Week 7 Fantasy Fact Sheet
Every week I will give you facts that you need to know about every matchup in the NFL to help you set your lineup for the highest probability of winning. New Orleans and Oakland are off this week, but we have tons of data to breakdown, so let's get started.
Patriots at Jets, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
• Despite his late game heroics, the fact remains that
has been a Top 12 Fantasy quarterback or produced 20
Fantasy points in just one of his first six games. He threw for 185
yards and a touchdown (13 Fantasy points) in Week 2 against the Jets,
but should fare better this time around. Over the last four games, the
Jets are allowing 271 yards passing, two touchdowns and 23.75 points per
game to quarterbacks. Also, three straight quarterbacks to face the Jets
have quarterback ratings of at least 111.
• Stevan Ridley was back as the main man in the backfield for the Patriots in Week 6 and it was 2012 all over. He ran 20 times ( LeGarrette Blount ran seven) for 96 yards and two touchdowns. It is a better offense with him on the field and hopefully he will be back to being the man going forward.
• It will not be easy this week against the Jets run defense that has not allowed more than 80 yards rushing to running backs in any single week. Five of the six running back groups to face the Jets have been held below 3.0 yards per carry and for the year they are giving up 64 yards per game (second fewest) on a league-low 2.8 yards per carry. Only two rushers all year have reached 10 Fantasy points against the Jets and both needed a touchdown to do so.
• In the first meeting, the Patriot backs -- including Ridley (team high 16 carries for 40 yards) -- ran for 52 yards on 21 carries and produced five total Fantasy points.
• The routes run (out of 54) and target distribution for the New England receivers in Week 6 was Julian Edelman (25/11), Aaron Dobson (51/10), Kenbrell Thompkins (44/six) and Danny Amendola , who was knocked out of the game (31/two). Remember that Edelman caught 13 passes against the Jets back in Week 2 with Amendola out.
• An outside receiver has produced 99 yards or 10-plus points in every game against the Jets this year. Dobson scored on them in Week 2, while Thompkins has a touchdown in three of his last four games. Opposing No. 2 receivers have four touchdowns against the Jets, third most in the NFL.
• Over the last five weeks, three quarterbacks -- including Geno Smith (three points and three interceptions in Week 2) -- have been held to single-digit Fantasy points against the Pats. Matt Ryan and Drew Brees are the only exceptions during that span. New England has an interception in five straight games, with seven total during the streak.
• Bilal Powell led the Jets running backs by playing 33 of the 58 snaps, but took only 12 touches and gained 50 yards against the Steelers. He has 13 or fewer touches in both games with Chris Ivory and Mike Goodson back in what had turned into a three-piece committee. Powell is still the leader of the pack and with Goodson out for the year he will be back as the primary pass catcher, so I would not give up on him just yet.
• The Patriots have allowed 120 yards rushing with a touchdown to running backs in both games without Vince Wilfork this year. The Jets ran for 112 yards with a Powell touchdown back in Week 2.
• Since Week 1, the Patriots have allowed only one wide receiver touchdown and only Julio Jones has even reached 10 Fantasy points against them.
• Jeff Cumberland has led the Jets in receiving in each of the last two games and has a touchdown in two of his last three outings as well. The Patriots have given up at least 60 yards to tight ends in three straight, averaging 97 yards per game during that span.
Bears at Redskins, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
• Peyton Manning, Drew Brees and
are the only quarterbacks with 20-plus Fantasy points in five games this
year. The Redskins held Tony Romo to just 10 Fantasy points in a bizarre
game that featured multiple huge kick returns for Dallas that never let
Romo get it going. For the year, the Skins are still allowing 22.8
Fantasy points (ninth most) to the position on 293 yards (eighth) and
two scores (eighth) per game.
• Matt Forte and Jamaal Charles are the only Fantasy backs with 10-plus points in every game this year. He is also second with four games of more than 100 total yards. Yes, he will light up the Skins, who have given up 159 total yards and 21 Fantasy points per game (fourth most) to backs this year.
• Brandon Marshall will get his, but look for Alshon Jeffery to bounce back in Week 7. The opposing No. 2 receiver has 100 yards or a touchdown in three straight games against Washington (yes, I am throwing out the Matt Flynn game) and is averaging 12.3 Fantasy points per game. Washington is still surrendering 25.4 points per game to receivers -- eighth most -- on 199.6 yards and 1.2 scores per game.
• Martellus Bennett should get back to the end zone after a four-week drought against a Washington defense that has allowed a tight end to score in four of their five games this year. In his last three games, Bennett has 19 catches for 214 yards, which is 6.3 receptions and 71.3 yards per game.
• Washington has allowed a defensive or special teams touchdown in each of the last two games. The have allowed 10-plus Fantasy points to defenses in three straight and four of five on the year.
• Robert Griffin III looks much healthier and is coming off of a season-high 77 yards rushing against the Cowboys. He was extremely inaccurate however and completed just 19 of his 39 throws while missing some wide open receivers. RG3 has just one passing touchdown in his last three games and will face a Bears pass defense that is averaging two quarterback takeaways per game and has only allowed Brees to exceed 20 Fantasy points.
• If Brandon Jacobs could pound the Bears for 106 yards and two touchdowns on 4.8 yards per carry, then I would expect Alfred Morris to do the same. Morris is averaging 5.2 yards per carry this season, but has not received more than 16 carries in a game and is averaging 14.4 for the season. That has to change.
• Pierre Garcon is the only receiver to rely on in Washington. He leads all receivers at 11.8 targets per game and is the only receiver with at least six receptions in every game. RG3 missed him on some big play opportunities, but those will come and I would buy low if you can. Chicago has allowed five scores to opposing No. 1 receivers this year, second most in the NFL.
