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Blog Entry

Who is the Guru?

Posted on: September 17, 2009 4:54 pm
 
Throughout the years, we've had many incarnations of and therefore, questions about the Guru.  The Guru, as it was designed, was a formula that was supposed to give an indication of how well your player will perform in the upcoming week's football game.  It appears on every team's 'Set Lineup' page.  It used to take into account the player's past performance, some projections, injury status, and opponent.  We would tweak the actual formula from time to time.  It wasn't perfect, but we thought that it served its purpose. 

Our content team, including but not limited to Dave Richard and Jamey Eisenberg, apparently used to get some emails from readers who thought that they were the 'Guru' offering this advice. And when it didn't work out for that particular reader, those emails could get pretty nasty.  I guess those guys had just about enough of that when they came to us last year and said that if they were going to take flack from the readers that they at least wanted it to be based on their own weekly projections for each player so that they could defend their decisions.  It seemed like a daunting task, but they were up to the challenge. So now those Guru numbers you see on your Lineup page are the result of those guys projecting out a weekly stat line for each player.  Each site then applies those stats to your league's specific scoring system and spits out what your score would be with that stat line.  If you want to see the stats that go into your 'Guru' number, just click "Weekly Projections' at the top of your 'Set Lineup' table. 

Personally I'm still not sold on which way is better.  While it's nice to have a projected stat line on each player, it really puts pressure on thye football writers to have to determine which players are going to score TDs that particular week or not.  For instance, with the old system, because it was a formula, the number could be the result of an average number of TDs per game.  Say RB 'X' rushed for an average of 65 yards and had scored 3 TDs for the first 6 weeks of a season.  The formula might have projected that he would have 65 yards and .5 TDs that week - an average score of about 9 points.  With our content team projecting out a weekly stat line, they don't have the luxury of predicting out .5 (or half of a Touchdown).  So if they player has been averaging about 65 yards a week, they have to make the call between saying he'll score a TD which would put the player at about 12 points, or not scoring a TD which would put the player at about 6 points.  It's a pretty big difference.   Which do you prefer?  Think about it and let me know. 

Category: Fantasy Football
Comments

Since: Nov 16, 2006
Posted on: December 16, 2009 2:30 pm
 

Who is the Guru?

This message is for Mike Levine: If you would like to know about how Sportsline may offer a way to more accurately offer projections of statistical performance, and with a much higher degree of reliability, please contact me at .



Since: Nov 16, 2006
Posted on: December 16, 2009 2:23 pm
 

Who is the Guru?

I actually invented a game that would make predicting stat lines for every player possible and largely attractive as an info source. If you'd like to know more, email me at .



Since: Dec 19, 2008
Posted on: October 23, 2009 9:05 pm
 

Who is the Guru?

I like your proposition quite a bit, actually very much.  It makes more sense than any others I have heard so far. 

My idea would be spending less time on these "Guru" predictions and spend more time making it a little easier to navigate this site. Not that it is hard to as it is right now but it would be a little more friendly if I could click on a players profile and not only read his stats but on the same page read the stats of the defense and/or match-up. It would be so much more helpful and quicker than having to search for the stats yourself.  The way it is now, I spend hours I could be using for something else looking up all this information!

Thank you, hopefully CBS will consider something similar to this proposal!



Since: Oct 22, 2009
Posted on: October 22, 2009 12:06 pm
 

Who is the Guru?

Hi
I have a fantasy football question but not sure who to send it you, maybe you can help.
 I have Chris Johnson and Frank Gore as my rb starters and am looking to add someone to help my bench or cover me for an injury.
The guys still available are McGahee, McFadden, Fargas and Mike Bell. If you had your choice, who would you add to improve your bench depth.
Thanks, Jim



Since: Oct 22, 2009
Posted on: October 22, 2009 1:50 am
 

Who is the Guru?

Both attempts have been wrong so often, experienced players no longer watch or care.



Since: Oct 20, 2009
Posted on: October 20, 2009 6:52 pm
 

Who is the Guru?

I strongly prefer the "old guru" predictions.  Too much of the predictions now are based on TDs which is way too hard to predict in a given week.  While an individual prediction could be off under the old guru if a player had a huge game, the team total predictions seemed to be much closer than they are now, as things averaged out well.  I seem to win more often when I am a big underdog now, and lose when I am the favorite.I think the old way is more logical and more useful to me.  I wish I could still see the old guru predictions.



Since: Sep 29, 2009
Posted on: October 20, 2009 5:34 pm
 

Who is the Guru?

I have been playing fantasy football for a number of years now and have had weeks where the Gurus projections have saved my butt and I have just as many weeks that it killed me.  But after reading the blog and knowing where CBSsports is coming from I really think everyone need to just quit complaining.  They are trying to help but there is no perfect system just like the BCS there is no way to make it perfect.  We all know that no matter what they do there will be someone who is not happy with it.  It is just another tool that we can do to try to make an educated decision on who we should start its not an exact science.  At the end of the day it is OUR call to make on who we should or shouldn't start that week.  You signed up to play a game that takes focus and studying of the players you own if you want to be a contender.  If you want the Guru to play your game and set your line ups then you shouldn't have signed up to play. 

I admit I have been frustrated at times when they come out saying Leon Washington will put up 16 points so I start him over Brandon jacobs who is predicted to put up 6 and Leon didn't even score me a point.  But they have no control over the calls that the coaches make and who they decide to start and give the ball too.  So in the end it is on us to do the best we can with the tools that are provided to us.

So in my opinion I think we need to quit complaining and just play the game.  Just have fun lighten up and you might start winning.Cool




Since: Dec 1, 2007
Posted on: October 17, 2009 7:09 pm
 

Who is the Guru? DONT MATTER...I DO THE OPPOSITE.

I love it when you guys say 'don't start him' or 'never had any success in Miami' or something equally dumb. I do the exact opposite and it always seems to work out better for me.



Since: Sep 3, 2009
Posted on: October 16, 2009 2:05 pm
 

Who is the Guru?

My personal opinion is that you should just get rid of the "guru" stat. I don't like it and I don't use it. Eisenberg and Richard already rank the players each week. What do you need the "guru" stats for? I think it's an extranious colomn in an already-crowded stats table. I look at Jame and Dave's rankings. I also consider other sports analyst's rankings. I listen to fantasy football pod casts. I watch the games. There's plenty of information out there to base a decision on. I think the "guru" column should just go bye-bye. Don't need it, don't want it, don't use it.



Since: Aug 23, 2009
Posted on: October 16, 2009 2:26 am
 

Who is the Guru?

anyone here have a good bookie I can take some games through 916-271-1253 please call


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