Blog Entry

Drafting a Third Baseman

Posted on: April 4, 2009 9:21 am
Edited on: May 4, 2009 9:14 pm
 

Call me crazy but I'm ranking Ryan Zimmerman in the top five at third base in 2009. The top five. Here is how I rank third base entering the 2009 season:

1. David Wright NYM
2. Evan Longoria TB
3. Aramis Ramirez CHC
4. Ryan Zimmerman WAS
5. Garrett Atkins COL
6. Kevin Youkilis BOS

The obvious #1 pick at third is David Wright. Wright does it all. He hits for average and home runs, he scores a ton of runs and drives in a ton of RBIs. Oh, and Wright steals bases too. Not only is David Wright the #1 third baseman, but he's probably the #1 draft pick over all. Longoria and Ramirez come in at #2 and #3 at this position.

As you can see, Arod doesn't even make the top five. Everything that could go wrong with Arod during the off season, has gone wrong. The exposure to steroid use. Hip surgery leading to 3-4 months loss time. I admit that he probably will return after 3-4 months and put up good numbers. But I think Arod looks like a mess this coming season. I've got caution signs posted all over the place when it comes to Alex Rodriguez.

I'm ranking Zimmerman fourth and over Youkilis , Huff and Garrett Atkins at third this year. Youkilis is always sustaining some type of minor "set back" during the season. I've had Youkilis on my fantasy teams in the past and thankfully the loss time was short. But I have a feeling there will come a time when one of his many ailments will cause him to miss significant playing time. Caution signs go up with Youk too, though not as many as Arod . Huff is decent and his value goes up since he is 1B/3B eligible. Same applies to Atkins. But Huff has been relatively inconsistent during his career and I don't think he can repeat 2008. Deciding between Atkins and Zimmerman is a tough call.

As mentioned above, Atkins is 1B/3B eligible which increases his value over Zimmerman. But I like Zimmerman at third this coming season. Zimmerman has played three seasons now. In his first two, his home run total was in the 20's. He was well on his way for 20+ home runs last year but went down with injury. He's relatively consistent in batting average and looks to be a .285 hitter. His RBI totals are also consistent 85-90 each year. Doesn't sound like stats you'd want to rank in your top five third basemen, right? But did you realize he's only 25-years-old this coming season? At age 25 his power is just starting to develop. He'll also mature as a hitter. I'm not a math genius but it seems to me that maturity + increase in power = increase in stats across the board. Let's not forget that Zimmerman hit 20+ home runs at age 21 in his rookie season!

One other thing you need to realize about Zimmerman. He plays for the Nationals. This is where I would normally lose you, but I actually think it works in his favor when analyzing his stats. You see the Nationals as a negative thing. I see 85-90 RBIs while playing for the Nationals. That's like hitting a million RBIs on a better team. Let's not forget the Nationals during the off season improved their lineup by bringing in Adam Dunn. Dunn will likely hit behind Zimmerman which means pitchers can' t just pitch around him anymore. Ahead of Zimmerman in the lineup will likely be Cristian Guzman (hit .316 last year), Lastings Milledge (stole 24 bases last year) and/or Elijah Dukes (stole 13 bases last year). None of these players are to get excited about. But they can get on base and move into scoring position, allowing Zimmerman to increase his RBI production.

Two other things to remember about Zimmerman in 2009. He enters the season fully healthy from last year's injury (torn muscle in left shoulder) and he's playing on a one-year contract at this point. Which means he's playing on contract year. He returned healthy by the end of last season hitting .290 with 5 HR in September. I'm guessing he will pick up from where he left off.

 

 


Category: Fantasy Baseball
Tags: Third Base
 
Comments

Since: Oct 23, 2008
Posted on: April 16, 2009 9:07 am
 

Drafting a Third Baseman

I can understand A-Rod being down the list. To ignore the steroid/surgery delemma's is amusing. Still consider the mighty A-Rod number 1 after this? That's absurd. How great has Tejada been since he has returned from the wrist surgery and his steroid use has come to light? He's still available on a waiver wire in my league. I can understand your list, although I'm a little iffy on Zimmerman. But that's only because I'm not much of a Zimmerman fan. Perhaps the team he is on has something to do with that. I notice Chipper Jones is mentioned by many of those who have replied, and to be frank I don't understand the hype with Chipper. Sure he won a batting title....but you're gaurenteed a DL skit or two every season. That's a lot of plate appearances to miss to be on my fantasy team and I wouldn't have included him on my top 3B to draft, either. I'd probrably put Youklis at 3 or 4. I'd also put Longoria at number 1, but that's only because I'm a bigger fan with him than Wright. However, either one of them would be a reasonable first round draft pick for 3B or altogether. Based on the list, it's clear you understand baseball....and fantasy. The only 3B I think is really missing is Chone Figgins. But that's only because I'm an Angels fan. In the world of fantasy however, there is no way he can be in the top 10 when it comes to hitting. Just doesn't have the power. Good list.