• Jordan Reed has at least five catches, 50 yards or a touchdown in every game this year. He is the primary pass catching tight end for the Skins and should only get better as the year goes on. This week could be tough as Chicago has allowed only one tight end touchdown all year and only two tight ends (one of which was Jimmy Graham) have reached six Fantasy points against them.
Chargers at Jaguars, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
had an average
performance on MNF with one touchdown and only 15 Fantasy points
against the Colts. He will bounce back against the Jags, who have given
up 12 passing scores (two-plus in every game) and an average of 28
Fantasy points per game over their last four games.
• Ryan Mathews rushed for a season-high 102 yards against the Colts and now has 100 total yards in each of his last two full games. Mathews has at least 16 carries in four straight games and has 10-plus Fantasy points in 60 percent of his starts this year.
• Danny Woodhead has five catches in five straight games and is averaging a very solid 78 total yards per game during that run. He is also the team's red zone back, receiving 19 opportunities inside the 20, which is more than Mathews (nine) and Ronnie Brown (eight) combined. He also leads the Charger runners with four goal line chances as well.
• Both are great starts against the Jags, who are allowing 120.8 yards per game on the ground (second most) on a league-high 4.7 yards per carry. The Jags have allowed 100 yards rushing or a touchdown in every game this year and are allowing one rushing score and 20.7 Fantasy points per game to the position.
• Keenan Allen has become a star right before our very eyes. I called him the team's top receiver before Week 6 and his 12-target, nine-catch, 107-yard, and one touchdown performance confirmed it. Over the last three weeks, Allen has caught 20 of his 27 targets (74.7 percent) for 302 yards (11.4 yards per target) and two scores. He has 100 yards and a touchdown in each of the last two games.
• The Chargers shut down the Colts on Monday night and should have similar success against the Jags in Week 7. Every defense to face the Jags has at least 10 Fantasy points and five of six have produced at least 15. For the year, defenses are averaging 19 Fantasy points per game against Jacksonville, second most in the NFL.
• Chad Henne threw for over 300 yards in the loss to the Broncos, but failed to find the end zone and tossed two picks. Prior to blanking Andrew Luck on Monday, every quarterback who had faced San Diego had produced at least 22 Fantasy points and thrown for multiple touchdowns. Henne will be chucking it again this week and is an intriguing "Bye Week Broski."
• Maurice Jones-Drew is on the comeback trail! He has at least eight Fantasy points in back to back games and three of the last four. He has a score in two of the last four games and is coming off of a season best 13 Fantasy points against the Broncos. It will be tough this week against the Chargers, who have allowed no running back touchdowns this year while giving up just 12 Fantasy points per game to the position, third-fewest in the league.
• Despite facing Arian Foster, LeSean McCoy, Chris Johnson, Trent Richardson and DeMarco Murray, no back has scored on the Chargers this year and only McCoy reached 10 Fantasy points
• I have a "bromance" brewing with Justin Blackmon , who will be a Top 10 Fantasy receiver the rest of the way. He has 100 yards receiving in both games this year and led the NFL with 20 targets, 14 catches and 190 yards in Week 6 against the Broncos.
Cowboys at Eagles, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
had an off night
against the Redskins in Week 6, but will bounce back against the Eagles
in Week 7. After all, Mike Glennon just threw for 273 yards and two
scores against Philly, as he became the fourth quarterback to hit the
22-point mark against them this year. For the season, the Eagles are
giving up 327.5 yards (third), 2.17 touchdowns (seventh) and 25 Fantasy
points per game to quarterbacks (fourth).
• DeMarco Murray has 10-plus Fantasy points in four of his six games this year, but if he is unable to go, Joseph Randle is expected to start. Randle ran 11 times for 17 yards and a touchdown against the Redskins, while catching two passes for another 15 yards. He showed good power and vision despite an ugly yards per carry (1.5) which was due in large part to the fact that he was killing the clock in obvious run-only situations.
• After a slow start against running backs (18.5 points per game over the first four), the Eagles held the backs of New York and Tampa Bay to a 63.5 yards rushing and 10 Fantasy points per game the last two weeks. If Murray is out, Randle is still a solid pickup and play at flex, but the Eagles have been better of late.
• The Eagles have allowed eight receiver touchdowns and 116 Fantasy points to receivers in their last three games alone. That's an average of 38.7 Fantasy points per game and five receivers have 14-plus points during that span.
• Terrance Williams was only targeted twice against the Skins, but caught both for 27 yards and a touchdown. Over the last three weeks, he has hauled in 13 of his 14 targets for 249 yards and two touchdowns. Send Miles Austin to the bench please!
• The Eagles have not allowed a tight end to score this year, but Timothy Wright of the Bucs just had seven catches for 91 yards against them in Week 6.
• All Nick Foles has done in basically six quarters of action is complete 38 of 56 passing (70 percent) for 493 yards (8.8 yards per attempt) and five touchdowns. He even added a touchdown running against the Bucs last week, when he produced 35 Fantasy points and was the No. 2 overall quarterback. If Foles starts, he is a great option for your Fantasy teams this week and if it is Michael Vick instead, of course you can roll with him against the Cowboys, who are giving up 27.67 Fantasy points per game to quarterbacks, second most in the NFL.
• As if you needed another reason to love him, LeSean McCoy leads the NFL with three games of 100 yards rushing and one game of 100 yards receiving. He is also the first back to score 10-plus Fantasy points on the Buccaneers.
