points in Week 1 and Brady was not among them.
• The Patriots defense scored 18 and 28 points in their two meetings with the Jets last year. They should hit double-digits again in Week 2 when you consider that seven straight defenses and 10 of the last 11 have scored at least 11 Fantasy points against the Jets. Tampa Bay scored 13 on the strength of five sacks and the last seven to face the Jets are averaging 19.9 per game.
• Kellen Winslow led the Jets with seven catches for 79 yards and a touchdown on eight targets. Winslow seems like a legit option after playing 49 of the team's 77 offensive snaps, which was second among all of the team's receivers and tight ends. Winslow ran 31 routes and was targeted on more than 25 percent of them. He should do well against a New England defense that gave up 34 points to the Jets tight ends in two games last year. Then starter Dustin Keller had 60-plus yards and a touchdown in both games and Winslow is a sneaky start. If his snaps and routes continue to rise, Winslow has low-end No. 1 tight end upside.
• In Week 1, Bilal Powell played 48 snaps to just 25 for Chris Ivory . Powell ran 12 times for 29 yards and Ivory mustered just 12 yards on 10 carries, so neither distinguished himself. Powell is definitely the passing back as he ran 28 pass routes and had four catches for 35 yards on five targets. Neither is a great Fantasy option, but Powell is the one I'd trust for now in a PPR flex against the Pats. After all, Powell scored against them last year and had 11 points in his only game against New England. The Jets runners averaged 17 points per game against the Pats in 2012, but New England gave up just 13 to Buffalo in the opener.
Cowboys at Chiefs, Sun., 1:00 p.m. ET
• The Cowboys defense forced six turnovers, recorded three sacks and
scored a touchdown to produce 27 Fantasy points in the season opener
against the Giants. That was the most turnovers from a Dallas defense
since 2003 and a nice start to the year considering they had just 16
takeaways in the entire 2012 season.
• The opposing top target has scored in five of the last eight games against the Chiefs and Dez Bryant should get on track after a disappointing opener that saw him catch four of his eight targets for 22 yards.
• The move to the slot has been huge for Miles Austin , especially in PPR formats. He paced the Cowboys with 12 targets (ninth in the NFL) and 10 catches (third in NFL) in Week 1, but they went for only 72 yards.
• Terrance Williams (16 yards per catch) was the only Dallas pass catcher to produce more than 10 yards per reception in Week 1. That's a big reason why Tony Romo averaged just 5.4 yards per attempt. Entering the 2013 season, Romo carried a career average of 7.9 yards per attempt, so look for more big plays in Week 2.
• Only LeSean McCoy (32) touched the ball more times than DeMarco Murray (28) in Week 1, but no runner played more snaps than Murray's 70. Murray had 20 carries for 86 yards and added eight receptions (10 targets) for 39 yards. Kansas City allowed 156.75 total yards per game to running backs last year, so look for Murray to hit 100 total again in Week 2.
• Jason Witten scored three touchdowns in the entire 2012 season. He scored two times Sunday night. Witten was targeted three times in the red zone in Week 1, which is significant seeing as he saw 14 red zone targets in all of 2012. The Cowboys talked about making it a point of emphasis for 2013 and if this trend continues, Witten will be a Fantasy monster.
• Alex Smith threw two touchdowns against the Jags, but averaged just 5.1 yards per attempt on his 34 passes. Dallas gave up 10.7 yards per attempt to Eli Manning in Week 1.
• Dwayne Bowe caught four of his six targets for 30 yards in Week 1. Look for the target volume and yards per catch/target to improve in Week 2 against a Dallas defense that just allowed three different 100-yard receivers and let Victor Cruz score three times.
• Donnie Avery found the end zone in his Chiefs debut and actually led the Chiefs receivers with 59 snaps and 37 routes run. His two catches for 11 yards are not impressive, but he is a deep sleeper against this Dallas pass defense.
• Before leaving with a quad injury in the third quarter, Jamaal Charles saw a team-high six targets and finished with 19 touches for 100 total yards and a touchdown. His workload under Andy Reid will be very healthy and I expect Charles to explode in 2013. If the quad limits him at all, Knile Davis is the next man up and the guy to own for Charles owners.
Rams at Falcons, Sun., 1:00 p.m. ET
was the main
man in Week 1, taking 20 of the team's 21 running back carries for 63
yards and adding five catches for 33 yards. His 25 total touches ranked
fourth among all runners and he played 62 of the team's 71 offensive
snaps. Keep an eye on how
is incorporated in Week 2, however as Richardson did not completely
distinguish himself (3.2 yards per carry) and was stuffed on his only
goal line carry. Atlanta held New Orleans to 76 yards on 26 carries in
Week 1, so think of D-Rich as a flex.
• Sam Bradford had 299 yards, two touchdowns and a two-point conversion in Week 1 en route to a 23-point Fantasy day. He takes on an Atlanta defense that has given up an average of 325 yards passing and 26 points per game to opposing quarterbacks over the last three games.
• Tavon Austin led the Rams wide receivers with seven targets and six catches, but they only produced 41 yards. He has more PPR appeal for now, but Austin will play a big role.
