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This basically defines what the Americans were feeling on Sunday evening at the Ryder Cup

By Shane Bacon | Blogger

As you see above, the Americans weren't having that much fun on Sunday evening after an epic Ryder Cup loss to the Europeans.

But was it as epic as you might think? Not totally.

The good fellas over at Freakonomics broke down the numbers, and it's a bit less startling than you might think.

So how miraculous was the outcome from a statistical perspective?

Europe needed to win eight of twelve matches for a victory. (If the teams tied, Europe got to keep the trophy, so it is considered a European win.) Let's assume that each of the pairings was an even match. Then the likelihood that Europe wins after being down 10-6 after two days is given by the binomial distribution: what is the likelihood of at least 8 heads coming up if you flip a fair coin 12 times.

The answer is about 19 percent.

So while it was a pretty incredible comeback and only the second time such a thing has happened at the Ryder Cup, it wasn't like the team had a decimal point chance at winning.

Oh, and that GIF above, courtesy of the Big Lead, is probably one of the most telling things you'll see all week about this Ryder Cup.

 
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