• The Cowboys have allowed a league-high 14 passing touchdowns this year and six have gone to secondary receivers, four of which went to slot guys. Riley Cooper is coming off of his best game of the year, with four catches for 120 yards and a touchdown, but he had just 97 yards in the first five games combined. Jason Avant has one game with 14 Fantasy points this year, but has just eight catches for 61 yards the last three weeks combined.
• DeSean Jackson has four games with 16-plus Fantasy points this year, most in the NFL. Two of them have come in the last two games with Foles at the command. In six quarters, Foles has targeted Jackson 13 times and they have connected on 11 of them for 134 yards and three touchdowns, including two against the tough Tampa Bay pass defense.
Bengals at Lions, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
came alive in Week
6 with his first 20-point Fantasy game of the year. He threw for 337
yards and three scores en route to a 30-point Fantasy day against the
Bills. The Lions have allowed multiple touchdowns and 20 Fantasy points
in two of their last three games (Jay Cutler and Brandon Weeden) and are
allowing 302 yards passing per game over their last four. No quarterback
has yet to reach 21 Fantasy points against the Lions in 2013, but Dalton
is a streaky quarterback. He had seven games with 25 or more Fantasy
points in 2012, six of those seven came in two separate three game
streaks, so he is a starting option for those of you without Drew Brees.
• In Week 6 Giovani Bernard out-snapped BenJarvus Green-Ellis 50 to 37. Gio took a career-high 21 touches and had 100 total yards and a touchdown against the Bills. He had six catches for 72 yards and a score in his most prolific day as a pass catcher this year. The Law Firm took a solid 18 carries for 86 yards and has 37 carries over the last two weeks.
• Running backs have scored eight times against the Lions -- second most in the NFL -- and a running back has at least 13 Fantasy points in five of the six games against them this season. Just last week, the Browns pass catching back, Chris Ogbonnaya , scored 14 Fantasy points thanks in large part to seven catches for 61 yards and a touchdown.
• Eight receivers have already scored 10-plus points against the Lions this year and an outside receiver has topped 100 yards in three straight games with a touchdown in two of them. A.J. Green had a major bounce back in Week 6 with 103 yards and a touchdown of his own.
• Receivers have at least 25 Fantasy points in three straight games against the Lions and the opposing No. 2 receiver has scored in all three of those games. Marvin Jones has a score in two of his last four games, but remains risky until he runs more than 19 of the team's 48 routes like he did last week. Jones is outplaying Sanu, but until the playing time reflects it, he is not a prudent start.
• The Lions have not allowed a tight end touchdown and Tyler Eifert / Jermaine Gresham still do not have a score on 59 combined targets.
• Matthew Stafford erupted with four touchdowns against the Browns and takes on a Bengals team that has allowed 20-plus Fantasy points to quarterbacks in their last two road games against Brian Hoyer and Thad Lewis. The Bengals have not allowed a 300-yard passer in an NFL-best 20 straight games, but that could change this week.
• Cincinnati has allowed 21 receptions, 114 yards and a touchdown for 17 Fantasy points to running backs on receiving totals alone the last three weeks. Reggie Bush just trashed the Browns for 135 total yards (57 receiving) and a touchdown in Week 6. Cincinnati has not allowed a running back rushing touchdown in three straight games.
• Kris Durham has seen his targets increase in three straight games and caught a season-best eight passes for 83 yards on 13 targets. He has 21 targets and is averaging 8.5 Fantasy points per game the last two weeks.
• Joseph Fauria put himself on the map with a three-touchdown game against the Browns in Week 6. He caught all three of his targets for 34 yards and the three touchdowns. For the year, Fauria has scored on five of his nine targets and seven catches, which is insane. He is a red zone specialist (four of his five touchdowns have come from inside the red zone and the other was 23 yards) who ran only 14 of his team's 48 routes last week. He had not even played 14 snaps in a game prior to Week 6 so it is a great story, but he is tough to count on.
Rams at Panthers, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
touchdowns for the second straight game in Week 6 and now has three such
games on the year, tied for second in the NFL behind only Peyton
Manning. He also has a shocking four games of 20-plus points this year
despite throwing for less than 250 yards in four straight. He is
unlikely to make it five games with 20 against the Panthers, who have
not allowed multiple passing touchdowns or 17 Fantasy points to a
quarterback all year. They are No. 1 in terms of Fantasy points allowed
to quarterbacks at just 10.2 per game.
• Zac Stacy is the main man for the Rams and played 38 of the team's 47 snaps, while no other runner played more than five. He ran 18 times for 79 yards and caught two passes for 11 yards. He has more than 75 total yards in back-to-back games and will likely become the first Rams runner to hit 10-points in a game this year. It might be tough against the Panthers, who have allowed only one running back group to 100 yards this year and are giving up just 69 yards rushing over their last three games. At home against the Giants and Seahawks, Carolina has allowed just 106 yards rushing total in two games and just 8.5 points per game to running backs.
• Did you know? The Rams are the only team in the NFL without a rushing touchdown this year.
• Do not trust any of the Rams wide receivers against Carolina. No receiver has produced even six Fantasy points in three straight games against them and the entire position is averaging 7.3 points per game during that span.
• Tavon Austin played only four snaps in Week 6.
• Lance Kendricks has scored in three straight games, but has only 45 yards receiving total in those games. He has also played more snaps that Jared Cook in each of the last two games and Cook has not scored or produced 50 yards in a game since Week 1. The Panthers have allowed a tight end to score in each of the last two games.
• The Rams have allowed multiple passing touchdowns in five of their first six games -- including two of the last three -- but none of the last three quarterbacks to face them have produced 20 Fantasy points.