• Jared Cook made quite the debut in St. Louis, catching seven of his 10 targets for 141 yards and two touchdowns. He should stay red hot against an Atlanta defense that has allowed a tight end to score in three straight. Two of those tight ends had 100 yards and a touchdown, all three produced double-digit Fantasy points and they combined to average 16 points per game.
• Chris Givens was limited to only 27 yards on two catches on three targets in Week 1. He saw only three targets, but that number will increase as Givens led the team's receivers with 58 snaps. Buy low.
• Steven Jackson looked great in the opener, picking up 77 yards on 11 carries and showing great burst on a 50-yard scamper that nearly got him into the end zone. Jackson also caught five of his eight targets (second on the team) for 45 yards. Only one of the last seven running back groups has gotten to 100 yards against the Rams, but they give up over five catches and 40 yards receiving to runners per game. You know he wants to stick it to his former team, but the advantage lies with the Rams defensive line, so look for a big pass catching day from Jackson.
• The Rams were torched by the Cardinals receivers in Week 1, as all three starters topped 80 yards receiving, top target Larry Fitzgerald scored twice, and they gave up 38 Fantasy points to the wide receivers total.
• Roddy White did play 37 out of 55 snaps in the season opener, but he was not himself. He was targeted just twice and had two catches for 19 yards.
• Harry Douglas played a bigger role with White hobbled in Week 1, playing a higher percentage of snaps in Week 1 then he played at any time in 2012. He caught four of his six targets for 93 yards against New Orleans and worked mostly out of the slot. Andre Roberts caught eight passes for 97 yards in a similar role against the Rams to open the year.
• Who needs training camp? Tony Gonzalez jumped right into action in Week 1, catching three of his six targets for 36 yards and a touchdown. Gonzo now has four scores in his last six games and remains a force in the red zone, where he saw two of his six targets. It should be noted however, that the Rams have allowed one tight end touchdown in their last nine games.
• Seven of the last 10 kickers to face the Falcons have booted multiple field goals and six of them have made three or more, which is good for Greg Zuerlein .
Vikings at Bears, Sun., 1:00 p.m. ET
topped 100 yards
rushing and produced 10-plus Fantasy points in both games against the
Bears in 2012. He totaled 262 yards and two touchdowns rushing against
them in those two games. The Bears allowed four 100-yard rushers in
2012, two of them were named
• After running for a 78-yard touchdown on his first carry of 2013, Peterson was held to 15 yards on his next 17 carries against the Lions. Fortunately, he scored another running touchdown and added one as a receiver for the hat trick in Week 1.
• Feast or famine Kyle Rudolph had one game with five catches for 55 yards and a score against the Bears last year. He also had one game with no catches. Rudolph has just one score in his last six games and is averaging 25 yards and 3.1 Fantasy points per game during that span. The Bears have allowed just one tight end to score in their last six as well.
• Jerome Simpson is on my radar after leading the Vikings with eight targets, seven catches and 140 yards. He played the second most snaps and ran the second most routes of their receivers in the opener. I am still not buying Greg Jennings after his three catches for 33 yards in Week 1. Keep your expectations in check, however, as the Vikings receivers managed just 13 points as a group in two games against the Bears last year.
• Cordarrelle Patterson seems a ways off from contributing as he played just six snaps in the opener.
• The Bears defense scored 16 points in their home game against the Vikings last year and averaged 12.5 for the two games. Back to back defenses have produced 10-plus against the Vikings and the Bears forced three turnovers in the season opener against Cincinnati.
• Jay Cutler became the first quarterback since Peyton Manning (Week 9 of 2012) to hit the 20-point plateau against the Bengals after he threw for 242 yards and two scores in Week 1. Four of the last six quarterbacks to face the Vikings (including Cutler in Week 14) have produced at least 24 points.
• Matt Forte handled all three of the Chicago red zone carries and both of the goal line carries in Week 1. He picked up four yards on his first carry from the five and then punched in a score from the one-yard line. If this continues, he has Top 5 potential. Forte took 23 touches for 91 total yards and the score in Week 1, including four catches for 41 yards. Detroit running backs just scored 45 Fantasy points against the Vikes in the opener, with both Reggie Bush and Joique Bell topping 20 points. In that game, Bush and Bell combined to catch nine passes for 168 yards and a touchdown, most among any running back group in the league.
• Martellus Bennett scored and played every snap in his Chicago debut, catching three of his four targets for 48 yards and the touchdown. Chicago's tight ends, who were not pass catchers, even scored in the home game against Minnesota, who allowed a tight end touchdown in Week 1.
• Alshon Jeffery scored in his last meeting with the Vikings and it was No. 2 receiver -- Nate Burleson -- who led the Lions receivers in catches (six) and yards (78) in Week 1. Minnesota locked down Calvin Johnson (four catches for 37 yards) in the opener, but struggled with Brandon Marshall in two meetings last year, as he caught 22 passes for 252 yards and a score.
Chargers at Eagles, Sun., 1:00 p.m. ET
touchdowns in Week 1 and faces an Eagles defense that has allowed
multiple quarterback touchdowns in 12 straight games. During that span,
quarterbacks have thrown an average of 2.4 passing touchdowns per game,
most in the NFL.
