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Blog Entry

Beer's Bracket - 02/18/12

Posted on: February 18, 2012 3:11 pm
Edited on: February 18, 2012 5:26 pm
 

** 5:25PM Edit - Swapped Arizona and Washington **

So, I started this last night and I’m just finishing it up now.  Records have not been updated to reflect Friday or Saturday results but results through 2/18 @ 2:30PM EST have been taken into consideration.  Some assumptions for games in action:

- Miami (Fla). wins (up by 19 with 1 to play) while NC State loses (down by 16 with 7 to play).
- Alabama beats Tennessee (up by 4 at half)
- Iowa States beats Oklahoma (up 9 at half)
- No assumption in Kansas State @ Baylor (K-State up 4 at half)
- No assumption in UNLV @ New Mexico (as usual the Lobos are looking real good at home!)

I’m still torn on the last few teams so I’m going out on the edge by putting Dayton in and leaving Minnesota out.  My assumption is that the Flyers win at Xavier while the Gophers lose at Northwestern.  I will adjust accordingly if I’m wrong.

Thanks in advance for any suggestions…

Auto bids are in CAPS and First Four games are italicized.  Championship: Atlanta (S) / Phoenix (W) winner vs. Boston (E) / St. Louis (M) winner.

Atlanta (S)
(1S) KENTUCKY (25-1) vs. (16S) NC-ASHEVILLE (16-8) / VERMONT (18-10) @Louisville
(8S) NEW MEXICO (20-4) vs. (9S) Virginia (19-6) @Louisville
(5S) Florida State (18-7) vs. (12S) LONG BEACH STATE (17-6) @Nashville
(4S) Indiana (20-6) vs. (13S) Washington (18-8) / Dayton (16-9) @Nashville
(6S) MURRAY STATE (22-1) vs. (11S) Illinois (16-10) @Columbus
(3S) Georgetown (18-5) vs. (14S) DAVIDSON (19-6) @Columbus
(7S) SOUTHERN MISS (20-4) vs. (10S) Saint Louis (20-5) @Omaha
(2S) Kansas (21-5) vs. (15S) WEBER STATE (19-4) @Omaha

Phoenix (W)
(1W) DUKE (22-4) vs. (16W) SAVANNAH STATE (14-10) / MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE (14-11) @Greensboro
(8W) Connecticut (16-9) vs. (9W) Kansas State (17-8) @Greensboro
(5W) Wisconsin (19-7) vs. (12W) Xavier (16-9) @Nashville
(4W) Florida (20-6) vs. (13W) NEVADA (20-4) @Nashville
(6W) ST. MARY'S (21-4) vs. (11W) Alabama (16-9) @Albuquerque
(3W) UNLV (20-5) vs. (14W) AKRON (18-7) @Albuquerque
(7W) Notre Dame (18-8) vs. (10W) Texas (17-9) @Columbus
(2W) Michigan State (20-5) vs. (15W) VALPARAISO (17-9) @Columbus

Boston (E)
(1E) SYRACUSE (26-1) vs. (16E) LIU-BROOKLYN (20-7) @Pittsburgh
(8E) Mississippi State (19-7) vs. (9E) CALIFORNIA (21-6) @Pittsburgh
(5E) TEMPLE (20-5) vs. (12E) Brigham Young (20-6) @Portland
(4E) Michigan (18-7) vs. (13E) MIDDLE TENNESSEE (22-4) @Portland
(6E) WICHITA STATE (22-4) vs. (11E) Seton Hall (18-8) @Albuquerque
(3E) Baylor (21-4) vs. (14E) IONA (21-6) @Albuquerque
(7E) Vanderbilt (18-8) vs. (10E) Purdue (17-9) @Greensboro
(2E) North Carolina (22-4) vs. (15E) DREXEL (22-5) @Greensboro

