Blog Entry

GM for a day

Posted on: November 11, 2008 12:56 am
 

Usually you don't see a 97-win team in such panic after a season.  Unfortunately this is no ordinary team.  This my friends, is your Chicago Cubs, and your father's, your grandfather's, and even your great grandfather's.  A team may never be so closely tied to losing than THE Loveable Losers.  However, with 100 years of nothing to show but a few (and I really mean few) winning seasons, the Loveable Losers are starting to lose their lust.  Never before have Cubs fans (and maybe any fan EVER) been so hungry for a World Series, which is why the National League best 2008 Chicago Cubs must change.  So, without further ado, the attempt to stop the longest championship drought ever.

Cubs Rotation:

One of the most talked about concerns for the Cubs is Ryan Dempster.  I feel that the Cubs should try and bring back the righty who had a career year.  However, if Dempster ends up asking for rediculous money, I say we pass.  Dempster, for his career, is a below .500 pitcher (76-81) with a 4.55 ERA.  He's a solid pitcher that could be good in any rotation, but I still don't think the guy has top of the rotation stuff.  I still see him as more of a Paul Byrd-type pitcher.  A solid arm to throw in the middle of your rotation.  That said, I would like to see us give Demp a reasonable offer and hope that he takes a discount from us.

So, if Dempster goes, we will need another pitcher.  Most of the talks so far have been about Jake Peavy.  The real hope here is that we can sign Dempster for less and still aquire Peavy.  Peavy is a must-have at the moment, especially after rumors have pointed to the Cubs as the leading contender.  I could see the Padres taking a deal that included Felix Pie (the Padres see something in this kid), Sean Marshall (showed much promise as our young lefty when Rich Hill fluttered), and Wellington Castillo (a very promising player who wouldn't have room on the Cubs with '08 Rookie of the Year Geovany Soto behind the plate).  Add in maybe another young pitcher with promise and I feel that the Padres would consider.

If we don't end up getting Peavy, then I would like to see us either A) offer up a little bit more money for Dempster (notice the little bit) or B) pick up a pitcher like an AJ Burnett.  Burnett is a question mark and really has been his entire career.  I mean this is the guy who threw a no-hitter while walking NINE GUYS!!  His consistancy as a dominant, strike-out pitcher however would welcome him to the Cubs who have led the National League in strikeouts for the past six years.

We also need to find somewhere to put Jason Marquis, if we cannot somehow get rid of him in a trade.  Last year he said that he wouldn't pitch in the bullpen, so if it comes down to it, we may need to just cut him.

SFH2's Projected 2009 Rotation:

1. Jake Peavy
2. Carlos Zambrano
3. Rich Harden
4. Ryan Dempster/A.J. Burnett
5. Ted Lilly

This rotation would be the best in the entire major leagues (assuming they all stay healthy).  Having a 17-game winner as your number five is just unthinkable these days, but it could happen.

Next Post:  Cubs Bullpen

Category: MLB
Comments

Since: Jul 7, 2008
Posted on: December 20, 2008 9:09 pm
 

GM for a day

If you would like to see MY lineup, I have a blog on that GM for a day: Part Tres. Check it out.



Since: Dec 19, 2008
Posted on: December 20, 2008 9:09 am
 

GM for a day

I respectfully disagree with your critcism:

1.  The thought was what would I do.   I don't expect everyone to agree with me.

2.  I think the Sox are looking to dump salary.  The Cubs are in position to take on a little more.  The Sox also need pitching and probably don't want to lock up $ more than a year.  Who are they going to get on the free agent market with those types of contraints?   Marquis isn't Cy Young, but he will get you near double digit wins and 200 + innings.

3.  In my opinion DeRosa isn't an everyday starter at one position.  He would be my floating sub and provide me depth when someone gets hurt.  I believe that is how the Cubs used him last year.

4. What would your lineup be?   I don't see a better leadoff hitter than Soriano on the roster.  Agreed, I don't like him there, but he is the best you got at the moment.   Dye wouldn't bat third as Lee currently does and I think Lee is better suited.  

5.  Why not take a flyer on Kent?  Agreed he is injury prone, but he is cheap production and if he doesn't work out, you are only hooked to a one year deal.  I really don't like any of the free agent 2b.  I know there is a glut of them, but no one, in my opinion is worth signing to a long term deal. 

 

 

  

 




Since: Jul 7, 2008
Posted on: December 19, 2008 10:42 pm
 

GM for a day

First, the White Sox would NEVER trade Dye for Marquis.  I would love for them to make this trade, but it would never happen.

Second, why do we need a second baseman when we already have DeRosa?

Third, Rafael Furcal already signed with the Dodgers.

Fourth, your lineup looks a little whacked out.  Soto in the two-hole? You still have Soriano leading off? Dye wouldn't be your 3-hitter?

Finally, Jeff Kent is old and way too injury-prone.  We wouldn't take a chance on an old-man like that.

I'm sorry for being so hard on you newbie, but you gotta know your stuff around these parts.




