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Expert Picks: The Barclays

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Each week during the official PGA Tour season, CBSSports.com's Ryan Wilson and Shane Bacon give their best shot at pegging the winner and seeing what other golfers will have a good week. The picks are based on a combination of homework, guesswork and just plain instinct.

Note: Odds courtesy of Bovada.lv

Pick to win it
Wilson's Pick Bacon's Pick

Tiger Woods
I made a conscious decision in recent weeks to avoid my default "I like Tiger versus the field every week" winner's pick, partly because Woods still isn't the player he was before he took out that fire hydrant but also because there are plenty of other players who have stepped up their respective games. But Tiger's this close to putting it all together and that's why he's always in the discussion. He's familiar with the course -- it's been a decade since he won the U.S. Open at Bethpage, but even when his putter deserted him when the tournament returned to Farmingdale in 2009, he managed a T-6th.
Odds to win tournament: (7 to 1)

Justin Rose
It's tough to yawn past his consistency, because the Englishman is playing some of the best golf of anyone on the planet, including a T-5 at the Bridgestone and a T-3 at the PGA Championship. Rose hasn't picked up a win since the Cadillac Championship in March, but his play of late suggest he's ready to get back in the winner's circle, and he seems like the competent golfer to pull off a win at the always-tough Bethpage Black.
Odds to win tournament: (20 to 1)
Lock for Top 10 finish
Wilson's Pick Bacon's Pick

Rory McIlroy
In the year or so since McIlroy won the 2011 U.S. Open, there were murmurs that he wasn't taking the game as seriously as perhaps he should. Well, we're not sure how much more serious he can get; he won the PGA Championship earlier this month and he's barely 23 years old. He's also playing in the same group as Tiger (and Zach Johnson), which should make for an interesting two days. McIlroy isn't easily rattled and that won't change this week no matter who's in his group. If nothing else, the pairing could serve as the unofficial changing of the guard among the world's best players although we suspect Tiger won't be going quietly in the night.
Odds to win tournament: (7 to 1)

Sergio Garcia
Yes, it seems obvious to take a guy coming off a victory at last week's Wyndham, but you have to understand, Sergio has really play well when the tour has come by Bethpage Black. In '02 Sergio finished fourth alone when Bethpage hosted the U.S. Open and in '09 he finished T-10. I like those numbers and Garcia's game right now and don't see any reason he won't keep it going this week as the playoffs start up and the burden of making the Ryder Cup team is off his back.
Odds to win tournament: (25 to 1)
Sleeper
Wilson's Pick Bacon's Pick

Sergio Garcia
Before Sunday, we didn't know Garcia had teeth because we never, ever saw him crack a smile. Let's be honest, he was perpetually dour on the course and it affected his play. He was finally able to overcome all those demons and win the Wyndham with an impressive final round stretching over two days because of poor weather. In the process, he also re-entered the top 20 in the world golf rankings and is now back in the Ryder Cup mix for the European team. Maybe Wyndham was exactly what he needed to get out of this years-long slump. And if he continues to play well maybe he'll re-enter in the "best player never to win a major" conversation before going out and doing it.
Odds to win tournament: (25 to 1)

Tim Clark
It probably makes sense to call Bethpage Black a "bomber's golf course," but honestly, has that ever stopped guys like Tim Clark, who are always well back of the field off the tee? Clark is coming into the Barclays with three top-15 finishes including that solo second this past week at the Wyndham. Clark finished t-40 when the U.S. Open was last here, but we know when he's hitting his fairway woods and hybrids like he did a week ago, distance isn't a thing at all.
Odds to win tournament: (50 to 1)
Notable golfer odds
PlayerOddsPlayerOddsPlayerOddsPlayerOdds
Bubba Watson22-1Luke Donald22-1Adam Scott25-1Lee Westwood25-1
Steve Stricker25-1Dustin Johnson25-1Keegan Bradley25-1Phil Mickelson33-1
Webb Simpson35-1Graeme McDowell40-1Hunter Mahan40-1Padraig Harrington50-1
Jim Furyk50-1Zach Johnson66-1Ernie Els80-1Vijay Singh80-1
Henrik Stenson100-1Kyle Stanley100-1Fredrik Jacobson125-1J.J. Henry125-1
Ben Crane125-1K.J. Choi125-1Ben Curtis125-1Aaron Baddeley125-1
Kevin Na125-1Davis Love III150-1Jeff Overton150-1Ricky Barnes150-1
Jonathan Byrd150-1Charles Howell III150-1Rory Sabbatini150-1Heath Slocum150-1
Boo Weekley200-1Kevin Chappell200-1Tommy Gainey250-1D-A Points250-1
Prop Bets
Will Rory McIlroy finish in the top 10? Yes (-140) No (+110)
Will Tiger Woods finish in the top 10? Yes (-140) No (+110)
Will Bubba Watson finish in the top 10? Yes (+250) No (-350)
Will Luke Donald finish in the top 10? Yes (+250) No (-350)
Head-to-head
Rory McIlroy vs. Tiger Woods Rory McIlroy (-120) Tiger Woods (-110)
Luke Donald vs. Justin Rose Luke Donald (-115) Justin Rose (-115)
Sergio Garcia vs. Dustin Johnson Sergio Garcia (-115) Dustin Johnson (-115)
Lee Westwood vs. Adam Scott Lee Westwood (-115) Adam Scott (-115)
Bubba Watson vs. Keegan Bradley Bubba Watson (-115) Keegan Bradley (-115)

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