Week 4 Fantasy Fact Sheet
Week 4 brings us bye weeks, a game in London and two great prime time matchups. Our Nathan Zegura runs through all of the numbers for every game to give you the winning edge.
Every week I will give you facts that you need to know about every matchup in the NFL to help you set your lineup for the highest probability of winning.
The bye weeks have finally begun and you will be without your Panthers and Packers. With that in mind, let's dig deep here in Week 4 to get a win.
49ers at Rams, Thu., 8:30 p.m. ET
• After throwing for 412 yards and three touchdowns in the season
has just 277
yards passing with no scores and three interceptions in his last two
• Kaepernick did not throw a touchdown in 49 passes against the Rams last year, although St. Louis has allowed at least two passing scores in every game this year and has given up seven total on the season, third most in the NFL. You have to wonder if 'Kap has the weapons to be the fourth straight quarterback with two scores and at least 21 Fantasy points against the Rams this year.
• Frank Gore picked up a season-high 103 total yards on only 13 touches against the Colts in Week 3. The Rams allowed a season-high 193 yards rushing and 27 Fantasy points to the Dallas backs in Week 3. DeMarco Murray ran 26 times for 175 yards and a touchdown in that game.
• Gore has scored in two straight games against the Rams and opposing running backs have scored and produced at least 24 Fantasy points against the Rams in their last two. For the year, the Rams have allowed 150 total yards, a touchdown and 20 Fantasy points per game (sixth most).
• The opposing No. 1 receiver has scored every week and four times total against the Rams this year, most in the NFL, so hopefully Anquan Boldin can get back into the end zone in Week 4.
• Vernon Davis has been held to fewer than 40 yards and without a touchdown in three of his last four games against the Rams. Jason Witten and Tony Gonzalez have 100 yards receiving and no scores combined in their meetings with the Rams this year.
• The 49ers have allowed just 306 yards and one touchdown through the air the last two weeks, after giving up 333 and three to Aaron Rodgers in the opener. Sam Bradford averaged just under 250 yards with one score against San Francisco in 2012. He threw for only 240 yards and one score on 48 attempts in a blowout loss to Dallas after throwing for 651 yards and five scores in the first two weeks.
• Daryl Richardson re-injured his foot in Week 3 and Isaiah Pead could be the primary runner on the short turnaround in Week 4. If Richardson is truly good to go, both he and Pead face a 49ers run defense that has given up a rushing touchdown in every game this year and at least two rushing scores in each of the last two weeks. For the season, the 49ers have allowed a league high six rushing scores and have now surrendered 10 in their last nine games overall.
• Yep, the 49ers allow a league high 25.3 Fantasy points per game to running backs in 2013 on 112.67 yards rushing (fourth most) and two total scores per game. They were the toughest on runners in each of the 2011 and 2012 seasons.
• Austin Pettis has a touchdown catch in four of his last five games. He has also produced fewer than 25 yards receiving in four of his last five games.
• Tavon Austin is one of five receivers to have at least six catches in every game this year. He does not have 50 yards receiving in a game this year, however.
Seahawks at Texans Sun., 1 p.m. ET
• With a banged up
crashed back to earth in Week 3 against the Ravens with
194 yards and one interception. It will not get any easier against a
Seattle defense that leads the league in yards passing (162), touchdowns
(0.33) and Fantasy points per game (8.0) to opposing quarterbacks.
• The Jags did score twice on the ground against the Seattle backups in Week 3, but those are the only rushing scores Seattle has surrendered all season. Seattle is fourth toughest on running backs this year, allowing just 9.67 Fantasy points per game.
• Running backs are gaining just 51.7 yards per game against Seattle (third fewest) on 2.9 yards per carry (also third).
• Arian Foster took 12 carries to Ben Tate nine in Week 3 and Foster has topped 60 yards rushing in just one of his three games this year. After scoring in 13 of 16 games a year ago, he has just one score in three games this year.
• With Johnson banged up the last two weeks, DeAndre Hopkins has caught 13 of his 20 targets for 177 yards and a touchdown. The opposing top target has scored or topped 100 yards against the Seahawks in two of three games this year.
• Russell Wilson had his first 20-point Fantasy game in Week 3, as he tossed four touchdowns on just 21 pass attempts against the Jags. Two of the three quarterbacks to face the Texans have thrown for multiple scores, but only Philip Rivers back in Week 1 was able to top 20 Fantasy points.
• The Texans are allowing just 171.3 yards passing per game this year, second fewest in the NFL, trailing only their Week 4 opponent -- the Seahawks.
• In Week 3, Bernard Pierce became the first running back to score against the Texans. Despite that fact, the opposing starter is still averaging 10.67 Fantasy points per game against them, so we should actually get some Beast Mode on Sunday.
• I don't trust any of the Seattle receivers on a weekly basis because none of them rank in the Top 60 in terms of targets. Until that changes, I will go with higher upside options.
Bengals at Browns, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
became the first
Browns quarterback to throw three touchdowns since 2009, snapping a
54-game streak. He also threw for 321 yards in his Browns debut but
faces a Bengals defense that has not allowed a 300-yard passer in an
NFL-best 14 straight games.
• This same Cincinnati pass defense just held Aaron Rodgers to 244 yards passing with one score and two interceptions on a season-worst 5.7 yards per attempt. Only two quarterbacks in the last 12 have reached 20 points against the Bengals.