Since: Dec 19, 2008
Posted on: December 19, 2008 10:32 pm
 

GM for a day

I think the Cubs need to address the following areas:

 

• Right Field (preferably left handed hitter)

• Bullpen

• Shortstop or Second Base -   We can live with Theriot or Fontenot, but not both.

 

 

Below are three moves I would pursue.  They don't add significantly to the payroll and address two of the three areas I mentioned above.

 

 

 

Move 1 Dye for Marquis

 

Marquis has one year remaining at $6.4 million.  Dye has two years with a mutual option (08:$9.5M, 09:$11.5M, 10:$12M mutual option with $1M buyout).   Marquis will provide the White Sox 200 innings and $3 million in salary reduction.  They need an "inning eater" after trading Vazquez.   Dye would bring the Cubs power and good OPS.  Net payroll gain to the Cubs would be $3 million for 2008.   This would be a better option than Milton Bradley.  This would also allow Fukudome to move to center and bat lower in the lineup.

 

 

Move 2 Sign Juan Cruz

 

As a set up man, we need to have someone ready to step in when Kevin Gregg implodes.  Cruz had the best strikeouts per nine innings in NL at 12.4.  Plus, you won't have to pay a hefty premium. 

 

 

Move 3 Sign Arthur Rhodes

 

Should come cheap and won't require a long term deal.  Absolute murder on lefties, who hit .157 and slugged .200 against him.  The only lefty the Cubs have in the bullpen is Neal Cotts.

  

 

Move 4 2B/SS Options

 

Ideally, Rafael Frucal is the best option, but I feel the price is too high.   Do the Cubs have the budget for him?

 

That being said:

 

Options at 2B – I would suggest signing these guys to a one year deal.  I believe they aren’t long term options, but worth a short term flyer.

 

  • Marcus Giles
  • Jeff Kent

 

 

 

Lineup

 

LF    Soriano

C      Soto

1B    Lee

3B    Ramirez

RF   Dye

CF   Fukudome

SS  Theriot

2B   Fontenot / Kent / Giles

P




Since: Jun 27, 2007
Posted on: November 21, 2008 11:42 am
 

GM for a day

I agree, the Cubs do not need whole sale changes. They won 97 games.  Team Chemistry is HUGE on any team. The Cubs have it.  They performed poorly in the playoffs.  Ok.  They signed Ryan, good.  They might get one more reliever or starter, but if not, they have their pitching in order.  Micah can play a little RF and a little 1B.  That takes care of Left hand power hitting and cheaply, in house. They don't need Dunn, although he is pretty good.  Their salary for the team is already like in the top 5.  Theriot had one home run, true.  He should hit lead off, he hit .307 last year, good for 6th in the NL. He needs to be a table setter.  Depending on Fukodome, he can quit bailing and start hitting, so hit him 2nd or 8th.  

SS - Theriot
2B - Derosa/Fontenot
3B - Ramirez
LF - Soriano
1B - D Lee/Hoffpauer
RF - Hoffpauer/Fudodome
C - Soto
CF - Fukodome/Johnson

Bench - Johnson/Fontenot/Cedeno/Koy Hill/ - Johnson can hit anywhere and play good D, and Mike F is solid at 2nd and can hit.

Big Z, Dempster, Lilly, Harden, Randy Johnson - Get rid of Marquis, he is inconsistent.  The rest of the pitchers are pretty much set, we have good arms in the bullpen and someone always emerges (like Jeff Notre Dame boy).  We got Hart who can throw.  Howry, see ya, he throws 89 or 90 and that is it.  Rich Hill is a question, and so is their other lefty who was the number 6 guy.  Between those three, one  of them can be the 5th guy if Big Unit goes somewhere.  Peavy ain't coming, and is a question mark.  Cedeno and Marquis are trade bait, and maybe if we don't get Big Unit, we can get D Lowe, which would be great. I dont' see the Cubs paying 3 yrs at 15 mil per for Furcal, although would love to have him.  We can afford one SP maybe and that might be it.  Micah is a stud and needs to get some swings in this year.  D Lee had a bad year and hit like .285 or something with 90 runs driven in.  Gold Glove defense, he is better than A Gonzales.




Since: Oct 1, 2008
Posted on: November 19, 2008 6:52 pm
 

GM for a day

Why is Harden above Dempster?!




Since: Oct 24, 2006
Posted on: November 18, 2008 6:01 pm
 

GM for a day

trade:  , , , &
Cubs attain:  , & Brian Giles

trade: &
Rangers attain: Jason Marquis, Ronny Cedeno &

trade: Jake Peavy, Brian Giles & Adrian Gonzalez
Padres attain: Kevin Hart, Sean Marshall, Felix Pie, Elvis Andrus & Max Ramirez

1.  The Cubs get a LH RFer and a top of the line Starting Pitcher.

2.  The Rangers get SP help and add another big bat at 1B.  It may also take the Cubs giving up a closer prospect here (Smardzija).  The Rangers also keep their options open to trade Teagarden/Saltalamacchia/Liard to the for .