• Cam Newton was the No. 1 Fantasy point scorer in Week 6, as he threw for 242 yards with three touchdowns and added 30 yards and a score on the ground for 36 points. Three quarterbacks have topped 21 points against St. Louis this year and Cam will try to keep his momentum going.
• DeAngelo Williams has 85-plus total yards in four of his five games this year and produced 117 last week, thanks to a season-high 53 yards receiving. He does not have a touchdown on the year, however, and is totally yardage depended for his production. The good news is that the Rams are giving up a league-high 127 yards rushing (on 4.7 yards per carry) and a league-high 171 total yards to running backs. Jonathan Stewart is eligible to return this week, so keep an eye on his utilization relative to DeAngelo if he is in fact ready to play.
• The Rams are also allowing a rushing touchdown to a back each week and 22.7 Fantasy points per game -- second most in the NFL -- so even Mike Tolbert can be worth a look as a deep flex. Tolbert scored twice last week and has three scores on the season and eight in his last eight games dating back to last year.
• The opposing No. 1 receiver has a touchdown in five of the six games against the Rams this year with Andre Johnson (seven catches for 88 yards) being the lone exception. Steve Smith is still looking to get over 61 yards for the first time this year and hopefully will score for the second straight week against the Rams, who have allowed at least 88 yards to the No. 1 in three straight games.
• Ted Ginn and Brandon LaFell have five touchdown catches between them in the last four games. They each have a touchdown in two of the four games, but the problem is that when they don't score, they average 4.5 and 2.5 Fantasy points per game, respectively.
Buccaneers at Falcons, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
Fantasy points against the Eagles and believe it or not, he could have
similar success against the Falcons as a two-quarterback league sleeper
again this week. Every quarterback to face Atlanta this year has thrown
multiple touchdowns and four of them have produced at least 24 Fantasy
points. No quarterback has been held below 17 and Atlanta is allowing
292 yards, a league-high 2.4 passing touchdowns and 24.8 Fantasy points
(fifth most) per game to the position.
• Doug Martin has not scored since Week 1 and is averaging just 3.5 yards per carry in 2013, down 1.1 yards from his 4.6 yards per carry average in 2012. The Falcons have allowed 100 yards rushing to backs in just one game this year, but over the last three weeks they are giving up 101.3 yards per game and more importantly, they are allowing 5.2 yards per carry.
• Vincent Jackson ended his touchdown drought in a big way with nine catches for 114 yards and two scores against the Eagles in Week 6. Atlanta has allowed a wide receiver score in every game this year and is providing 27.4 Fantasy points per game to the position, fifth most.
• If Mike Williams is back, he is worth a look too. Williams scored in his only start with Glennon and the Falcons have allowed four scores to opposing No. 2 receivers in five games.
• File away the name Timothy Wright of the Bucs, the converted receiver is playing tight end in Tampa and caught seven of his nine targets for 91 yards in Week 6. He has 12 catches for 132 yards the last two weeks and is playing over half of the snaps since Glennon took over. Atlanta has allowed a tight end to score in three straight games and four of five this year. Tight ends are scoring 11 Fantasy points per game against the Falcons, seventh most in the NFL.
• Matt Ryan will not have Julio Jones (580 yards receiving in five games) and could be without Roddy White this week. Nick Foles owned the Bucs for 35 points last week, but he is the only quarterback to Top 20 points against them this year. With Roddy I am ok with Ryan, but without him, it will be tough.
• Steven Jackson is expected back this week and will hope to build on what LeSean McCoy did to Tampa in Week 6 when he rushed for 116 yards and 171 total. McCoy is the first back to reach 10 Fantasy points against the Bucs, who have not allowed a single running back touchdown all season. Jackson had 122 total yards in his only full game this year and then scored on the first series before leaving in Week 2. The Falcons did have three running back scores against the tough Jets in Week 5.
• Harry Douglas will be counted on in a major way without Julio Jones . He has been targeted six or more times in 15 career games. He has two touchdowns, one game with 100 yards and only two games with 10 or more Fantasy points during that span. Douglas has been called upon to start in the past and has never really delivered, so yes he is worth a grab off the wire, but history suggests he won't come anywhere close to being an every week play.
• Tony Gonzalez has been targeted 14 times in each of the last two games and has caught 22 passes for 246 yards and two scores. He will have to carry a heavy load with Jones out despite the fact that the middle of the field might not be as open as it used to be. No tight end has scored or reached 35 yards against the Bucs in three straight, but Gonzo will get every opportunity to do both a Jimmy Graham who had 10 catches for 179 yards and a score against the Bucs back in Week 2.
Bills at Dolphins, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
was held below 10
points for the first time this year in Week 6. He played 38 snaps and
took 14 touches for 48 yards.
• C.J. Spiller played only 19 of the team's 70 snaps in Week 6 and ran 10 times for 55 yards to go with two catches for 11 yards. He needs to be out there more to have any kind of a shot and hopefully by next week they deem him healthy enough to take a fuller workload. The under-utilization of Spiller, who is averaging a solid 4.2 yards per carry for the year, is brutal.
• The Dolphins have allowed a back to score on them in four straight games and have given up at least 18 Fantasy points to the position in each game. During that span, backs are averaging 105 yards and one touchdown rushing plus 70 yards and 0.5 touchdowns as pass catchers. It all adds up to 24.5 Fantasy points per game, so both Buffalo backs are back as No. 2 running back/flex options again this week.
• The Dolphins have not allowed a wide receiver to score all year and the Buffalo quarterback situation is shaky, so the receivers are not worth trusting right now.
• Scott Chandler has a touchdown in two of his last four games and has at least 40 yards receiving in three of them. A tight end has scored against Miami in four of the five games this year and they have allowed a league-high six for the year, despite already having their bye week. Chandler -- who has two games of 10-plus points in his last four -- could do well as a sleeper against a Miami team that has allowed three 10-plus point games to the position and 14.2 per game this year (second most in the NFL).
