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Expert Picks: Wells Fargo Championship

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Each week during the official PGA Tour season, CBSSports.com's Steve Elling and Shane Bacon give their best shot at pegging the winner and seeing what other golfers will have a good week. The picks are based on a combination of homework, guesswork and just plain instinct.

Note: Odds courtesy of Bovada.lv

Pick to win it
Elling's Pick Bacon's Pick

Phil Mickelson
This place has become like a junior version of the U.S. Open for Lefty. He has an incredible record, finishing in the top 10 in six of his eight starts at Quail Hollow, but he has never won the tournament. In fact, only once has he finished outside the top dozen. Is he over his Masters tumble? We’re about to find out.
Odds to win tournament: (12 to 1)

Rory McIlroy
Obviously a guy that loves this golf course and the site of his best round on the PGA Tour, McIlroy has taken some time away from the game and will most likely return fresh and ready to play. The thing you need to watch with Rory is his tendency to get off to a slow start at this event, but if he can avoid that, expect him to be near the lead come Sunday.
Odds to win tournament: (15 to 2)
Lock for Top 10 finish
Elling's Pick Bacon's Pick

Jim Furyk
After the worst season of his career in 2011, Furyk has been hanging around some leaderboards this spring and has four top-10 finishes at Quail Hollow, an old-school, parkland layout that suits his more tactical style. Furyk won here in 2006 and has a trio of top-11 finishes in the five years since. When in doubt, go with a proven winner.
Odds to win tournament: (22 to 1)

Zach Johnson
He nearly won two weeks ago at Harbour Town, finishing second alone, and has two other top-20s in his last five starts, so I see Johnson continuing the trend this week and playing some good golf on a course he seems to enjoy. Johnson has played great here in the past, including a T-6 in 2011.
Odds to win tournament: (33 to 1)
Sleeper
Elling's Pick Bacon's Pick

Jonathan Byrd
We know what you’re thinking: How can the guy who lost the Wells Fargo title in a playoff last year be considered a longshot? Well, in his eight starts, Byrd has missed the cut six times … and finished in the top five in the other two. So he’s got plenty of reasons to be listed in the longer-odds brigade.
Odds to win tournament: (66 to 1)

Cameron Tringale
Playing some of the best golf of anyone on tour, with three top eights in his last three starts at the Shell, Valero and Zurich Classic. A year ago he made the cut at the Wells Fargo, but I expect him to come in with a ton more confidence after the last three starts he's had on tour.
Odds to win tournament: (50 to 1)
Notable golfer odds
PlayerOddsPlayerOddsPlayerOddsPlayerOdds
Nick Watney50-1Vijay Singh100-1David Toms80-1Ricky Fowler40-1
Jimmy Walker150-1Anthony Kim125-1Angel Cabrera150-1Hunter Haas200-1
Stewart Cink125-1Robert Allenby125-1Nick O'Hern200-1David Hearn150-1
Kevin Chappell200-1Kevin Stadler150-1Brandt Jobe150-1Chris Couch250-1
Tommy Gainey200-1Vaughn Taylor200-1James Driscoll250-1Tim Clark200-1
Harris English80-1Garth Mulroy250-1Spencer Levin125-1Brendon De Jonge80-1
Pat Perez10-1Ben Curtis80-1John Huh80-1Webb Simpson33-1
Tiger Woods9-1Keegan Bradley33-1Camilo Villegas125-1David Toms80-1
Ben Curtis80-1Billy Mayfair200-1Chris Dimarco250-1Kris Blanks200-1
Prop Bets
Will Rory McIlroy finish in the top 10? Yes (-130) No (Even)
Will Tiger Woods finish in the top 10? Yes (-110) No (-120)
Will Phil Mickelson finish in the top 10? Yes (Even) No (-130)
Head to head
Rory McIlroy vs. Tiger Woods Tiger Woods (Even) Rory McIlroy (-130)
Phil Mickelson vs. Lee Westwood Phil Mickelson (-120) Lee Westwood (-110)
Hunter Mahan vs. Jim Furyk Hunter Mahan (-130) Jim Furyk (Even)
Zach Johnson vs. Webb Simpson Zach Johnson (-115) Webb Simpson (-115)

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