St. Louis (M)
(1M) MISSOURI (24-2) vs. (16M) TEXAS-ARLINGTON (19-5) @Omaha
(8M) Memphis (19-7) vs. (9M) West Virginia (17-10) @Omaha
(5M) Louisville (20-6) vs. (12M) Northwestern (15-10) / Miami (Fla.) (15-9) @Portland
(4M) San Diego State (18-5) vs. (13M) ORAL ROBERTS (24-5) @Portland
(6M) Gonzaga (21-4) vs. (11M) Iowa State (18-8) @Louisville
(3M) Marquette (21-5) vs. (14M) BELMONT (19-7) @Louisville
(7M) Creighton (22-5) vs. (10M) HARVARD (20-3) @Pittsburgh
(2M) OHIO STATE (22-4) vs. (15M) BUCKNELL (19-7) @Pittsburgh

Last Six Pack: Brigham Young (20-6), Xavier (16-9), Northwestern (15-10), Miami (Fla.) (15-9), Washington (18-8), Dayton (16-9)

Added: Texas (17-9), Seton Hall (18-8), Washington (18-8), Dayton (16-9), IONA (21-6), DREXEL (22-5), VALPARAISO (17-9), SAVANNAH STATE (14-10), VERMONT (18-10)
Dropped: Minnesota (17-9), Colorado State (14-9), Cincinnati (18-8), North Carolina State (18-8), Cleveland State (19-7), Virginia Commonwealth (22-6), Loyola-Maryland (19-7), Norfolk State (17-8), Stony Brook (16-8)

NIT 1 Seeds: Minnesota (17-9), North Carolina State (18-8), Arizona (19-8), LSU (15-10)
NIT 2 Seeds: Cincinnati (18-8), UCF (16-7), Saint Joseph's (17-10), Mississippi (15-10)
NIT 3 Seeds: South Florida (15-10), Oregon (18-8), Colorado State (14-9), Wyoming (16-7)
NIT 4 Seeds: Virginia Commonwealth (22-6), Arkansas (17-9), Colorado (15-8), Massachusetts (18-7)

Moving Up: DUKE (22-4), Michigan State (20-5), Marquette (21-5), Indiana (20-6), Louisville (20-6), TEMPLE (20-5), MURRAY STATE (22-1), WICHITA STATE (22-4), Notre Dame (18-8), NEW MEXICO (20-4)
Moving Down: OHIO STATE (22-4), Baylor (21-4), Wisconsin (19-7), ST. MARY'S (21-4), Creighton (22-5), Mississippi State (19-7), Virginia (19-6), Kansas State (17-8), Iowa State (18-8), Alabama (16-9)

Top 5 First Round Individual Matchups
Game 1: (8M) Memphis vs. (9M) West Virginia @ Omaha: Will Barton (18.2 PPG) / Kevin Jones (20.4 PPG)
Game 2: (2S) Kansas vs. (15S) Weber State @ Omaha: Thomas Robinson (17.8 PPG) / Damian Lillard (24.8 PPG)
Game 3: (5E) Temple vs. (12E) Brigham Young @ Portland: Ramone Moore (18.8 PPG) / Noah Hartsock (17.2 PPG)
Game 4: (1M) Missouri vs. (16M) Texas-Arlington @ Omaha: Marcus Denmon (17.9 PPG) / LaMarcus Reed III (16.8 PPG)
Game 5: (4M) San Diego State vs. (13M) Oral Roberts @ Portland: Jamaal Franklin (16 PPG) / Dominique Morrison (20.3 PPG)

Top 5 Potential Second Round Individual Matchups (Assumes Seeds 12 or Better Advance)
Game 1: (1M) Missouri vs. (9M) West Virginia @ Omaha: Marcus Denmon (17.9 PPG) / Kevin Jones (20.4 PPG)
Game 2: (7M) Creighton vs. (2M) Ohio State @ Pittsburgh: Doug McDermott (22.7 PPG) / Jared Sullinger (17.6 PPG)
Game 3: (7E) Vanderbilt vs. (2E) North Carolina @ Greensboro: John Jenkins (19.8 PPG) / Harrison Barnes (17.7 PPG)
Game 4: (12W) Xavier vs. (4W) Florida @ Nashville: Tu Holloway (16.6 PPG) / Kenny Boynton (17.2 PPG)
Game 5: (10W) Texas vs. (2W) Michigan State @ Columbus: J'Covan Brown (19.7 PPG) / Draymond Green (15.2 PPG)

