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Expert Picks: Shell Houston Open

by | Golf Writer
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Each week during the official PGA Tour season, CBSSports.com's Kyle Porter will give his best shot at pegging the winner and seeing what other golfers will have a good week. The picks are based on a combination of homework, guesswork and just plain instinct.

Want to make your picks? Tweet your Winner, Top 10 finisher and sleeper to @EyeOnGolf

Odds provided by Bovada.lv

Field | Course Guide | Previous Champions | Schedule Rankings, FedEx Points

Red Stone Golf Club -- Humble, Texas 

Purse: $6.2 million

Defending Champion: Hunter Mahan

FedEx Cup Points: 500

TV Schedule

Thursday: GOLF -- 4-7 p.m. ET

Friday: GOLF -- 4-7 p.m. ET

Saturday: GOLF -- 1-3 p.m., NBC -- 3-6 p.m. ET

Sunday: GOLF -- 1-3 p.m., NBC -- 3-6 p.m. ET

Pick to Win
 

Keegan Bradley


Odds: 12 to 1

World Ranking: 10th

He hasn't finished outside the top 10 since the middle of February. He's only played the Shell Houston Open once (heck, he's only been on Tour full-time for two full years) but that resulted in a T4 finish behind Hunter Mahan, Carl Pettersson, and Louis Oosthuizen.
Lock for Top 10 finish
 

Phil Mickelson


Odds: 16 to 1

World Ranking: 11th

Mickelson had a strange missed cut last week at Bay Hill but I'm going to chalk that up to Phil being Phil. He plays well in Houston. He finished T4 last year and won the year before that. He's only missed the cut once in the last five years and we all know what lefty can do if he gets to the weekend.
Sleeper
 

Cameron Tringale


Odds: 80 to 1

World Ranking: 109th

Tringale has only played Redstone twice and finished T8 last year. He's playing the best golf of his career right now though. A third place finish at Tampa Bay and he hasn't finished outside the top 30 since the Phoenix Open mean he's a great value at 80-1.
Bet I love
 

Steve Stricker to finish in the top five


Odds: (+275)

Stricker doesn't play many tournaments but he normally plays this one because the Shell Houston Open gave him a sponsors exemption back when he was struggling with his game in the mid-2000s. He capitalized on that exemption and usually plays well there. A T4 in 2011 is evidence. Plus, he hasn't finished outside the top five this calendar year.

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