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Putting some odds around the potential US Ryder Cup team

By Kyle Porter | Golf Writer

Rickie Fowler is a Ryder Cup lock. (Getty Images)
Rickie Fowler is a Ryder Cup lock. (Getty Images)

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I think we're all pretty aware of the choices Tom Watson has in front of him at this point. I think people in caves in Afghanistan are tired of hearing about the choices Tom Watson has in front of him.

But howis the rest of the team shaping up?

With just a two weeks left for golfers to automatically qualify here's how I would sort things out for the 12 spots on the US' 2014 Ryder Cup team (with points and odds!)

Reminder: one point is awarded for every $1,000 earned at a tournament and two points for every $1,000 at a major.

Example: Winning the Bridgestone Invitational is going to be worth about 1,500 points ($1.5 million first prize) and winning the PGA Championship is going to be worth about 3,000 points (double the $1.5 million first prize).

Locks

Bubba Watson (6,828 points): I have as much a chance of making this team as Bubba Watson does of missing it. What if Bubba tries to traverse the Atlantic Ocean in this thing?

Odds: 100 percent

Jim Furyk (5,875 points): Love it or hate it, Furyk is going to Gleneagles. Hopefully he doesn't take his streak of seven straight 54-hole leads blown.

Odds: 100 percent

Jimmy Walker (5,510 points): He'll need to thank Jordan Spieth for making the team otherwise Walker would be the only rookie on this squad and have to caddie Mickelson's ping pong paddle for the week.

Odds: 100 percent

Rickie Fowler (5,403 points): Have we figured out how to clone him 10 times and just roll with him and Phil Mickelson for three straight days?

Odds: 100 percent

Dustin Johnson (5,133 points):

Odds: 100 percent

Matt Kuchar (4,999 points): This is one of the guys we probably trust most at the Ryder Cup:

I'm kidding, of course -- Kuchar is great -- and he and DJ actually partnered to win two full points before the debacle of 2012.

Odds: 100 percent

Jordan Spieth (4,781 points): Just send him out every day, every match, send him out as the anchor, I don't care. Let it ride. Spieth will miss being the youngest Ryder Cup player ever, by the way. That would be Sergio Garcia at 19 years old.

Odds: 100 percent

Work to do

Jason Dufner (3,516 points): Dufner is where the dropoff in points happens among the top nine right now. If he plays decently at Bridgestone and does anything at all in trying to defend at Valhalla he should be fine.

Odds: 75 percent

Zach Johnson (3,450 points): I don't think he has very much work to do, honestly. Even if he falls out of the top nine I think he has to be a captain's pick.

Odds: 80 percent

Patrick Reed (3,301 points): He's flirted with that cutoff line all season and right now he's on the outside looking in. Still, he's only 150 points back of Johnson, but it's hard for me to believe Watson would take him over Mickelson, Bradley, etc.

Odds: 50 percent

Phil Mickleson (3,252 points): When I say he has "work left to do" I just mean he needs to not die between now and the Ryder Cup. You take a Phil Mickelson who barely didn't qualify, no questions asked.

Odds: 90 percent

Brendon Todd and Chris Kirk (3,250 and 3,226 points): Two guys who probably need to qualify on points and I think would be decent additions to the team. They've quietly been the two best "no-name" Americans all year and hey, I trust them over a six-foot putt more than I do DJ!

Odds: 25 percent

Needs some help

Ryan Moore, Webb Simpson, Keegan Bradley and Harrish English (3,118, 3,086, 3,016 and 2,966 points): Any of these four could easily qualify with two strong outings in the next two weeks but thye also need the golfers ahead of them to play poorly (or just worse than they do).

Otherwise they'll be left to the discretion of Watson and with Mickelson and Tiger on the outside looking in I'm not sure that's a place you want to be.

Odds: 10 percent

Tiger Woods (806 points): Tiger kind of needs to win Bridgestone and the PGA Championship to qualify automatically. Of course...decisions.

Odds: 50 percent

For more golf news, rumors and analysis, follow @EyeOnGolf and @KylePorterCBS on Twitter or Google+ and like us on Facebook.

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