• Josh Gordon is a major difference maker for the Browns and a superstar in the making. Gordon led the NFL with 19 targets in Week 3, catching 10 of them for 146 yards and a touchdown. The opposing No. 1 receiver has scored in two of three games against the Bengals while producing an average of 10 Fantasy points per game. The Bengals have allowed 21-plus Fantasy points and a touchdown to the receiver position in every game this year.
• Jordan Cameron is the No. 2 Fantasy tight end after three games with 20 catches for 269 yards and four touchdowns. He has at least 60 yards receiving in every game, but the Bengals have not allowed any tight end groups over 50 yards receiving. That will change. I am not sitting Cameron.
• Every Fantasy defense has scored at least 11 points against the Browns this year and they are averaging 13.33 Fantasy points per game, seventh most in the NFL.
• Week 3 marked the first time that Giovani Bernard (30 snaps) played more than BenJarvus Green-Ellis (23 snaps). Bernard had played at least 15 fewer snaps than Green-Ellis in each of the first two games.
• Bernard's total touches and yards have increased each week from six and 30 in Week 1 to nine and 65 in Week 2 and 14 and 99 in Week 3. He has scored in two straight games and is looking like a permanent No. 2 runner/flex option. A running back has scored in every game against the Browns this year and one has produced at least 11 Fantasy points in back-to-back games.
• The Browns have not allowed a 300-yard passer or multiple passing scores in a single game this year. They are providing only 16 Fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks and Christian Ponder needed two rushing scores to get to 21 against them in Week 3. Andy Dalton threw for 300 yards and three scores in both games against the Browns in 2012, but Joe Haden missed one of them and the second meeting was his first game back after a month-long suspension.
• A.J. Green has scored or topped 110 yards in all four of his career starts against the Browns. He has just 87 yards receiving total in his last two games of this season, however, but did score against the Packers in Week 3.
• The Browns have not allowed a single tight end touchdown this year, nor has a tight end reached 60 yards receiving against them. Cleveland is allowing three Fantasy points per game to tight ends, third fewest in the NFL.
Bears at Lions, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
• Through three games,
has two touchdowns every time out and is averaging a healthy 340 yards
passing and 23.3 Fantasy points per game. He and
are the only two quarterbacks to finish in the Top 12
in each of the first three weeks. With
banged up, Stafford and co. could have a field day
against a Chicago pass defense that just gave up 406 yards and two
scores (with two interceptions) to
. Two of the first three quarterbacks to face the
Bears have thrown for multiple touchdowns with
the lone exception. Stafford had 273 yards and three
scores himself in his last game against Da Bears.
• With Nate Burleson out with a broken arm, Ryan Broyles will play a bigger role this week against the Bears. He posted 10 or more Fantasy points in three of his final six games a year ago and caught all three of his targets for 34 yards in his 2013 debut last week. Burleson had at least six catches in every game this year prior to his injury, but the opposing No. 2 receiver has not reached 50 yards against the Bears yet this year, so I only like Broyles in PPR leagues.
• Calvin Johnson has 100 yards receiving with a score in back-to-back games. He has 100 yards receiving in 10 of his last 12 games, but has not reached the century mark in three straight against Chicago. If Tillman is not 100 percent, and even if he is, that is likely to change. Both A.J. Green and Antonio Brown have 100-plus yards with a score against Chicago this year.
• Joique Bell has at least 18 Fantasy points in two games this year, one with Reggie Bush active and one with him out. He will get the goal line carries, but keep in mind that Detroit did not have a rushing score against Chicago last year and only one runner has scored on the Bears in 2013 (BenJarvus Green-Ellis back in Week 1).
• No running back has more than 13 yards receiving against the Bears this year and none have produced more than eight Fantasy points, including Adrian Peterson . Chicago is sixth toughest on runners right now at 10.67 points per game.
• Believe it or not, the Lions are the second toughest defense on Fantasy quarterbacks right now, allowing just 10.33 Fantasy points per game. They are the only Top 12 quarterback defense that allows 270 yards passing per game, but through three weeks they have given up only two touchdowns and have five interceptions.
• Robert Griffin III and Carson Palmer combined for just 25 Fantasy points against the Lions in Weeks 2 and 3 respectively, so it might not be as easy as one would think for Jay Cutler . Cutler averaged 202.5 yards and one touchdown in two games with the Lions last year and has just one 20-point game through three weeks of 2013.
• Both of the passing touchdowns allowed by the Lions this year have gone to running backs. Matt Forte leads all running backs with 19 catches in 2013 and has produced at least 13 Fantasy points in every game this year. Detroit has allowed at least one running back touchdown in every game, two in two of them and is giving up 24 Fantasy points per game to the position -- second most in the NFL -- on 130 total yards and two scores per game.
• The Lions have not allowed a single receiver or tight end to score this year. Only Jerome Simpson has topped 80 yards receiving or 10 points as receiver. I still start Brandon Marshall after a lackluster Week 3.
• No tight end has reached 55 yards or produced six Fantasy points against the Lions in 2013. Martellus Bennett enters Week 4 with at least 10 Fantasy points in two games, but he was held to just 10 yards on two catches in Week 3.
• The Bears defense already has three touchdowns this year, the same number as the Jacksonville offense.
Colts at Jaguars, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
the Colts looked like many of his Browns games. He ran 13 times for 35
yards (2.7 yards per carry) and a touchdown with a long run of nine
yards. He played 28 of the team's 72 offensive snaps and did not catch a
single one of his three targets.
