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Expert Picks: Arnold Palmer Invitational

by | Golf Blogger
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Each week during the official PGA Tour season, CBSSports.com's Kyle Porter will give his best shot at pegging the winner and seeing what other golfers will have a good week. The picks are based on a combination of homework, guesswork and just plain instinct.

Want to make your picks? Tweet your Winner, Top 10 finisher and sleeper to @EyeOnGolf

Odds provided by Bovada.lv

Field | Course Guide | Previous Champions | Schedule Rankings, FedEx Points

Bay Hill Club & Lodge -- Orlando, Fla. 

Purse: $6.2 million

Defending Champion: Tiger Woods

FedEx Cup Points: 500

TV Schedule

Thursday: GOLF -- 3-6 p.m. ET

Friday: GOLF -- 3-6 p.m. ET

Saturday: GOLF -- 12:30-2:30 p.m., NBC -- 2:30-6 p.m. ET

Sunday: GOLF -- 12-2:30 p.m. , NBC -- 2:30-6 p.m. ET

Pick to Win
 

Tiger Woods


Odds: 5 to 2

World Ranking: 2nd

You expected someone else? Two of his three PGA Tour stroke play tournaments have resulted in wins this year. He knows a win at Bay Hill means he has that little No. 1 next to his name again and if you don't think that matters to him then you don't know Tiger.

Did I mention he's going for his eighth win at this tournament? You can have the field, I'll take Woods at 5-2.
Lock for Top 10 finish
 

Ian Poulter


Odds: 33 to 1

World Ranking: 11th

T12 in 2011 and third place last year at this tournament means Poulter has a history here. It's also in his beloved backyard of Orlando and he's played some good, if very little, golf this season so far. 33-1 odds are good for somebody who's playing well, has played well at this course in the recent past, and will be able to sleep in his own bed every night of the tournament.
Sleeper
 

Thorbjorn Olesen


Odds: 100 to 1

World Ranking: 41st

He's only played two events stateside this year but he's had success in Europe early this season.

It's tough picking somebody who has never played at Bay Hill but Olesen has shown thus far in his career that experience matters little compared to his overwhelming talent. I wouldn't be surprised to see him play well this weekend.
Bet I love
 

Winning margin at one stroke


Odds: 5 to 2

There are a lot of golfers playing really well right now (Woods, McDowell, Rose, and Snedeker come to mind).

With the way Tiger has faded down the stretch in his two wins I expect to see this tournament tight late on Sunday afternoon.

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