My First & Second Round Ticket For Thursday & Saturday Games
Pittsburgh: Doug McDermott (22.7 PPG), Jamal Olasewere (17.7 PPG), Jared Sullinger (17.6 PPG), Arnett Moultrie (16.5 PPG), Mike Muscala (16.1 PPG)

My First & Second Round Ticket For Friday & Sunday Games
Omaha: Damian Lillard (24.8 PPG), Kevin Jones (20.4 PPG), Will Barton (18.2 PPG), Marcus Denmon (17.9 PPG), Thomas Robinson (17.8 PPG)

Average Distance Traveled
First & Second Round Matchups: 763 miles
Regional Matchups (Assumes Seeds 4 or Better Advance): Atlanta (S): 1206 miles, Phoenix (W): 3669 miles, Boston (E): 1688 miles, St. Louis (M): 955 miles

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NATIONAL INVITATION TOURNAMENT

(1) Minnesota (17-9) vs. (8) Ohio (19-6)
(4) Massachusetts (18-7) vs. (5) Marshall (14-10)
(3) Wyoming (16-7) vs. (6) New Mexico State (17-8)
(2) Cincinnati (18-8) vs. (7) Cleveland State (19-7)

(1) North Carolina State (18-8) vs. (8) George Mason (22-6)
(4) Arkansas (17-9) vs. (5) Pittsburgh (15-12)
(3) Oregon (18-8) vs. (6) Tennessee (13-12)
(2) Saint Joseph's (17-10) vs. (7) Buffalo (15-7)

(1) Arizona (19-8) vs. (8) Loyola Marymount (15-10)
(4) Virginia Commonwealth (22-6) vs. (5) Northern Iowa (16-11)
(3) Colorado State (14-9) vs. (6) Denver (19-8)
(2) Mississippi (15-10) vs. (7) South Dakota State (19-7)

(1) LSU (15-10) vs. (8) Wagner (22-4)
(4) Colorado (15-8) vs. (5) Missouri State (15-12)
(3) South Florida (15-10) vs. (6) Kent State (18-6)
(2) UCF (16-7) vs. (7) La Salle (17-9)

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COLLEGE BASKETBALL INVITATIONAL

(1M) Maryland (15-10) vs. (4M) Illinois State (16-11)
(2M) St. Bonaventure (13-10) vs. (3M) Loyola-Maryland (19-7)

(1W) Stanford (18-8) vs. (4W) Princeton (11-10)
(2W) Oklahoma (13-12) vs. (3W) Tulsa (15-11)

(1S) Mercer (19-7) vs. (4S) Drake (14-12)
(2S) Montana (17-6) vs. (3S) UCLA (14-11)

(1E) Duquesne (14-10) vs. (4E) Indiana State (15-11)
(2E) Virginia Tech (14-12) vs. (3E) Lehigh (19-7)

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COLLEGEINSIDER POSTSEASON TOURNAMENT

(1) Pennsylvania (13-11) vs. (4) Oakland (14-13)
(2) Old Dominion (17-11) vs. (3) Wisconsin-Milwaukee (14-12)

(1) Yale (14-6) vs. (4) Delaware (14-12)
(2) Fairfield (16-10) vs. (3) Tennessee State (16-10)

(1) Butler (15-12) vs. (4) College of Charleston (16-11)
(2) Lamar (15-9) vs. (3) Santa Barbara (12-8)

(1) Georgia State (18-9) vs. (4) Utah Valley (14-10)
(2) Robert Morris (20-8) vs. (3) Manhattan (18-10)

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* I am aware of the potential Missouri-West Virginia (2010 Tourney, 2nd round) rematch.

Category: NCAAB
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