Tiger Woods is now the nearly 2-1 favorite to win the 2013 British Open after his second-round 71 left him in a tie for second, one shot behind Miguel Angel Jimenez.
The big question now is, can he close?
History (big History, capital "H") would say yes, but recent history tells us no.
Justin Ray of ESPN tweeted this great stat after Woods' round today:
"From 1997-2008, Tiger Woods was inside the top five through 36 holes 20 times in majors. Won 14 of them. Since: 0-for-6."
Yikes, that's a legitimate thing. It's not like he hasn't been there on Sunday, he just hasn't slammed the door. For an even more recent look here's a cool graph showing Woods' last two years' worth of Thursday/Friday rounds vs. Saturday/Sunday rounds at majors.
It's not pretty. He's only been better in his final two rounds vs. his first two rounds twice, both times at the Masters.
And if you needed any more proof that Woods has been balky on the weekend of late, Graeme McDowell gave it to you after playing the first 36 with Woods.
"Hard to believe I was the only one in our twosome with a major the last five years," McDowell offered.
He was actually paying Woods a compliment because he said he was "in awe" of his game, but it really is kind of unbelievable, isn't it?
Which makes for the most compelling story in golf: when will Tiger Woods win his 15th major? It's going to come, I think, and this week is as good a week as any.
On to the rest of the odds (thanks to Bovada for putting them out there):
Tiger Woods: 5-2
I tried to give you guys Day at 50-1 after round one. I hope you listened.