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Expert Picks: WGC Bridgestone Invitational


Each week during the official PGA Tour season, CBSSports.com's Ryan Wilson and Shane Bacon give their best shot at pegging the winner and seeing what other golfers will have a good week. The picks are based on a combination of homework, guesswork and just plain instinct.

Note: Odds courtesy of Bovada.lv

Pick to win it
Wilson's Pick Bacon's Pick

Tiger Woods
Woods hasn't yet fully returned to his pre-scandal form, but he's getting closer every week. He was one of the best players at Royal Lytham through the first 45 holes or so, and that was after already winning three times on tour this year. He's forever tinkering with a swing that, frankly, has been pretty much textbook for more than a decade now. Which means that the mental baggage that comes with trusting his game may have more to do with success and failure than anything physical at this point. That said, Tiger at 85 or 90 percent still has to be the favorite every time he tees it up. And it doesn't hurt that he's playing a venue he's won seven times before.
Odds to win tournament: (5 to 1)

Zach Johnson
I'll be honest, I was going to go with Mr. Woods in this spot because, well, he plays Firestone like Tom Watson played links golf, but I'm okay with Wilson taking him so I can take the straight-hitting Johnson. The guy is on fire right now, with two wins since April and a good showing at the British, plus he finished T-6 here a year ago. I hate to always say Johnson doesn't seem to be the guy that gets rattled in big events, because he's a major winner, but in a strange year, a short-hitting Johnson seems right to beat up the bomber's favorite at Firestone.
Odds to win tournament: (28 to 1)
Lock for Top 10 finish
Wilson's Pick Bacon's Pick

Adam Scott
Well, the allure of Stevie Williams wore off pretty quick, didn't it? All it took was four straight bogeys coming in at Royal Lytham to remind everybody that, at the end of the day, Williams carries the bags and stares sternly at those idiots who somehow can't grasp what it means not to take a photo in the middle of a player's backstroke. There's no denying that he's very good at his job but he's never hit a single shot in a round. Which means that Scott will be responsible for righting the ship after what transpired nearly two weeks ago at the British Open. It helps that he won the Bridgestone a year ago and that, save about a 90-minute stretch on the back nine at Royal Lytham, he's been playing at a high level recently.
Odds to win tournament: (16 to 1)

Tiger Woods
Honestly, do I need to say why? Seven wins, and ten top-four finishes. The only knock here for Woods not to win is in his two starts, he's finished T-78 and T-37. That said, I don't seem him finishing out of the top-10 unless he decides to do some SEALS training on Friday morning.
Odds to win tournament: (5 to 1)
Wilson's Pick Bacon's Pick

Bubba Watson
We've reached the point where Watson is now the best left-handed golfer on tour and it's not really close. Phil has struggled for much of the season and Watson, despite the wild swings from inspired tactician to frenetic slasher, has found the consistency his game lacked in previous years. He played well at the British Open and has six top-10 finishes this season, including the Masters victory in April.
Odds to win tournament: (28 to 1)

Bo Van Pelt
The guy is having a ridiculous season under the radar, with 11 top-25 finishes, seven top-10s and a second place finish at the AT&T National behind Mr. Woods. He finished T-23 here a year ago and T-3 in 2010, so obviously he enjoys the golf course, and if he can continue this momentum going, I don't see why he wouldn't be in contention come Sunday.
Odds to win tournament: (33 to 1)
Notable golfer odds
Luke Donald14-1Rory McIlroy18-1Lee Westwood18-1Hunter Mahan25-1
Jason Dufner28-1Graeme McDowell33-1Phil Mickelson33-1Rickie Fowler33-1
Matt Kuchar33-1Steve Stricker40-1Ernie Els50-1Jim Furyk50-1
Ian Poulter66-1Brandt Snedeker66-1Retief Goosen80-1K.J. Choi100-1
Ben Crane125-1Kevin Na150-1Y-E Yang200-1Greg Chalmers200-1
Gonzalo Fernandez200-1Robert Allenby200-1Kyle Stanley125-1Jonathan Byrd100-1
Aaron Baddeley125-1Simon Dyson150-1Marc Leishman200-1Mark Wilson200-1
Prop Bets
Will Tiger Woods finish in the top 10? Yes (-250) No (+185)
Will Luke Donald finish in the top 10? Yes (+110) No (-140)
Will Adam Scott finish in the top 10? Yes (+115) No (-150)
Will Lee Westwood finish in the top 10? Yes (+135) No (-175)
Tiger Woods vs. Adam Scott Tiger Woods (-200) Adam Scott (+150)
Tiger Woods vs. Lee Westwood Tiger Woods (-175) Lee Westwood (+135)
Dustin Johnson vs. Bubba Watson Dustin Johnson (-120) Bubba Watson (-110)
Hunter Mahan vs. Zach Johnson Hunter Mahan (-125) Zach Johnson (-105)

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