Blog Entry

Texas A&M to the SEC: Potential Domino Effect

Posted on: September 6, 2011 7:43 pm
Edited on: September 6, 2011 7:55 pm

With serious talks of Texas A&M moving to the SEC, one can only wonder what landscape of college football as a result of the fallout would look like. Certainly, the SEC wouldn't stick with unbalanced divisions, and certainly the PAC 12 and Big 10 wouldn't sit back and watch it all happen. Well, maybe they would, and act immediately after the initial moves. I could see either Florida State or Miami asking for SEC membership. It appears the ball is in Texas A&M's court right now, and Oklahoma is already making a few phone calls. I can't see the Big 12 surviving without Texas and Oklahoma in it together. If Oklahoma goes, so goes Oklahoma State...that's a given. That would take the Big 12 down to seven programs, with no BCS caliber program out there to add, with the exception of Boise State. Boise just began play in the MWC, so a move this soon probably wouldn't be in their best interest. Even if the Big 12, without the Oklahoma teams, adds BYU, Texas alone wouldn't guarantee BCS AQ status for very long. Since Texas A&M is all but gone, this is what I think will happen when the dominoes start to fall.

Oklahoma and Oklahoma State request PAC 12 membership and is accepted. Texas follows close behind. Texas Tech follows Texas. The Big 12 falls apart.

The SEC conducts football business with unbalanced divisions through the 2012 season, before Florida State requests membership, and is accepted. Texas A&M joins the West and Florida State the East to expand to 14 in 2013. In an effort to match the new PAC 16, the SEC waits to see how a 16-team league reaps the financial rewards. Although there is much, much more revenue in the Big 6 BCS leagues, a 16-team WAC once failed miserably. It's worth watching for a couple of years to see how the revenue sharing works out. It might not be all what it's cracked up to be.

The Big 10 makes one last plea to Notre Dame, either join or be closed out forever. What is happening in college football is a 100 year deal. Missouri asks the Big Ten for membership, and is accepted. Missouri to the Leaders in 2012. Notre Dame takes its time, and decides to join during the winter of 2012. They are admitted to the Legends division in 2013. The Big 10 reaches 14, and sticks with 14...for now. (Eye on ACC)

Kansas State and Kansas won't be separated, and will ask the Big East for a home. They're accepted, to further strengthen an already monsterous basketball league. TCU will be joining the Big East beginning in 2012, and Temple has been overheard discussing a possible move back where they belong. Temple gets accepted, and all of a sudden the Big East is a 12-team football conference. They stay at 12, with later expansion possibilities for football down the road. I know ECU and UCF have the Big East on their minds, but I'm not sure now since the ACC is a team short on the Atlantic side. Wow, a 20-team basketball conference? Is it even possible for every team to play each other, even if they're split into 10-team divisions? I guess that's for another thread topic.

Which program on the east coast is most attractive to replace a powerhouse like Florida State? I know of only one, but this program is not quite a Florida State. However, this program is up and coming, and it is Central Florida. UCF would fit perfectly in the Atlantic division of the ACC, and they've been wanting a move up. Texas A&M provides them a rare opportunity to join a great athletic conference in the ACC. One can only imagine what this would do for their recruiting in football and basketball. I could see this program getting to a BCS bowl game within five seasons playing in the ACC. Remember I wrote that. This puts the ACC back at 12, and they obviously need to keep up with the Jones's in their neighborhood. With UCF leaving CUSA, ECU and Southern Mississippi request ACC membership. It makes sense, as would Memphis in place of Southern Miss. UCF and ECU to the Coastal, and either Memphis or Southern Miss to the Atlantic. That's 14 for the ACC. If something like this doesn't happen after FSU leaves, expect a program, like Maryland, to consider leaving for greener pastures...or more money. The Big 10 could offer that, and would welcome Maryland with open arms. Even if they stayed unbalanced with 15. You know, come to think of it, I remember some talk about Georgia Tech and the Big 10 not long ago. If Maryland makes a move, would GT ask the Big 10 for membership? I don't ever see them going back to the SEC, and the Big 10 has this network that would, well, absolutely love to have that Atlanta market.

There you have it. Complete and utter disruption to the college football landscape, all because one university, Texas A&M, is having a sissy fit over the Longhorn Network. A network which is currently having a very difficult time finding carriers to boot. The backing of ESPN is nice, but unless your cable and satellite providers buy in, it's going nowhere. So much for all of that tradition on the rivalry front. Texas-Texas A&M will probably be one for past memories. That would be a tough loss for the fans, and for players now and into the future.

Money is destroying this great sport, right before our eyes. My parents told me a very long time ago, that money is evil and can destroy lives. In a different context here, they were exactly right. Let's hope, once all the dominoes fall, the damage is minimal and the rest of our rivalries remain intact.

Category: NCAAF
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