Blog Entry

I don't believe in luck in fantasy sports...

Posted on: August 9, 2009 7:10 pm
...but I do believe in good fortune.  There's no such thing as luck though.  Just like in real sports, you have to have some bounces go your way to be successful in fantasy sports.  I'll tell you one thing though.  The "points against" column can decide a LOT of fantasy seasons.  Currently, in my fantasy baseball league, there are teams that I have more points than and I have 3 or 4 fewer wins.  Unfortunately, though, that's the name of the game in a head-to-head league.  You have to win the games that you play.  If you score 234 points in a week and you happen to play the highest scoring team in the league who scores 240, that's just the way that it goes.  Stuff happens sometimes, you know?  You can't just say "awwww, that's bull crap", you play the games on your schedule and you play the hand you're dealt. 

It does feel unfortunate when you face Tim Lincecum on one week and he puts up a 14 strikeout shutout, then the next week when that team plays another team in your division and you need them to win, he gives up 3 or 4 runs and loses.  That's not bad luck, it's bad fortune.  There has never been a BAD fantasy team that has won a title.  Everybody gets breaks along the way, but nobody is lucky. 

One team comes to mind... the 2007 New York Giants.  They weren't the best team, clearly.  The Patriots were 18-0 and set an NFL record for points scored in a season.  The Giants played a good game, had a great game plan and executed it to perfection.  On that particular day, the Giants were just better and it just so happened that the game was for the world championship.  The same thing happens in fantasy sometimes.  Sometimes a team can just be better, you may actually beat them 8 out of 10 (I like how CBS breaks that down for you in the "breakdown" part of the fantasy site).  In a season, you may have outscored a team 7 out of 8 weeks and in Week 9, they beat you.  It isn't luck.  It's bad fortune, but there's no such thing as luck.

I heard Peyton Manning say something once.  He said something to this effect, "You know, you have to think that if you keep preparing the right way, working hard, practicing hard, making good choices, that eventually, things are going to work out for you."  Peyton hasn't gotten all of the breaks in life, but he has gotten some things to go his way.  The same is true in fantasy sports.  Eventually, if you keep doing all of the right things, you will win -- and it won't be luck.
Category: Fantasy
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or