With Houston quarterback Case Keenum's ridiculous production (4,192 yards and a 31-6 TD/INT ratio), I can understand how some have latched on to the talented Houston passer as a potential Heisman contender -- especially considering the perception that this year's Heisman is a wide open race.
In reality, however, the staggering numbers put forth by Graham Harrell, Colt Brennan, and other spread quarterbacks has proven that while production is enough to spark conversation, it isn't enough to actually take home the hardware.
Keenum's production has been especially overstated this season. The loss to Central Florida today -- Houston's second loss to a Conference USA opponent -- may be enough to knock Houston out of the Conference USA championship and further underscores how at least some of Keenum's production is based on the Cougar's spread offense and the lack of pass defenses they've faced this season.
In ten games this season, Keenum and the Cougars have faced one team currently ranked in the top 50 in the NCAA in pass defense -- Mississippi State, which ranks 40th.
I've steadily maintained that the best player in the country -- Nebraska DT Ndamokung Suh -- should be the prohibitive favorite for the Heisman Trophy. However, considering that only once in the celebrated history of the award has a defender actually won the award (Charles Woodson), I'm realistic enough to know that Suh isn't even likely to be invited as a finalist.
Clemson's CJ Spiller, however, should be generating more buzz than he has, as should Stanford's Toby Gerhart.
With Reggie Bush (2005) the only non-quarterback Heisman winner of the decade , however, it is clear that voters only care about the flashy quarterbacks.
Therefore, this remains Colt McCoy's Heisman to lose.