Is it just me or are these games getting progressively harder to pick? I barely managed to be above .500 last week with a 7-6 record and this week doesn't seem to be getting any easier. Lets see if I can improve this week and get my head out of my ass. I am also adding a new feature this week with a quick blurb on each game...here we go...
Record to date (43-36-2)
Chicago at Miami (-1.5) - Miami Dolphins - The line seems to indicate the Bears but I like Thigpen and I think Miami gets it done at home.
Detroit at Dallas (-6.5) - Detroit Lions - Dallas will be the sexy pick this week but Detroit has played everyone tough and close.
Arizona at Kansas City (-8) - Kansas City Chiefs - 8 points is a lot for a weak Chiefs offense to overcome but the Cardinals are that bad on the road.
Green Bay at Minnesota (+3) - Green Bay Packers - This is the lock of the week, the Vikings need a lot more than 3 points at home.
Baltimore at Carolina (+10) - Baltimore Ravens - Carolina is awful and won't score...look for a shutout and an easy cover.
Cleveland at Jacksonville (-1) - Cleveland Browns - The Browns resurgence this year is great to see and it will continue in Jacksonville.
Oakland at Pittsburgh (-7.5) - Pittsburgh Steelers - After last week's loss the Steelers will be playing mad...look for an easy cover against a good Raiders team.
Buffalo at Cincinnati (-5.5) - Buffalo Bills - The Bills are getting no respect after their first win, Cincinnati is not good and 5.5 points is too much to overcome in this one.
Washington at Tennessee (-7) - Washington Redskins - This line is way to one sided, I know the Redskins get embarrassed on Monday night but they will play Tennessee tough.
Houston at N.Y. Jets (-7) - NY Jets - Houston has just imploded since a hot start and the Jets will start playing well, I like them to cover but this isn't my favorite pick of the week.
Atlanta at St. Louis (+3) - Atlanta Falcons - The Falcons are the best team in the NFC right now and although St. Louis is playing well I still really like the Falcons to cover.
Tampa Bay at San Francisco (-3) - San Francisco 49ers - One of the three games that Vegas has as a pick'em (home team usually gets 3 points for being the home team), with that said I think Tampa is the more complete team but traveling across the country never works out well.
Seattle at New Orleans (-12) - New Orleans Saints - 12 points is a lot but New Orleans is coming off of a bye and Seattle has been awful on the road.
Indianapolis at New England (-3) - New England Patriots - Indianapolis is playing with their JV squad and without Peyton Manning they are 2-7, they are awful in Foxboro too, give me the Pats.
N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia (-3) - Philadelphia Eagles - Michael Vick is good, enough said.
Denver at San Diego (-10) - Denver Broncos - 10 points is too much for San Diego to give up, this isn't the same team as past years, I like a cover by the Broncos.
There are my week 11 picks ATS. Check back next week to see how I did.
Don't forget to visit my NFL picks site at www.moleandmeares.com where we have a weekly video talking about the four biggest games of the week. We also have a place for you to submit your picks for week 11 straight up for a chance to win our weekly prize! Good Luck!