• Meanwhile, Ahmad Bradshaw ran 19 times for 95 yards (5.0 yards per carry) and a touchdown with a long run of 27 yards. He caught three of his four targets for another 16 yards and led the runners with 39 snaps played. It was Bradshaw who received all of the clock grinding duty in the fourth quarter as well.
• I do think that the Colts will want to unleash Trent in Week 4 against a Jacksonville team that is allowing 128 yards rushing per game to running backs, second most, on a league-high 5.1 yards per carry. Two running back groups have 22 points against the Jags, who are allowing over 18.3 per game, eighth most.
• Andrew Luck now has seven rushing scores for his career, the same number as Robert Griffin III . He will take on a Jacksonville defense that gave up 323 yards passing and five scores to the Seahawks on 11.1 yards per attempt in Week 3. Two of the three quarterbacks to face the Jags have thrown for multiple touchdowns and produced 20-plus points, with Terrelle Pryor as the lone exception. Luck has multiple scores and 20-plus points in both career games against the Jags.
• The Jags have allowed a league-high five wide receiver touchdowns through three games this year. T.Y. Hilton had 100 yards and a touchdown in his first meeting with the Jaguars in 2012, but I do not like that he played fewer snaps than Darrius Heyward-Bey (39 to 58) after playing more than him in Week 2 (50 to 33).
• Seattle's tight ends topped 100 yards and scored two touchdowns en route to a 23-point day in Week 3 against the Jaguars. Hopefully Coby Fleener can get back on track in Week 4, but it should be noted that the Colts tight ends did not score against Jacksonville last year.
• Cecil Shorts leads the NFL with 40 targets through three games and caught eight passes for 143 yards in Week 3. He has at least eight catches and 93 yards in both of Chad Henne starts this year while averaging eight for 118 yards. Now Shorts faces an Indianapolis team that he scored on in both meetings last year, going for 80 yards and a touchdown (14 points) with Blaine Gabbert and then six catches for 105 yards and a score (16 points) with Henne in Week 11.
• Maurice Jones-Drew defied the odds to score against Seattle in Week 3, but he finished the day with just 43 yards on his 19 carries. He does not have 50 yards rushing yet in a game this year, but faces a Colts team that has allowed a running back touchdown and at least 10 Fantasy points to the opposing starter in every game. Even better is that the opposing primary ball carrier has seen his yardage total rise in every game against the Colts from 48 in Week 1 to 69 in Week 2 and 82 in Week 3. Oh yeah, MJD has 100 yards rushing in five of his last six against the Colts, which is nice.
• Opposing Fantasy defenses have scored at least 15 Fantasy points in every game against the Jags this year. For the season, defenses are averaging 20 Fantasy points per game against the Jags -- second most in the NFL -- and Jacksonville has allowed a league-high 15 sacks. The Chiefs scored 30 in Week 1 with Gabbert at quarterback.
Cardinals at Buccaneers, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
became the first
quarterback to throw multiple touchdowns against the Bucs in 2013, but
he still fell short of the 20-point mark, just like every quarterback
they have faced in 2013, including
• After a hot start, Carson Palmer has really struggled the last two weeks with just 435 yards passing, one touchdown and three interceptions combined. He scored 13 Fantasy points against Detroit in Week 2 and was held to just three against the Saints in Week 3. This is a tough matchup and if Larry Fitzgerald remains at less than 100 percent it is one to clearly avoid.
• With Rashard Mendenhall at less than full speed in Week 3, Alfonso Smith took the team's goal line carry and scored. However, it was Andre Ellington who led the team's running backs with 27 snaps played. Stay away from this situation unless Mendenhall is totally healthy and especially stay away this week against a Tampa Bay defense that has not allowed a runner to score or rush for 70 yards in a game this year.
• Larry Fitzgerald in Week 1: eight catches for 80 yards and two touchdowns for a 20-point day. Larry Fitzgerald , Michael Floyd and Andre Roberts combined in Weeks 2-3: 18 receptions for 200 yards and 18 Fantasy points.
• Kenbrell Thompkins became the first receiver to score against the Bucs, when he scored twice against them in Week 2. For the year, no receiver has reached 65 yards against Tampa Bay and only Thompkins has exceeded six Fantasy points.
• Keep an eye on Rob Housler if you need tight end help. He played 39 of the team's 52 snaps and ran 26 of the 42 pass routes in his first game back from injury. He had only one catch for 13 yards on three targets, but could emerge as a "Bye Week Broski" against a Tampa team that allowed 13 Fantasy points to Kellen Winslow in Week 1 and 23 to Jimmy Graham in Week 2.
• Doug Martin is one of only five backs to have at least 10 Fantasy points in every game this year. Unfortunately, the lack of touchdowns has kept him from any big weeks of 18-plus points.
• The Cardinals have yet to allow a running back touchdown this year, but they are vulnerable to pass catching backs. They have allowed 80-plus yards receiving to backs in each of the last two weeks. Martin enters Week 4 with only four receptions for 19 yards in three games. He averaged 30 yards receiving per game in 2012, so hopefully they get him more involved with Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams nursing minor injuries.
• Speaking of Jackson, he has not scored in six straight games and has just 107 yards in his last two games combined against the Saints and the Patriots. Calvin Johnson is the only receiver to score 10 or more Fantasy points against the Cardinals this year and he erupted for 116 yards and two scores in Week 2.
• Mike Williams has not scored in back-to-back games either and produced 70-plus yards receiving just twice since Week 6 of the 2012 season. Only Calvin Johnson (116) and Marques Colston (71) have reached 70 yards against the Cardinals this year.
