Blog Entry

A bums mock draft

Posted on: April 8, 2009 10:43 pm
Edited on: April 19, 2009 11:02 am

I figure if you’re going to criticize other’s picks you better be willing to stick your neck out and make your own selections. I did not consider trades because they are just too hard to predict. Here we go:


1. Detroit - Matt Stafford QB, Georgia

When it's all said and done you can't put a value on a franchise-capable QB. The Lions have another pick to address the offensive tackle position. This pick could easily change to offensive tackle if Mr. Stafford has unrealistic salary expectations.

2. St. Louis - Jason Smith OT, Baylor

Marc Bulger has looked good in spring workouts. The Rams have lots of holes and their dismissal of veteran OT Orlando Pace says they have their eyes on a left tackle.

3. Kansas City Chiefs - Aaron Curry LB, Virginia

The Chiefs also have lots of needs but linebacker is easily the biggest need. When you're switching to a 3-4 you better have capable linebackers. This is a layup.

4. Seattle Seahawks - Eugene Monroe LT, Virginia

This is a very difficult pick and the choice will effect the entire first half of the draft. In the end, it came down to the acquisition of Houshmanzadeh and the development of Ben Obomanu. Mark Sanchez is a very real possibility but a solid left tackle could allow Hasselbeck to play two more years - the number of years left on his contract.

5. Cleveland Browns – Mark Sanchez QB, USC

It’s no secret Eric Mangini isn’t feeling Brady Quinn and Derek Anderson has essentially a one year contract. A new regime means a new QB and Mark Sanchez has all the tools you look for in a QB. I don’t see Brady Quinn as a Brown in 2009. Ideally, a trade would come prior to the draft but he may have more value on draft day.

6. Cincinnati Bengals – Michael Crabtree WR, Texas Tech

No team needs a break more than the Bengals and they get one as their need matches the board. Crabtree will be a day one contributor and a great target for a healthy Carson Palmer. Cincinnati’s acquisition of Tank Johnson fills their newest criminal DT need.

7. Oakland Raiders – Andre Smith OT, Alabama

Character certainly isn’t an issue in Oakland so Smith is the perfect fit for a team that would like to run the ball and take the pressure off their young passer. Oakland would love a stud DE but Brian Orakpo and Michael Johnson have more questions than upside.

8. Jacksonville Jaguars – Jeremy Maclin WR, Missouri

David Garrard evidently heard the footsteps dropping 20 pounds in the offseason. A healthy offensive line will help David approach his 2007 form. The Jaguars have to run the ball to be effective and a big play receiver will help to stretch the field.

9. Green Bay Packers – B.J. Raji NT, Boston College

The Packers will be thrilled if B.J. makes it this far. With Adrian Peterson, Matt Forte and Kevin Smith on the schedule six times next year a nose tackle for the 3-4 defense is just what the doctor ordered.

10. San Francisco 49ers – Everette Brown OLB, Florida State

The debate over who is the best pass rusher will go on for several years but my vote is Everette Brown. Aaron Maybin looked amazing at his Pro Day but the 49ers are conference contenders now and Brown has pass rushing skills that could translate into an immediate impact.

11. Buffalo Bills – Michael Oher OT, Ole Miss

With the departure of Jason Peters, left tackle becomes a glaring need. Fortunately, Oher is still available. Like Ryan Clady, Oher has become a victim of the over-hyped combo. On film, he's a man among boys - just ask Tyson Jackson.

12. Denver Broncos – Aaron Maybin OLB, PSU

With both Stafford and Sanchez off the board the Broncos will look to fortify their awful defense. Maybin could be a gamble for a head coach already in the spotlight but Pat Bowlen  put his full support behind young Josh McDaniels in a letter to season ticket holders. No player has more upside than Aaron Maybin but he may take a couple seasons to adjust. Mike Nolan is the perfect guy to groom him.

13. Washington Redskins – Brian Orakpo DE, Texas

The Eagles strike again! With the acquisition of Peters the Eagles have eliminated the possibility of one of the top 4 tackles falling to the Redskins at 13. Beatty or Britton would be a reach here so the Redskins address another of their needs. Philip Daniels is 36 years old and coming off a major knee surgery. He was a premiere run-stopper in his prime which falls in line with Brian's biggest strength.

14. New Orleans Saints – Malcom Jenkins CB, Ohio State

There are probably better corners in this draft but will the Saints have the guts to take one? I doubt it. They’ll play it safe and hope Malcom fills an immediate need.

15. Houston Texans – Chris “Beanie” Wells RB, Ohio State

It’s back to back buckeyes in the middle of the first. Steve Slaton is a nice story but he’s not an every down  back. Say what you want about Beanie’s injuries but last I heard he was begging Tressel to play week in and week out. How often is one of the best between the tackle runners also one of the fastest? A dynamic offense just gets better with the one two punch of Wells and Slaton.

16. San Diego Chargers – Tyson Jackson DE, LSU

With Igor Olshansky on to Dallas the Chargers have a glaring need at DE. Tyson won’t get after the passer but he’s an immovable object in the running game. Sounds like a perfect 3-4 DE.

