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Expert Picks: PGA Championship


Each week during the official PGA Tour season, CBSSports.com's Ryan Wilson and Shane Bacon give their best shot at pegging the winner and seeing what other golfers will have a good week. The picks are based on a combination of homework, guesswork and just plain instinct.

Note: Odds courtesy of Bovada.lv

Pick to win it
Wilson's Pick Bacon's Pick

Matt Kuchar
We could just as easily swap Kuchar for Jason Dufner here, but that's the current state of the PGA Tour. (And more specifically, the rampant uncertainty of trying to pick winners each week.) Kuchar has been quietly spectacular this season, winning the Players Championship, registering eight top-10 finishes (including a T-8 at Bridgestone last week), and never missing a cut. He's among the handful of players routinely mentioned as "the best never to win a major," and given the way he's played in 2012, he could finally lose that label at Kiawah.
Odds to win tournament: (33 to 1)

Louis Oosthuizen
The only real knock on Oosthuizen is that he hasn't really performed exceptionally well at extremely tough golf courses, but I'll take a solid-swinging Louis over the rest of the field mostly because it seems the former Open winner is due for another great performance. He's coming off a T-19 at the British and a fourth place finish alone last week at the Bridgestone, and considering he nearly won the Masters this season and had a top-10 at the U.S. Open a year ago, it isn't like he's slacking off his since his surprise win at St. Andrews. Oosthuizen has been pounding the ball off the tee this year, and his scoring average of 69.77 is in the top-20 on tour, so if he keeps the putter going, I expect a big week out of him at Kiawah.
Odds to win tournament: (33 to 1)
Lock for Top 10 finish
Wilson's Pick Bacon's Pick

Keegan Bradley
It's been quite a 12 months for Bradley. He won the 2011 PGA Championship in dramatic ice water-in-his-veins fashion and now he heads to Kiawah after some late-round heroics at the Bridgestone Invitational. He's missed just three cut this season, and while he hasn't had a top-10 finish since the week before the Masters, he played four solid rounds in Akron. If he's in contention on the back nine on Sunday, this much is certain: he's not wilting under the pressure.
Odds to win tournament: (33 to 1)

Matt Kuchar
I like basically everything Wilson said there about Kuchar, a guy that might not win a lot but is always in the mix. He's arguably the best American player without a major to his credit (along with Dustin Johnson) and h's coming off three top-10 finishes in his lat four events (including the British and the Bridgestone). His final round 66 on Sunday at Firestone gives him a good taste heading into the PGA, and I think that while he might not win come Sunday, he will definitely be in the mix once again. Also, doesn't the PGA feel like the perfect major for Kuchar, who has two top-20s in this event the last two years?
Odds to win tournament: (33 to 1)
Wilson's Pick Bacon's Pick

Jason Dufner
At this stage of the proceedings, it's hard to call Dufner a "sleeper." But his laid-back style and unassuming demeanor belie a golfer who has been among the best on tour recently. He was that close to winning last year's PGA Championship (see above), and unlike other from-outta-nowhere performances, Dufner's showing at the Atlanta Athletic Club wasn't a one-time deal. He's missed one cut this season -- at the Sony Open in January -- and in his last five events he's finished first, second, fourth, tied-31st, and seventh.
Odds to win tournament: (28 to 1)

Kyle Stanley
So, I was looking at some of the guys down the list on odds and Stanley's name caught my eye. Here is a guy that booms the golf ball off the tee, and isn't so bad at finding fairways with his driver. He is playing in his first PGA Championship, but is coming off a T-39 at the British after missing the cut in the first two majors of the year. He has made six straight cuts after Olympic Club, including two top-20s at the John Deere and last week's Bridgestone, and he closed out his run at Firestone with rounds of 68-67, momentum for this week. So, yeah, Kyle Stanley, my Keegan Bradley of 2012.
Odds to win tournament: (22 to 1)
Notable golfer odds
Tiger Woods8-1Rory McIlroy18-1Luke Donald18-1Lee Westwood20-1
Adam Scott28-1Webb Simpson33-1Dustin Johnson33-1Steve Stricker33-1
Hunter Mahan40-1Bubba Watson40-1Phil Mickelson40-1Graeme McDowell40-1
Jim Furyk40-1Zach Johnson40-1Padraig Harrington40-1Rickie Fowler50-1
Nick Watney50-1Ernie Els50-1Ian Poulter66-1K.J. Choi80-1
Brandt Snedeker80-1Kyle Stanley100-1Aaron Baddeley100-1Ben Crane125-1
Rory Sabbatini150-1Jonathan Byrd150-1Paul Lawrie150-1Davis Love III200-1
Kevin Na200-1John Daly250-1Jeev Singh250-1Paul Casey250-1
Jose Maria Olazabal500-1Rich Beem500-1Daniel Balin3000-1Michael Frye5000-1
Prop Bets
Will Tiger Woods finish in the top 10? Yes (-120) No (-110)
Will Luke Donald finish in the top 10? Yes (+150) No (-200)
Will Rory McIlroy finish in the top 10? Yes (+165) No (-215)
Will Lee Westwood finish in the top 10? Yes (+200) No (-275)
Luke Donald vs. Rory McIlroy Luke Donald (-120) Rory McIlroy (-110)
Dustin Johnson vs. Adam Scott Dustin Johnson (-115) Adam Scott (-115)
Bubba Watson vs. Louis Oosthuizen Bubba Watson (-115) Louis Oosthuizen (-115)
Phil Mickelson vs. Steve Stricker Phil Mickelson (-115) Steve Stricker (-115)


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