• Ryan Mathews played only 19 of the Chargers 55 snaps in Week 1, but he did touch the ball on 15 of those plays and picked up just 33 yards rushing on 13 carries (2.5 yards per carry). He was on the field for just six passing downs, so you know he will need his rushing totals to produce. His touchdown catch against the Texans was just the first of his career and the Chargers still do not have a rushing touchdown since Week 5 of the 2012 season. Philadelphia held Alfred Morris to 45 yards on 12 carries in the opener, so this could be a tough one again for Mathews, especially if San Diego falls behind early. I wonder if the 15 touches on 19 snaps make it tougher on Mathews because defenses know he is getting the ball when he is on the field.
• Ronnie Brown led the San Diego running backs with 26 snaps played and Danny Woodhead was third with 10. It is also interesting to note that it was Brown on the field in the red zone and near the goal line as the Chargers stuck with their shotgun formation in Week 1.
• Three of Eddie Royal six targets came in the red zone. Two of them came from inside the five-yard line and he produced two touchdowns. He played 23 of the team's 34 passing downs, while Malcom Floyd (34) and Vincent Brown (33) were out there just about every play.
• Antonio Gates averaged a very healthy 24.5 yards per catch and 12.25 yards per target in the season opener. He needs more than four looks to be productive, however.
• LeSean McCoy led all running backs in carries (31), rushing yards (184) and was second in total yards (189) and snaps (67).
• Michael Vick was one of only two quarterbacks to score a rushing touchdown in Week 1. Now he faces a San Diego defense that gave up 346 yards passing and three touchdowns to Matt Schaub in the opener. San Diego has given up 20 or more Fantasy points to four straight and six of the last seven quarterbacks they have faced.
• Brent Celek scored in Week 1 and gets a San Diego pass defense that allowed three tight end touchdowns and 26 Fantasy points to the position, both league highs.
• DeSean Jackson led the Eagles with nine targets and caught seven passes for 104 yards and a touchdown. That was only Jackson's second game with 100 yards and a score since Week 1 of the 2011 season. The opposing top target has scored or produced 140 receiving yards in four of the last five against San Diego.
• Opposing defenses have scored 10-plus points against San Diego in seven of the last nine games. Despite surrendering four scores, the Texans still managed to produce 10 points on Monday Night. The Eagles defense opened the year with 11 against the Redskins.
• Riley Cooper was the only Eagles receiver to play every snap in Week 1. He led the team with 34 pass routes and was second with six targets. Cooper caught only two passes for 14 yards, but if he continues that level of utilization he will have some big games as defenses try to clamp down on D-Jax.
Dolphins at Colts, Sun., 1:00 p.m. ET
got off to a slow
start as expected in Week 1 against
That should change in Week 2 as the Colts have allowed the opposing No.
1 receiver to score or top 100 yards in seven of their last eight games.
Opposing top targets are averaging 14.6 points per game during that span.
• Brian Hartline had eight catches for 107 yards against Indy as the team's No. 1 last year. He is coming off of a team high 15-target, nine-catch, 114-yard game with a touchdown in Week 1.
• Brandon Gibson ran all 33 of his routes out of the slot in Week 1 and caught seven of his 10 targets for 77 yards. The Fins ran three wide receivers on 60 percent of their Week 1 plays.
• The Miami ground game generated just 20 yards on 23 carries against the Browns in Week 1. Daniel Thomas and Lamar Miller split snaps 50/50, but Thomas got the call at the goal line and netted the only score.
• Now the Colts did give up 171 yards rushing and 5.2 yards per carry to the Raiders in Week 1, but only 50 of those yards were to running backs. Indy held Darren McFadden to 48 yards on 17 carries (2.8 yards per carry), but he did find the end zone. In their meeting last year, no Miami runner had more than 40 yards on the ground, but Reggie Bush did score and had 12 Fantasy points.
• Ryan Tannehill had 17 points in his lone meeting with the Colts in 2012. Only two of the last eight quarterbacks to face the Colts have produced 20 points on passing totals alone, which is key for Tannehill, who averages just over a point per game with his legs.
• Andrew Luck has six rushing touchdowns in his first 18 NFL games including the playoffs. It should also be noted that Luck averaged 11.7 air yards per pass in Week 1 under new OC Pep Hamilton, up from the NFL-high 10.8 he averaged in 2012.
• Vick Ballard (41 snaps) got the start in Week 1 as Ahmad Bradshaw (15 snaps) was eased back into action. Ballard led the team with 63 yards on 13 carries (4.8 yards per carry), while Bradshaw netted just 27 on seven totes. Long term I still like Bradshaw, but both will have a tough time against a stout Miami front that limited the Browns to 47 yards rushing and 3.6 yards per carry in Week 1. In a shared carry situation last year, no Colts runner had more than 60 yards on the ground against Miami, but Ballard paced the team with 98 total yards on 19 touches.
• The Colts top 3 receivers all had 10-plus points against the Dolphins last year. T.Y. Hilton had six catches for 102 yards and a score. Reggie Wayne caught seven passes for 78 yards and a touchdown, while Donnie Avery had five catches for 102 yards.
• Darrius Heyward-Bey played 36 snaps to 26 for Hilton, but he ran only two more routes, 23 to 21. Hilton (five) had the target edge over DHB (four), but neither really produced as they had 20 and 33 yards receiving, respectively. Luck only attempted 23 passes though, so if that number jumps up so will their involvement. It should also be noted that Hilton is the deep threat, averaging 22.2 air yards per target on his five looks.