• The Bills have given up multiple passing touchdowns in five of their six games this year and have allowed 300 yards and two scores in three of the last four games. Andy Dalton posted his first 20-point game of the year against Buffalo in Week 6 and Ryan Tannehill will look to do the same.
• Despite his lack of production in Week 5 against the Ravens, Lamar Miller played 45 of the team's 59 snaps, which was by far his largest percentage of the year. Now he will face a Buffalo team that is allowing 126.8 yards rushing and 17.2 Fantasy points per game to running backs this year, excluding the Baltimore debacle (nine carries), so he should get back on track.
• The Bills have allowed 10 touchdowns to receivers this year, second most in the NFL. A receiver has scored in every game against Buffalo and the Bills are allowing 227 yards (second most), 1.7 touchdowns (second) and 32 Fantasy points (you guessed it, also second) per game to the position. Five receiver groups have produced at least 24 points against Buffalo and four have produced 34 or more. That's pretty scary when you consider Buffalo has faced the juggernauts of New England, Carolina, the Jets, Ravens, Browns and Bengals this year.
• No team has allowed more touchdowns to opposing No. 2 receivers than the Bills (six) this year, so Brian Hartline is a solid gamble as your No. 3 receiver.
• Mike Wallace has two games over 100 yards receiving and three under 25 since joining the 'Fins. I'll take my chances this week against the Bills.
• Charles Clay has been a monster this year, but the Bills will be his toughest test. The Bills have allowed only one tight end touchdown this year, held Jordan Cameron to his worst game and only Greg Olsen has eclipsed three Fantasy points against them. For the year, Buffalo has allowed 36 yards and four Fantasy points per game to tight ends, both second-fewest in the NFL.
• Finally, Matt Flynn or Jeff Tuel may start for the Bills and if they do, stream the 'Fins this week!
49ers at Titans, Sun., 4:05 p.m. ET
had his best
game throwing the ball since Week 1 as he completed 16 of his 29 passes
for 252 yards and two touchdowns last time out. It was his first game of
200 yards passing or multiple scores since Week 1, but he still fell
short of 20 Fantasy points for the fifth straight game. Only one
quarterback has scored 20 against the Titans this year and they are
giving up 13.3 Fantasy points per game, fifth fewest in the league. The
Titans have not allowed a passing score in two straight games and have
given up just two in the last four games. 'Kap still has just one game
all year with more than 22 rushing yards and has not reached 20 yards on
the ground in three straight.
• Frank Gore has at least 80 yards rushing and 10-plus Fantasy points in four straight games. He is averaging 13.75 points per game during that span and became the first back to rush for 100 yards against the Cards in Week 6. Jamaal Charles and Marshawn Lynch both topped 130 total yards with a touchdown against the Titans in each of the last two weeks.
• Kendall Hunter is currently tied for sixth in the NFL with three rushing touchdowns. He is a must have if you have Gore on your roster and would be a stud in the event of an injury.
• If you take out Week 1, Anquan Boldin is averaging 3.2 catches, 42.6 yards, 0.2 touchdowns and 5.0 Fantasy points per game. He had more Fantasy points in Week 1 then he has had in the last five games combined.
• The Titans have not allowed a receiver to score in four straight games and are allowing just 10.25 points per game to the position during that span. For the year, the Titans have given up only 14.7 points per game to receivers, second fewest in the NFL.
• Vernon Davis is a monster. As I wrote in the offseason, he is the only tight end in the league that can challenge Jimmy Graham , and he has done just that. Davis had a massive game with eight catches for 180 yards and two scores in Week 6 and now has 80-plus yards in five of his last seven games, with three 100-yard efforts and seven scores during that run.
• With Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback for the Titans, opposing Fantasy defenses are averaging three sacks, 2.5 turnovers and 18 Fantasy points per game.
• The only player on the Titans I have any confidence about (especially in a PPR league) is Kendall Wright . Wright has caught at least five passes in five straight games and is a good PPR sleeper in Week 7. He has at least 10 PPR points in each of those games and is averaging 13 points per game in that format during that run, including five catches for 69 yards against the Seahawks last week.
• Chris Johnson ran 69 times for 256 yards in the first three games of the year. In the last three games, he has 37 carries for 71 yards total. Buy him for a penny and maybe he comes through after his bye week when he has a great schedule, including Jacksonville in Week 16.
Browns at Packers, Sun., 4:25 p.m. ET
• Four of the five quarterbacks to face the Packers have thrown for
multiple touchdowns this year and a Megatron-less Matthew Stafford was
the only exception.
threw for two scores against a tough Lions defense and is a solid "Bye
Week Broski" considering that no quarterback has been below 16 Fantasy
points against Green Bay this year.
• Joe Flacco just threw for 342 yards and two scores (23 Fantasy points) and had his second 20-point Fantasy day of the year (first since Week 1) against the Pack. Quarterbacks are averaging 314.2 yards (sixth most), 2.2 touchdowns and 23.6 Fantasy points per game (seventh most).
• Believe it or not, the Browns have had a running back with 10 Fantasy points in three straight games. Twice, it has been Chris Ogbonnaya , who has 12 catches for 82 yards and two scores in his last two full games. Once it was Willis McGahee , who ran for 72 yards and a score against the Bills in Week 5.
• McGahee is only averaging 51.7 yards per game in his three starts with the Browns and has just one catch for two yards. The Packers have allowed just 54 yards rushing and nine total Fantasy points per game to Detroit and Baltimore the last two weeks. Neither Ray Rice nor Reggie Bush even topped six Fantasy points in those two.