• Opposing defenses have scored 14.3 Fantasy points per game against the Bucs this year, fourth most. They have also scored 12.3 against the Cardinals, 10th most.
Giants at Chiefs, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
has been held to one
or fewer touchdowns now in 10 of his last 14 games. The good news is
that in his four big games, he has 16 total touchdowns. The bad news is
that Eli has six multi-interception games during that span as well.
• No quarterback has reached 20 Fantasy points (average 11 per game), 300 yards passing or thrown for multiple scores against the Chiefs this year. Kansas City has allowed only two passing scores this year, fewest in the NFL, and has already forced six quarterback turnovers. They also lead the NFL with 15 sacks, which is bad news for Eli, who was just sacked seven times alone in Week 3.
• David Wilson took his highest share of the carries yet in Week 3, as he handled 11 of the team's 15 handoffs. Unfortunately they netted only 39 yards, but he did have a touchdown called back to due to a holding penalty. LeSean McCoy just ran for 159 yards and a score against the Chiefs in Week 3, but in the first two weeks of the season they held Maurice Jones-Drew and DeMarco Murray to a combined 70 yards on 27 carries (2.6 yards per carry).
• Hakeem Nicks saw only one target in Week 3 and failed to catch a single pass just like it was Week 16 of 2012 all over again. Dez Bryant (141 yards and a touchdown for 20 points) is the only outside receiver to score or exceed six Fantasy points against the Chiefs defense, who locked down Cecil Shorts (Week 1) and DeSean Jackson (Week 3).
• I would be nervous about Brandon Myers this week, as Kansas City has not allowed a tight end to have 35 yards receiving in a single game this year. Jason Witten and Brent Celek combined for 30 yards receiving in the last two games against the Chiefs.
• Victor Cruz has at least eight targets in every game this year and Philly slot receiver Jason Avant led the team with five catches for 87 yards and a touchdown in Week 3. Wide receivers have 20-plus points in back-to-back games against the Chiefs, but Cruz is the only one I see as a good start this week for the Giants.
• Opposing defenses have scored at least 17 Fantasy points in each game against the Giants and have produced 27 twice. They are giving up an average of 23.7 Fantasy points per game -- most in the NFL -- which sounds like a great matchup for the top Fantasy defense in 2013 to feast on.
• Jamaal Charles is the only running back in the NFL with 100 total yards and a touchdown in all three games this year.
• Quarterbacks have at least 20 Fantasy points and multiple touchdowns in every game against the Giants this year. New York has allowed seven passing touchdowns this year -- fourth most in the NFL -- and quarterbacks are scoring an average 25.7 Fantasy points per game, seventh most in the NFL. Alex Smith scored 20-plus in each of his first two games and is a good sleeper to rebound in Week 4 after a disappointing Week 3.
• Donnie Avery led the Chiefs with seven catches for 141 yards against the Eagles. He caught all of his targets in that game and faces a Giants team that just gave up two scores to Carolina's No. 2 receiver, Brandon LaFell .
• Dwayne Bowe has a disappointing nine catches for 90 yards and a touchdown in three games in 2013. So far the Giants have held Dez Bryant (22 yards), Demaryius Thomas (52 yards) and Steve Smith (40 yards) all under 60 yards and without a touchdown.
Ravens at Bills, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
• Every quarterback who has faced the Bills has scored at least 19
Fantasy points and thrown two touchdowns.
enters Week 4 with 20 Fantasy points and one touchdown
pass total in his last two.
• In a year without many 100-yard rushers, the Bills have already allowed two in three games, including Bilal Powell , who ran for 149 yards against them in Week 3. For the season, opposing runners are averaging a league-high 146.7 yards rushing per game against Buffalo on 4.6 yards per carry. They are also giving up a league-high 178 total yards per game to the position.
• Bernard Pierce has scored and produced at least 11 Fantasy points in each of the last two games. Even if Ray Rice returns this week, Pierce is a flex option and Rice a starter against an injured Bills defense.
• Torrey Smith has yet to score in 2013 but is 10th among all wide receivers with 269 yards receiving through three games. His 269 yards are the same as Brandon Marshall and one more than Calvin Johnson . Smith has at least 85 yards receiving in every single game this year and the Bills struggle with vertical receivers. They have already allowed three touchdowns of 40-plus yards and the average passing touchdown against them is 31.7 yards, also the league-high..
• The Bills have already allowed a league-high five wide receiver touchdowns this year and are giving up 31 Fantasy points per game to the position. The opposing No. 2 receiver has scored in every single game against the Bills this year, so Marlon Brown could get back into the end zone this week.
• Buffalo was sacked a league-worst eight times in Week 3, which is good news for the Ravens defense, which enters this game coming off of a monster 25-point Fantasy day against the Texans. Baltimore's D has at least 15 points in each of the last two games.
• C.J. Spiller had 10 total yards on 10 touches before leaving with an injury in Week 3. He has just one game of 10 Fantasy points this year and faces a Baltimore defense that has not allowed a single rusher to score a touchdown, generate 60 rushing yards or top seven Fantasy points.
• The Ravens are allowing just 10 Fantasy points per game to the running back position, which puts Fred Jackson streak of three straight games of 10-plus Fantasy points in serious jeopardy. Jackson is one of only five runners with 10 points in every game this year.
