Golf Expert Picks: WGC Match Play Championship

by | Golf Blogger

Each week during the official PGA Tour season,'s Kyle Porter will give his best shot at pegging the winner and seeing what other golfers will have a good week. The picks are based on a combination of homework, guesswork and just plain instinct.

Want to make your picks? Tweet your Winner, Top 10 finisher and sleeper to @EyeOnGolf

Odds provided by

Bracket | Course Guide | Previous Champions | Schedule Rankings, FedEx Points

Ritz-Carlton Golf Club, Marana, Ariz. 

Purse: $8.5 million

Defending Champion: Hunter Mahan

FedEx Cup Points: 550

TV Schedule

Wednesday: GOLF -- 12-6 p.m. ET

Thursday: GOLF -- 1-6 p.m. ET

Friday: GOLF -- 2-6 p.m. ET

Saturday: GOLF -- 12-2: p.m., NBC -- 2-6 p.m. ET

Sunday: GOLF -- 9 a.m.-1 p.m. , NBC -- 2-6 p.m. ET

Pick to win and win Gary Player bracket

Tiger Woods

Odds to win tournament: 9 to 1
Odds to win Player Bracket: 3 to 1

World Ranking: 2nd

Woods hasn't played well here since he wasted Stewart Cink 8 up in 2008. You know what else Woods hadn't done since 2008? Win at Torrey Pines. He checked that off the list a few weeks back and I think a final four showing is in the cards.

Tiger is too much right now. A second win in his second start will inevitably set off the "Tiger is the best for infinity!" alarm bells but I really do think he's in top form heading into this three week stretch that will see him play each tournament.
Bobby Jones bracket winner

Charl Schwartzel

Odds to win Jones bracket: 11 to 2

World Ranking: 11th

Nobody in his bracket is playing even remotely as well as he is right now. It's a group long on names (Bubba Watson, Jim Furyk, Dustin Johnson, Rory McIlroy) but short on recent performance. Schwartzel's best showing here was in 2010 when he lost to Stewart Cink in the third round in 19 holes. I think he breezes past that mark this weekend.
Sam Snead bracket winner

Nick Watney

Odds to win Snead bracket: 8 to 1

World Ranking: 21st

This was the hardest bracket for me to pick. You could throw the names of all 16 guys in a hat and draw one out and no matter who you drew I'd probably agree that they could make it to the final four. Watney has made it to the third round each of the last three years, losing consecutively to Lee Westwood, Ryan Moore, and Retief Goosen. His draw to the third round again this year isn't difficult (David Toms then Steve Stricker or Henrik Stenson) and once you get there, anything can happen.
Ben Hogan bracket winner

Louis Oosthuizen

Odds to win Hogan bracket: 6 to 1

World Ranking: 5th

I think Oosthuizen has the easiest path to the final four of any of the No. 1 seeds. Who in his bracket scares you? I guess Keegan Bradley and Justin Rose, but Bradley has been all over the place this year and Oosthuizen wouldn't see Rose until the final eight anyway. The sweet-swinging South African has had little fanfare for a guy who has already won once (in two starts) on the European Tour this year. That changes this week.
Best underdog

Thorbjorn Olesen

Odds to win tournament: 66 to 1

World Ranking: 40th

Who knew that Nike's best European addition at this point in the season would be Olesen? Two top fives at two big European events is good for a No. 7 ranking on the European Tour. This is only his second time (!) to play a PGA event in the U.S. but I think it could be a memorable one. I see him losing to Nick Watney to get to the final four.


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