• Josh Gordon is averaging 6.25 catches, 107.25 yards and 0.5 touchdowns per game. He has three games of 10-plus Fantasy points and should feast on the Packers. Green Bay has allowed four touchdowns to opposing No. 1 receivers, who are averaging 13.2 Fantasy points against them this year. At least one receiver has nine Fantasy points in every game against Green Bay.
• After a fast start, Jordan Cameron has been held without a touchdown and to just 100 yards on eight catches the last two weeks. Green Bay has allowed at least nine Fantasy points to tight ends in four of their five games this year, including 195 yards, one touchdown and 25 Fantasy points the last two weeks alone from Dallas Clark, Brandon Pettigrew and Tony Scheffler.
• Aaron Rodgers has 20 Fantasy points in only two of his five games this year and may be without both James Jones and Randall Cobb due to injury.Hopefully he can do what Stafford did in Week 6 and toss multiple touchdowns against the Browns. Prior to Week 6, the Browns had allowed only two passing scores in their first five games, but they did allow four last week. Only two quarterbacks -- Stafford and Christian Ponder -- have exceeded 14 Fantasy points against the Browns this year, and Ponder needed two rushing scores to do it.
• Eddie Lacy is the bell cow for the Packers, taking 23 carries in each of the last two games and rushing for 219 yards. He rushed for 120 against the stout Ravens and should do well against a Cleveland defense that has given up 253 yards rushing, four total touchdowns and 59 Fantasy points to running backs the last two weeks alone. The Browns have allowed a league-high six running back rushing scores this year and Bush scored on them as a pass catcher in Week 6.
• Jordy Nelson has at least eight Fantasy points in every game this year and has produced 17 Fantasy points three times. He is averaging an excellent 12 yards per target and has a tough matchup with a Browns secondary that has not allowed a receiver score in four straight games. With Cobb and Jones banged up, he will likely draw Joe Haden , but Nelson is too hot to sit.
• Jarrett Boykin stepped in for Cobb and saw six targets last week, catching one for 43 yards.
• Jermichael Finley will be heavily utilized against a Browns team that just gave up three touchdowns to Joseph Fauria. Finley has seen six or more targets in all four of his full games and has two touchdowns on the year. He has at least seven Fantasy points in three of his four games and should be heavily involved once the Green Bay staff identifies the mismatches that were exploited by Detroit's tight ends in Week 6.
• Opposing defenses have at least 10 Fantasy points in every game started by Weeden and are averaging 15 points per game.
Ravens at Steelers, Sun., 4:25 p.m. ET
back to the
scrap heap this week against the Steelers, who have been lock down on
Fantasy quarterbacks. Pittsburgh is giving up 202 yards (second fewest),
0.8 touchdowns (league-low) and 12 Fantasy points per game (third
fewest) to quarterbacks this year. Flacco has multiple touchdown passes
in only two career games against the Steelers in 12 tries. He did not
reach 200 yards against them in 2012.
• Ray Rice is averaging a career-low 2.8 yards per carry and a career-low 4.3 yards per catch in 2013. He has just one game with more than 40 yards rushing this season, but has scored in four of his last five meetings with the Steelers. Pittsburgh has given up at least 90 rushing yards in four games this year and at least 100 total running back yards in all five. The Steelers have given up two running back scores in three of their last four games and Rice will need to score to get back on track.
• Torrey Smith had at least 85 yards receiving in the first five games before laying an egg (one catch for 12 yards) in Week 6. No opposing No. 1 receiver has scored against the Steelers this year and they held A.J. Green and Brandon Marshall to 93 combined yards this year. Smith has three games with three or fewer Fantasy points in four starts against the Steelers, so while he is the only show in town, he has some risk.
• Dallas Clark responded from his Week 5 goose egg with four catches for 81 yards and his first touchdown of the year in Week 6. The Steelers have not allowed a tight end to score this year and not tight end has reached 70 yards or seven Fantasy points.
• Five defenses and three straight have 10-plus Fantasy points against the Ravens, who have just two or fewer offensive touchdowns in five straight games. Over the last three weeks the Bills, Dolphins and Packers defenses averaged 14.3 Fantasy points per game.
• Since Peyton Manning shredded the Ravens in Week 1, no quarterback has thrown multiple touchdowns against them and the last five -- including Aaron Rodgers -- are averaging just 11.2 points per game. The only hope for Ben Roethlisberger is that both Rodgers and Ryan Tannehill have topped 300 yards passing with one score and produced 18 Fantasy points in each of the last two games.
• Le'Veon Bell struggled as expected against the tough Jets, rushing for 34 yards on 16 carries. He does have more than 20 yards receiving in both starts this year and will find it a little easier against the Ravens, who just gave up 120 yards to Eddie Lacy on 23 carries. Still, Baltimore has allowed only one running back score all year and only two backs over 60 yards rushing.
• Antonio Brown has at least 11 targets, nine catches and 86 yards receiving in three straight games. Interestingly enough, he has never scored on the Ravens, but the opposing No. 1 receiver has 100-plus yards in each of the last two games against Baltimore.
• Receivers have at least 219 yards and 23 Fantasy points in each the last two weeks against the Ravens. Believe it or not, Emmanuel Sanders has at least eight targets in four games and is averaging 8.8 per game. Unfortunately, he has just one touchdown (last week) and is averaging 60 yards per game.
• Heath Miller has 12 catches for 154 yards in his two full games, with six catches and at least 70 yards in each game. Miller had 94 yards and a score in his last meeting with Baltimore and gets a 2013 team that has struggled with his position. Four tight ends have at least seven Fantasy points against the Ravens, who are giving up 70 yards and nine points per game to the position.