• Steve Johnson leads the Bills with 17 catches for 236 yards and two scores on 29 targets (14th among all receivers). He has at least nine Fantasy points in every game this year and is averaging 12 per game. After being slaughtered by the Broncos in Week 1, no receiver has scored or reached 61 yards receiving against Baltimore.
Steelers at Vikings, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
for 406 yards and two scores (with three turnovers) and will face a
Vikings defense that just allowed
to throw for 321 yards and three scores (with three turnovers). The
Vikings have given up a league-high eight passing scores this year and
every quarterback who has faced them has thrown for 292 yards, multiple
scores and produced at least 23 Fantasy points. For the year,
quarterbacks are averaging 323.3 yards (fifth most), 2.67 touchdowns
(the most) and 23.7 Fantasy points per game against Minnesota.
• Antonio Brown exploded with 196 yards and two scores on nine catches and 13 targets. He has at least five catches in every game this year and his 20 total grabs rank tied for sixth in the NFL.
• Minnesota shut down Calvin Johnson in Week 1, holding him to 37 yards on four catches. In Week 2, opposing top target Brandon Marshall got the best of the Vikes with seven catches for 113 yards and a touchdown. Last week, Josh Gordon caught 10 passes for 146 yards and a score against the Vikes, so the opposing top targets have produced at least 17 Fantasy points in each of the last two games against the Vikes.
• No opposing No. 2 receiver has scored or produced eight Fantasy points against the Vikings this year. Emmanuel Sanders has 16 catches on the season, but has not scored yet and only has deep PPR value for Week 4.
• Le'Veon Bell will make his highly anticipated debut against the Vikings in Week 4. Minnesota has allowed 22.33 Fantasy points per game to running backs, third most in the NFL through three games. However, they have given up no touchdowns and just 20 Fantasy points total in the last two games against Chicago and Cleveland. Still, three different backs have topped 13 Fantasy points against them this year and the Browns don't really have a running back.
• No team has allowed more touchdowns (six) to the tight end position this year than the Vikings and they are allowing 16.3 points per game to the position, second most in the NFL. In the last two games alone, both Martellus Bennett (two) and Jordan Cameron (three) caught multiple touchdowns against the Vikes and produced 19 and 24 Fantasy points, respectively. Plug Heath Miller into your lineups this week!
• Kyle Rudolph has just one game with 50 yards receiving in his last eight starts and has two scores total during that span. The Steelers have not allowed a tight end to score against them this year and held Martellus Bennett to 10 yards on two catches.
• Adrian Peterson is averaging 4.1 yards per carry in 2013, down from 6.0 last year. If you take away the first carry of the season, when he ran for 78 yards and a score against the Lions, Peterson has just 203 yards on his last 68 carries (2.9 yards per carry). The Steelers have only surrendered 3.5 yards per carry this year, but they have allowed multiple running back scores in each of the last two games and are giving up 21 Fantasy points per game to the position, fifth most.
• Cordarrelle Patterson played a career-high 20 snaps in Week 3 and led the Vikings with 49 yards receiving. He is second in the NFL with a 4.9 yards per route run average and needs more playing time. Put CP on your waiver wire watch list.
• No wide receiver has reached 55 yards or 10 Fantasy points against the Steelers this year and they have already played A.J. Green and Brandon Marshall .
Jets at Titans, Sun., 4:05 p.m. ET
threw for 331 yards
and had three total touchdowns (two passing) in a 28-point Fantasy day
against the Bills in Week 3. It will be tough to repeat in Week 4
unfortunately as the Titans have not allowed a 300-yard passer this year
and have held two quarterbacks to fewer than 200 yards passing.
• Only Matt Schaub has thrown for multiple scores or topped 20 Fantasy points against the Titans this year. Ben Roethlisberger and Philip Rivers combined for just 24 Fantasy points against Tennessee, who is allowing an average of 16 Fantasy points per game (12th fewest) on 224 yards passing per game (10th fewest).
• Bilal Powell is emerging as a star after rushing for 149 yards on 27 carries in the win over the Bills. He has 12 or more Fantasy points in each of his last two games and will carry the load in Week 4 with Chris Ivory hobbled (again). Powell is currently the 11th ranked Fantasy running back as we enter Week 4.
• The Titans (100.7) are one of only nine teams that are allowing over 100 yards rushing per game to running backs. Opposing running backs have at least 100 yards rushing (averaging 137 per game) with a score in each of the last two weeks against the Titans and are averaging 22 Fantasy points per game during that span.
• Santonio Holmes received a season-high 10 targets in Week 3 and caught five of them for 154 yards and a touchdown. His targets, catches and yards have increased in every single game this year.
• Through three weeks, Stephen Hill leads the Jets with 23 targets, 13 catches and 233 receiving yards. His yardage has increased every week this year as well and he posted a season-best 108 yards and a touchdown on three grabs against the Bills in Week 3. The Titans have allowed 22-plus points to wide receivers in two of the first three weeks, but DeAndre Hopkins is the only player to top 10 Fantasy points against them.
• Chris Johnson is second in the NFL with 69 carries, but ranks sixth with 256 yards thanks to a paltry 3.7 yards per carry average (worst among the top 10 rushers). He does not have a single goal line carry or touchdown this year and has exactly two receiving yards in two games. He is also the only runner with 10 red zone carries to be without a score this season.
• The Jets are allowing a league-low 8.3 Fantasy points per game to opposing running backs in 2013. No runner has reached 75 yards on the ground against the Jets this year and Doug Martin is the only back to score on them. Even with his touchdown, Martin generated only 10 Fantasy points.