• Coby Fleener ran twice as many routes as Dwayne Allen in the season opener (24 to 12), but they combined for just three targets.
Browns at Ravens, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
is still the man in
Baltimore, but he played just 53 of the team's 80 offensive snaps, while
played 35. Rice is no longer a true every down back, but
he is the goal line back and still received 20 touches (eight
receptions) for 71 total yards and a touchdown against the Broncos in
• Rice will still be a Fantasy stud, but Pierce will play a role on a weekly basis and is someone you can flex against weaker run defenses. In two games against the Browns last year, Rice produced 23 Fantasy points, while Pierce chipped in a score of his own en route to 12 points total. Both Baltimore runners found the end zone in their last game against the Browns.
• The Browns do enter this game with the top ranked run defense in the NFL after holding Miami to 20 yards rushing on 23 carries.
• Marlon Brown stepped in for the injured Jacoby Jones and caught four of his six targets for 65 yards and touchdown to average an excellent 10.8 yards and 2.08 Fantasy points per target in Week 1. Brown is a good option this week against a Cleveland defense that has been abused by No. 2 receivers. Brian Hartline got off on Buster Skrine and Chris Owens for nine catches, 114 yards and a touchdown in Week 1 and Anquan Boldin averaged 10 points per game against Cleveland last year.
• No team allowed more sacks than the Browns, who gave up six in Week 1. Three straight defenses have scored 18 or more points against the Browns, who allowed Miami to score 20 in Week 1.
• The Ravens defense averaged 13 points per game in two meetings with the Browns last year.
• Joe Flacco has just one game of 20-plus points against the Browns in his last five outings and he needed a rushing touchdown, along with 356 yards and a passing score, to get there in Week 4 of the 2012 season. Flacco averaged 19 points per game last year against Cleveland, but has produced just 14.4 points per game in his last five against the Browns. Craziest of all, Flacco has thrown for more than 160 yards or tossed multiple passing touchdowns against the Browns just one time apiece during that span.
• Torrey Smith has a touchdown in each of his last two games against the Browns, but it should be noted that he has produced more than 50 yards receiving just once in four games against Haden.
• Jordan Cameron led the Browns with 13 targets (most among all tight ends), nine catches (most among all tight ends), 103 yards and caught the team's only touchdown. He is also tied for the NFL lead with four red zone targets and will face a Ravens defense that gave up 110 yards and two scores to tight end Julius Thomas in Week 1.
• Trent Richardson played just 52 of the Browns 81 offensive snaps in Week 1 and had just 15 total touches. I have been told that those numbers will both go up in Week 2. In two career games against the Ravens, Trent has produced at least 13 Fantasy points both times. He averaged 24.5 touches, 120 total yards and 0.5 touchdowns per game against the Ravens in two career meetings.
Redskins at Packers, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
Robert Griffin III
on Monday night and completed 20 of his final 29 passes for 230 yards
(7.9 yards per attempt) and two touchdowns.
• Green Bay allowed 412 yards passing and three touchdowns on 10.6 yards per attempt to Colin Kaepernick in Week 1. Green Bay has given up 86 points to quarterbacks (yes, Kap in both games) in their last two games alone.
• Green Bay did do a great job on the ground game in Week 1, limiting Kaepernick to 22 yards on seven carries and bottling up Frank Gore . Gore ran 21 times, but picked up only 44 yards and a touchdown. Alfred Morris has scored in five straight regular season games and has eight rushing scores total during that span.
• Randall Cobb is tied for the NFL lead with four red zone targets and three targets inside the five-yard line. He finished the game with six catches for 106 yards and a score on a team-high 12 targets (ninth most in the NFL).
• Keep an eye on this going forward: How much does playing the Eagles take out of an opposing defense the following week? The Redskins gave up a league-high 209 yards to the running backs of the Eagles on 5.2 yards per carry on a league-high 40 running back attempts. Look for Eddie Lacy , who scored and produced 72 total yards against the tough San Francisco 49ers, to roll in Week 2 against the Skins, who gave up 26 points to the Eagles runners in Week 1.
• Despite fumbling, Lacy played 41 of the team's 63 snaps in Week 1 and handled three red zone carries and the team's only goal line rush.
• Fred Davis has never caught a touchdown from RG3 and has just 347 yards receiving in eight games together. Do not confuse Fred with Vernon Davis , who had 98 yards and two scores against the Packers in Week 1.
• James Jones saw only two targets in Week 1 and failed to record a single reception. He saw fewer than four targets in only two games in all of 2012 and has six touchdowns in his last six games. Buy low.
• Jordy Nelson was Top 3 in terms of yards per target (10.2) and Fantasy points per target (1.6) when healthy in 2012. Now, he is healthy again and started the 2013 season with seven catches for 130 yards and a score on 10 targets. He averaged 13 yards and 1.9 Fantasy points per target to open the year and I expect him to keep rolling.
• Leonard Hankerson has never had back-to-back games with six Fantasy points. I hope that changes, because I have always liked his talent for this offense. I am encouraged that he ran 36 routes in Week 1, behind only Pierre Garcon (41) and Santana Moss (42).