Texans at Chiefs, Sun., 4:25 p.m. ET
is the only bright
spot in Houston right now and he has at least 118 total yards in three
straight games. Over the last three weeks, Foster has run for 341 yards
and added 14 catches for 146 yards, which adds up to an impressive 487
total yards. He is averaging 5.0 yards per carry and 10.1 yards per
catch during the last three.
• Foster only has one rushing touchdown in six games this year and has never had a six-game stretch with only one rushing score since coming into the league, and that includes 2009, when he didn't even take a carry in two of the games.
• Foster is still in the Top 10 in both red zone (17 -- ninth) and goal line (six -- ninth) opportunities. He has just failed to convert at his usually elite level and that is likely a product of the team's overall offensive woes.
• Andre Johnson has one touchdown grab in his last 14 games. He is tied for 61st in the NFL with three red zone targets, despite being second in the league with 65 targets overall. Dez Bryant and Denarius Moore are the only opposing No. 1 receivers to score on the Chiefs this year.
• DeAndre Hopkins has seven catches for 97 yards total in his last three games. Kansas City has allowed 20-plus Fantasy points and one receiver touchdown in four of their last five games, but it is tough to trust a Texans receiver given the uncertainty they will have at quarterback against the No. 1 defense in the NFL.
• Garrett Graham had an inauspicious debut with two catches for 25 yards on three targets in the loss to the Rams. It will not get any easier against the Chiefs this week, who are allowing a league-low 2.0 Fantasy points per game to tight ends. No tight end has scored or reached 45 yards against the Chiefs all season.
• Alex Smith has not thrown a touchdown pass in three of his last four games and is not a recommended play against the Texans. Houston is allowing a league-low 144 yards passing per game and while Sam Bradford did throw three touchdowns last week, the Texans have allowed just four total in their last four games.
• Jamaal Charles is the only back in the NFL with 100 total yards and a touchdown in every game. He has been a Top 12 Fantasy back in all six games and a Top 6 back five times. He leads all running backs in red zone chances and touchdowns with 31 and seven. He leads all running backs in goal line chances and touchdowns with 12 and six, respectively. Yes, the Andy Reid offense suits him very, very well.
• Dwayne Bowe still does not have 60 yards receiving in a game this year and he is not getting the chances he used to receive. For the year, Bowe is averaging 5.7 targets per game, 63rd among all receivers. The Texans have allowed 10 or fewer Fantasy points to the opposing receivers as a group in four straight games.
• The Chiefs defense is the top-ranked Fantasy unit this year and faces a Texans team that has thrown a pick six in five straight games and has provided seven defensive or special teams touchdowns to the opposition during that span. Four straight defenses have scored at least 20 Fantasy points against the Texans, who are producing an average of 18.8 points per game for the opposition.
Broncos at Colts, Sun., 8:30 p.m. ET
wants to throw 100
touchdowns in this game and then feed the game ball to his ungrateful
former owner Jim Irsay, who opened his mouth a little too often leading
to this Sunday night showdown in the house that Peyton built.
• Did you know that Knowshon Moreno leads the NFL with seven rushing touchdowns this year? He does and has scored 10 or more Fantasy points in nine of his last 11 games, which is also impressive. He has at least 90 total yards and a touchdown in three straight games and four of his last five, so yes, Moreno has developed into a legit No. 1 runner. A running back has not scored in three straight against the Colts, but they have 100 yards rushing in each of the last two games.
• Wes Welker leads the NFL with eight receiving touchdowns and amazingly all eight of them have come in the red zone. He has more red zone touchdowns than any running back and all but six quarterbacks!
• Demaryius Thomas has not scored in four of the six games this year and has been held below 10 Fantasy points in all four, including each of the last two games. The opposing No. 1 receiver on the outside has scored in four of six against the Colts this year, so hopefully he will get back into the end zone this week.
• Julius Thomas leads all tight ends with seven total touchdowns and five red zone touchdowns. He has scored in five of the first seven games and is tied for the position lead with five Top 12 finishes.
• After being held without a touchdown on Monday, Andrew Luck should rebound nicely against the Broncos. Denver gives up a league-high 355 yards passing per game and four quarterbacks have already produced 21-plus Fantasy points against them.
• Trent Richardson averaged 4.0 yards per carry last week for the first time all year! Hooray! He managed just 40 yards against the Chargers and is still seeking his first 60-yard game of the year. That could be tough against the Broncos, who allow a league-low 55.3 yards rushing per game on just 2.9 yards per carry. The good news is that a running back has scored a rushing touchdown in every single game against the Broncos this year. Even Maurice Jones-Drew had a score and a season-high 13 Fantasy points against the Broncos last week, so maybe first-round Trent can hit 10 Fantasy points this week.
• Denver is giving up 229 yards (the most), 1.2 touchdowns (10th most) and 29 Fantasy points per game (third most) to wide receivers this year. Denver has also allowed three receivers to exceed 100 yards with a score and a fourth to catch 14 passes for 190 yards in the last four games alone. All four of them went for at least 18 Fantasy points. For the year, eight receivers have produced 10 Fantasy points against Denver and 10 have at least nine points.
• Reggie Wayne is currently averaging 9.0 yards per target in 2013, his best number since 2007! The problem is that his targets have dropped from 12.2 per game last year to 8.5 per game this year.
• T.Y. Hilton now has one game with 26 Fantasy points, one game with 12 and four others with a combined 11 Fantasy points. Two of his off games saw him receive at least eight targets, so that has not been the ultimate issue here. He is the classic boom or bust option and worth the roll of the dice against the Broncos this week.