• Kendall Wright has at least six catches in each of the last two games, totaling 13 for 125 yards and a touchdown during that span.
• Nate Washington had eight catches for 131 yards in Week 3, but had not topped 50 yards receiving in either of the first two games.
• Kenny Britt did not record a single catch on five targets in Week 3 and has been below 45 yards receiving in nine of his last 10 games. See ya!
• The Jets are allowing 21.7 Fantasy points per game to the receiver position this year and at least one receiver has scored 10 Fantasy points against them in every game.
Eagles at Broncos, Sun., 4:25 p.m. ET
leads the NFL with
1,143 yards passing, 12 passing touchdowns, no interceptions and 115
• Wes Welker is the only receiver in the NFL with a touchdown in all three games.
• Julius Thomas is one of only two tight ends with a touchdown in all three games (Jimmy Graham).
• Eric Decker has at least eight catches in back-to-back games and throttled the Raiders for 133 yards and a touchdown. We know Philly really struggles with opposing No. 2 receivers and Donnie Avery beat them up for 141 yards just a week ago.
• Demaryius Thomas has not scored since Week 1 but is a must start against a Philly defense that has allowed 31 Fantasy points per game to wide receivers, third most in the NFL.
• Play rock, paper, scissors to determine which Denver runner to play in Week 4. It is a bit of a Fantasy mess as Knowshon Moreno (37 snaps and 12 touches), Ronnie Hillman (25 snaps and 10 touches) and Montee Ball (17 snaps and 10 touches) all worked extensively in Week 3. I would lean towards Moreno, Hillman and Ball (who fumbled for the second straight week) in that order for Week 4 against a Philly team that has allowed 365 total yards, one touchdown and 39 Fantasy points to runners over the last two weeks.
• Michael Vick struggled with the brutal Kansas City defense, but should find things easier against Denver in Week 4. Terrelle Pryor just scored 21 Fantasy points against the Broncos and Joe Flacco produced 22 against them in Week 1 as well. Every quarterback who has faced the Broncos has thrown for over 300 yards in 2013 and they are averaging 341.3 per game, third most in the NFL.
• LeSean McCoy leads the NFL with 395 yards rushing through three games. Doug Martin is second with 297! Wow! McCoy is also the No. 1 Fantasy back with 62 Fantasy points through three games.
• DeSean Jackson was slowed by the Chiefs in Week 3 but should bounce back against a Denver team that has allowed at least 80 yards receiving to the opposing No. 1 receiver in every game this year. Opposing No. 1 receivers are averaging 100 yards receiving and 11.7 Fantasy points per game against Denver this year.
• Opposing tight ends have topped 100 yards receiving in two of the three games against Denver this year, so Brent Celek is a nice "Bye Week Broski" if you are without Jermichael Finley or Greg Olsen .
Redskins at Raiders, Sun., 4:25 p.m. ET• Terrelle Pryor has 20-plus points in three of his four NFL starts. If he is healthy enough to play this week (concussion), he will face a Washington defense that is giving up 356 yards passing (second most), 20 yards rushing and three total touchdowns per game to opposing quarterbacks (most in the NFL). Every quarterback who has faced Washington has at least 25 points and the 'Skins are giving up 31.7 per game, second most in the NFL.
• The Redskins faced one other mobile quarterback and Michael Vick ran for 54 yards and a touchdown in that game back in Week 1.
• Darren McFadden is one of the five runners in the NFL to score 10 Fantasy points in every single game this year. In Week 3 he touched the ball 12 times and was held to nine total yards, but thanks to a touchdown pass and a late touchdown rush, he delivered the goods. It should be much easier sledding against the Redskins, who are allowing 22 Fantasy points per game to running backs, fourth most in the NFL.
• Every opposing starter has scored, topped 132 total yards and scored at least 18 Fantasy points against the 'Skins, who are allowing 176 total yards and a touchdown per game on 5.0 yards per carry.
• Denarius Moore now has a touchdown in three of the four games started by Terrelle Pryor and is coming off of a monster Week 3 that saw him catch six passes for 124 yards and a touchdown. The opposing No. 1 receiver has topped 100 yards with a touchdown in every game against Washington this year while averaging 17 Fantasy points per game. Moore is a great sleeper this week.
• No team allows more receiving yards per game (267), touchdowns per game (1.67) or Fantasy points per game (34.67) to wide receivers than the Redskins. Through three games, five receivers have topped 15 Fantasy points against the 'Skins and six have produced at least 11. So yes, Rod Streater is worth a look this week as well.
• Robert Griffin III has thrown for 320 yards in every game this year, but he still has not have a touchdown pass in the first half of a game in 2013 after failing to throw one against Detroit. Week 3 also marked the first game that RG3 failed to produce 23 Fantasy points. If you don't count the Jags, and I don't, Andrew Luck scored 28 Fantasy points against Oakland in Week 1 and Peyton Manning went for 30 in Week 3, so opposing quarterbacks are averaging 29 points per game versus the Raiders. Even if you count the Jags, quarterbacks are still averaging 24.3 Fantasy points per game against the Raiders in 2013.
• Alfred Morris has been a Top 24 runner in all three games this year and faces an Oakland run defense that just gave up 166 yards rushing on 5.2 yards per carry and a touchdown to the Denver runners in Week 3. With a short week to prepare for the Redskins, look for Alf to run wild.