• Jermichael Finley has produced at least 50 yards receiving in seven of his last eight games for the Packers. He also found the end zone in Week 1 and faces a Washington defense that just gave up 12 points to the position (67 yards receiving and a score) in Week 1.
Panthers at Bills, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
picked up 86
yards (5.1 yards per carry) and added 14 as a receiver for 100 total
yards against a tough Seattle D in Week 1. He played 32 of the team's 52
offensive snaps, which is solid for a flex to me. Buffalo gave up the
most Fantasy points per game to running backs in 2012 and started off
2013 surrendering 19 points to the position in Week 1. Buffalo allowed
162 rushing yards (5.2 yards per carry) and 58 yards receiving, for 220
total running back yards, second most in the NFL.
• Steve Smith has scored in three of his last four and four of his last six games. Buffalo will not have its top cornerback Stephon Gilmore in Week 2 and they gave up 34 points (225 yards and two scores) to wide receivers in Week 1, sixth most in the NFL.
• Brandon LaFell ran all 27-pass routes for the Panthers and played 48 of the team's 52 snaps, but he did not see a single target from Cam Newton in Week 1.
• The Bills were one of four teams that did not allow a Fantasy point to a tight end in Week 1. Greg Olsen led the Panthers with 10 targets in Week 1 and has not produced fewer than 40 yards receiving since Week 8 of 2012.
• The Bills held Tom Brady to 19 Fantasy points in Week 1 and Newton had 14 against the Seahawks. The Seahawks held Newton to his season low in 2012 and may have done it again in 2013, as Cam averaged 26.5 points per game from Week 10 on last year.
• C.J. Spiller (38 of 64 snaps) did have 22 touches despite Fred Jackson involvement in Week 1, but produced only 55 total yards and 3.5 Fantasy points. He had averaged 13.3 Fantasy points per game when touching the ball 20 times prior to that disappointment. If he struggles against Carolina in Week 2, buy low!
• Fred Jackson (26 of 64 snaps) took 17 touches of his own and produced 101 total yards. He led the team with 67 yards rushing and 41 yards receiving.
• Carolina limited Marshawn Lynch to 43 yards on 17 carries in Week 1 and they have limited opposing running backs to just 53.6 yards rushing per game over their last five. Only one running back has scored against the Panthers during that span, so opposing rushers have generated just six points per game on rushing totals alone.
• The Bills played three wide receivers on 62 of their 64 offensive snaps in Week 1. Steve Johnson led the way with six targets and had three catches for 39 yards and touchdown. He quietly has 100 yards or a touchdown in five of the last seven games.
• Carolina surrendered 226 yards and a touchdown to the Seattle receivers in Week 1 for 26 Fantasy points. Last year, Carolina allowed just 17.5 points per game to receivers, sixth fewest in the NFL.
Titans at Texans, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
was second in the
NFL with 25 carries and led the league with nine red zone carries in
Week 1, but could only muster 70 yards and seven Fantasy points. He did
not receive a single target in the passing game.
• Johnson has not scored in a game against the Texans since 2010 and has just one game of 10-plus Fantasy points in his last four against them. Johnson is averaging just over eight points per game against Houston during that span and takes on a Texans defense that allowed just 3.3 yards per carry and six rushing points to San Diego in Week 1.
• Jackie Battle took the Titans only goal line carry and punched in a touchdown against the Steelers.
• The Titans did not have a single receiver produce 50 yards against the Steelers in Week 1 with Nate Washington leading the way at 46 yards on four catches.
• The distribution amongst their receivers was as follows in Week 1: Kenny Britt (23 routes run/two targets), Nate Washington (22/seven), Kendall Wright (14/four) and Damian Williams (four/two). Houston allowed three wide receiver scores in Week 1, but in 2012 the Titans managed just two receiver scores total in their two meetings. The Titans did not have a single receiver score more than 10 Fantasy points in either game.
• Arian Foster produced just 90 total yards on 24 touches in Week 1. His combined yards per carry (3.2) and yards per catch (5.5) was just 8.7. Ben Tate touched the ball only 11 times, but produced 67 total yards and his combined yards per carry (6.1) and yards per catch (3.5) was 9.6.
• Foster has scored in three straight games against the Titans while averaging 21.3 points per game.
• Tate had two points total in two games against the Titans in 2012, but scored 27 points in two meetings in 2011. He had 10 with Foster healthy and 17 with Foster out of the lineup.
• After scoring in 12 of the first 13 regular season games of 2012, Foster has been held without a touchdown in three of his last four regular season games. In Week 1, the Texans threw it six times and ran it just once inside the red zone. In 2012, the Texans ran the ball 99 times inside the red zone and threw it just 54 times all season long.
• Andre Johnson saw 16 targets in Week 1, second most in the NFL. Unfortunately, he did not see a single target in the red zone and failed to score despite catching 12 passes for 146 yards. Johnson has one touchdown in his last nine games.
• Owen Daniels scored twice in Week 1 and has 60 or more yards and eight-plus Fantasy points in three straight games. He had six catches for 72 yards and two scores in his first meeting with Tennessee a year ago.
Lions at Cardinals, Sun., 4:05 p.m. ET
led all running
backs with 191 total yards (101 receiving) and a touchdown in Week 1.