17. New York Jets – Josh Freeman QB, Kansas State

With Wells gone the Jets take their future QB. Don’t believe the Brett Ratliff hype. If he was the future they wouldn’t have chased Jay “whiner” Cutler with the intensity they did. Quarterback over running back in this situation.

18. Denver Broncos – Rey Maualuga ILB, USC

Pass rusher? Check! Run stopping linebacker? Check! With any luck, Ron Brace will be available in the second round and the Broncos will fill three very big holes in the first 45 picks of the draft. Some are speculating that the Broncos would package some of these picks and go after Sanchez but that says to me they made a mistake with Cutler and they don’t want that image. The best way to calm down the fans in Denver is to strike gold with the picks they got in return. They are on the way in the first round.

19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Knowshon Moreno RB, Georgia

Where there are winners there are losers and with no QB on the board Tampa is left taking the BPA. Derrick Ward has never been a feature back so a one-two punch with Moreno would do nicely here. A big defensive tackle and press corner are both bigger needs so don’t be surprised if they trade down here and look to get Darius Butler or Ziggy Hood near the end of the first round.

20. Detroit Lions – William Beatty OT, Connecticut

First the QB, now the LT to protect him. Thanks Dallas!

21. Philadelphia Eagles – Michael Johnson DE, Georgia Tech

Being compared to Simeon Rice is not a bad thing. Johnson is the perfect compliment to Trent Cole. At 6’ 7” and 266 pounds Johnson has the room for another 10-15 pounds without losing the 4.69 speed he displayed at the combine.

22. Minnesota Vikings – Eben Britton OT, Arizona

If Britton is still here at 22 the Vikings will not be able to ignore him. They need a RT desperately and Britton is the last of the first round tackles on the board.

23. New England Patriots – Brian Cushing ILB, USC

Teddy Bruschi isn’t getting any younger. Cushing is a downhill tackler who can run with backs and tight ends and even rush off the edge. A starter as a freshman, Cushing has blossomed into one of the most physical linebackers in the draft.

24. Atlanta Falcons – Vontae Davis CB, Illinois

Brandon Pettigrew looks like a great tight end prospect but unless he can also play in the secondary the Falcons have to pass. They were thin at CB before Dominque Foxworth became the most overpaid CB in the NFL. It hasn’t gotten better.

25. Miami Dolphins – Darius Butler CB, Connecticut

Two husky footballers in the first round? Say it isn’t so. The loss of Andre Goodman leaves a big void in the Miami secondary. A rush LB opposite Joey Porter is a possibility if Butler is off the board.

26. Baltimore Ravens – Derrius Heyward – Bey WR, Maryland

Under normal circumstances I think Ozzie would not take this risk in the first round but Steve Bisciotti is a big Maryland booster and he loves hometown guys (check out the Foxworth contract). Fortunately, the Ravens don’t have any glaring needs so they can afford to draft a project.

27. Indianapolis Colts – Peria Jerry DT, Ole Miss

This is a no-brainer for the Colts. Run defense is always a problem and Peria Jerry is the best DT on the board. Ziggy Hood is right on his heels but Jerry is a better run stopper.

28. Buffalo Bills - Robert Ayers DE, Tennessee

With their left tackle solution filled the Bills will look to another need. Ayers is slowly climbing teams' draft boards. Robert has great lower body strength and can beat double teams with his quickness.

Previous pick: Phi-Percy Harvin, Phi-Hakeem Nicks

29. New York Giants – Hakeem Nicks, WR UNC

With the Eagles off the board the Giants no longer have a competitor for Eli's next big target. Hakeem has the  best hands in the draft and his big frame allows him to take hits across the middle. Hakeem doesn't have Plaxico's speed but the Giants have a speedy receiver in Sinorice Moss. Now they get their go-to guy when they need a big play.

Previous pick: Clay Matthews

30. Tennessee Titans – James Laurinitis ILB, Ohio State

The Titans are very balanced but if they have a weakness it’s at middle linebacker. James Laurinitis will fit nicely in the middle. Often compared to Brian Urlacher, if James can play anywhere close to that level the Titans will have a dominant force inside for many years to come.

31. Arizona Cardinals – Donald Brown RB, Connecticut

2018 yards and 18 TD. Sometimes numbers don’t lie. Add in soft hands and you have an instant upgrade at running back.

32. Pittsburgh Steelers – Alex Mack C, California

No team needs an upgrade at Center more than the Steelers. Justin Hartwig was a human turnstile in 2008 and Mack is an instant upgrade. Mack was the only center able to neutralize B.J. Raji at the Senior Bowl and he’s one of the smartest linemen in the draft.













Category: NFL

Since: Oct 15, 2007
Posted on: April 30, 2009 4:13 pm

A bums mock draft

Not bad at all bum...

I dont have any followers on my blog (cuz I never do it), but I got 7 out of 32 as well.  Anything over 20 percent is respectable IMO.

Since: Sep 17, 2006
Posted on: April 29, 2009 9:46 pm

A bums mock draft

Well 7 out of 32 doesn't seem very good but when you look around ....