• Denver has allowed at least 10 Fantasy points to the tight end position in all four games against teams that feature a pass catching tight end. The only exceptions were the Raiders and Jaguars, and I would challenge you to name their starting tight ends. Coby Fleener has two games with 10-plus Fantasy points in his last five and will need to make in three out of six if the Colts are going to keep up with Denver.
Vikings at Giants, Mon., 8:30 p.m. ET
is now the fourth
quarterback in NFL history to start for two different teams in the same
season. He has a great matchup with the Giants, who are giving up 25.7
points per game to quarterbacks, second most in the NFL. Every
quarterback who has faced the Giants has thrown multiple passing
touchdowns and has produced at least 20 Fantasy points. Tough to trust
in his debut, but Freeman can still sling it.
• The Giants are also allowing 23 Fantasy points per game to receivers and four of the last five receiver groups (Kansas City, which doesn't throw to the receivers were the exception) have a touchdown and at least 22 Fantasy points.
• Jerome Simpson is averaging a team-high 9.5 yards per target and his vertical game should benefit from the arrival of Freeman. Keep an eye on his utilization in this game because Freeman led both Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams to very productive seasons in 2012.
• Greg Jennings is also averaging a solid 8.7 yards per target and a team-high 1.23 Fantasy points per target. Freeman should benefit Jennings as well and the move to Freeman could help resurrect his 2013 season that has been horrendous outside of the London game.
• Kyle Rudolph had his best game of the year with nine catches for 91 yards and a touchdown in Week 6. Five of the catches, including the touchdown, came in the fourth quarter of the blowout loss, but Rudolph could also benefit from the switch to Freeman. In 2010 and 2011, Freeman targeted his tight end Kellen Winslow an average of 108.5 times and they connected for an average of 70.5 receptions, 746.5 yards and 3.5 touchdowns per year. Rudolph will get the touchdowns, but a boost in utilization between the 20s could make him a weekly No. 1 tight end again. It should also help that the Giants have given up at least 60 yards receiving to the opposing starting tight end in three straight games along with an average of nearly 12 Fantasy points per game during that run.
• Quarterbacks are averaging 319 yards (fourth most), a league-high 2.4 touchdowns and 24 Fantasy points per game (sixth most) against Minnesota. Cam Newton cured his turnover blues against this defense, which has allowed 23 Fantasy points to four of the five quarterbacks they have faced and it could do wonders -- especially with a banged up Harrison Smith -- for Eli Manning .
• Brandon Jacobs ran like a man possessed with 106 yards and two scores on 22 carries against the Bears last week. The Vikings are allowing a league-high 23 Fantasy points per game to running backs this year, so he is worth a look again. Keep in mind, however, that 14 of the 23 come from rushing totals alone and the other nine come from the league-high 77.4 yards and 0.4 touchdowns receiving per game they give to backs. Jacobs is not getting any of those points this week, but the Vikes have allowed three running back rushing scores in their last two games, which is nice.
• Hakeem Nicks has at least 70 yards receiving in four games this year -- with two of 100-plus -- but is looking for his first touchdown of the year.
• Rueben Randle has scored in back-to-back games and now has 10-plus Fantasy points in three of his six starts this season.
• Victor Cruz is fourth among all receivers with 541 yards receiving, but has had three big games (average of 20.3 points per game) and three duds (12 Fantasy points total).
• All three are solid options this week against a Vikings secondary that is giving up 25.6 points per game, seventh most in the NFL. They have allowed five receiver scores in the last four games and at least one receiver has produced 16 Fantasy points in each of those four. At least two receivers have produced eight Fantasy points in each of the last two games, so this should be a productive game for the Giants trio.
Seahawks at Cardinals, Thu., 8:30 p.m. ET
has at least 60
yards rushing in three straight games, totaling 240 yards on the ground
during that span. He is sixth in the NFL in rushing over the last three
weeks and will take on a Cardinals defense that has allowed four
quarterbacks to throw for multiple touchdowns.
• Frank Gore became the first back to rush for 100 yards on the Cardinals all year and Kendall Hunter became the first back to score on them as well in Week 6. Marshawn Lynch is coming off of his best game of the year, with 155 total yards and two scores against Tennessee.
• Calvin Johnson remains the only receiver to reach 10 Fantasy points against the Cardinals all year. No, I do not trust any Seattle receiver to reach that plateau this week.
• Too bad the Seahawks don't have a legit Fantasy tight end. Three tight ends have already gone for more than 130 yards and two touchdowns against the Cardinals, who are allowing 108 yards receiving and 15.7 points per game to the position, both league highs.
• The opposing defense has produced 10-plus Fantasy points in every game against Arizona this year and is averaging 15 per game over the last four weeks.
• Andre Ellington has more than 11 touches and 80 total yards in each of the last two games. He had a career-high 12 touches, 92 total yards and a touchdown against the tough 49ers in Week 6. If you need a bye week flex -- especially in a PPR (he has nine catches the last two games) -- Ellington is the only back in Arizona I'd consider.
• Larry Fitzgerald had five catches for 65 yards on 22 total targets in his two games against Seattle last year. He did come through in a very unfavorable matchup against the 49ers last week, catching six passes for a season-high 117 yards and a touchdown. In the three games in which Fitz has received more than six targets, he has scored in every one and is averaging 16.3 Fantasy points per game. Hey Carson Palmer , throw Fitz the ball.
• Michael Floyd scored his first touchdown of the year in Week 6 and enters Week 7 with at least five receptions in three straight games.
• Seattle has allowed the third fewest receiving yards (132) and fifth fewest touchdowns (0.5) per game to receivers this year.