• Pierre Garcon is second in the NFL with 37 targets, is fourth with 23 catches and seventh with 280 yards receiving. The opposing top target has at least 90 yards receiving in every game against Oakland this year.
• The Raiders have allowed a tight end touchdown in every game this year and Jordan Reed is emerging as the top target at the position for RG3. Reed scored in Week 2 and caught five of his six targets for 50 yards in Week 3.
Cowboys at Chargers, Sun., 4:25 p.m. ET
has 20-plus points in
two of his three games this year and is coming off of a three-touchdown
and 26 Fantasy point effort against the Rams in Week 3. Every
quarterback who has faced the Chargers has produced multiple touchdowns,
346 total yards and at least 29 Fantasy points. No team has allowed more
passing yards (356.7) or Fantasy points per game (32.3) to opposing
quarterbacks than the Chargers. Romo does not have a 300-yard passing
game in 2013, but I believe that changes this week.
• DeMarco Murray ran wild against the Rams in Week 3 as he piled up 175 yards and a touchdown on 26 carries. Murray has two Top 12 finishes in 2013 and should make it three against a San Diego team that has allowed 145 total yards per game to opposing runners. Murray has already topped 125 total yards in two of his games this year. It should be noted that the Chargers have not allowed a running back to score on them this year despite facing the Arian Foster / Ben Tate and LeSean McCoy .
• Dez Bryant has 12 touchdown catches in his last 11 games.
• Miles Austin has not scored this year and has topped 50 yards receiving in just two of his last nine games. He is battling a hamstring injury and has only five grabs for 53 yards in his last two games combined.
• If Austin is out this week, Terrance Williams (averaging 8.6 yards per target) is worth a look against a Chargers team that has allowed 30-plus receiver points in each of the last two games. The opposing No. 2 receiver has produced 10.5 Fantasy points per game during that span.
• The Chargers allowed three touchdowns to the tight ends of the Texans in Week 1, but have not allowed a tight end to score since then. Jason Witten scored twice in Week 1, but has not scored since. The good news is that Witten has produced more than 60 yards receiving in six of his last nine games.
• Philip Rivers has thrown for more than 200 yards in only one game this year and crashed back to earth in Week 3 with 184 yards and one score against the Titans. With Malcom Floyd out, Rivers did not have a single wide receiver with more than 35 yards in Week 3, and that is a big problem. Rivers has thrown for less than 200 yards in five of his last six games dating back to last year and faces a Dallas pass defense that has improved every week. Despite facing 48 passes from Sam Bradford , they held him to 240 yards with one score and just 15 Fantasy points in Week 3.
• Danny Woodhead has 15 catches over the last two weeks and produced 86 total yards in Week 3. For the second straight week, he led the Chargers running backs in snaps played and is a solid PPR flex option. Dallas is allowing seven catches (third most), 49.3 yards (eighth most) and 0.3 touchdowns receiving per week to running backs. That amounts to 7.0 Fantasy points per week based on receiving totals alone, which is great news for Woodhead.
• The Cowboys are allowing just 44.3 yards rushing per game to running backs, second fewest in the NFL. No running back has rushed for more than 55 yards or scored a rushing touchdown against the Cowboys in 2013 and they are allowing only 8.67 Fantasy points per game to the position, second fewest in the NFL. Since Ryan Mathews is dependent on rushing totals alone and has not scored on the ground since Week 5 of 2012, you probably want to keep him on the bench.
• Antonio Gates is tops among the 40 most targeted tight ends with a 10.9 yards per target average. He is second only to Jimmy Graham at 15.2 yards per catch and has produced at least 11 Fantasy points in back-to-back games. Dallas is allowing seven catches (second most) and nearly 70 yards receiving per game to tight ends this year, so a healthy Antonio should keep on rolling.
Patriots at Falcons, Sun., 8:30 p.m. ET
does not have a Top 12
finish at the quarterback position nor had he produced 20 Fantasy points
in a game this year. Hopefully he will have
back this week to end his infamous streak. Atlanta has allowed multiple
touchdowns to every quarterback they have faced this year and two of
them threw for 350 yards and multiple scores. The Falcons are allowing
an average of 315 yards, 2.3 passing touchdowns and 24.3 Fantasy points
to quarterbacks this year, so look for Brady to get it going.
• If Gronk is back, he will face an Atlanta defense that has allowed two tight end touchdowns in 2013. It should also be noted that no tight end -- and that includes Jimmy Graham and Jared Cook -- has produced more than 45 yards receiving against Atlanta.
• Kenbrell Thompkins caught two touchdowns in Week 3 and faces an Atlanta pass defense that has allowed the opposing No. 2 receiver to score in each of the last two games. For the year, the opposing No. 2 receiver is averaging 10.7 Fantasy points per game against the Falcons, so Thompkins is a solid No. 3 receiver.
• Aaron Dobson has seen 10 targets in each of the last two games. That volume makes him worth a look if Danny Amendola is out once again.
• Three of the league-high five receiver touchdowns allowed by the Falcons have gone to players lined up in the slot. Julian Edelman has not scored since moving inside with Amendola out, but he does have 20 catches for 122 yards (yep only 6.1 yards per catch) over the last two weeks.
• The snap count for the New England runners in Week 3 was as follows: Stevan Ridley (27 snaps and 12 touches), LeGarrette Blount (24 and 14) and Brandon Bolden (26 and eight, but he had a team-high 100 total yards). Ridley has not scored or rushed for 65 yards in a game this year and no runner has topped 65 against the Falcons this year, who have given up only one rushing score. Ridley did not have a single three-game stretch without a touchdown in 2012. Bolden was the pass catching back and is worth watching, because Darren Sproles is the only runner to produce 10 Fantasy points against the Falcons this year, and he did it thanks to 88 yards receiving.
