Blog Entry

Player Spot Light- Drew Stubbs

Posted on: August 16, 2010 3:32 pm
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Heading into the season, Red's center fielder, Drew Stubbs was a popular a late round pick, in many  fantasy baseball leagues. He was projected to be a late round stolen base threat, one with a power upside, some thing that is rare amongst the cheap thiefs. Which is ultimately what made Stubbs such an attractive option.

So far this season, managers opinions have been mixed. The power and speed have been present, but the soul draining batting average and low OBP have been major causes for concern. But should they be?

Well of course, that was pretty much a retorical question. An inability to get on base at a high, or even average amount, limits his stolen base opportunities, minimizing or reducing his SB threat.

While looking at Stubbs' numbers thus far this season, I kept drawing mental comparisons to one player in particular. A quick look at their stats shows just how similar these two players are.

Drew Stubbs-
Current- 58 R, 15 HR, 54 RBI, 18 SB .235 AVG, .301 OBP, .411 SLG
On pace- 79 R, 20 HR, 74 RBI, 24 SB, .235 AVG, .301 OBP, .405 SLG
Current .298 BABIP, 31.8% K rate, 8.1% BB rate,
38 % owned


Player B-
Current- 62 R, 10 HR, 42 RBI, 33 SB .238 AVG, .326 OBP, .408 SLG
On pace-85 R, 13 HR, 58 RBI, 45 SB, .238 AVG, .325 OBP, .403 SLG
Current- .308 BABIP, 29.1% K rate, 11.3% BB rate
93 % Owned

+4 R, -5 HR, - 12 RBI, +15 SB + .003 AVG, +.025 OBP, -.003 SLG= 55% ownership difference?

It's nearly ludacris that Stubbs is owned in 55% less leagues then the player in question.
Clearly player B is the bigger SB threat, and has/will score more runs, but why the excessive love, and just who is that player?

Player B is none other then Tampa Bay Rays center fielder, B.J. Upton.
Yeah that's correct, Drew Stubbs and B.J. Upton are strikingly similar players. Both have similar high strike out rates, soul draining batting average, but both offer a nice mix of power and speed. But why the ownership discrepancy?

Could be their age? Of course not. Stubbs is a couple months younger then Upton.

To me this a clear display of paying for potential, and the "what have you done for me lately" syndrome.

The power that Upton displayed in the post season two season's ago, must be what's driving up Upton's "value". The fact that he plays for a team that has expose to a wider range of fans could be the reason, but honestly I'm still perplexed.

Given that both players display nearly identical skill sets, one would think that their ownership should be nearly identical.

What are your thoughts? Which player would you rather have, the remainder of this season and next?
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Comments

Since: Jul 25, 2010
Posted on: August 21, 2010 4:44 pm
 

Player Spot Light- Drew Stubbs

Totally correct - I think the biggest thing against Stubbs is (a) the crowded Cincy outfield and (b) Dusty Baker



Since: Apr 26, 2010
Posted on: August 16, 2010 5:19 pm
 

Player Spot Light- Drew Stubbs

It amazes me that Player B was actually B.J. Upton
I would rather have Upton for the remainder of this season and next, but i still can´t believe Stubbs is just owned that low
55% ownership difference for "nearly" same playing skills, WOW

Nice blog i may add - and sorry for crappy english my german is much better Wink


Martin


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