Arizona allowed five running back catches in Week 1 for 33 yards, but
Bush needed only four catches to produce 101 in the season opener. It
should be noted that Bush did not catch a single pass in his meeting
with the Cardinals as a member of the Dolphins in 2012, but I guarantee
history will not repeat itself.
• Joique Bell is the goal line back for the Lions and scored on both of his goal line caries in Week 1. He also added five catches for 66 yards and finished the day with 20 Fantasy points on 11 touches while playing only 28 snaps (out of 83).
• The last time Calvin Johnson had less than 50 yards receiving in a game like he did in Week 1 was Week 9 of the 2012 season. He followed that game up with 100-plus yards receiving in eight straight games, including 121 against Arizona in Week 15.
• Matthew Stafford had just 246 yards passing and three interceptions against Arizona last year. Since that game, he has produced 1,072 yards and five touchdowns in his last three starts. Arizona allowed 299 yards and two touchdowns to Sam Bradford in Week 1.
• Pat Edwards was second among Detroit receivers with 59 snaps and 30 pass routes run, but saw only three targets and caught them all for 30 yards. Nate Burleson was third at 54 and 28, respectively, but it was Nate who led the Lions with six catches (on six targets) for 78 yards receiving in Week 1. No wide receiver scored against the Cardinals in Week 1 and they held them all to less than 50 yards receiving.
• Rashard Mendenhall picked up 60 yards on 16 carries in Week 1 against St. Louis. Yes, Detroit gave up 29 running back points in Week 1, second most in the NFL, but they faced Adrian Peterson . After Peterson's 78-yard touchdown scamper to start the game, the Lions held him to just 15 yards on his next 17 carries.
• Carson Palmer threw the ball 40 times and produced 327 yards and two touchdowns in his Arizona debut. This has shootout written all over it.
• Larry Fitzgerald scored four touchdowns in all of 2012 and produced 80 yards receiving just four times all year. With Palmer in town, Fitz started the 2013 season with eight catches for 80 yards and two scores on 14 targets. It was his best Fantasy game since Week 10 of the 2011 season and Jerome Simpson just torched this Detroit defense for 140 yards in Week 1.
• Michael Floyd played 67 of the team's 71 snaps in the opener and ran 43 of a possible 45 routes. He caught four of his six targets for 82 yards and averaged 20.5 yards per catch and a stout 13.7 yards per target.
• Andre Roberts played 51 of the team's 71 snaps and ran 32 routes. He was targeted nine times (second on the team) and caught eight of them for 92 yards. Yes, this offense can support three good Fantasy receivers.
Saints at Buccaneers, Sun., 4:05 p.m. ET
produced 10 or more
points in both meetings with the Bucs last year. He had nine catches for
123 yards in Tampa (with
out) and caught four passes for 42 yards and a touchdown at home. Moore
was fifth on the team with four targets in Week 1, despite leading the
receivers in snaps (52) and routes run (32 out of 40). Buy low.
• Marques Colston lined up in the slot on 16 of his 29 pass routes in Week 1, so he will not be matched up with Darrelle Revis much at all in this game. Colston, who scored in Week 1, has scored in two straight games in Tampa Bay.
• Darren Sproles has owned the Bucs since coming to New Orleans. He has scored in three straight games as a receiver against Tampa and produced an average of 10.25 standard and 15.5 PPR points per game. Tampa allowed 11.2 yards per catch to running backs in Week 1 -- fifth most in the NFL -- and that was to the Jets.
• Mark Ingram had 90 yards and a touchdown in his last meeting with the Bucs. However, he has never rushed for more than 22 yards in Tampa Bay and would be completely touchdown dependent for value against the Bucs, who allowed a league low 71.2 yards rushing per game to opposing running backs in 2012. They held the Jets to 44 yards rushing on 22 carries in Week 1 and Ingram enters this game with 11 yards on 9 carries.
• Kenny Stills was in on 23 of the team's 40 pass attempts in Week 1 and caught two of his five targets for 82 yards. His 17.2 yards per target average was second only to Jerome Simpson among the 70 receivers who saw five targets in Week 1.
• Vincent Jackson had 13 catches for 297 yards and a touchdown in two games with the Saints a year ago.
• Mike Williams did not score against the Saints in 2012 (or 2011), but has a touchdown in three straight games after scoring in Week 1. He has also found the end zone in five of his last six starts from the end of 2012 through Week 1 of the 2013 season.
• The Falcons receivers caught 76 percent of their targets against the Saints in Week 1 and produced 11.1 yards and 1.46 Fantasy points per target.
• In his last two home games against the Saints, Josh Freeman has thrown for 723 yards and five touchdowns. He produced 34 and 24 Fantasy points respectively in those two games. It should be noted that Freeman has not thrown for multiple touchdowns in four straight games and has not thrown for 300 yards with multiple scores since Week 7 of 2012, which was at home against New Orleans (420 yards and three touchdowns).
• Strange but true, Doug Martin rushed for 101 yards and a touchdown in two games combined against the Saints last year. He only received 25 carries in the two games, however, and Steven Jackson rushed for 77 yards on 11 carries against the Saints in Week 1.
Broncos at Giants, Sun., 4:25 p.m. ET
• In Week 1, the Manning brothers combined to throw for 912 yards and 11
touchdowns. That is the most prolific week the bros have ever had as a
tandem and I feel bad for the defensive backs in this one.