Since: Feb 11, 2008
Posted on: April 9, 2009 1:15 am
 

Drafting a Third Baseman

As everyone else has pointed out ranking A-Rod 9th among 3b is crazy, when he returns likely a lot soon then you're anticipating he's going to put up the same numbers that Adrian Beltre does as a minimum.

That being said, no love for Beltre? How can you rank Eddy E higher?

Also ummm does the name Chipper Jones resound in your ear? Or did you forget about the batting champ?


So I'm going to call you crazy with your projections.

 

 




Since: Feb 20, 2008
Posted on: April 6, 2009 3:06 pm
 

Drafting a Third Baseman

This guys' rankings are truly elimentary.

First of all, David Wright is not and should not be the #1 overall pick in ANY fantasy league. That distinction is owned by Hanley Ramirez or Jose Reyes.

As for A-Rod, how he slips to 9th is a mystery. A-Rod will be out for 6-8 weeks, yet he will still finish with more HR's and RBI's than 75% of your list. Add to the fact that he will do this in only 130 games, means A-Rod's production warrants him as a #2 third baseman. So, you should draft him as such, and fill in the first month with whoever you can get. That way, you are accumulating some stats while A-Rod is out, making that spot even more valuable. Come on, have you ever played fantasy before?

The Zimmerman prediction is hopeful, at best. He has been a "prospect" and breakout candidate for the past 3 seasons, only to disappoint each time. Why not jump off the bandwagon and on to one that is actually going to produce? Chris Davis. That is the sleeper you should be targeting.

Zimmerman is nothing more than a Mark Reynolds, if he is lucky. Zimmerman should not go off the board any higher than a #8 third baseman.

Oh, by the way, a 3B being 1B eligable does nothing to his value since 1st base is so deep. Now, if a 1B is 3B eligable, well, that is a different story. (i.e. Miguel Cabrera)




Since: Apr 4, 2009
Posted on: April 6, 2009 2:23 pm
 

Drafting a Third Baseman

 i want this kid in my leauge..lol




Since: Sep 10, 2007
Posted on: April 6, 2009 1:10 pm
 

Drafting a Third Baseman

Youkilis and A-Rod below Atkins and Zimmerman?

A good fantasy rule to go by, if you want to win a championship...never EVER draft a Washington National in fantasy baseball, unless his name is Adam Dunn.

Zimmerman should be ranked around 10 or 11th.

What about Cantu? DeRosa? Reynolds? Chipper?

 

 




Since: Oct 3, 2008
Posted on: April 5, 2009 11:15 pm
 

Drafting a Third Baseman

Have u heard of a certain 3rd baseman named Chipper Jones? Atkins, Encarnacion, and Zimmerman and no mention of Jones? Get a clue!

 

 




Since: Apr 4, 2009
Posted on: April 5, 2009 2:30 am
 

Drafting a Third Baseman

 true that... 09s longoria chris davis




Since: Oct 2, 2007
Posted on: April 4, 2009 11:06 pm
 

Drafting a Third Baseman

I think you may have left one player off your list, who may be the surprise player of the year.  Chris Davis of Texas.  He qualifies at first base and third.  He is a power hitter, who can also hit for average.  This is his first full year in the majors, but during the times he has been brought up from the minors before, he has always hit for average and power.  They are predicting 30-35 home runs for him this year.  I am not sure he will reach that, but he would be an excellent player to have as a back up player, in case of injury, or the player you have, goes into a slump.

 

 

 




Since: Apr 4, 2009
Posted on: April 4, 2009 6:35 pm
 

Drafting a Third Baseman

i think zimmerman is a nice pick this year to but i think ur list is a little off... u have the best player in baseball  in the #9 spot lol. hes A-ROD!!!!! im from NY (met fan not a yankee) and the talk about a-rod and the roids is basicly all but gone. plus 3-4 months out what planet do u live on,  hes prob back in 6 weeks by that time the yanks will be in full stride and the rest is history..

all i have to tell u and the people reading this is MARK REYNOLDS.. go ahead and laugh. zimmerman went to  as a ss but was moved over to 3rd bc of a man named MARK, they are the same age and the kid constantly works on his game and oh did i metion that he steals bags not bc of blazing speed but good base running skills. last yr matt willams metioned that hes got 50hr pop in his bat. A team doesnt let u strike out 204 times (major leauge rec.) unless they see something special. All this said he still has to strike out ALOT ALOT less but he know how to draw walks. if he can put it together (medium IF) ur looking at some sweet value. i call him the poor mans wright..i mean hey they came from the same school. if he dont and bats .250 with 25-30 hrs 90 runs and rbi 10-12sb what did u lose



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