Sircheeks 1

Mel Kiper 9 (and he changed his at 10:30am on draft day after he heard the Seahawks were taking Curry)

Todd McShay 7

Jay Glazer 5 6 4 8 3  10 3

Since: Apr 12, 2008
Posted on: April 24, 2009 9:21 am

A bums mock draft

Great Mock Bum. I think the Redskins are going to pull of a trade with the Chiefs and take Sanchez. I look for there to be a lot more wheeling and ealing this draft than even last year! 

Since: Sep 17, 2006
Posted on: April 10, 2009 1:06 pm

A bums mock draft


I won't argue Smith over Monroe. If you look at them as players right now it probably is Monroe but Smith only has a career 19 starts at LT and most of the scouts think if he polishes his technique he'll be the best Tackle in the 2009 class. Keep in mind he's a converted tight end so he doesn't have Monroe's background. Either way I think they will both be good tackles. Who would you rather have? Jake Long or Joe Thomas? Same story here IMO.

Aaron Maybin is the ultimate risk / reward player. There's no doubt he could bust, but he also could blossom into the next Joey Porter. He's strong, fast and agile so the pass coverage may come in time.

Alot of people who look at the smaller DEs see them as liabilities - and they can be. But many of them also have the ability to take over a football game. Forty four teams passed on LaMarr Woodley in 2007 because they didn't want to roll the dice. Where would he go in this year's draft? Probably Number 3 to Kansas City.

Same with 2005. Ware and Merriman went 11 / 12. Those guys are game changers. There was just as much risk there.

I'm a card player and the biggest losers are guys that play with scared money. Where there's risk, there's reward.

Donald Brown is tiny. I'd be interested to see why you think former Steelers' offensive coordinator Ken Whisenhunt would select Brown with their pick at 31.

Daren Sproles is tiny (5' 6", 187lbs). Donald Brown is 5' 10", 210 lbs. L.T. was 5' 10", 220 lbs coming out in 2001. I'M NOT SUGGESTING HE'S THE NEXT L.T. But he's big enough.

Donald Brown is a football player. He runs hard, hits the hole quickly and he has great hands out of the backfield. There's not a doubt in mind this kid will be a 1,600 all-purpose yard guy in the NFL.

Willie Parker (5' 10", 209lbs) had his best years under Whiz. 

You've done some good things here, beach, but there are a few head scratchers - namely picks 19 and 31.

I find it equally puzzling that you only have one RB going in the first round and none before 28. The last time that happened was 1984 when there were only 28 teams. With more and more teams using a two back system I don't think it's likely but I could be wrong.

And don't even get me started on 5...

If you really believe Malcom Jenkins will be your 5th selection who am I to talk you out of it? I know you're an aspiring writer and with that comes the responsibility of creating discussion. It worked. Now who do you really think they will take?

If I created a mock based on who I thought was the best pick for the Browns it would be Everette Brown. But my gut tells me it's Sanchez (if he's there). Mangini isn't afraid of the fans. If he were he wouldn't have dangled Quinn out there already. He doesn't like what he sees and he's not going to start his career with a QB he doesn't think can do the job - if there is another option.

I think Sanchez is possible at 5. Trading down is the better option but that's too hard to mock so I made a pick.


Since: Jun 30, 2008
Posted on: April 10, 2009 10:12 am

A bums mock draft

I've read several scouting reports on Jason Smith and I feel he is not this year's best offensive lineman.

Eugene Monroe is.

You can see that by watching both men on the field. Monroe has better feet than Smith, and he seems to have better balance. Monroe is good at anticipating defenders and reading/reacting to stunts.

Smith is still quite raw and inexperienced. That comes through most in the running game where he only uses his size and athleticism to block. Poor technique.

Some of the prognosticators are catching on, and I really hope the Rams do too.

I really like Jackson to the Chargers, but I don't like Maybin to the Broncos. The scouting reports on Maybin all say the same thing: great pass rusher but terrible in coverage. That gaping hole in his game should scare teams away. While rush ends in a 3-4 are primarily there to go after the quarterback, they are often times too predictable. He's one fewer read that needs to be made, and sometimes that can make all the difference in the world.

Donald Brown is tiny. I'd be interested to see why you think former Steelers' offensive coordinator Ken Whisenhunt would select Brown with their pick at 31.

You've done some good things here, beach, but there are a few head scratchers - namely picks 19 and 31.

And don't even get me started on 5...

Since: Sep 17, 2006
Posted on: April 10, 2009 9:34 am

A bums mock draft

Thanks Burger,

I almost mocked Butler to the Falcons and Sean Smith to the Dolphins. I read somewhere they like Smith.


Since: Sep 5, 2006
Posted on: April 9, 2009 10:54 pm

A bums mock draft

Great draft projections!

Re: Dophins @ #25

I have pegged Butler as good fit for the Dolphins as well.  If Heyward-Bey is actually available at #25 I would be surprised, and I haven't seen him projected falling that low, but if he does I would not fault Parcells for taking him in the first round. He has pro written all over him. 




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