Lamar Miller left the Dolphins for the Texans this season after he signed a four-year deal worth $26 million, including $14 million guaranteed. It's a great situation for him in Houston, where he will replace the departed Arian Foster as the starter. Miller has been a good Fantasy running back the past two seasons in Miami in limited work, finishing No. 8 in standard leagues in 2015 and No. 9 in 2014. But Miller has never been given the workload he deserves, especially since he averaged 4.6 yards per carry through his first four seasons. Texans coach Bill O'Brien will lean on Miller, who also just set a career high in receptions with 47 last year. He has the chance to be a Top 5 running back in all leagues, but we recommend drafting him as a Top 10 option at the end of Round 2 or beginning of Round 3. This could end up being his best year in the NFL now that he's with a team that appears to appreciate his talents.
Miller, who has steadily improved as a pass catcher during his four NFL seasons, said he works on catching balls throughout the offseason. As a rookie, Miller caught just six balls in 13 games, but by his final season in Miami, he caught 47 of 57 targets for 397 yards, including six catches of more than 20 yards. The Texans offense should be a radically different beast than what we saw last season. The forward pass will be in vogue and Miller is a big part of the makeover -- both as a runner and receiver.
In the wake of the departure of Arian Foster, Miller is expected to move into a key role with the Texans, as a key cog in the team's reshaped offense, the Houston Chronicle reports. "I'm looking forward to the opportunity," said Miller, who only hit the 20-carry mark once this past season with the Dolphins. "I've been following Houston for a while now. I know in this offense they get their running backs involved. I just wanted to be a part of that. I feel like with my skill set, I can help this offense." Miller rushed for a total of 872 yards and eight touchdowns on 194 carries with Miami last season, while adding 47 catches for 397 yards and two receiving scores. In the Houston offense, now helmed by quarterback Brock Osweiler, we'd expect Miller to see an increased workload and if he can hold up to the added pounding that entails, Miller is a candidate to see a nice uptick in production while clearly heading his new team's backfield.
Miller is reportedly set to sign a four-year, $26 million deal with the Texans, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. Per the report, his deal includes $14 million in fully guaranteed money, with Miller now poised to head Houston's backfield in 2016, with the team having bid adieu to Arian Foster.
Miller is expected to hit the open market once free agency opens at 4 PM ET on Wednesday, Armando Salguero of the Miami Herald reports. Miller's representatives and the Dolphins have been negotiating in the lead-up to March 9, but progress has been difficult to come by. Only 24 years old and with little wear on the tread, he'll likely garner significant interest from interested parties as an all-purpose threat. In his four-year career, Miller boasts a steady 4.6 YPC, 117 receptions, and 22 touchdowns in 61 games.
Miller and the Dolphins have been unable to agree on a price point for a multi-year contact, the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports. Miller is reportedly seeking a salary above $5 million per season, but since the Dolphins appear unwilling to meet that desire, Miller could hit the open market when free agency opens March 9. Just 24 years old, Miller has averaged 4.6 yards per carry through his first four seasons, and posted 1,269 all-purpose yards and 10 touchdowns last season. Should Miller and the Dolphins fail to reach agreement on a new contract, his absence would leave rising second-year player Jay Ajayi as the top running back on Miami's roster.
|* indicates player did not play that week|
|WK||DATE||OPP||OPP RANK||OPP FPTS|
|2||09/18||Kansas City Chiefs||4||13.44|
|3||09/23||@New England Patriots||5||14.00|
|12||11/27||San Diego Chargers||30||21.50|
|13||12/04||@Green Bay Packers||11||15.33|
|3 Year Avg||196||893||6||37||281||1||159|