• In Week 1, Knowshon Moreno led all Denver running backs with 45 snaps, 12 touches and 65 total yards. Montee Ball played 18 snaps, most of which came in the fourth quarter to milk to clock, and Ronnie Hillman played just 15 snaps. Ball still has the most upside long term, but Moreno is the one to flex for now against a Giants defense that gave up 136 total yards to the Cowboys running backs in Week 1.
• Julius Thomas caught five of his seven targets for 110 yards and two scores in the season opener. While both of his touchdowns came from outside of the red zone, a feat he is unlikely to repeat, he is not this year's Kevin Ogletree . You see, Thomas played all 74 offensive snaps in the opener (Ogletree played 33 of 68) and will be a focal part of this offense.
• Jason Witten scored twice on the G-Men in the season opener and produced 19 Fantasy points. Overall, the Giants surrendered 20 points to the tight end position in Week 1, fourth most in the NFL.
• Eric Decker dropped three of his seven targets in the opener, but he was still heavily involved and saw a red zone look. Unfortunately, he dropped a perfectly thrown fade for an easy touchdown, because Decker could have easily had 70-plus yards in this one. When you consider that he dropped just one pass over the final six games of 2012, look for Decker to bounce back in a hurry.
• The Giants allowed seven receptions to receivers lined up in the slot in Week 1, second most in the NFL, so Wes Welker should continue to thrive with Peyton in Week 2.
• David Wilson opened the season with -3.0 points. There is nowhere to go but up and the Giants will need him. Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce were limited to 58 yards rushing combined and 2.8 yards per carry by Denver's fifth-ranked run defense in the opener. Rice did punch in a touchdown to save his Fantasy day, but Rice is the only player to score a rushing touchdown against Denver since Week 9 of the 2012 season.
• All three Giants receivers -- Hakeem Nicks , Victor Cruz and Rueben Randle -- topped 100 yards receiving in Week 1 against the Cowboys. They all averaged over 20 yards per catch and Mr. Hat Trick (Cruz) is currently the NFL leader with a 3.7 Fantasy points per target average.
• Brandon Myers had only two catches for 29 yards in his two games against Denver a year ago as a member of the Raiders. He should fare better this time around considering that Denver gave up eight catches and 100 yards receiving (fifth most) to Dallas Clark and Ed Dickson . Myers also lived up to his garbage man nickname in Week 1, catching four passes for 42 yards and a touchdown on the final drive against Dallas.
Jaguars at Raiders, Sun., 4:25 p.m. ET
season-ending foot injury in his last trip to Oakland in Week 7 of the
2012 season. The Raiders gave up 89 yards rushing on 4.5 yards per carry
to the Colts running backs in Week 1.
• Oakland has been in the Top 10 in Fantasy points allowed to running backs every single year since 2002. Last year, running backs scored an average of 19.5 Fantasy points per game against the Raiders, fifth most in the NFL.
• Oakland has allowed nine running back rushing scores in their last 10 games.
• Cecil Shorts saw 11 targets (tied for 12th most in NFL) in Week 1, but could only catch three of them for 40 yards. Only two of those targets came from Chad Henne and he caught one of them for 24 yards.
• With Henne under center in 2012, Shorts scored in four straight games and produced 10 or more Fantasy points in five out of six games. He averaged 12.3 points per game with Henne as his quarterback and yes, Henne is starting Week 2.
• Shorts scored in his last meeting with the Raiders and Oakland has allowed three straight opposing top targets to score on them, including Reggie Wayne in Week 1.
• Terrelle Pryor has produced 26 and 21 Fantasy points respectively in his two NFL starts. Pryor is currently second in the NFL with 112 rushing yards after Week 1 and has produced 201 rushing yards on 156 snaps in the 2013 pre and regular seasons combined. Think of Tim Tebow rushing and the ability to actually pass the football somewhat competently and you have Fantasy gold. Add him off the wire!
• Darren McFadden started off the year with a touchdown against Indianapolis and 11 Fantasy points while playing 60 of the team's 67 snaps. He produced 81 total yards in his last meeting with the Jags in 2012 but should fare better than that in 2013. In Week 1, the Jags gave up 175 total yards and a touchdown to the running back position, good for 22 Fantasy points. In 2012, the Jaguars surrendered an average of 154 total yards (fourth most) and 1.1 touchdowns per game to running backs, which added up to 21.5 points per game to the position (third most in the NFL).
• Rod Streater has produced at least 70 yards receiving in both of Pryor's starts in the NFL.
• Denarius Moore has scored in both of Pryor's starts in the NFL, but had just 53 yards receiving in the two games combined.
49ers at Seahawks, Sun., 8:30 p.m. ET
Fantasy points in his visit to San Francisco, but tossed four touchdowns
and put up 30 Fantasy points against the 49ers in their last meeting,
which took place in Seattle
• Wilson has two career games with 300 yards passing. They have been his last two games and he will face a 49ers pass defense that has given up at least 22 Fantasy points to six of the last seven quarterbacks they have faced (including Wilson). Four of those six have even put up 29 or more points against the 49ers.
• Marshawn Lynch has rushed for 100 yards in three straight games against the 49ers. He has produced at least 11 Fantasy points in all three of those games and has averaged 17.3 points per game against SF, highest in the NFL by far.
