Tiger Woods probably isn't going to win the 2014 British Open. In fact, it would be stunning if he even finished in the top 10 and Hank Haney explains why.
Rex Hoggard wrote a piece for Golf Channel looking back at Tiger's 2006 win at Hoylake and in it he quoted Hank Haney on what Tiger's plan was.
"Tiger's strategy in '06 was all his own," said Haney. "[The] media hailed it as genius, but it was the only strategy he had, he didn't like driver back then and he clearly likes it less now."
It's true. At courses like this, Haney noted, if you hit it in a bunker in the fairway that's basically a one-stroke penalty.
However, unlike in 2006 when it was super dried out, Woods will have to hit driver to keep up this time.
Rory McIlroy played it recently and said as much.
"It's very green and very lush at the minute," McIlroy said. "The ball isn't really running that much on the fairways and they were stopping quickly on the greens. So it will be a lot different from the course Tiger played in '06. I'm sure -- weather permitting over the next 10 days -- it will be a bit firmer and faster [by the start]."
But nothing like 2006.
"With the absence of a stinger shot and a much softer course it will be interesting to see his strategy," Haney continued. "If he has to hit woods it will be tough for him, people forget that '06 was arguably Tiger's greatest ball-striking week ever, it was about much more than just strategy."
Woods is hitting 53 percent of fairways this season on the PGA Tour, which is pretty awful -- though that sample size is quite small because he hasn't played much.
The quandry remains, though. Woods isn't great off the tee, especially with his driver, and he's going to need to be this week to put himself in position to score well.
Can he do it?
Of course he can, but I don't think he will.