Expert Picks: Farmers Insurance Open

Each week during the official PGA Tour season, CBSSports.com's Kyle Porter will give his best shot at pegging the winner and seeing what other golfers will have a good week. The picks are based on a combination of homework, guesswork and just plain instinct.

Want to make your picks? Tweet your Winner, Top 10 finisher and sleeper to @EyeOnGolf

Odds provided by Bovada.lv

Field | Course Guide | Previous Champions | Schedule | Rankings, FedEx Points

Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines (South Course), La Jolla, Calif.

Purse: $6.1 million

Defending Champion: Brandt Snedeker

FedEx Cup Points: 500

TV Schedule

Thursday: GOLF -- 3-7 p.m., 7:30-11 p.m. ET

Friday: GOLF -- 3-7 p.m. ET, 7:30-11 p.m. ET

Saturday: GOLF -- 1-2:30 p.m. ET, 6:30 - 11 p.m. ET
                CBS and CBSSports.com -- 3-6 p.m.

Sunday: GOLF -- 1-2:30 p.m. ET, 7 - 12 a.m. ET
              CBS and CBSSports.com-- 3-6:30 p.m. 

Pick to Win

Nick Watney Odds: 20 to 1 World Ranking: 21st As Golf.com pointed out, the last 10 winners at this tournament have been spectacular in par-5 scoring. You know who was a top 15 par-5 performer last year? Nick Watney. He's had two top 10s in his last three appearances here. Watney had a good, not great, outing in Hawaii and still finished with a top 15. Can Nike make it two of the last three tournaments for its golfers? I say yes.

Lock for Top 10 finish

Charles Howell III Odds: 25 to 1 World Ranking: 66th What, are you picking against him? His first eight rounds of the year look like this: 66-64-67-66-67-65-67-64. Per PGATour.com Howell ranks No. 1 all-time in earnings at Torrey Pines among golfers who haven't won the tournament. He has six top 15s here, two runners-up. He ranked second in par-5 performance on Tour in 2012. Again, are you going to pick against all of this?

Sleeper

Brandon de Jonge Odds: 70 to 1 World Ranking: 87th A Different pick, same theme: de Jonge can score on par-5s as he proved by posting a -14 score at par-5 holes at the Humana Challenge last weekend. He was No. 1 on Tour last year in par-5 performance and he plays pretty well at Torrey (T27 and T37 in his last two appearances). I'm looking for the 2012 Zimbabwe Sportsman of the Year to be in the hunt this Sunday.

Bet I Love

Tiger Woods will not finish in the top 10 (+150) World Ranking: 2nd You guys get taken advantage of by Vegas because of your disillusionment with Tiger. He's not playing well right now, I mean you saw this shot in Abu Dhabi, correct?

Head to head
Prop	Bovada Odds		Porter's Pick
Brandt Snedeker vs. Tiger Woods	Woods (-175)	Snedeker (+135)	Snedeker
Dustin Johnson vs. Bubba Watson	Johnson (-115)	Watson(-115)	Watson
Phil Mickelson vs. Nick Watney	Mickelson (-130)	Watney (EVEN)	Watney
Keegan Bradley vs. Charles Howell III	Bradley (-115)	Howell III (-115)	Howell III
Rickie Fowler vs. Hunter Mahan	Fowler (-130)	Mahan (EVEN)	Mahan

Prop Bets
Prop	Bovada Odds		Porter's Pick
Will Tiger Woods finish in the top 5?	Yes (+135)	No (-175)	No
Will Bubba Watson finish in the top 5?	Yes (+275)	No (-400)	No
Will Phil Mickelson finish in the top 5?	Yes (+300)	No (-450)	No
Will Brandt Snedeker finish in the top 5?	Yes (+275)	No (-400)	No
Will Nick Watney finish in the top 5?	Yes (+400)	No (-650)	Yes