Ranking the chances of current golfers getting the career slam

Will Martin Kaymer or Rory McIlroy end up with more majors? (Getty Images)
Will Martin Kaymer or Rory McIlroy end up with more majors? (Getty Images)

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When Rory McIlroy's 271st stroke dropped at Hoylake last week he immediately became the odds-on favorite of all the golfers on the planet to be the first to reach the hallowed ground of the career slam.

Only five men have turned the modern-day trick and they are all golf legends -- Tiger Woods, Jack Nicklaus, Ben Hogan, Gene Sarazen, and Gary Player.

Phil Mickelson is knocking on the door, as well, but McIlroy will get the first crack at it in 2015 when the Masters rolls around.

With that I wanted to take a look at all the golfers with two or more different majors and what I feel like their odds are of getting the slam. 

Let's get to it.

Phil Mickelson

Has: Masters, British Open, PGA Championship
Needs: US Open

Odds: 40 percent 

It's the most famous of the six searches for career glory and really I think we all think he should have it already. But, Phil gonna Phil (h/t Golf Digest).

I personally think he gets it done but I'm not sure everybody feels that way.

Rory McIlroy

Has: US Open, British Open, PGA Championship
Needs: Masters

Odds: 60 percent 

It's a lock, isn't it? Not so fast, my friends. McIlroy only has one top 10 at Augusta and remember when we thought the first guy on this list was going to win this one early in his career, too?

If too many seasons slip away the pressure will start building mightily for young Rory.

Martin Kaymer

Has: US Open, PGA Championship
Needs: British Open, Masters

Odds: 10 percent 

I think he can win the British Open but he's so deep into his own dome about Augusta that he changed his swing when he was the No. 1 player in the world to accomodate. I'm not sure that one is ever happening.

Angel Cabrera

Has: Masters, US Open
Needs: British Open, PGA Championship

Odds: 1 percent 

The problem for Cabrera (and the new two guys) is twofold. First, they're older. Second, they need two of the four and not one of the four like Mickelson. Cabrera has never finished in the top 15 at a PGA Championship, by the way.

Ernie Els

Has: British Open, US Open
Needs: PGA Championship, Masters

Odds: 1 percent 

Els' ship at Augusta may have sailed in 2004 when he finished second to Lefty. I'm not sure the well is deep enough for him to draw from anymore.

Padraig Harrington

Has: British Open, PGA Championship
Needs: US Open, Masters

Odds: <1 percent 

Nope, not happening. Unless we hold the tournaments with blindfolds.

For more golf news, rumors and analysis, follow @EyeOnGolf and @KylePorterCBS on Twitter or Google+ and like us on Facebook.

CBS Sports Writer

Kyle Porter began his sports writing career with CBS Sports in 2012. He covers golf, writes poetry about Rory McIlroy's swing, stays ready on Tiger watch and loves the Masters more than anyone you know.... Full Bio

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