3.  The Padres remove a chunk of payroll for 2009 (about 20M to be exact) and get the high profile prospects and 2 ML ready starters they are looking for.



Since: Nov 16, 2008
Posted on: November 16, 2008 9:38 am
 

GM for a day

This is my lineup that I think would be a well balanced team. -Brian Roberts 2B -Rafael Furcal SS -Derrek Lee 1B -Aramis Ramirez 3B -Alfonso Soriano LF -Geovany Soto C -Jeremy Hermida RF -Reed Johnson/Kosuke Fukudome CF -Pitcher Pitching Rotation: Carlos Zambrano, Jake Peavy, Ryan Dempster, Ted Lilly, Rich Harden Bullpen: Angel Guzman, Carlos Marmol, Kevin Gregg, Neal Cotts, Jeff Samardija, Chad Gaudin Bench: Henry Blanco, Ryan Theriot, Mike Fontenot, Micah Hoffpauer, Mark DeRosa (DeRosa would get a lot of playing time because he is a utility player) This is what I think would be a dream team for the Cubs to have.




Since: Jul 7, 2008
Posted on: November 15, 2008 6:50 pm
 

GM for a day

Wow that's a pretty in-depth offseason analysis.  I just don't see Hendry being that active in the offseason.  He wants to just tinker with the team he has now, not completely make them over.




Since: Nov 15, 2008
Posted on: November 15, 2008 5:16 pm
 

GM for a day

Three-Team Trade: Cubs get P Matt Cain from SF and P John Grabow from PIT; Giants get 1B Derrek Lee, SS Ronny Cedeno from CHC; Pirates get P Jason Marquis and cash from CHC.<o:p></o:p>

Cubs trade P Rich Hill, OF Felix Pie and C Luis Flores to the Rays for OF Carl Crawford.<o:p></o:p>

Cubs trade SS Ryan Theriot, C Welington Castillo and P Jose Ascanio to the Rockies for SS Troy Tulowitzki.<o:p></o:p>

Cubs sign P Ben Sheets to a one-year, $5MM deal with incentives.<o:p></o:p>

Cubs sign IF Felipe Lopez to a two-year, $5MM deal.<o:p></o:p>

Cubs re-sign OF Reed Johnson to a two-year, $6MM deal.<o:p></o:p>

Lineup: 1) RF Carl Crawford, 2) SS Troy Tulowitzki, 3) 3B Aramis Ramirez, 4) 1B Micah Hoffpauir, 5)  LF Alfonso Soriano, 6) C Geovany Soto, 7) 2B Mark DeRosa, 8) CF Kosuke Fukudome, 9) Pitcher<o:p></o:p>

Bench: IF Mike Fontenot, IF Felipe Lopez, OF Brandon Snyder, OF Reed Johnson, and C Henry Blanco.<o:p></o:p>

Rotation: Carlo Zambrano, Matt Cain, Ted Lilly, Rich Harden, and Ben Sheets<o:p></o:p>

Bullpen: Sean Marshall, Chad Gaudin, Kevin Gregg, Neal Cotts, Jeff Samardzija, John Grabow, Kevin Hart, Angel Guzman and Carlos Marmol as the Closer.<o:p>
</o:p>

Cubs finally have a prototypical lead-off man in Crawford. Tulowitzki is an upgrade offensively and defensively at SS, even though they lose the higher OBP guy in Theriot. Hoffpauir, the reigning minor league POY, is sandwiched between Ramirez and Soriano; he will get a lot of pitches to hit. I believe Soriano will also see more pitches batting down in the order with ROY C Geovany Soto behind him. Mark DeRosa is "Mr. Utility" and Fukudome will have little pressure as the second lead-off man in the 8-hole. Fukudome is a good contact hitter and can do a lot of damage deeper in the order. Fontenot can platoon with DeRosa at 2B, not to mention DeRosa's ability to give days off to corner OF's and corner IF's. Felipe Lopez can play every IF position and give MGR Lou Piniella a switch-hitter with speed off the bench. Brad Snyder gives Sweet Lou a big left-handed bat off the bench. And C Henry "Hank White" Blanco is pivotal for bringing along a young Soto and talented rotation. <o:p></o:p>

The Cubs have an All-Star rotation with Carlo Zambrano, Matt Cain, Ted Lilly, Rich Harden, and Ben Sheets. If Sheets or Harden needs extended rest, Hart and Marshall can give the Cubs spot starts. Carlos Marmol will be the new closer on the north side. I believe he is ready, and he will be more consistent knowing he is the ninth inning guy. It will be set-up man by committee with a lot of live arms in the bullpen (Gaudin, Gregg, Samardzija, Hart, and Guzman; not to mention some crafty lefties with Grabow, Cotts and Marshall).<o:p></o:p>

Payroll for 2009: $122,506,000<o:p></o:p>



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