Another 6-7 week, and my record is slowly getting closer to .500. These high lines have been ridiculous! I'm at 61-54 right now, and could really use a good week here. My Week 9 Picks:
Washington (+10) over Atlanta. With two weeks to prepare, and plenty of film to see where the Falcons have been exposed, I think they have a legitimate shot at keeping it close. The Redskins defense has actually been playing pretty well, and Turner hasn't been spectacular this year.
Arizona (+3) over Chicago. Despite their loss to the Panthers last week, I still think the Cardinals have too many weapons on both sides of the field to lose to the Bears. Jay Cutler will be pressured, and their run defense should play well against Forte.
Houston (+9) over Indianapolis. It'll be a tough one against Freeney, but Houston's offense has been clicking. My downfall here could be that Owen Daniels is out for the season, but Kevin Walter may step it up here. The Colts will more than likely win, but I'm a points addict.
Cincinnati (+3) over Baltimore. The Bengals were able to more on the Ravens last time (though it was mostly due to stupid Ravens penalties), and I think it only gets better from here. The Bengals defense is underrated, even with their injuries.
Kansas City (+6) over Jacksonville. What a terrible game. The Chiefs get the opportunity to see how Jamaal Charles will play, and Matt Cassel has had two weeks to prepare. Plus, the Jaguars just aren't very good.
Green Bay (-10) over Tampa Bay. The Packers are going to be angry after that loss, and they won't face too much pressure from the Bucs defensive line. They haven't won a single game this year, and they won't come close to changing that this week.
Miami (+10.5) over New England. I think the Patriots will win this game, but Miami usually keeps games close. If they're able to control the ball, they might even have a shot at winning it.
Carolina (+13.5) over New Orleans. I think this will be closer than most expect because the Panthers seem to have gone back to running the ball more, which they should. The combination of Williams and Stewart is just too good, and the Saints defense might have their hands full.
Detroit (+10) over Seattle. Ten points for a Seahawks team that's playing this bad? No thank you. If Calvin Johnson is back, the Lions will probably win. It's unbelievable all the massive point spreads this week.
San Francisco (-5.5) over Tennessee. The Titans defense has given up way too many points, and with a player like Frank Gore ripping massive runs on decent defenses, I'll go with the 49ers. Yeah, Chris Johnson has done the same, but he won't against this defense.
San Diego Chargers (+3.5) over New York Giants. The Giants haven't beaten the spread in forever, so I'm not going to start picking them now. Vincent Jackson and Malcolm Floyd will shred this secondary.
Dallas (+3) over Philadelphia. The Eagles crushed a very wounded Giants team, whereas the Cowboys look truly hot. Plus, Romo is great in November, and they're giving him more protection. Watch out.
Denver (+3) over Pittsburgh. Many people are jumping off the Broncos bandwagon, but look for their defense to stop the Steelers running game. They're playing in Denver. This one will be a defensive battle, so I'll take the points even though it's a small margin.