In a few days David Stern will decide the draft order, I mean conduct the lottery. When that goes down this scenario will undoubtedly change almost completely. Until that time, here's how things will shake out according to me.
1. New Jersey Nets - John Wall, PG Kentucky No brainer. Could be the kind of pick that would lures a big name free agent to town.
2. Minnesota Timberwolves - Evan Turner, SG Ohio State In some ways it would be better for the Wolves to land #2 instead of #1 - less drama. Turner is a perfect fit.
3. Sacramento Kings - DeMarcus Cousins, C Kentucky I’m banking on him overcoming attitude concerns in pre-draft interviews. On talent alone, he’s an easy top 3 pick.
4. Golden State Warriors - Derrick Favors, PF Georgia Tech He seems to fit their uptempo style and has as much upside as anyone in this draft.
5. Washington Wizards - Wesley Johnson, SF Syracuse The Wiz need everything and Johnson might be the most NBA ready player overall.
6. Philadelphia 76ers - Greg Monroe, PF Georgetown Stock started high this year, then dipped, now it’s back on the rise. The 76ers like Mareese Speights but he’s nothing to build around.
8. Los Angeles Clippers - Al-Farouq Aminu, SF Wake Forest He could go as high as #5 but he’s probably 2 years away from contributing, that will make him fall. The Clips are a good fit.
9. Utah Jazz - Cole Aldrich, C Kansas Boozer is gone and Okur is fading. Aldrich fits the Utah mold and will be a good defensive match for the slightly undersized Paul Milsap.
10. Indiana Pacers - Gordon Heyward, SF Butler A big reach but so was Hansbrough (which I called weeks before the draft). Hometown kid who many compare to Larry Bird. The stars align.
13. Toronto Raptors - Ed Davis PF North Carolina He falls further than he probably should but based on his play this year he deserves it. Makes sense to try and fill the inevitable Bosh void.
14. Houston Rockets - Patrick Patterson, PF Kentucky An undersized power forward who can shoot the 3? It’s as if the Rockets themselves crafted him in their own image.
16. Minnesota Timberwolves - James Anderson, SG Oklahoma State Wolves continue the backcourt overhaul. Anderson lacks elite athleticism but is an extremely skilled scorer nonetheless.
18. Miami Heat - Avery Bradley, SG Texas He’s the perfect sort of PG to play with Wade. One who isn’t a particularly good distributor but can defend the perimeter and score with efficiency.
19. Boston Celtics - Damion James, SF Texas Celtics snag the best available talent. James is versatile, high energy and ready to contribute right away.
20. San Antonio Spurs - Dominique Jones, SG South Florida Like Avery Bradley, he’s a scoring two guard in a point guard’s body. He could thrive in a reserve roll with the Spurs. Who doesn’t?
21. Oklahoma City Thunder - Larry Sanders, PF VCU They need front court help. Enter Sanders. At this point in the draft a roleplayer is all you can hope for.
22. Portland Trailblazers - Willie Warren, PG Oklahoma Blazers have no glaring needs so they go with Warren, who will replace Jerryd Bayless on the depth chart.
23. Minnesota Timberwolves - Paul George, SF Fresno State Last year it was PGs, this year it’s wings for the Wolves. That’s okay, they need as much help as they can get there.
24. Atlanta Hawks - Daniel Orton, C Kentucky Amazingly, the 5th Kentucky player taken in the 1st round. The Magic fully exposed the Hawks’ lack of size in the playoffs this year.
25. Memphis Grizzlies - Elliot Williams, SG Memphis Added depth and hometown kid. In my opinion, a Chris Douglas-Roberts clone in every way.
26. Oklahoma City Thunder - Solomon Alabi, C Florida State He can’t be worse than Thabeet and considering he would be taken 24 spots later that probably makes him a super steal.
27. New Jersey Nets - Gani Lawal, PF Georgia Tech They’ll hope for a DeJuan Blair type return with Lawal. PF is their weakest spot, which is really saying something.
28. Memphis Grizzlies - Stanley Robinson, SF Connecticut Robinson is a decent talent who underachieved big time at UConn. Could protect them against Rudy Gay leaving.
29. Orlando Magic - Darrington Hobson, SF New Mexico I'm a huge fan of Hobson. Sort of an Evan Turner-light. He'll probably fall into the 2nd round but I think he's a 1st round talent.
30. Washington Wizards - Lance Stephenson, SG Cincinnati This guy has the talent to climb up to the late teens if his workouts go well.