• Two different receivers topped 100 yards with a touchdown against the 49ers in Week 1. That was also the fourth straight game in which the 49ers have given up at least two receiver scores. San Francisco has also allowed a tight end to score in six of their last nine games, including Seattle's own Anthony McCoy in Week 16 of 2012.
• Here is a look at the top players in the passing game for Seattle in Week 1: Golden Tate (33 pass routes, seven targets, four catches for 51 yards), Zach Miller (33 pass routes, four targets, three catches for 42 yards), Sidney Rice (29 pass routes, three targets, two catches for 35 yards) and Doug Baldwin , who caught two touchdowns in his last meeting with the 49ers, (28 pass routes, eight targets, seven catches for 91 yards).
• Like Wilson, Colin Kaepernick has two games with 300 yards passing in his career. Also like Wilson, they have been his last two games, as 'Kap has netted 715 yards and four touchdowns through the air in those games.
• Kaepernick's last game without at least 22 Fantasy points was Week 16 at Seattle when he was held to 16 Fantasy points and a season low 6.7 yards per attempt. He averaged 10.6 yards per attempt in his Week 1 dissection of the Packers when he proved that he is not only a great runner, but also one of the best pocket passers in the NFL today.
• Carolina limited Cam Newton to just 14 Fantasy points in Week 1 and despite facing Newton twice, 'Kap and RG3, no quarterback has produced more than 42 rushing yards against Seattle in their last 19 games.
• Frank Gore has 15 or more Fantasy points in two of his last three games against the Seahawks. Gore also enters Week 2 with a touchdown rush in five straight games. The one exception to both streaks was Week 16 in Seattle last year when he was limited to 28 yards rushing on just six carries and had two Fantasy points.
• Anquan Boldin leads the NFL in targets (17), catches (13) and receiving yards (208) after one game in a San Francisco uniform.
• Vernon Davis has now seen six or more targets in four games with Kaepernick as his quarterback. In those four games, he has produced 391 yards and five touchdowns receiving. He enters Week 2 with at least 90 yards receiving in three straight games and has three total touchdowns during that span. He had one catch for 27 yards total in two games against Seattle last year. One trend will not continue this week and my bet is not on the Seattle defense bottling up Davis.
• The home team defense in this rivalry produced at least 14 Fantasy points in 2012, with Seattle scoring 17 in Week 16 of last year thanks to a blocked kick that was returned for a touchdown. Yes, that play cost me a Fantasy championship. No, I am not over it.
Steelers at Bengals, Mon., 8:30 p.m. ET
produced 15 points
in two games total against the Steelers last year. He has never
produced 20 Fantasy points against Pittsburgh in four career tries.
• Hey Jay Gruden, BenJarvus Green-Ellis averaged 1.9 yards per touch in Week 1 (15 touches and 29 total yards) while Giovani Bernard averaged 6.0 yards per touch and produced 30 total yards on only six touches. The Steelers gave up just 109 yards rushing to the Titans in Week 1 on 37 carries (2.9 yards per carry), but Tennessee did punch in a short touchdown.
• Green-Ellis is tied for the league lead with three goal line carries. He only converted one of them into a touchdown. Bernard scored on all three of his goal line carries in the preseason. Green-Ellis has a total of 92 yards rushing in his last three games against Pittsburgh and has never scored a touchdown against them.
• Tyler Eifert (42 snaps and 23 pass routes) and Jermaine Gresham (all 59 snaps and 28 pass routes) both were targeted five times in Week 1. They both caught all five of their targets, which netted 47 yards for Eifert and 35 for Gresham.
• The Bengals tight ends had six catches for 57 yards total in the two games against the Steelers in 2012. Pittsburgh has allowed only two tight end touchdowns in their last 13 games.
• A.J. Green is a beast and his game of nine receptions for 162 yards with two touchdowns against the Bears was amazing. He has scored in three of his four career meetings with the Steelers.
• The Titans defense scored 21 Fantasy points in Week 1 against the Steelers, third most in the NFL. The Steelers were sacked five times (third most) and produced just 195 total yards (second fewest) in Week 1.
• Stay away from the Pittsburgh running backs and, yes, that is a fact, not an opinion.
• Ben Roethlisberger averaged 12.5 Fantasy points per game against the Bengals last year. In two games he failed to produce 500 yards passing (498), threw two touchdowns and was picked off three times. With all of the turmoil on his offensive line following the loss of his center Maurkice Pouncey , Ben managed just 191 yards passing with one touchdown and one interception against the Titans in Week 1.
• Antonio Brown had seven catches for 96 yards in the first game against Cincinnati last year. He followed that up with five catches for 97 yards and a touchdown in the second meeting. Opposing top target Brandon Marshall lit up the Bengals for 104 yards and a touchdown on eight catches in the season opener.
• Both Brown (seven targets, five catches for 71 yards) and Emmanuel Sanders (12 targets, seven catches for 57 yards) were on the field for 37 of the team's 38 pass plays in Week 1. The 12 targets to Sanders were tied for the ninth most among all receivers in Week 1. Third receiver Jerricho Cotchery , who caught four of his seven targets for 34 yards and a touchdown, ran 31 of the 38 routes.
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