• The Patriots are second in the NFL against quarterbacks, allowing just 10.3 Fantasy points per game. They have allowed just two passing touchdowns (second fewest) on the season and no quarterback has thrown for more than 236 yards. That will all change this week against Matty Ice. Ryan enters Week 4 averaging 301.7 yards and two touchdowns passing per game.
• Jacquizz Rodgers led the Falcons with 43 snaps played in Week 3 and touched the ball 20 times while producing 93 total yards.
• However, my favorite Fantasy back in Atlanta right now remains Jason Snelling . Snelling played 36 snaps in Week 3 and amassed 111 total yards with a touchdown on 15 total touches. He scored and produced 10-plus Fantasy points for the second week in a row. Snelling has a solid eight catches for 99 yards and a touchdown over the last two weeks as well. He received two of the team's three goal line chances against Miami and is facing a New England team that has allowed 10 Fantasy points to one runner in every game this year.
• Neither the injured Roddy White nor the aged Tony Gonzalez have produced 40 yards receiving in a single game this year. Tight ends are averaging a league-worst 19 yards and one Fantasy point per game against the Pats this year.
• Julio Jones is shouldering the load in the passing game. Through three weeks, he leads the NFL with 27 receptions and 373 yards receiving, despite getting no help from his bros. He is catching a ridiculous 77.1 percent of his targets while averaging 10.7 yards and 1.41 Fantasy points per target.
Dolphins at Saints, Mon., 8:30 p.m. ET
does not have a
touchdown this year and he did not go three straight games without a
score at any point in 2012. He has produced five and four Fantasy points
in the last two games, respectively. In both 2012 and 2011, Sproles had
only two such games all season. The scary thing to me is that Sproles
averaged 1.5 red zone chances per game in 2012, but has just two total
in three games this year. Miami just allowed a receiving score to
, so hopefully Sproles can get on the board in Week 4.
• The Dolphins have allowed at least 18 Fantasy points to running backs in each of the last two weeks, giving up 330 total yards and two scores to the position during that span. Three runners have at least eight points against them in the last two weeks and two have produced at least 13 Fantasy points. Pierre Thomas picked up 67 total yards on 17 touches last week against Arizona and is a flex option if Mark Ingram is banged up again this week against a softer Miami defense that will be without its top playmaker, Cameron Wake .
• Through three games, Lance Moore is tied for 83rd in the NFL with 11 targets. He has just four catches for 41 yards total and I am not sure what the problem is, but I do know that Moore's snap count has fallen from 52 of 69 in Week 1 to 47 of 74 in Week 2 and finally 35 of 76 in Week 3. Kenny Stills has played more snaps than Moore in each of the last two games.
• Jimmy Graham likes to post people up in the end zone and score touchdowns. It works really well and should work again this week against a Miami team that has allowed a tight end touchdown in every single game this year.
• The Dolphins have faced the potent passing attacks of Indianapolis and Atlanta this year, yet they are one of only two teams that have not allowed a single wide receiver touchdown this season. They have allowed a 100-yard receiver in each of the last two games, however, so hopefully Marques Colston can get back to double-digit Fantasy points for the first time since Week 1.
• Ryan Tannehill has been very solid this year but will take on a Saints team that is allowing just 10.7 Fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks, fourth fewest in the NFL. Over the last two weeks, the Saints held both Josh Freeman and Carson Palmer under 200 yards passing, picked off three passes and allowed just 11 combined Fantasy points to the quarterback position. I know it sounds like a guaranteed shootout, but this defense is playing phenomenally well and Tannehill has yet to produce 20 Fantasy points or finish in the Top 12 at his position.
• A Miami runner has scored in all three games this year, with Daniel Thomas scoring both of his touchdowns at the stripe and monopolizing the goal line carries. Lamar Miller did run one in from 11 yards out in Week 2, but he has yet to take more than 15 carries in a game or rush for 70 yards. The Saints have allowed 15.7 Fantasy points per game to opposing runners this year and are surrendering a league-high 5.1 yards per carry. New Orleans is giving up an average of 144 total yards per game to the running back position, so there is upside here. Miller has to score from deep, but the Saints have already allowed a few big runs this year and if I had to gamble on a 'Fins runner this week it would be Miller.
• After a big Week 2, Mike Wallace disappeared for the second time in three games, catching two passes for 22 yards. The Saints have held Julio Jones (76 yards and a touchdown for 11 Fantasy points), Vincent Jackson (77 yards and seven Fantasy points) and Larry Fitzgerald (64 yards and six Fantasy points) in check over the first three weeks. Wallace should perform better than he did in Weeks 1 and 3, but he seems more like the No. 3 receiver I expected him to be all along.
• Brian Hartline has scored in two of the three games this year and leads the 'Fins with 29 targets, 18 receptions, 239 yards and the two scores.
• Charles Clay has seen at least six targets and caught at least four passes for 40 yards in each of the first three games. He had a monster game in Week 2 with 106 yards receiving against the Colts, but could struggle against a Saints team that has not allowed a single tight end to hit 40 yards receiving this year. Tony Gonzalez did score on the Saints in Week 1, but they are giving up just four Fantasy points per game to tight ends this year, sixth fewest in the NFL.
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